Item 2. MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS

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Item 2. MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS

Page
Forward-Looking Statements7
Introduction8
Financial Performance9
Results of Operations11
Net Interest Income11
Noninterest Income13
Noninterest Expense14
Provision for Credit Losses14
Income Tax Expense14
Business Operating Segments14
Analysis of Financial Condition16
Securities16
Loans and Leases17
Allowance for Credit Losses and Nonaccrual Loans and Leases17
Deposits23
Borrowed Funds23
Capital and Regulatory Matters23
Liquidity27
Critical Accounting Estimates30
Accounting and Reporting Developments32
Risk Governance32
Market Risk33
Non-GAAP Financial Measures and Reconciliations37

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FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS

This document contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Statements regarding potential future share repurchases and future dividends as well as the potential effects of the COVID disruption and Russia’s invasion of Ukraine on our business, operations, financial performance and prospects, are forward-looking statements. Also, any statement that does not describe historical or current facts is a forward-looking statement. These statements often include the words “believes,” “expects,” “anticipates,” “estimates,” “intends,” “plans,” “goals,” “targets,” “initiatives,” “potentially,” “probably,” “projects,” “outlook,” “guidance” or similar expressions or future conditional verbs such as “may,” “will,” “should,” “would,” and “could.”

Forward-looking statements are based upon the current beliefs and expectations of management, and on information currently available to management. Our statements speak as of the date hereof, and we do not assume any obligation to update these statements or to update the reasons why actual results could differ from those contained in such statements in light of new information or future events. We caution you, therefore, against relying on any of these forward-looking statements. They are neither statements of historical fact nor guarantees or assurances of future performance. While there is no assurance that any list of risks and uncertainties or risk factors is complete, important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements include the following, without limitation:

  • Negative economic and political conditions that adversely affect the general economy, housing prices, the job market, consumer confidence and spending habits which may affect, among other things, the level of nonaccrual assets, charge-offs and provision expense;

  • The rate of growth in the economy and employment levels, as well as general business and economic conditions, and changes in the competitive environment;

  • Our ability to implement our business strategy, including the cost savings and efficiency components, and achieve our financial performance goals, including through the integration of Investors and the HSBC branches;

  • The COVID disruption and its effects on the economic and business environments in which we operate;

  • The impact of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and the imposition of sanctions on Russia and other actions in response, including on economic and market conditions, inflationary pressures and the interest rate environment, commodity price and foreign exchange rate volatility, and heightened cybersecurity risks;

  • Our ability to meet heightened supervisory requirements and expectations;

  • Liabilities and business restrictions resulting from litigation and regulatory investigations;

  • Our capital and liquidity requirements under regulatory capital standards and our ability to generate capital internally or raise capital on favorable terms;

  • The effect of changes in interest rates on our net interest income, net interest margin and our mortgage originations, mortgage servicing rights and mortgages held for sale;

  • Changes in interest rates and market liquidity, as well as the magnitude of such changes, which may reduce interest margins, impact funding sources and affect the ability to originate and distribute financial products in the primary and secondary markets;

  • The effect of changes in the level of checking or savings account deposits on our funding costs and net interest margin;

  • Financial services reform and other current, pending or future legislation or regulation that could have a negative effect on our revenue and businesses;

  • A failure in or breach of our operational or security systems or infrastructure, or those of our third party vendors or other service providers, including as a result of cyber-attacks;

  • Greater than expected costs or other difficulties related to the integration of our business and that of Investors and the relevant HSBC branches;

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  • The inability to retain existing HSBC or Investors clients and employees following the closing of the HSBC transaction and Investors acquisition; and

  • Management’s ability to identify and manage these and other risks.

In addition to the above factors, we also caution that the actual amounts and timing of any future common stock dividends or share repurchases will be subject to various factors, including our capital position, financial performance, risk-weighted assets, capital impacts of strategic initiatives, market conditions, receipt of required regulatory approvals and other regulatory and accounting considerations, as well as any other factors that our Board of Directors deems relevant in making such a determination. Therefore, there can be no assurance that we will repurchase shares from or pay any dividends to holders of our common stock, or as to the amount of any such repurchases or dividends. Further, statements about the effects of the COVID disruption and Russia’s invasion of Ukraine on our business, operations, financial performance and prospects may constitute forward-looking statements and are subject to the risk that the actual impacts may differ, possibly materially, from what is reflected in those forward-looking statements due to factors and future developments that are uncertain, unpredictable and in many cases beyond our control, including the scope and duration of the COVID disruption and Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, actions taken by governmental authorities in response to the COVID disruption and Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, and the direct and indirect impact of the COVID disruption and Russia’s invasion of Ukraine on our customers, third parties and us.

More information about factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those described in the forward-looking statements can be found in the “Risk Factors” section in Part I, Item 1A of our 2021 Form 10-K as well as Part II, Item 1A of our Form 10-Q for the quarter ended March 31, 2022.

INTRODUCTION

Citizens Financial Group, Inc. is one of the nation’s oldest and largest financial institutions, with $224.7 billion in assets as of September 30, 2022. Headquartered in Providence, Rhode Island, we offer a broad range of retail and commercial banking products and services to individuals, small businesses, middle-market companies, large corporations and institutions. We help our customers reach their potential by listening to them and by understanding their needs in order to offer tailored advice, ideas and solutions. In Consumer Banking, we provide an integrated experience that includes mobile and online banking, a full-service customer contact center and the convenience of approximately 3,400 ATMs and more than 1,200 branches in 14 states and the District of Columbia. Consumer Banking products and services include a full range of banking, lending, savings, wealth management and small business offerings. In Commercial Banking, we offer a broad complement of financial products and solutions, including lending and leasing, deposit and treasury management services, foreign exchange, interest rate and commodity risk management solutions, as well as loan syndication, corporate finance, merger and acquisition, and debt and equity capital markets capabilities. More information is available at www.citizensbank.com.

On February 18, 2022, CBNA completed the acquisition of the HSBC East Coast branches and national online deposit business. The transaction extends our physical presence and adds customers in several attractive markets, accelerating our national expansion strategy. The transaction includes 66 branches in the New York City metropolitan area, 9 branches in the Mid-Atlantic/Washington D.C. area, and 5 branches in Southeast Florida.

On April 6, 2022, Citizens completed the acquisition of all outstanding shares of Investors for a combination of stock and cash. The acquisition enhances Citizens’ banking franchise, adding an attractive middle market, small business and consumer customer base while building our physical presence in the Mid-Atlantic region with the addition of 154 branches located in the greater New York City and Philadelphia metropolitan areas and across New Jersey.

On June 8, 2022, Citizens completed the acquisition of DH Capital, a private investment banking firm serving companies in the internet infrastructure, software, IT services and communications sectors. This acquisition further strengthens our growing corporate advisory capabilities.

For additional information regarding these acquisitions see Note 2.

The following MD&A is intended to assist readers in their analysis of the accompanying unaudited interim Consolidated Financial Statements and supplemental financial information. It should be read in conjunction with the unaudited interim Consolidated Financial Statements and Notes to the unaudited interim Consolidated Financial Statements in Part I, Item 1, as well as other information contained in this document and our 2021 Form 10-K.

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Non-GAAP Financial Measures

This document contains non-GAAP financial measures denoted as “Underlying” results. Underlying results for any given reporting period exclude certain items that may occur in that period which management does not consider indicative of our on-going financial performance. We believe these non-GAAP financial measures provide useful information to investors because they are used by management to evaluate our operating performance and make day-to-day operating decisions. In addition, we believe our Underlying results in any given reporting period reflect our on-going financial performance, increase comparability of period-to-period results, and are useful to consider in addition to our GAAP financial results.

Other companies may use similarly titled non-GAAP financial measures that are calculated differently from the way we calculate such measures. Accordingly, our non-GAAP financial measures may not be comparable to similar measures used by such companies. We caution investors not to place undue reliance on such non-GAAP financial measures, but to consider them with the most directly comparable GAAP measures. Non-GAAP financial measures have limitations as analytical tools and should not be considered in isolation or as a substitute for our results reported under GAAP.

Non-GAAP measures are denoted throughout our MD&A by the use of the term Underlying. Where there is a reference to these metrics in that paragraph, all measures that follow are on the same basis when applicable. For more information on the computation of non-GAAP financial measures, see “—Non-GAAP Financial Measures and Reconciliations.”

FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE

Key Highlights

Net income increased $106 million and decreased $369 million for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2022, with earnings per diluted common share up $0.05 to $1.23 and down $1.15 to $2.84 compared to the same periods in 2021.

Results reflect notable items of $33 million or $0.07 per diluted common share, net of tax benefit, for the three months ended September 30, 2022, compared to $16 million or $0.04 per diluted common share, net of tax benefit, for the same period in 2021. For the nine months ended September 30, 2022, notable items were $320 million or $0.68 per diluted common share, net of tax benefit, as compared to $39 million or $0.10 per diluted common share, net of tax benefit, for the same period in 2021.

Table 1: Notable Items
Three Months Ended September 30, 2022
Less: notable items
(in millions)Reported results (GAAP)Integration related costs**(1)**TOP and other**(2)**ProvisionUnderlying results (non-GAAP)
Provision (benefit) for credit losses$123$—$—$—$123
Noninterest income512———512
Noninterest expense1,241379—1,195
Income tax expense177(11)(2)—190
Three Months Ended September 30, 2021
Less: notable items
(in millions)Reported results (GAAP)Integration related costs**(1)**TOP and other**(2)**ProvisionUnderlying results (non-GAAP)
Provision (benefit) for credit losses($33)$—$—$—($33)
Noninterest income514———514
Noninterest expense1,011419—988
Income tax expense151(1)(6)—158

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Nine Months Ended September 30, 2022
Less: notable items
(in millions)Reported results (GAAP)Integration related costs**(1)**TOP and other**(2)**Provision**(3)**Underlying results (non-GAAP)
Provision (benefit) for credit losses$342$—$—$169$173
Noninterest income1,504(31)——1,535
Noninterest expense3,65217841—3,433
Income tax expense407(49)(7)(43)506
Nine Months Ended September 30, 2021
Less: notable items
(in millions)Reported results (GAAP)Integration related costs**(1)**TOP and other**(2)**ProvisionUnderlying results (non-GAAP)
Provision (benefit) for credit losses($386)$—$—$—($386)
Noninterest income1,541———1,541
Noninterest expense3,020648—2,966
Income tax expense504(2)(13)—519

(1) Includes integration related costs associated with acquisitions for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2022 and 2021, and mark-to-market losses on loans acquired from Investors classified as LHFS for the nine months ended September 30, 2022.

(2) Includes our TOP transformational and revenue and efficiency initiatives for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2022 and 2021, income tax impacts related to legacy tax matters for the nine months ended September 30, 2022, and a pension settlement charge and compensation-related credit for the for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2021.

(3) Includes the initial provision for credit losses of $169 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2022 tied to the HSBC transaction and Investors acquisition. As required by purchase accounting, a fair value mark for performing loans including both credit and interest rate components is recorded in addition to the provision for credit losses expense, thus the credit exposure has been “double counted”.

  • Net income available to common stockholders increased $107 million to $611 million and decreased $369 million to $1.3 billion for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2022, respectively, compared to the same periods in 2021.

**◦**On an Underlying basis, which excludes notable items, net income available to common stockholders of $644 million and $1.7 billion for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2022, respectively, compared with $520 million and $1.7 billion for the same periods in 2021.

**◦**On an Underlying basis, earnings per diluted common share of $1.30 and $3.52 for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2022, respectively, compared to $1.22 and $4.09 for the same periods in 2021.

  • Total revenue increased $518 million to $2.2 billion and increased $894 million to $5.8 billion for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2022, respectively, compared to the same periods in 2021, driven by increases of 45% and 27%, respectively, in net interest income, including the impacts of the HSBC transaction and Investors acquisition.

  • The efficiency ratio of 57.0% and 62.7% for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2022, respectively, compared to 60.9% and 61.3% for the same periods in 2021.

**◦**On an Underlying basis, the efficiency ratio of 54.9% and 58.7% for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2022, respectively, compared to 59.5% and 60.2% for the same periods in 2021.

  • ROTCE of 17.0% and 12.5% for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2022, respectively, compared to 13.7% and 16.1% for the same periods in 2021.

**◦**On an Underlying basis, ROTCE of 17.9% and 15.5% for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2022, respectively, compared to 14.2% and 16.5% for the same periods in 2021.

  • Tangible book value per common share of $26.62 decreased 23% from December 31, 2021.

For additional information regarding our financial performance, see “—Results of Operations” included in this report.

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RESULTS OF OPERATIONS

Net Interest Income

Net interest income is our largest source of revenue and is the difference between the interest earned on interest-earning assets (generally loans, leases and investment securities) and the interest expense incurred in connection with interest-bearing liabilities (generally deposits and borrowed funds). The level of net interest income is primarily a function of the difference between the effective yield on our average interest-earning assets and the effective cost of our interest-bearing liabilities. These factors are influenced by the pricing and mix of interest-earning assets and interest-bearing liabilities which, in turn, are impacted by external factors such as local economic conditions, competition for loans and deposits, the monetary policy of the FRB and market interest rates. For further discussion, refer to “—Market Risk — Non-Trading Risk,” and “—Risk Governance” as described in our 2021 Form 10-K.

Table 2: Major Components of Net Interest Income
Three Months Ended September 30,
20222021Change
(dollars in millions)Average BalancesIncome/ ExpenseYields/ RatesAverage BalancesIncome/ ExpenseYields/ RatesAverage BalancesYields/ Rates (bps)
Assets
Interest-bearing cash and due from banks and deposits in banks$5,203$362.78%$13,749$60.16%($8,546)262 bps
Taxable investment securities38,5072432.5027,4661161.6911,04181
Non-taxable investment securities3—1.882—2.601(72)
Total investment securities38,5102432.5027,4681161.6911,04281
Commercial and industrial52,1305444.0842,3303623.369,80072
Commercial real estate28,3883114.2914,656962.5613,732173
Leases1,529133.351,695122.72(166)63
Total commercial loans and leases82,0478684.1458,6814703.1423,366100
Residential mortgages29,3272403.2720,8341573.018,49326
Home equity13,4001564.6211,829923.081,571154
Automobile13,5401283.7413,1361263.83404(9)
Education13,0811444.3712,7071344.1937418
Other retail5,4841218.715,454997.1530156
Total retail loans74,8327894.1963,9606083.7810,87241
Total loans and leases156,8791,6574.17122,6411,0783.4734,23870
Loans held for sale, at fair value1,600184.373,299212.51(1,699)186
Other loans held for sale1,385154.3611213.981,27338
Interest-earning assets203,5771,9693.82167,2691,2222.8936,30893
Noninterest-earning assets21,89618,8393,057
Total assets$225,473$186,108$39,365
Liabilities and Stockholders’ Equity
Checking with interest$38,297$450.46%$27,965$70.09%$10,33237
Money market47,374770.6449,159180.14(1,785)50
Savings28,741280.3820,80350.097,93829
Term9,913261.106,07150.433,84267
Total interest-bearing deposits124,3251760.56103,998350.1420,32742
Short-term borrowed funds2,043112.0923—2.062,0203
Long-term borrowed funds15,8471172.916,956422.388,89153
Total borrowed funds17,8901282.816,979422.3810,91143
Total interest-bearing liabilities142,2153040.85110,977770.2831,23857
Demand deposits53,29347,8735,420
Other noninterest-bearing liabilities5,7053,9041,801
Total liabilities201,213162,75438,459
Stockholders’ equity24,26023,354906
Total liabilities and stockholders’ equity$225,473$186,108$39,365
Interest rate spread2.97%2.61%36
Net interest income and net interest margin$1,6653.24%$1,1452.72%52
Net interest income and net interest margin, FTE(1)$1,6683.25%$1,1472.72%53
Memo: Total deposits (interest-bearing and demand)$177,618$1760.39%$151,871$350.09%$25,74730bps

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Nine Months Ended September 30,
20222021Change
(dollars in millions)Average BalancesIncome/ ExpenseYields/ RatesAverage BalancesIncome/ ExpenseYields/ RatesAverage BalancesYields/ Rates (bps)
Assets:
Interest-bearing cash and due from banks and deposits in banks$5,952$531.19%$11,967$120.13%($6,015)106 bps
Taxable investment securities34,5845822.2427,3663681.797,21845
Non-taxable investment securities3—2.313—2.60—(29)
Total investment securities34,5875822.2427,3693681.797,21845
Commercial and industrial49,2241,2903.4543,6611,0543.195,56326
Commercial real estate23,4016443.6314,6012852.578,800106
Leases1,555342.921,800372.73(245)19
Total commercial loans and leases74,1801,9683.5060,0621,3763.0214,11848
Residential mortgages27,1136303.1020,1604593.036,9537
Home equity12,7833513.6711,8842793.1489953
Automobile14,0783823.6312,6343763.981,444(35)
Education13,0864124.2112,5934034.28493(7)
Other retail5,4903328.085,6593047.18(169)90
Total retail loans72,5502,1073.8862,9301,8213.879,6201
Total loans and leases146,7304,0753.69122,9923,1973.4523,73824
Loans held for sale, at fair value1,965513.463,435632.45(1,470)101
Other loans held for sale1,401474.4424294.881,159(44)
Interest-earning assets190,6354,8083.35166,0053,6492.9224,63043
Noninterest-earning assets21,08718,3862,701
Total assets$211,722$184,391$27,331
Liabilities and Stockholders’ Equity:
Checking with interest$35,849$650.24%$27,126$180.09%$8,72315
Money market47,7971120.3149,362610.16(1,565)15
Savings26,763420.2119,839150.106,92411
Term7,303360.677,195330.641083
Total interest-bearing deposits117,7122550.29103,5221270.1614,19013
Short-term borrowed funds2,030211.3780—0.741,95063
Long-term borrowed funds10,7482152.657,5701362.383,17827
Total borrowed funds12,7782362.457,6501362.365,1289
Total interest-bearing liabilities130,4904910.50111,1722630.3219,31818
Demand deposits52,05846,1205,938
Other noninterest-bearing liabilities5,2854,1661,119
Total liabilities187,833161,45826,375
Stockholders’ equity23,88922,933956
Total liabilities and stockholders’ equity$211,722$184,391$27,331
Interest rate spread2.85%2.61%24
Net interest income and net interest margin$4,3173.03%$3,3862.73%30
Net interest income and net interest margin, FTE(1)$4,3243.03%$3,3932.73%30
Memo: Total deposits (interest-bearing and demand)$169,770$2550.20%$149,642$1270.11%$20,1289bps

(1) Net interest income and net interest margin is presented on a FTE basis using the federal statutory tax rate of 21%. The FTE impact is predominantly attributable to commercial and industrial loans for the periods presented.

Net interest income increased $520 million, or 45%, and increased $931 million, or 27%, for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2022, respectively, compared to the same periods in 2021, reflecting growth of 22% and 15%, respectively, in interest-earning assets, driven by the impacts of the HSBC transaction and Investors acquisition, and a higher net interest margin.

Net interest margin on a FTE basis increased 53 basis points to 3.25%, and increased 30 basis points to 3.03%, for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2022, respectively, compared to the same periods in 2021, reflecting higher earning-asset yields given higher market interest rates, partially offset by increased funding costs. Average interest-earning asset yields increased 93 basis points to 3.82%, and increased 43 basis points to 3.35%, while average interest-bearing liability costs increased 57 basis points to 0.85%, and increased 18 basis points to 0.50%, respectively, compared to the same periods.

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Average interest-earning assets increased $36.3 billion, or 22%, and increased $24.6 billion, or 15%, for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2022, respectively, compared to the same periods in 2021. An increase in loans, reflecting the impacts of the HSBC transaction and Investors acquisition as well as growth in commercial and industrial, residential mortgage and home equity, and investments was partially offset by a decrease in cash held in interest-bearing deposits reflecting the deployment of elevated liquidity.

Average deposits increased $25.7 billion, or 17%, and increased $20.1 billion, or 13%, for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2022, respectively, compared to the same periods in 2021, primarily attributable to the HSBC transaction and Investors acquisition. Average total borrowed funds increased $10.9 billion and increased $5.1 billion, respectively, compared to the same periods in 2021, given an increase in long-term and short-term FHLB borrowings driven by advances acquired from Investors and the funding of loan and security growth, partially offset by a decrease in senior debt.

Noninterest Income

Table 3: Noninterest Income
Three Months Ended September 30,Nine Months Ended September 30,
(dollars in millions)20222021ChangePercent20222021ChangePercent
Capital markets fees$89$72$1724%$270$244$2611%
Service charges and fees109110(1)(1)31530962
Mortgage banking fees66108(42)(39)207358(151)(42)
Card fees716658202185179
Trust and investment services fees6161——18817995
Letter of credit and loan fees40391311811533
Foreign exchange and derivative products42291345153856880
Securities gains, net—3(3)(100)59(4)(44)
Other income(1)34268314657(11)(19)
Noninterest income$512$514($2)—%$1,504$1,541($37)(2%)

(1) Includes bank-owned life insurance income and other income for all periods presented.

Noninterest income remained stable and decreased $37 million, or 2%, for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2022, respectively, compared to the same periods in 2021, highlighted by the following significant changes.

  • The increase in capital markets fees reflects lower bond underwriting fees and higher merger and acquisition advisory and loan syndication fees.

  • Mortgage banking fees declined given lower gain-on-sale margins and production volumes, partially offset by higher servicing revenue.

  • Card fees increased driven by higher debit and credit card volumes.

  • Trust and investment services fees were flat in the three-month period and increased in the nine-month period driven by higher annuity and assets under management fees.

  • Foreign exchange and derivative products revenue increased reflecting growth in client hedging activity across foreign exchange, interest rate and commodity products.

  • Other income reflects higher bank-owned life insurance and leasing income in the three and nine-month periods. The overall decrease in other income in the nine-month period is driven by $31 million of mark-to-market losses on loans acquired from Investors classified as LHFS, partially offset by the aforementioned increases in income.

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Noninterest Expense

Table 4: Noninterest Expense
Three Months Ended September 30,Nine Months Ended September 30,
(dollars in millions)20222021ChangePercent20222021ChangePercent
Salaries and employee benefits$639$509$13026%$1,916$1,581$33521%
Equipment and software15915721478464143
Outside services172144281953042011026
Occupancy1067729383002475321
Other operating expense165124413342830812039
Noninterest expense$1,241$1,011$23023%$3,652$3,020$63221%

Noninterest expense increased $230 million, or 23%, and increased $632 million, or 21%, for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2022, respectively, compared to the same periods in 2021. The increases in three and nine month expense were driven primarily by acquisition and integration-related costs, higher salaries and employee benefits and other operating expense associated with FDIC insurance, travel and advertising costs, partially offset by the benefit of efficiency initiatives.

Provision for Credit Losses

The provision for credit losses is the result of a detailed analysis performed to estimate our ACL. The total provision for credit losses includes the provision for loan and lease losses and the provision for unfunded commitments. Refer to “—Analysis of Financial Condition — Allowance for Credit Losses and Nonaccrual Loans and Leases” for more information.

Credit provision expense of $123 million and $342 million for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2022, respectively, compared to a credit provision benefit of $33 million and $386 million for the same periods in 2021. The credit provision for the nine months ended September 30, 2022 includes the “double count” for the non-PCD loan CECL provision expense of $169 million tied to the HSBC transaction and Investors acquisition. The provision expense for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2022, reflects loan growth, the Investors acquisition and a deterioration in the macroeconomic environment, including an increased risk of recession, partly offset by an improvement in portfolio mix. The credit provision benefit in the three and nine months ended September 30, 2021 reflected the strong economic recovery driven by highly accommodative fiscal and monetary policies in place during that time.

Income Tax Expense

Income tax expense of $177 million and $407 million increased $26 million and decreased $97 million for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2022, respectively, compared to the same periods in 2021, driven by fluctuations in taxable income. The effective income tax rate of 21.8% and 22.3% for the same periods decreased from 22.4% and increased from 22.0%, respectively, compared to the same periods in 2021, primarily driven by discrete tax impacts from the HSBC transaction and Investors acquisition. Provision for income taxes is calculated by applying the estimated annual effective tax rate to year-to-date pre-tax income, adjusting for discrete items that occurred during the period.

Business Operating Segments

We have two business operating segments: Consumer Banking and Commercial Banking. Segment results are derived by specifically attributing managed assets, liabilities, capital and related revenues, provision for credit losses, which at the segment level is equal to net charge-offs, and other expenses to each business operating segment. The residual difference between the consolidated provision for credit losses and the business operating segments’ net charge-offs is reflected in Other.

Non-segment operations are classified as Other and include assets, liabilities, capital, revenues, provision for credit losses, expenses and income tax expense not attributed to our Consumer or Commercial Banking segments as well as treasury and community development. In addition, for impairment testing purposes, we allocate all goodwill to our Consumer Banking and Commercial Banking reporting units.

There have been no significant changes in our methodologies used to allocate items to our business operating segments as described in “—Results of Operations — Business Operating Segments” in our 2021 Form 10-K other than the change to our FTP methodology. See Note 18 for additional information.

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The following tables present certain financial data of our business operating segments. Total business operating segment financial results differ from total consolidated financial results. These differences are reflected in Other non-segment operations. See Note 18 for additional information.

Table 5: Selected Financial Data for Business Operating Segments
Consumer BankingCommercial Banking
Three Months Ended September 30,Three Months Ended September 30,
(in millions)2022202120222021
Net interest income$1,085$919$559$428
Noninterest income270315213168
Total revenue1,3551,234772596
Noninterest expense863749325226
Profit before credit losses492485447370
Net charge-offs62351215
Income before income tax expense430450435355
Income tax expense11111410181
Net income$319$336$334$274
Average Balances:
Total assets$89,560$75,070$80,067$56,702
Total loans and leases(1)83,37370,98475,76753,815
Deposits117,448100,96851,09545,465
Interest-earning assets84,12271,87976,02554,177
Consumer BankingCommercial Banking
Nine Months Ended September 30,Nine Months Ended September 30,
(in millions)2022202120222021
Net interest income$2,937$2,679$1,509$1,268
Noninterest income807949647516
Total revenue3,7443,6282,1561,784
Noninterest expense2,5282,250905679
Profit before credit losses1,2161,3781,2511,105
Net charge-offs15013934150
Income before income tax expense1,0661,2391,217955
Income tax expense273315271205
Net income$793$924$946$750
Average Balances:
Total assets$85,375$75,317$73,344$57,318
Total loans and leases(1)79,98870,85769,38154,459
Deposits113,57899,70849,08744,501
Interest-earning assets80,77071,77769,65154,828

(1) Includes LHFS.

Consumer Banking

Net interest income increased $166 million, or 18%, and increased $258 million, or 10%, for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2022, respectively, compared to the same periods in 2021, driven by higher net interest margin and growth in interest-earning assets, including the impacts of the HSBC transaction and Investors acquisition. This increase was partially offset by a reduction in PPP loans. Average loans increased $12.4 billion and increased $9.1 billion for the same periods, reflecting the impacts of the HSBC transaction and Investors acquisition, as well as strength in mortgage and home equity. This increase was partially offset by a decline in PPP loans and planned runoff in auto and personal unsecured installment loans. Average deposits increased $16.5 billion, or 16%, and increased $13.9 billion, or 14%, for the same periods, reflecting the impacts of the HSBC transaction and Investors acquisition.

Noninterest income decreased $45 million, or 14%, and decreased $142 million, or 15%, for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2022, respectively, compared to the same periods in 2021, driven by lower mortgage banking fees reflecting lower gain-on-sale margins and production volumes, partially offset by higher servicing revenue. This decrease was partially offset by higher card fees given higher transaction volumes.

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Noninterest expense increased $114 million, or 15%, and increased $278 million, or 12%, for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2022, respectively, compared to the same periods in 2021, driven primarily by acquisition and integration-related costs, higher salaries and employee benefits and other operating expenses associated with FDIC insurance, travel and advertising costs, partially offset by the benefit of efficiency initiatives.

Net charge-offs increased $27 million, or 77%, and increased $11 million, or 8%, for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2022, respectively, compared to the same periods in 2021, reflecting the normalization of the credit cycle.

Commercial Banking

Net interest income increased $131 million, or 31%, and increased $241 million, or 19%, for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2022, respectively, compared to the same periods in 2021, driven by higher net interest margin and growth in interest-earning assets, including the impact of the Investors acquisition.

Noninterest income increased $45 million, or 27%, and increased $131 million, or 25%, for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2022, respectively, compared to the same periods in 2021, driven by higher capital markets fees, reflecting the impact of acquisitions, partially offset by lower underwriting. Foreign exchange and derivative products revenue also increased, reflecting increased client interest rate, foreign exchange and commodity hedging activity.

Noninterest expense increased $99 million, or 44%, and increased $226 million, or 33%, for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2022, respectively, compared to the same periods in 2021, driven primarily by acquisition and integration-related costs, higher salaries and employee benefits and other operating expenses associated with FDIC insurance, travel and advertising costs, partially offset by the benefit of efficiency initiatives.

Net charge-offs decreased $3 million, or 20%, and decreased $116 million, or 77%, for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2022, respectively, compared to the same periods in 2021, as credit performance remained strong.

ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION

Securities

Table 6: Amortized Cost and Fair Value of AFS and HTM Securities
September 30, 2022December 31, 2021
(in millions)Amortized CostFair ValueAmortized CostFair Value
U.S. Treasury and other$3,557$3,350$11$11
State and political subdivisions3322
Mortgage-backed securities:
Federal agencies and U.S. government sponsored entities21,01918,68424,60724,442
Other/non-agency281249397405
Total mortgage-backed securities21,30018,93325,00424,847
Collateralized loan obligations1,2481,1921,2081,207
Total debt securities available for sale, at fair value$26,108$23,478$26,225$26,067
Mortgage-backed securities:
Federal agencies and U.S. government sponsored entities$9,457$8,804$1,505$1,557
Total mortgage-backed securities9,4578,8041,5051,557
Asset-backed securities614569737732
Total debt securities held to maturity$10,071$9,373$2,242$2,289
Total debt securities available for sale and held to maturity$36,179$32,851$28,467$28,356
Equity securities, at cost$1,113$1,113$624$624
Equity securities, at fair value151151109109

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Our securities portfolio is managed to maintain prudent levels of liquidity, credit quality, and market risk while achieving returns that align with our overall portfolio management strategy. The portfolio primarily includes high quality, highly liquid investments reflecting our ongoing commitment to maintain strong contingent liquidity levels and pledging capacity. As of September 30, 2022, U.S. government-guaranteed notes and GSE-issued mortgage-backed securities represent 94% of the fair value of our debt securities portfolio holdings. Holdings backed by mortgages dominate our portfolio and facilitate our ability to pledge those securities to the FHLB for collateral purposes. For further discussion of the liquidity coverage ratios, see “Regulation and Supervision — Liquidity Requirements” in our 2021 Form 10-K.

The fair value of the debt securities portfolio increased $4.5 billion from December 31, 2021, driven in large part by $3.8 billion from the Investors acquisition as well as net securities purchases. This increase was partially offset by the impact of higher interest rates driving a $3.2 billion increase in unrealized losses.

The amortized cost basis of the HTM portfolio increased $7.8 billion due to the transfer of $8.5 billion from the AFS portfolio during 2022, offset in part by paydowns. The ratio of HTM securities to total securities increased to approximately 30% as of September 30, 2022.

We manage our securities portfolio duration and convexity risk through asset selection and securities structure, and maintain duration levels within our risk appetite in the context of the broader interest rate risk framework and limits. As of September 30, 2022, the portfolio’s average effective duration was 5.9 years compared with 4.3 years as of December 31, 2021, as higher long-term rates drove a decrease in both actual and projected securities prepayment speeds.

Loans and Leases

Table 7: Composition of Loans and Leases, Excluding LHFS
(dollars in millions)September 30, 2022December 31, 2021ChangePercent
Commercial and industrial$50,989$44,500$6,48915%
Commercial real estate28,68114,26414,417101
Leases1,4441,586(142)(9)
Total commercial81,11460,35020,76434
Residential mortgages29,54822,8226,72629
Home equity13,68412,0151,66914
Automobile13,15514,549(1,394)(10)
Education13,09412,997971
Other retail5,5455,4301152
Total retail75,02667,8137,21311
Total loans and leases$156,140$128,163$27,97722%

Total loans and leases increased $28.0 billion from $128.2 billion as of December 31, 2021, primarily driven by the HSBC transaction and Investors acquisition, resulting in growth in commercial and retail of 34% and 11%, respectively.

Allowance for Credit Losses and Nonaccrual Loans and Leases

The ACL is a reserve to absorb estimated future credit losses in accordance with GAAP. For additional information regarding the ACL, see “—Critical Accounting Estimates — Allowance for Credit Losses” and Note 5 of this report, and “—Critical Accounting Estimates — Allowance for Credit Losses” and Note 6 in our 2021 Form 10-K.

The ACL of $2.2 billion at September 30, 2022 compared with the ACL of $1.9 billion as of December 31, 2021, reflecting a reserve increase of $262 million. For further information, see Note 5.

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Table 8: ACL and Related Coverage Ratios by Portfolio
September 30, 2022December 31, 2021
(dollars in millions)Loans and LeasesAllowanceCoverageLoans and LeasesAllowanceCoverage
Allowance for Loan and Lease Losses
Commercial and industrial$50,989$5821.14%$44,500$5551.25%
Commercial real estate28,6814211.4714,2642201.54
Leases1,444271.861,586462.92
Total commercial81,1141,0301.2760,3508211.36
Residential mortgages29,5481970.6722,8221440.63
Home equity13,684680.5012,015820.69
Automobile13,1551371.0414,5491541.05
Education13,0943072.3512,9973082.37
Other retail5,5452414.335,4302494.59
Total retail75,0269501.2767,8139371.38
Total loans and leases$156,140$1,9801.27%$128,163$1,7581.37%
Allowance for Unfunded Lending Commitments
Commercial(1)$1721.48%$1531.61%
Retail(2)441.33231.42
Total allowance for unfunded lending commitments216176
Allowance for credit losses$156,140$2,1961.41%$128,163$1,9341.51%

(1) Coverage ratio includes total commercial allowance for unfunded lending commitments and total commercial allowance for loan and lease losses in the numerator and total commercial loans and leases in the denominator.

(2) Coverage ratio includes total retail allowance for unfunded lending commitments and total retail allowance for loan losses in the numerator and total retail loans in the denominator.

Table 9: Nonaccrual Loans and Leases
(dollars in millions)September 30, 2022December 31, 2021ChangePercent
Commercial and industrial$234$171$6337%
Commercial real estate371126236
Leases—1(1)(100)
Total commercial2711838848
Residential mortgages(1)2362013517
Home equity235220157
Automobile5255(3)(5)
Education33231043
Other retail2520525
Total retail5815196212
Nonaccrual loans and leases$852$702$15021%
Nonaccrual loans and leases to total loans and leases0.55%0.55%—bp
Allowance for loan and lease losses to nonaccrual loans and leases232251(19%)
Allowance for credit losses to nonaccrual loans and leases258276(18%)

(1) Loans fully or partially guaranteed by the FHA, VA and USDA are classified as accruing.

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Table 10: Ratio of Net Charge-Offs to Average Loans and Leases
Three Months Ended September 30,
20222021
(dollars in millions)Net Charge-OffsAverage BalanceRatioNet Charge-OffsAverage BalanceRatio
Commercial and industrial$14$52,1300.11%$10$42,3300.09%
Commercial real estate128,3880.01514,6560.12
Leases—1,529(0.11)(1)1,695(0.22)
Total commercial1582,0470.071458,6810.09
Residential mortgages—29,3270.01—20,834—
Home equity(6)13,400(0.17)(12)11,829(0.42)
Automobile1113,5400.31213,1360.06
Education1313,0810.381312,7070.41
Other retail415,4843.02275,4541.99
Total retail5974,8320.323063,9600.19
Total loans and leases$74$156,8790.19%$44$122,6410.14%

Third quarter 2022 NCO ratio increased compared to the third quarter of 2021, driven by an increase in retail, but remained low relative to historical levels.

Table 11: Ratio of Net Charge-Offs to Average Loans and Leases
Nine Months Ended September 30,
20222021
(dollars in millions)Net Charge-OffsAverage BalanceRatioNet Charge-OffsAverage BalanceRatio
Commercial and industrial$35$49,2240.10%$115$43,6610.35%
Commercial real estate123,401—3114,6010.28
Leases—1,555(0.02)131,8001.01
Total commercial3674,1800.0715960,0620.35
Residential mortgages(1)27,113—(2)20,160(0.01)
Home equity(24)12,783(0.25)(29)11,884(0.33)
Automobile2314,0780.221112,6340.12
Education4013,0860.403312,5930.35
Other retail1085,4902.631085,6592.55
Total retail14672,5500.2712162,9300.26
Total loans and leases$182$146,7300.17%$280$122,9920.30%

First nine months 2022 NCO ratio was down 13 basis points from first nine months of 2021.

Retail NCO ratio increased for the three months ended September 30, 2022 compared to the same period in 2021, reflecting the normalization of the credit cycle; however, the NCO ratio remains below pre-pandemic levels. Retail NCO ratio for the nine months ended September 30, 2022 remained relatively flat compared to the same period in 2021. Commercial NCO ratio remained stable for the three months ended September 30, 2022 and decreased for the nine months ended September 30, 2022 compared to the same periods in 2021, as credit performance remained strong.

Commercial Loan Asset Quality

Our commercial portfolio consists of traditional commercial and industrial loans, commercial leases and commercial real estate loans. The portfolio is predominantly focused on customers in our footprint and adjacent states in which we have a physical presence where our local delivery model provides for strong client connectivity. Additionally, we also do business in certain specialized industry sectors on a national basis. As discussed in our 2021 Form 10-K, we utilize regulatory classification ratings to monitor credit quality for commercial loans and leases.

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Table 12: Commercial Loans and Leases by Regulatory Classification
September 30, 2022
Criticized
(in millions)PassSpecial MentionSubstandardDoubtfulTotal
Commercial and industrial$48,265$1,049$1,487$188$50,989
Commercial real estate26,8617141,0941228,681
Leases1,416226—1,444
Total commercial$76,542$1,785$2,587$200$81,114
December 31, 2021
Criticized
(in millions)PassSpecial MentionSubstandardDoubtfulTotal
Commercial and industrial$42,254$809$1,294$143$44,500
Commercial real estate13,3194065281114,264
Leases1,512492411,586
Total commercial$57,085$1,264$1,846$155$60,350

Total commercial criticized balances of $4.6 billion as of September 30, 2022 increased $1.3 billion compared with December 31, 2021. Commercial criticized as a percent of total commercial of 5.6% at September 30, 2022 increased from 5.4% at December 31, 2021.

Commercial and industrial criticized balances of $2.7 billion as of September 30, 2022, increased from $2.2 billion as of December 31, 2021, primarily driven by the Investors acquisition. Commercial and industrial criticized as a percent of total commercial and industrial was 5.3% at September 30, 2022 and 5.0% at December 31, 2021, reflecting the impacts of wage inflation on select non-profit sectors. Commercial and industrial criticized loans represented 60% of total criticized loans as of September 30, 2022, compared to 69% as of December 31, 2021.

Commercial real estate criticized balances of $1.8 billion increased from $945 million as of December 31, 2021, primarily driven by the Investors acquisition. It also reflected the effect of inflationary and interest rate pressure on commercial real estate generally, and return to office dynamics on commercial real estate office. Commercial real estate criticized as a percent of total commercial real estate declined to 6.3% at September 30, 2022 from 6.6% at December 31, 2021. Commercial real estate accounted for 40% of total criticized loans as of September 30, 2022, compared to 29% as of December 31, 2021.

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Table 13: Commercial Loans and Leases
September 30, 2022December 31, 2021
(dollars in millions)Balance% of Total Loans and LeasesBalance% of Total Loans and Leases
Finance and insurance$11,4777%$9,3017%
Other manufacturing4,68034,0873
Technology4,61034,2203
Accommodation and food services3,55023,4383
Health, pharma, and social assistance3,13222,9122
Professional, scientific, and technical services3,01322,6652
Wholesale trade2,96122,3582
Retail trade2,66122,2372
Other services2,36022,0512
Energy and related2,25812,0172
Real estate and rental and leasing1,5841739—
Consumer products manufacturing1,55711,1921
Administrative and waste management services1,53511,3961
Arts, entertainment, and recreation1,46211,1891
Automotive1,43011,1721
All other(1)2,55422,7392
Total commercial and industrial50,8243343,71334
Multi-family8,72262,2532
Office6,35645,2344
Retail3,36421,4331
Industrial3,30921,7531
Co-op1,8331——
All other(1)5,09733,5913
Total commercial real estate28,6811814,26411
Total leases1,44411,5861
Total commercial(2)$80,94952%$59,56346%

(1) Includes deferred fees and costs.

(2) Excludes PPP loans of $165 million and $787 million as of September 30, 2022 and December 31, 2021, respectively.

Retail Loan Asset Quality

For retail loans, we utilize credit scores provided by FICO and the loan’s payment and delinquency status to monitor credit quality. Management believes FICO credit scores are the strongest indicator of potential credit losses over the contractual life of the loan. These scores represent current and historical national industry-wide consumer level credit performance data, which management considers to predict a borrower’s future payment performance. The largest portion of the retail portfolio is represented by borrowers located in the New England, Mid-Atlantic and Midwest regions. However, we do lend selectively in areas outside the footprint, primarily in automobile finance and education lending.

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Table 14: Retail Loan Portfolio Analysis
September 30, 2022December 31, 2021
Days Past Due and AccruingDays Past Due and Accruing
Current30-5960-8990+NonaccrualCurrent30-5960-8990+Nonaccrual
Residential mortgages(1)97.40%0.22%0.14%1.44%0.80%96.03%0.45%0.23%2.41%0.88%
Home equity97.870.300.11—1.7297.750.320.10—1.83
Automobile98.311.000.29—0.4098.450.900.27—0.38
Education99.330.240.150.030.2599.450.260.100.010.18
Other retail98.040.700.490.320.4598.180.740.420.290.37
Total retail98.03%0.41%0.19%0.60%0.77%97.69%0.51%0.20%0.83%0.77%

(1) 90+ days past due and accruing includes $425 million and $544 million of loans fully or partially guaranteed by the FHA, VA, and USDA at September 30, 2022 and December 31, 2021, respectively.

For more information on the aging of accruing and nonaccrual retail loans, see Note 5.

Table 15: Retail Asset Quality Metrics
September 30, 2022December 31, 2021
Average refreshed FICO for total portfolio769768
CLTV ratio for secured real estate(1)51%56%
Nonaccrual retail loans as a percentage of total retail0.77%0.77%

(1) The real estate secured portfolio CLTV is calculated as the mortgage and second lien loan balance divided by the most recently available value of the property.

Troubled Debt Restructurings

In the first quarter of 2020, the CARES Act and interagency guidance exempted from TDR classification COVID-related modified retail and commercial loans that met certain eligibility criteria. While relief provisions under the CARES Act expired on December 31, 2021, we generally do not consider loans that were modified before January 1, 2022, that met eligibility criteria under the CARES Act to be TDRs.

For additional information regarding TDRs, see Note 6 in our 2021 Form 10-K.

Table 16: Accruing and Nonaccrual Troubled Debt Restructurings
September 30, 2022
As a % of Accruing TDRs
(dollars in millions)Accruing30-89 Days Past Due90+ Days Past DueNonaccrualTotal
Commercial and industrial$157—%—%$119$276
Commercial real estate1——910
Total commercial158——128286
Residential mortgages(1)5383.018.087625
Home equity1560.2—83239
Automobile70.2—1118
Education1000.50.321121
Other retail180.2—220
Total retail8194.018.32041,023
Total$9774.0%18.3%$332$1,309

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December 31, 2021
As a % of Accruing TDRs
(dollars in millions)Accruing30-89 Days Past Due90+ Days Past DueNonaccrualTotal
Commercial and industrial$196—%—%$74$270
Commercial real estate1——910
Total commercial197——83280
Residential mortgages(1)2952.912.042337
Home equity1830.6—74257
Automobile80.2—2230
Education1120.50.111123
Other retail200.2—222
Total retail6184.512.1151769
Total$8154.5%12.1%$234$1,049

(1) Includes $176 million and $98 million in 90+ days past due and accruing that are fully or partially guaranteed by the FHA, VA, and USDA at September 30, 2022 and December 31, 2021, respectively.

Deposits

Table 17: Composition of Deposits
(dollars in millions)September 30, 2022December 31, 2021ChangePercent
Demand$51,888$49,443$2,4455%
Money market49,08147,2161,8654
Checking with interest38,04030,4097,63125
Savings29,88222,0307,85236
Term9,6755,2634,41284
Total deposits$178,566$154,361$24,20516%

The increase in total deposits as of September 30, 2022 compared to December 31, 2021 is driven by $25.6 billion of period-end balances from the HSBC transaction and Investors acquisition.

Borrowed Funds

Total borrowed funds of $16.5 billion as of September 30, 2022 increased $9.5 billion from December 31, 2021, driven by an increase in FHLB borrowings from the advances acquired from Investors and the funding of loan and security growth. For more information regarding our borrowed funds, see “—Liquidity” and Note 9.

CAPITAL AND REGULATORY MATTERS

As a bank holding company and a financial holding company, we are subject to regulation and supervision by the FRB. Our banking subsidiary, CBNA, is a national banking association primarily regulated by the OCC. Our regulation and supervision continues to evolve as the legal and regulatory frameworks governing our operations continue to change. For more information, see “Regulation and Supervision” in our 2021 Form 10-K.

Capital Adequacy Process

Our assessment of capital adequacy begins with our Board-approved risk appetite and risk management framework. This framework provides for the identification, measurement and management of material risks. There have been no significant changes to our capital adequacy risk appetite and risk management framework as described in “—Capital and Regulatory Matters” in our 2021 Form 10-K.

Under the FRB’s Tailoring Rules, Category IV firms, such as us, are subject to biennial supervisory stress testing and are exempt from company-run stress testing and related disclosure requirements. The FRB supervises Category IV firms on an ongoing basis, including evaluation of the capital adequacy and capital planning processes during off-cycle years. Annually, the FRB requires us to submit a capital plan approved by our Board of Directors or one of its committees. Our annual capital plan is due each year in April. We submitted our 2022 Capital Plan to the FRB on April 4, 2022. For more information, see the “Tailoring of Prudential Requirements” section in Item 1 of our 2021 Form 10-K.

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Under the SCB framework, the FRB will not object to capital plans on quantitative grounds and each firm is required to maintain capital ratios above the sum of its minimum and SCB requirements to avoid restrictions on capital distributions and discretionary bonus payments.

For Category IV firms, like us, the SCB will be re-calibrated with each biennial supervisory stress test and updated annually to reflect our planned common stock dividends. Our SCB requirement through September 30, 2022 was 3.4%. On August 4, 2022, the FRB announced, based on the results of the 2022 CCAR supervisory stress tests, that our SCB effective October 1, 2022 through September 30, 2023, will remain at 3.4%. To incorporate the effects of the Investors acquisition on our capital requirements, the FRB will require that we participate in the 2023 CCAR supervisory stress test.

Regulations relating to capital planning, regulatory reporting, stress testing and capital buffer requirements applicable to firms like us are presently subject to rule-making and potential further guidance and interpretation by the applicable federal regulators. We will continue to evaluate the impact of these and any other prudential regulatory changes, including their potential resultant changes in our regulatory and compliance costs and expenses.

For more information, see the “Regulation and Supervision” and “—Capital and Regulatory Matters” sections in our 2021 Form 10-K.

Regulatory Capital Ratios and Capital Composition

Under the current U.S. Basel III capital framework, we and our banking subsidiary, CBNA, must meet the following specific minimum requirements: CET1 capital ratio of 4.5%, tier 1 capital ratio of 6.0%, total capital ratio of 8.0% and tier 1 leverage ratio of 4.0%. As a bank holding company our SCB of 3.4% is imposed on top of the three minimum risk-based capital ratios listed above and a CCB of 2.5% is imposed on top of the three minimum risk-based capital ratios listed above for our banking subsidiary.

Under the U.S. Basel III rules, the CET1 deduction threshold for MSRs, certain deferred tax assets and investments in the capital of unconsolidated financial institutions is 25%. As of September 30, 2022, we did not meet the threshold for these additional capital deductions. MSRs or certain deferred tax assets not deducted from CET1 capital are assigned a 250% risk weight and investments in the capital of unconsolidated financial institutions not deducted from CET1 capital are assigned an exposure category risk weight.

In reaction to the COVID disruption, the federal banking regulators adopted a final rule relative to the regulatory capital treatment of the ACL under CECL. This rule allows electing banking organizations to delay the estimated impact of CECL on regulatory capital for a two-year period ending December 31, 2021, followed by a three-year transition period ending December 31, 2024. The three-year transition period will phase-in the aggregate amount of capital benefit provided during the initial two-year delay. On December 31, 2021, the aggregate amount of capital benefit was $384 million. The reduction in the capital benefit in 2022 is $96 million, or 5 basis points.

For additional discussion of the U.S. Basel III capital framework and its related application, see “Regulation and Supervision” in our 2021 Form 10-K. The table below presents our actual regulatory capital ratios under the U.S. Basel III Standardized rules:

Table 18: Regulatory Capital Ratios Under the U.S. Basel III Standardized Rules
September 30, 2022December 31, 2021Required Minimum Capital Ratios**(1)**
(in millions, except ratio data)AmountRatioAmountRatio
CET1 capital$18,3049.8%$15,6569.9%7.9%
Tier 1 capital20,31810.917,67011.19.4
Total capital23,51612.620,24412.711.4
Tier 1 leverage20,3189.217,6709.74.0
Risk-weighted assets187,201158,831
Quarterly adjusted average assets220,076181,800

(1) Represents minimum requirement under the current capital framework plus the SCB of 3.4%. The SCB is not applicable to the Tier 1 leverage ratio.

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At September 30, 2022, our CET1 capital, tier 1 capital and total capital ratios were 9.8%, 10.9% and 12.6%, respectively, as compared with 9.9%, 11.1% and 12.7%, respectively, as of December 31, 2021. The CET1 and tier 1 capital ratios decreased largely driven by $28.4 billion of RWA growth, higher estimated goodwill and intangibles related to the HSBC transaction and Investors acquisition, dividends as described in “—Capital Transactions” below and a decrease in the modified CECL transition amount as a result of entering the CECL three-year transition period, partially offset by the common stock issued in connection with the Investors acquisition and net income for the nine months ended September 30, 2022. The total capital ratio decreased due to the changes in the CET1 capital ratio described above, partially offset by the net increase in subordinated debt largely due to transactions described in “—Capital Transactions” below, reduced by maturing subordinated debt and higher AACL related to the Investors acquisition and a reduction in the modified AACL transition amount as a result of entering the CECL three-year transition period. At September 30, 2022, our CET1 capital, tier 1 capital and total capital ratios were approximately 190 basis points, 150 basis points and 120 basis points, respectively, above their required minimums.

Both the Company and CBNA are subject to the standardized approach for determining RWA. At September 30, 2022, RWA totaled $187.2 billion, up $28.4 billion from December 31, 2021, largely driven by the Investors acquisition and includes higher CRE, commercial and residential mortgage loans, home equity lines, CRE commitments, commercial commitments and MSRs, partially offset by lower automobile loans and loans held for sale.

As of September 30, 2022, the tier 1 leverage ratio was 9.2%, down from 9.7% at December 31, 2021, driven by an increase in quarterly adjusted average assets of $38.3 billion, partially offset by higher tier 1 capital.

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Table 19: Capital Composition Under the U.S. Basel III Capital Framework
(in millions)September 30, 2022December 31, 2021
Total common stockholders' equity$21,132$21,406
Exclusions:
Modified CECL transitional amount288384
Net unrealized (gains)/losses recorded in accumulated other comprehensive income (loss), net of tax:
Debt and equity securities2,919156
Derivatives1,566160
Unamortized net periodic benefit costs338349
Deductions:
Goodwill, net of deferred tax liability(7,766)(6,733)
Other intangible assets, net of deferred tax liability(171)(66)
Deferred tax assets that arise from tax loss and credit carryforwards(2)—
Total common equity tier 118,30415,656
Qualifying preferred stock2,0142,014
Total tier 1 capital20,31817,670
Qualifying subordinated debt(1)1,4961,138
Allowance for credit losses2,1961,934
Exclusions from tier 2 capital:
Modified AACL transitional amount(374)(498)
Allowance on PCD assets(120)—
Adjusted allowance for credit losses1,7021,436
Total capital$23,516$20,244

(1) As of September 30, 2022 and December 31, 2021, the amount of non-qualifying subordinated debt excluded from regulatory capital was $297 million and $420 million, respectively. See Note 9 for more details on our outstanding subordinated debt.

Capital Transactions

We completed the following capital actions during the nine months ended September 30, 2022:

  • Issued $400 million of 5.641% fixed-rate reset subordinated notes in the second quarter;

  • Declared and paid quarterly common stock dividends of $0.39 per share in the first and second quarter and $0.42 in the third quarter, aggregating to $569 million; and

  • Declared and paid preferred stock dividends aggregating to $81 million and $90 million, respectively.

For additional detail regarding our common and preferred stock dividends see Note 12.

On June 27, 2022, we announced that our Board of Directors increased the authorization of common share repurchases to $1.0 billion, which was an increase of $545 million above the $455 million of capacity remaining under the prior $750 million January 2021 authorization. On July 19, 2022, we announced that our Board of Directors declared a three-cent increase in our quarterly common stock dividend to $0.42 per share for the third quarter of 2022. All future capital distributions are subject to consideration and approval by our Board of Directors prior to execution. The timing and amount of future dividends and share repurchases will depend on various factors, including our capital position, financial performance, risk-weighted assets, capital impacts of strategic initiatives, market conditions, receipt of required regulatory approvals and other regulatory and accounting considerations.

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Banking Subsidiary’s Capital

Table 20: CBNA's Capital Ratios Under the U.S. Basel III Standardized Rules
September 30, 2022December 31, 2021
(in millions, except ratio data)AmountRatioAmountRatio
CET1 capital$20,45811.0%$17,03910.7%
Tier 1 capital20,45811.017,03910.7
Total capital23,28512.519,60012.4
Tier 1 leverage20,4589.317,0399.4
Risk-weighted assets186,706158,550
Quarterly adjusted average assets219,454181,268

CBNA’s CET1 and tier 1 capital totaled $20.5 billion at September 30, 2022, up $3.4 billion from $17.0 billion at December 31, 2021. This increase was related to the common stock issued in connection with the Investors acquisition and net income for the nine months ended September 30, 2022, partially offset by higher estimated goodwill and intangibles related to the HSBC transaction and Investors acquisition and a decrease in the modified CECL transition amount as a result of entering the CECL three-year transition period. Total capital was $23.3 billion at September 30, 2022, an increase of $3.7 billion from $19.6 billion at December 31, 2021, driven by the changes in CET1 capital, higher AACL related to the Investors acquisition and a reduction in the modified AACL transition amount as a result of entering the CECL three-year transition period.

CBNA’s RWA totaled $186.7 billion at September 30, 2022, up $28.2 billion from December 31, 2021, largely driven by the Investors acquisition and includes higher CRE, commercial and residential mortgage loans, home equity lines, CRE commitments, commercial commitments and MSRs, partially offset by lower automobile loans and loans held for sale.

As of September 30, 2022, CBNA’s tier 1 leverage ratio was 9.3%, down from 9.4% at December 31, 2021, driven by an increase in quarterly adjusted average assets of $38.2 billion, partially offset by higher tier 1 capital.

LIQUIDITY

Liquidity is defined as our ability to meet our cash-flow and collateral obligations in a timely manner, at a reasonable cost. An institution must maintain operating liquidity to meet its expected daily and forecasted cash-flow requirements, as well as contingent liquidity to meet unexpected (stress scenario) funding requirements. Reflecting the importance of meeting all unexpected and stress-scenario funding requirements, we identify and manage contingent liquidity, consisting of cash balances at the FRB, unencumbered high-quality liquid securities and unused FHLB borrowing capacity. Separately, we also identify and manage asset liquidity as a subset of contingent liquidity, consisting of cash balances at the FRB and unencumbered high-quality liquid securities. We consider the effective and prudent management of liquidity fundamental to our health and strength. We manage liquidity at the consolidated enterprise level and at each material legal entity, including at the Parent Company and CBNA level.

Parent Company Liquidity

Our Parent Company’s primary sources of cash are dividends and interest received from CBNA as a result of investing in bank equity and subordinated debt as well as externally issued preferred stock, senior debt and subordinated debt. Uses of cash include the routine cash flow requirements as a bank holding company, including periodic share repurchases and payments of dividends, interest and expenses; the needs of subsidiaries, including CBNA for additional equity and, as required, its need for debt financing; and the support for extraordinary funding requirements when necessary. To the extent the Parent Company has relied on wholesale borrowings, uses also include payments of related principal and interest.

During the nine months ended September 30, 2022, the Parent Company completed the following transaction:

  • Issued $400 million of 5.641% fixed-rate reset subordinated notes.

During the three months ended September 30, 2022 and 2021, the Parent Company declared dividends on common stock of $209 million and $167 million, respectively, and declared dividends on preferred stock of $25 million and $26 million, respectively.

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During the nine months ended September 30, 2022 and 2021, the Parent Company declared dividends on common stock of $569 million and $502 million, respectively, and declared dividends on preferred stock of $81 million.

During the nine months ended September 30, 2022 and 2021, the Parent Company repurchased $2 million and $95 million, respectively, of its outstanding common stock.

Our Parent Company’s cash and cash equivalents represent a source of liquidity that can be used to meet various needs and totaled $1.6 billion and $2.3 billion as of September 30, 2022 and December 31, 2021, respectively. The Parent Company’s double-leverage ratio (the combined equity investment in Parent Company subsidiaries divided by Parent Company equity) is a measure of reliance on equity cash flows from subsidiaries to fund Parent Company obligations. The Parent Company’s double-leverage ratio was 101.5% and 98.5% as of September 30, 2022 and December 31, 2021, respectively.

CBNA Liquidity

As CBNA’s primary business involves taking deposits and making loans, a key role of liquidity management is to ensure that customers have timely access to funds from deposits and for loans. Liquidity management also involves maintaining sufficient liquidity to repay wholesale borrowings, pay operating expenses and support extraordinary funding requirements when necessary. In the ordinary course of business, the liquidity of CBNA is managed by matching sources and uses of cash. The primary sources of bank liquidity include deposits from our consumer and commercial customers; payments of principal and interest on loans and debt securities; and wholesale borrowings, as needed, and as described under “—Liquidity Risk Management and Governance.” The primary uses of bank liquidity include withdrawals and maturities of deposits; payment of interest on deposits; funding of loans and related commitments; and funding of securities purchases. To the extent that CBNA has relied on wholesale borrowings, uses also include payments of related principal and interest. For further information on CBNA’s outstanding debt, see Note 9.

During the nine months ended September 30, 2022, CBNA completed the following transactions:

  • Issued $650 million of 4.119% fixed-to-floating rate senior notes;

  • Redeemed $1.0 billion and $750 million of senior notes due February and May 2022, respectively; and

  • Issued $800 million of 4.575% fixed-to-floating rate senior notes.

CBNA issued $600 million of 6.064% fixed-to-floating rate senior notes during October 2022.

Liquidity Risk

We define liquidity risk as the risk that an entity will be unable to meet its payment obligations in a timely manner, at a reasonable cost. Liquidity risk can arise due to contingent liquidity risk and/or funding liquidity risk.

Contingent liquidity risk is the risk that market conditions may reduce an entity’s ability to liquidate, pledge and/or finance certain assets and thereby substantially reduce the liquidity value of such assets. Drivers of contingent liquidity risk include general market disruptions as well as specific issues regarding the credit quality and/or valuation of a security or loan, issuer or borrower and/or asset class.

Funding liquidity risk is the risk that market conditions and/or entity-specific events may reduce an entity’s ability to raise funds from depositors and/or wholesale market counterparties. Drivers of funding liquidity risk may be idiosyncratic or systemic, reflecting impediments to operations and/or damaged market confidence.

Factors Affecting Liquidity

Given the composition of assets and borrowing sources, contingent liquidity risk at CBNA would be materially affected by events such as deterioration of financing markets for high-quality securities (e.g., mortgage-backed securities and other instruments issued by the GNMA, FNMA and the FHLMC), by any inability of the FHLBs to provide collateralized advances and/or by a refusal of the FRB to act as a lender of last resort in systemic stress.

Similarly, given the structure of its balance sheet, the funding liquidity risk of CBNA would be materially affected by an adverse idiosyncratic event (e.g., a major loss, causing a perceived or actual deterioration in its

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financial condition), an adverse systemic event (e.g., default or bankruptcy of a significant capital markets participant), or a combination of both. Consequently, and despite ongoing exposure to a variety of idiosyncratic and systemic events, we view our contingent liquidity risk and our funding liquidity risk to be relatively low.

An additional variable affecting our access to unsecured wholesale market funds and to large denomination (i.e., uninsured) customer deposits is the credit ratings assigned by such agencies as Moody’s, Standard and Poor’s, and Fitch.

Table 21: Credit Ratings
September 30, 2022
Moody’sStandard and Poor’sFitch
Citizens Financial Group, Inc.:
Long-term issuerNRBBB+BBB+
Short-term issuerNRA-2F1
Subordinated debtNRBBBBBB
Preferred StockNRBB+BB
Citizens Bank, National Association:
Long-term issuerBaa1A-BBB+
Short-term issuerNRA-2F1
Long-term depositsA1NRA-
Short-term depositsP-1NRF1
NR = Not rated

Changes in our public credit ratings could affect both the cost and availability of our wholesale funding. As a result, and in order to maintain a conservative funding profile, CBNA continues to minimize reliance on unsecured wholesale funding. At September 30, 2022, our wholesale funding consisted primarily of term debt issued by the Parent Company and CBNA and collateralized advances from the FHLB.

Existing and evolving regulatory liquidity requirements represent another key driver of systemic liquidity conditions and liquidity management practices. The FRB, OCC, and FDIC regularly evaluate our liquidity as part of the overall supervisory process. In addition, we are subject to existing and evolving regulatory liquidity requirements, some of which are subject to further rulemaking, guidance and interpretation by the applicable federal regulators. For further discussion, see “Regulation and Supervision — Tailoring of Prudential Requirements” and “—Liquidity Requirements” in our 2021 Form 10-K.

Liquidity Risk Management and Governance

Liquidity risk is measured and managed by the Funding and Liquidity unit within our Treasury group in accordance with policy guidelines promulgated by our Board and the Asset Liability Committee. In managing liquidity risk, the Funding and Liquidity unit delivers regular and comprehensive reporting, including current levels versus threshold limits for a broad set of liquidity metrics and early warning indicators, explanatory commentary relating to emerging risk trends and, as appropriate, recommended remedial strategies.

Our Funding and Liquidity unit’s primary goals are to deliver and maintain prudent levels of operating liquidity to support expected and projected funding requirements, contingent liquidity to support unexpected funding requirements resulting from idiosyncratic, systemic, and combination stress events, and regulatory liquidity requirements in a timely manner from stable and cost-efficient funding sources. We seek to accomplish these goals by funding loans with stable deposits; by prudently controlling dependence on wholesale funding, particularly short-term unsecured funding; and by maintaining ample available liquidity, including a contingent liquidity buffer of unencumbered high-quality loans and securities. As of September 30, 2022:

  • Organically generated deposits continue to be our primary source of funding, resulting in a consolidated period end loan-to-deposits ratio, excluding LHFS, of 87.4%;

  • Our total available liquidity, comprised of contingent liquidity and available discount window capacity, was approximately $69.5 billion;

◦Contingent liquidity was $44.0 billion, consisting of unencumbered high-quality liquid securities of $27.4 billion, unused FHLB capacity of $9.7 billion, and our cash balances at the FRB of $6.9 billion; and

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◦Available discount window capacity, defined as available total borrowing capacity from the FRB based on identified collateral, is secured primarily by non-mortgage commercial and retail loans and totaled $25.5 billion. Use of this borrowing capacity would be considered only during exigent circumstances.

For a summary of our sources and uses of cash by type of activity for the nine months ended September 30, 2022 and 2021, see the Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows.

The Funding and Liquidity unit monitors a variety of liquidity and funding metrics and early warning indicators and metrics, including specific risk thresholds limits. These monitoring tools are broadly classified as follows:

  • Current liquidity sources and capacities, including cash balances at the FRB, free and liquid securities, and secured FHLB borrowing capacity;

  • Liquidity stress sources, including idiosyncratic, systemic and combined stresses, in addition to evolving regulatory requirements; and

  • Current and prospective exposures, including secured and unsecured wholesale funding, and spot and cumulative cash-flow gaps across a variety of horizons.

Further, certain of these metrics are monitored individually for CBNA and for our consolidated enterprise on a daily basis, including cash position, unencumbered securities, asset liquidity and available FHLB borrowing capacity. In order to identify emerging trends and risks and inform funding decisions, specific metrics are also forecasted over a one-year horizon.

Off-Balance Sheet Arrangements

We engage in a variety of activities that are not reflected in our Consolidated Balance Sheets that are generally referred to as “off-balance sheet arrangements.” For more information on these types of activities, see Note 13 in Item 1.

CRITICAL ACCOUNTING ESTIMATES

Our unaudited interim Consolidated Financial Statements included in this Report are prepared in accordance with GAAP. The preparation of financial statements in conformity with GAAP requires us to establish accounting policies and make estimates that affect amounts reported in our audited Consolidated Financial Statements.

An accounting estimate requires assumptions and judgments about uncertain matters that could have a material effect on our unaudited interim Consolidated Financial Statements. Estimates are made using facts and circumstances known at a point in time. Changes in those facts and circumstances could produce results substantially different from those estimates. Our most significant accounting policies and estimates and their related application are discussed below. For additional information regarding fair value measurements, see “—Critical Accounting Estimates” in our 2021 Form 10-K.

Allowance for Credit Losses

The ACL increased from $1.9 billion at December 31, 2021 to $2.2 billion at September 30, 2022.

Our ACL as of September 30, 2022 accounts for an economic forecast with 2022 real GDP growth of approximately 1.5% and an average unemployment rate of approximately 4%, and 2023 real GDP decline of approximately 0.5% and an average unemployment rate of approximately 6%. This forecast incorporates the increased risk of a shallow recession beginning in the fourth quarter of 2022 and persisting for three consecutive quarters. This compares to our December 31, 2021 forecast which reflected 2022 real GDP growth of 2.8% and an average unemployment rate of 6%, and 2023 real GDP growth of 2.1% and average unemployment rate of 4.3%.

To address economic uncertainty, we utilize our qualitative allowance framework to reassess and adjust ACL reserve levels. Macroeconomic forecast risk, driven by uncertainty and volatility of key macroeconomic variables, is one of the primary factors influencing our qualitative reserve.

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Our September 2022 qualitative consideration for macroeconomic risk reflects the Federal Reserve’s aggressively tightening monetary policy and the contraction of fiscal policy. These conditions, weighed together with the impacts of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine on key global commodity prices, labor shortage-related wage increases and continuing supply-chain challenges contributing to surging inflation, may push the U.S. economy into a shallow recession and create volatility in key macroeconomic variables, including GDP and employment.

Our determination of the ACL is sensitive to changes in forecasted macroeconomic conditions during the reasonable and supportable forecast period. To illustrate the sensitivity, we applied a more pessimistic scenario than that described above which assumes that monetary tightening triggers a deeper real GDP contraction across three consecutive quarters, resulting in a 1.3% percent drop in real GDP over 2023. Excluding consideration of qualitative adjustments, this scenario would result in a quantitative lifetime loss estimate of approximately 1.2x our modeled period-end ACL, or an increase of approximately $310 million. This analysis relates only to the modeled credit loss estimate and not to the overall period-end ACL, which includes qualitative adjustments.

Because several quantitative and qualitative factors are considered in determining the ACL, this sensitivity analysis does not necessarily reflect the nature and extent of future changes in the ACL or even what the ACL would be under these economic circumstances. The sensitivity is intended to provide insights into the impact of adverse changes in the macroeconomic environment and the corresponding impact to modeled loss estimates. The hypothetical determination does not incorporate the impact of management judgment or other qualitative factors that could be applied in the actual estimation of the ACL and does not imply any expectation of future deterioration in our loss rates.

It remains difficult to estimate how changes in economic forecasts might affect our ACL because such forecasts consider a wide variety of variables and inputs, and changes in the variables and inputs may not occur at the same time or in the same direction, and such changes may have differing impacts by product type. The variables and inputs may be idiosyncratically affected by risks to the economy, including changing monetary and fiscal policies and their impact on inflationary trends, as well as continuing supply-chain challenges. Changes in one or multiple of the key macroeconomic variables may have a material impact to our estimation of expected credit losses.

For additional information regarding the ACL, see Note 5 of this report, and “—Critical Accounting Estimates - Allowance for Credit Losses” and Note 6 in our 2021 Form 10-K.

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ACCOUNTING AND REPORTING DEVELOPMENTS

Accounting standards issued but not adopted as of September 30, 2022

PronouncementSummary of GuidanceEffects on Financial Statements
Troubled Debt Restructurings and Vintage Disclosures Issued March 2022•Eliminates the separate recognition and measurement guidance for TDRs. •Requires evaluation of all modifications to borrowers experiencing financial difficulty to determine whether the modification results in a new loan or continuation of an existing loan. •Requires expected credit losses measured under a discounted cash flow method to be determined using an effective interest rate based on the modified (not original) contractual terms of the loan. •Enhances disclosures by creditors for modifications of receivables from borrowers experiencing financial difficulty in the form of principal forgiveness, an interest rate reduction, an other-than-insignificant payment delay or a term extension. •Requires disclosure of current period gross charge-offs by vintage year for loans and net investments in leases. •Transition is prospective, with an option to adopt the recognition and measurement guidance for TDRs on a modified retrospective basis, resulting in a cumulative-effect adjustment to retained earnings in the period of adoption.•Required effective date: January 1, 2023, with early adoption permitted. We do not intend to early adopt this Pronouncement. •Adoption is not expected to have a material financial impact on our Consolidated Financial Statements, but is expected to have a meaningful impact on our required disclosures in the Notes to our Consolidated Financial Statements.
Derivatives and Hedging - Fair Value Hedging - Portfolio Layer Method Issued March 2022•Replaces the ‘last-of-layer’ method. •Allows the designation of multiple layers in a closed portfolio of financial assets. •Permits hedging of non-prepayable as well as prepayable assets. •Prohibits the consideration of basis adjustments when measuring expected credit losses of assets in the closed portfolio or determining whether an AFS security is impaired. •The guidance on hedging multiple layers in a closed portfolio is applied prospectively. The guidance on the accounting for fair value basis adjustments is applied on a modified retrospective basis.•Required effective date: January 1, 2023, with early adoption permitted. We do not intend to early adopt this Pronouncement. •Adoption is not expected to have a material impact on our Consolidated Financial Statements.

RISK GOVERNANCE

We are committed to maintaining a strong, integrated, and proactive approach to the management of all risks to which we are exposed in pursuit of our business objectives. A key aspect of our Board’s responsibility as the main decision making body is setting our risk appetite to ensure that the levels of risk that we are willing to accept in the attainment of our strategic business and financial objectives are clearly understood.

To enable our Board to carry out its objectives, it has delegated authority for risk management activities, as well as governance and oversight of those activities, to a number of Board and executive management level risk committees. The Executive Risk Committee, chaired by the Chief Risk Officer, is responsible for oversight of risk across the enterprise and actively considers our inherent material risks, analyzes our overall risk profile and seeks confirmation that the risks are being appropriately identified, assessed and mitigated. Reporting to the Executive Risk Committee are the following committees covering specific areas of risk: Compliance and Operational Risk Committee, Model Risk Committee, Credit Policy Committee, Asset Liability Committee, Business Initiatives Review Committee, and the Conduct and Ethics Committee.

There have been no significant changes in our risk governance practices, risk framework, risk appetite, or credit risk as described in “—Risk Governance” in our 2021 Form 10-K.

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MARKET RISK

Market risk refers to potential losses arising from changes in interest rates, foreign exchange rates, equity prices, commodity prices and/or other relevant market rates or prices. Modest market risk arises from trading activities that serve customer needs, including hedging of interest rate and foreign exchange risk. As described below, more material market risk arises from our non-trading banking activities, such as loan origination and deposit-gathering. We have established enterprise-wide policies and methodologies to identify, measure, monitor and report market risk. We actively manage market risk for both non-trading and trading activities.

Non-Trading Risk

We are exposed to market risk as a result of non-trading banking activities. This market risk is substantially composed of interest rate risk, as we have no commodity risk and de minimis direct currency and equity risk. We also have market risk related to capital markets loan originations, as well as the valuation of our MSRs. There have been no significant changes in our sources of interest rate risk, interest rate risk practices, risk framework, metrics or assumptions as described in “—Market Risk — Non-Trading Risk” in our 2021 Form 10-K.

The table below reports net interest income exposures against a variety of interest rate scenarios. Our policies involve measuring exposures as a percentage change in net interest income over the next year due to either instantaneous or gradual parallel changes in rates relative to the market implied forward yield curve. As the following table illustrates, our balance sheet is asset-sensitive; net interest income would benefit from an increase in interest rates, while exposure to a decline in interest rates is within limit. While an instantaneous and severe shift in interest rates is included in this analysis, we believe that any actual shift in interest rates would likely be more gradual and therefore have a more modest impact.

The table below presents the sensitivity of net interest income to various parallel yield curve shifts from the market implied forward yield curve:

Table 22: Sensitivity of Net Interest Income
Estimated % Change in Net Interest Income over 12 Months
Basis pointsSeptember 30, 2022December 31, 2021
Instantaneous Change in Interest Rates
+2005.0%19.4%
+1002.310.2
-100(2.7)(8.5)
Gradual Change in Interest Rates
+2003.3%10.1%
+1001.75.2
-100(1.7)(6.0)

We continue to manage asset sensitivity within the scope of our policy, changing market conditions and changes in our balance sheet. Asset sensitivity against a 200 basis point gradual increase in rates was 3.3% at September 30, 2022, compared to 10.1% at December 31, 2021. The change reflects rising base net interest income, including the impact of the Investors acquisition, and our ongoing hedge activity, which locks in higher forward rates and reduces our exposure to evolving downside risks. This reduction in asset sensitivity is partially offset by growth and a mix shift towards a higher proportion of floating rate consumer and commercial lending. Current levels of asset sensitivity will continue to provide upside benefits to net interest income as we progress through a period of expected higher short-term policy rates from the FRB. Changes in interest rates can also affect the risk positions, which impact the repricing sensitivity or beta of the deposit base as well as the cash flows on assets that allow for early payoff without a penalty. The risk position is managed within our risk limits, and long-term view of interest rates through occasional adjustments to securities investments, interest rate swaps and mix of funding.

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We use a valuation measure of exposure to structural interest rate risk, EVE, as a supplement to net interest income simulations. EVE complements net interest income simulation analysis as it estimates risk exposure over a long-term horizon. EVE measures the extent to which the economic value of assets, liabilities and off-balance sheet instruments may change in response to fluctuations in interest rates. This analysis is highly dependent upon assumptions applied to assets and liabilities with non-contractual maturities. The change in value is expressed as a percentage of regulatory capital.

We use interest rate contracts to manage the interest rate exposure to variability in the interest cash flows on our floating-rate assets and floating-rate wholesale funding, and to hedge market risk on fixed-rate capital markets debt issuances.

Table 23: Interest Rate Derivative Contracts Used to Manage Non-Trading Interest Rate Exposure
September 30, 2022December 31, 2021
Weighted AverageWeighted Average
(dollars in millions)Notional AmountMaturity (Years)Receive RatePay RateNotional AmountMaturity (Years)Receive RatePay Rate
Swaps
Cash flow - receive fixed/pay variable - conventional ALM(1)(2)$29,7503.92.1%3.5%$16,2503.71.0%0.1%
Cash flow - basis swaps - conventional ALM(1)5,5003.3SOFR Overnight1M Term SOFR————
Fair value - receive fixed/pay variable - conventional ALM1,0001.82.73.32,2001.32.50.2
Cash flow - pay fixed/receive variable - conventional ALM(1)————3,0002.50.11.7
Fair value - pay fixed/receive variable - conventional ALM(1)(3)4372.73.02.82,0002.70.11.5
Total swaps36,68723,450
Options
Interest rate collars(4)(5)1,5003.12.63.9————

(1) We use interest rate contracts as part of our Asset Liability Management (“ALM”) strategy to manage exposure to the variability in the interest cash flows on our floating-rate commercial loans and wholesale funding, as well as the variability in the fair value of AFS securities and loans held for sale.

(2) As of September 30, 2022, includes $11.0 billion of forward-starting cash flow swaps executed at a weighted average rate of 2.9% with start dates ranging from the fourth quarter of 2022 to the third quarter of 2024.

(3) As of September 30, 2022, includes $437 million of forward-starting fair value swaps that will become effective in the fourth quarter of 2022.

(4) Represents forward-starting interest rate collars with effective dates ranging from the fourth quarter of 2023 to the second quarter of 2024.

(5) Receive and pay rate represent the minimum interest rate received for interest rate floors and the maximum interest rate paid for interest rate caps, respectively.

Table 24: Pre-Tax Gains (Losses) Recorded in the Consolidated Statements of Operations and the Consolidated Statements of Comprehensive Income on Cash Flow Hedges
Three Months Ended September 30,Nine Months Ended September 30,
(in millions)2022202120222021
Amount of pre-tax net gains (losses) recognized in OCI(1)($996)($15)($1,901)$19
Amount of pre-tax net gains (losses) reclassified from OCI into interest income(48)461141
Amount of pre-tax net gains (losses) reclassified from OCI into interest expense2(13)(4)(37)

(1) Using the interest rate curve at September 30, 2022 with respect to cash flow hedge strategies, we estimate that approximately $624 million in pre-tax net losses will be reclassified from AOCI to net interest income over the next 12 months.

LIBOR Transition

For details regarding our LIBOR Transition Program and associated efforts to plan for the discontinuation of LIBOR, see “—Market Risk — LIBOR Transition” in our 2021 Form 10-K. There were no significant changes relative to the program during the nine months ended September 30, 2022.

Capital Markets

A key component of our capital markets activities is the underwriting and distribution of corporate credit facilities to finance merger and acquisition transactions for our clients. We have a rigorous risk management process around these activities, including a limit structure capping our underwriting risk, our potential loss, and sub-limits for specific asset classes. Further, the ability to approve underwriting exposure is delegated only to senior level individuals in the credit risk management and capital markets organizations, with each transaction adjudicated in the Loan Underwriting Approval Committee.

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Mortgage Servicing Rights

We have market risk associated with the value of residential MSRs, which are impacted by various types of inherent risks, including duration, basis, convexity, volatility and yield curve.

As part of our overall risk management strategy relative to the fair market value of the MSRs, we enter into various free-standing derivatives, such as interest rate swaps, interest rate swaptions, interest rate futures and forward contracts to purchase mortgage-backed securities to economically hedge the changes in fair value. As of September 30, 2022 and December 31, 2021, the fair value of our MSRs was $1.5 billion and $1.0 billion, respectively, and the total notional amount of related derivative contracts was $10.9 billion and $11.8 billion, respectively. Gains and losses on MSRs and the related derivatives used for hedging are included in mortgage banking fees in the Consolidated Statements of Operations.

As with our traded market risk-based activities, earnings at risk excludes the impact of MSRs. MSRs are captured under our single price risk management framework that is used for calculating a management value at risk that is consistent with the definition used by banking regulators.

Trading Risk

We are exposed to market risk primarily through client facilitation activities including derivatives and foreign exchange products as well as underwriting and market making activities. Exposure is created as a result of changes in interest rates and related basis spreads and volatility, foreign exchange rates, equity prices, and credit spreads on a select range of interest rates, foreign exchange, commodities, equity securities, corporate bonds and secondary loan instruments. These securities underwriting and trading activities are conducted through CBNA, CCMI and JMP. There have been no significant changes in our market risk governance, market risk measurement, or market risk practices including VaR, stressed VaR, sensitivity analysis, stress testing, or VaR model review and validation as described in “—Market Risk — Trading Risk” in our 2021 Form 10-K.

Market Risk Regulatory Capital

The U.S. banking regulators’ “Market Risk Rule” covers the calculation of market risk capital. For the purposes of the Market Risk Rule, all of our client facing trades and associated hedges maintain a net low risk and qualify as “covered positions.” The internal management VaR measure is calculated based on the same population of trades that is utilized for regulatory VaR.

Table 25: Results of Modeled and Non-Modeled Measures for Regulatory Capital Calculations
(in millions)For the Three Months Ended September 30, 2022For the Three Months Ended September 30, 2021
Market Risk CategoryPeriod EndAverageHighLowPeriod EndAverageHighLow
Interest Rate$2$1$2$1$1$1$3$—
Foreign Exchange Currency Rate————1111
Credit Spread223269144
Commodity————————
General VaR3342610144
Specific Risk VaR————————
Total VaR$3$3$4$2$6$10$17$4
Stressed General VaR$11$13$16$9$8$11$16$5
Stressed Specific Risk VaR————————
Total Stressed VaR$11$13$16$9$8$11$16$5
Market Risk Regulatory Capital$48$62
Specific Risk Not Modeled Add-on2316
de Minimis Exposure Add-on2—
Total Market Risk Regulatory Capital$73$78
Market Risk-Weighted Assets$909$973

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VaR Backtesting

Backtesting is one form of validation of the VaR model and is run daily. The Market Risk Rule requires a comparison of our internal VaR measure to the actual net trading revenue (excluding fees, commissions, reserves, intra-day trading and net interest income) for each day over the preceding year (the most recent 250 business days). Any observed loss in excess of the VaR number is taken as an exception. The level of exceptions determines the multiplication factor used to derive the VaR and SVaR-based capital requirement for regulatory reporting purposes, when applicable. We perform sub-portfolio backtesting as required under the Market Risk Rule, using models approved by our banking regulators, for interest rate, credit spread and foreign exchange positions.

The following graph shows our daily net trading revenue and total internal, modeled VaR for the twelve months ended September 30, 2022.

Daily VaR Backtesting

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NON-GAAP FINANCIAL MEASURES AND RECONCILIATIONS

For more information on the computation of our non-GAAP financial measures, see “—Introduction — Non-GAAP Financial Measures,” included in this Report. The following tables present computations of non-GAAP financial measures representing our “Underlying” results used in the MD&A:

Table 26: Reconciliations of Non-GAAP Measures
As of and for the Three Months Ended September 30,As of and for the Nine Months Ended September 30,
(in millions, except share, per share and ratio data)Ref.2022202120222021
Noninterest income, Underlying:
Noninterest income (GAAP)A$512$514$1,504$1,541
Less: Notable items——(31)—
Noninterest income, Underlying (non-GAAP)B$512$514$1,535$1,541
Total revenue, Underlying:
Total revenue (GAAP)C$2,177$1,659$5,821$4,927
Less: Notable items——(31)—
Total revenue, Underlying (non-GAAP)D$2,177$1,659$5,852$4,927
Noninterest expense, Underlying:
Noninterest expense (GAAP)E$1,241$1,011$3,652$3,020
Less: Notable items462321954
Noninterest expense, Underlying (non-GAAP)F$1,195$988$3,433$2,966
Pre-provision profit:
Total revenue (GAAP)C$2,177$1,659$5,821$4,927
Less: Noninterest expense (GAAP)E1,2411,0113,6523,020
Pre-provision profit (GAAP)$936$648$2,169$1,907
Pre-provision profit, Underlying
Total revenue, Underlying (non-GAAP)D$2,177$1,659$5,852$4,927
Less: Noninterest expense, Underlying (non-GAAP)F1,1959883,4332,966
Pre-provision profit, Underlying (non-GAAP)$982$671$2,419$1,961
Provision (benefit) for credit losses, Underlying:
Provision (benefit) for credit losses (GAAP)$123($33)$342($386)
Less: Notable items——169—
Provision (benefit) for credit losses, Underlying (non-GAAP)$123($33)$173($386)
Income before income tax expense, Underlying:
Income before income tax expense (GAAP)G$813$681$1,827$2,293
Less: Income (loss) before income tax expense (benefit) related to notable items(46)(23)(419)(54)
Income before income tax expense, Underlying (non-GAAP)H$859$704$2,246$2,347
Income tax expense and effective income tax rate, Underlying:
Income tax expense (GAAP)I$177$151$407$504
Less: Income tax expense (benefit) related to notable items(13)(7)(99)(15)
Income tax expense, Underlying (non-GAAP)J$190$158$506$519
Effective income tax rate (GAAP)I/G21.80%22.35%22.29%22.01%
Effective income tax rate, Underlying (non-GAAP)J/H22.0022.4522.5022.09
Net income, Underlying:
Net income (GAAP)K$636$530$1,420$1,789
Add: Notable items, net of income tax benefit331632039
Net income, Underlying (non-GAAP)L$669$546$1,740$1,828
Net income available to common stockholders, Underlying:
Net income available to common stockholders (GAAP)M$611$504$1,339$1,708
Add: Notable items, net of income tax benefit331632039
Net income available to common stockholders, Underlying (non-GAAP)N$644$520$1,659$1,747
Return on average common equity and return on average common equity, Underlying:
Average common equity (GAAP)O$22,246$21,326$21,875$20,926
Return on average common equityM/O10.91%9.39%8.19%10.91%
Return on average common equity, Underlying (non-GAAP)N/O11.529.7010.1511.17

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As of and for the Three Months Ended September 30,As of and for the Nine Months Ended September 30,
(in millions, except share, per share and ratio data)Ref.2022202120222021
Return on average tangible common equity and return on average tangible common equity, Underlying:
Average common equity (GAAP)O$22,246$21,326$21,875$20,926
Less: Average goodwill (GAAP)8,1317,0557,7717,052
Less: Average other intangibles (GAAP)2285217454
Add: Average deferred tax liabilities related to goodwill and other intangible assets (GAAP)424383408381
Average tangible common equityP$14,311$14,602$14,338$14,201
Return on average tangible common equityM/P16.96%13.71%12.49%16.08%
Return on average tangible common equity, Underlying (non-GAAP)N/P17.9114.1715.4816.46
Return on average total assets and return on average total assets, Underlying:
Average total assets (GAAP)Q$225,473$186,108$211,722$184,391
Return on average total assetsK/Q1.12%1.13%0.90%1.30%
Return on average total assets, Underlying (non-GAAP)L/Q1.181.161.101.33
Return on average total tangible assets and return on average total tangible assets, Underlying:
Average total assets (GAAP)Q$225,473$186,108$211,722$184,391
Less: Average goodwill (GAAP)8,1317,0557,7717,052
Less: Average other intangibles (GAAP)2285217454
Add: Average deferred tax liabilities related to goodwill and other intangible assets (GAAP)424383408381
Average tangible assetsR$217,538$179,384$204,185$177,666
Return on average total tangible assetsK/R1.16%1.17%0.93%1.35%
Return on average total tangible assets, Underlying (non-GAAP)L/R1.221.211.141.38
Efficiency ratio and efficiency ratio, Underlying:
Efficiency ratioE/C57.02%60.92%62.74%61.30%
Efficiency ratio, Underlying (non-GAAP)F/D54.9059.5558.6760.21
Noninterest income as a % of total revenue, Underlying:
Noninterest income as a % of total revenueA/C23.54%31.01%25.84%31.28%
Noninterest income as a % of total revenue, Underlying (non-GAAP)B/D23.5431.0126.2431.28
Operating leverage and operating leverage, Underlying:
Increase (decrease) in total revenue31.19%(7.33)%18.14%(5.20)%
Increase in noninterest expense22.792.3120.921.39
Operating leverage8.40%(9.64)%(2.78)%(6.59)%
Increase (decrease) in total revenue, Underlying (non-GAAP)31.19%(7.33)%18.77%(5.20)%
Increase in noninterest expense, Underlying (non-GAAP)20.963.2615.732.45
Operating leverage, Underlying (non-GAAP)10.23%(10.59)%3.04%(7.65)%
Tangible book value per common share:
Common shares - at period end (GAAP)S495,843,793426,199,576495,843,793426,199,576
Common stockholders' equity (GAAP)$21,132$21,409$21,132$21,409
Less: Goodwill (GAAP)8,1607,0658,1607,065
Less: Other intangible assets (GAAP)1995119951
Add: Deferred tax liabilities related to goodwill and other intangible assets (GAAP)424384424384
Tangible common equityT$13,197$14,677$13,197$14,677
Tangible book value per common shareT/S$26.62$34.44$26.62$34.44
Net income per average common share - basic and diluted and net income per average common share - basic and diluted, Underlying:
Average common shares outstanding - basic (GAAP)U495,651,083426,086,717470,118,265425,996,867
Average common shares outstanding - diluted (GAAP)V497,477,501427,840,964471,958,310427,679,885
Net income per average common share - basic (GAAP)M/U$1.23$1.18$2.85$4.01
Net income per average common share - diluted (GAAP)M/V1.231.182.843.99
Net income per average common share - basic, Underlying (non-GAAP)N/U1.301.223.534.10
Net income per average common share - diluted, Underlying (non-GAAP)N/V1.301.223.524.09
Dividend payout ratio and dividend payout ratio, Underlying:
Cash dividends declared and paid per common shareW$0.42$0.39$1.20$1.17
Dividend payout ratioW/(M/U)34%33%42%29%
Dividend payout ratio, Underlying (non-GAAP)W/(N/U)32323429

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