Item 1A. Risk Factors
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Item 1A. Risk Factors
Investing in our securities involves a high degree of risk. Before investing in our securities, you should consider carefully the information contained in this report and in our 2021 Annual Report, including the risk factors identified in Item 1A of Part I thereof (Risk Factors). This report contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. See “Cautionary Note Regarding Forward-Looking Statements” in “Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Conditions and Results of Operations” above. Our actual results could differ materially from those contained in the forward-looking statements. Any of the risks discussed in our 2021 Annual Report, in this report, in other reports we file with the SEC, and other risks we have not anticipated or discussed, could have a material adverse impact on our business, financial condition or results of operations. Except as set forth below, there has been no material change to our Risk Factors from those presented in our 2021 Annual Report.
Challenges relating to current supply chain constraints, including with respect to semiconductors and integrated circuits, could adversely impact our revenue, gross margins and financial results.
In the face of extraordinary demand across a range of industries, the global supply market for certain raw materials and components, including, in particular, semiconductor, integrated circuits and other electronic components used in most of our products, has experienced significant constraint and disruption in recent periods. This constrained supply environment has adversely affected, and could further affect, component availability, lead times and cost, and could increase the likelihood of unexpected cancellations or delays of previously committed supply of key components. These conditions worsened for our business during the second quarter of fiscal 2022 with several key optical suppliers unable to meet their previous supply commitments due to constrained access to semiconductors, and due to a lack of supply for certain lower value, commodity parts, which we believe was exacerbated by government-mandated lockdowns in several cities in China in response to COVID-19. In an effort to mitigate these risks, we have incurred higher costs to secure available inventory, have extended our purchase commitments and placed non-cancellable, advanced orders with or through suppliers, particularly for long lead time components. Our efforts to expand our manufacturing capacity and multi-source and pre-order components and finished goods inventory may fail to reduce the impact of these adverse supply chain conditions on our customers.
Despite our mitigation efforts, these constrained supply conditions have and are expected to continue to adversely impact our revenue, results of operations and our ability to meet customer demand in fiscal 2022. For example, revenue for the first half of fiscal 2022 was adversely impacted by a range of disruptions in our supply chain, including later-than-expected deliveries, extension of component delivery timelines into future periods, and third-party manufacturing disruptions that took production offline for periods of time. At the same time, increased costs associated with supply premiums, expediting fees and freight and logistics have impacted and can be expected to continue to adversely impact our gross margin, profitability and ability to reduce the cost to produce our products in a manner consistent with prior periods. The COVID-19 pandemic has also contributed to and exacerbated this strain, and there can be no assurance that the impacts of the pandemic on our supply chain will not continue, or worsen, in the future. The current supply chain challenges could also result in increased use of cash, engineering design changes, and delays in new product introductions, each of which could adversely impact our business and financial results. We believe these supply chain challenges and their adverse impact on our business and financial results will persist for the foreseeable future, and specifically, we expect these conditions to adversely impact both our revenue and our profitability during the remainder of fiscal 2022.
Accurately predicting demand and necessary inventory levels within the current environment is challenging, and we may incur additional costs or be required to write off significant inventory that would adversely impact our results of operations.
Since the second quarter of fiscal 2021, we have experienced unprecedented demand for our products and services. Accurately predicting demand and matching necessary inventory to fulfill that demand within the current supply constrained environment is challenging. We have and continue to take a number of steps to mitigate the current supply chain challenges, including extending our purchase commitments and placing non-cancellable, advanced orders with or through suppliers, particularly for long lead time components. As of April 30, 2022 we had $1.8 billion in outstanding purchase order commitments to our contract manufacturers and component suppliers for inventory. These inventory practices further introduce obsolescence risk and are resulting in increased costs and use of cash that could adversely impact our financial results. If we are required to write off or write down a significant amount of inventory, our results of operations for the applicable period would be materially adversely affected. Conversely, if we underestimate our demand, our contract manufacturers and component suppliers may have inadequate time, materials, or components required to manufacture our products. This could result in loss of revenue, increased costs, or delays that could adversely impact customer satisfaction.
To avoid delays and meet customer delivery demands, we regularly place orders with our contract manufacturers and component suppliers based on forecasts of customer demand. In many cases these suppliers may require longer lead times for fulfillment than we have with our customers. Thus, our practice of buying inventory based on forecasted demand exposes us to the risk that our customers ultimately may not order the products we have forecast or will purchase fewer products than forecast. As a result, we may purchase inventory in anticipation of sales that ultimately do not occur. We regularly incur, on a
quarterly basis, expense provisions against excess or obsolete inventory and may have difficulty forecasting inventory and customer spending. Moreover, our customer purchase agreements generally do not include any minimum purchase commitment and customers often have the right to modify, reduce or cancel purchase quantities. Also, our products are highly configurable, and certain new products have overlapping feature sets or application with existing products. Accordingly, it is increasingly possible that customers may forgo purchases of certain products we have inventoried in favor of a similar or newer product. These practices and our supply mitigation efforts, particularly within the current demand and supply environment, have and will continue to cause us to incur additional cost and may increase our inventory risk, each of which could adversely impact our results of operations.
We are experiencing unprecedented demand and our backlog may not be an accurate indicator of our level and timing of future revenues.
As a result of order volume growth in recent periods, our backlog has grown from $2.2 billion at the end of fiscal 2021 to $4.1 billion at the end of the second quarter of fiscal 2022. Backlog may be fulfilled several quarters following receipt of a purchase order, either due to customer purchasing schedules or due to delays caused by supply chain constraints, or in the case of certain service obligations, may relate to a multi-year support period. Our ability to fulfill backlog is being adversely impacted by the current global supply constraints described above. Generally, our customers may cancel or change their orders with limited advance notice, or they may decide not to accept our products and services, although instances of both cancellation and non-acceptance have been rare historically. As a result, backlog should not necessarily be viewed as an accurate indicator of future revenue for any particular period. In addition, we believe that some portion of our increased order volumes in recent periods reflects customer acceleration of future orders due to the implementation of security of supply strategies, or spending that was delayed or deferred in prior years due to COVID-19 related impacts, and we do not expect this level of order volume to be sustainable in the long-term.
We rely on third-party contract manufacturers, and our business and results of operations may be adversely affected by risks associated with their businesses, financial condition and the geographies in which they operate.
We rely on third-party contract manufacturers, including those with facilities in Canada, Mexico, Thailand, and the United States, to perform a substantial portion of our supply chain activities, including component sourcing, manufacturing, product testing and quality, and fulfillment and logistics relating to the distribution and support of our products. There are a number of risks associated with our dependence on contract manufacturers, including:
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reduced control over delivery schedules and planning;
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reliance on the quality assurance procedures of third parties;
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potential uncertainty regarding manufacturing yields and costs;
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availability of manufacturing capability and capacity, particularly during periods of high demand;
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risks and uncertainties associated with the locations or countries where our products are manufactured, including potential manufacturing disruptions caused by social, geopolitical, environmental or health factors, including pandemics or widespread health epidemics such as the COVID-19 pandemic;
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risks associated with data security breaches or cyber-attacks targeting our third-party manufacturers, including manufacturing disruptions or unauthorized access to information;
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changes in law or policy governing tax, trade, manufacturing, development and investment in the countries where we currently manufacture our products, including the World Trade Organization Information Technology Agreement or other free trade agreements;
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inventory liability for excess and obsolete supply;
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limited warranties provided to us; and
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potential misappropriation of our intellectual property.
For example, during the first half of fiscal 2022, we experienced third-party manufacturing disruptions that took production of certain of our products offline for periods of time, which adversely impacted our revenue. These and other risks could impair our ability to fulfill orders, harm our sales and impact our reputation with customers. If our contract manufacturers are unable or unwilling to manufacture our products or components of our products, or if we experience a disruption in manufacturing, we may be required to identify and qualify alternative manufacturers, which could cause us to be delayed in or unable to meet our supply requirements to our customers. The process of qualifying a new contract manufacturer and commencing volume production is expensive and time-consuming, and if we are required to change or qualify a new contract manufacturer, we would likely experience significant business disruption and could lose revenue and damage our existing customer relationships.
The international scale of our sales and operations exposes us to additional risk and expense that could adversely affect our results of operations.
We market, sell and service our products globally, maintain personnel in numerous countries, and rely on a global supply chain for sourcing important components and manufacturing our products. Our international sales and operations are subject to inherent risks, including:
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adverse social, political and economic conditions, such as inflation and rising interest rates;
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effects of adverse changes in currency exchange rates;
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greater difficulty in collecting accounts receivable and longer collection periods;
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difficulty and cost of staffing and managing foreign operations;
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higher incidence of corruption or unethical business practices;
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less protection for intellectual property rights in some countries;
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tax and customs changes that adversely impact our global sourcing strategy, manufacturing practices, transfer-pricing, or competitiveness of our products for global sales;
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compliance with certain testing, homologation or customization of products to conform to local standards;
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significant changes to free trade agreements, trade protection measures, tariffs, export compliance, domestic preference procurement requirements, qualification to transact business and additional regulatory requirements;
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natural disasters (including as a result of climate change), acts of war or terrorism, and public health emergencies, including the COVID-19 pandemic; and
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uncertain economic, legal and political conditions in Europe, Asia and other regions where we do business, including, for example, as a result of the ongoing military conflict between Russia and Ukraine and changes in China-Taiwan relations.
We utilize a sourcing strategy that emphasizes global procurement of materials that has direct or indirect dependencies upon a number of vendors with operations in the Asia-Pacific region. We also rely upon third-party contract manufacturers, including those with facilities in Canada, Mexico, Thailand and the United States, to manufacture, support and ship our products. Physical, regulatory, technological, market, reputational, and legal risks related to climate change in these regions and globally are increasing in impact and diversity and the magnitude of any short term or long term adverse impact on our business or results of operations remains unknown. The physical impacts of climate change, including as a result of certain types of natural disasters occurring more frequently or with more intensity or changing weather patterns, could disrupt our supply chain, result in damage to or closures of our facilities, and could otherwise have an adverse impact on our business, operating results, and financial condition.
Our international operations are subject to complex foreign and U.S. laws and regulations, including anti-bribery and corruption laws, antitrust or competition laws, data privacy laws, such as the GDPR, and environmental regulations, among others. In particular, recent years have seen a substantial increase in anti-bribery law enforcement activity by U.S. regulators, and we currently operate and seek to operate in many parts of the world that are recognized as having greater potential for corruption. Violations of any of these laws and regulations could result in fines and penalties, criminal sanctions against us or our employees, prohibitions on the conduct of our business and on our ability to offer our products and services in certain geographies, and significant harm to our business reputation. Our policies and procedures to promote compliance with these laws and regulations and to mitigate these risks may not protect us from all acts committed by our employees or third-party vendors, including contractors, agents and services partners. Additionally, the costs of complying with these laws (including the costs of investigations, auditing and monitoring) could adversely affect our current or future business.
In addition, there may be changes to our business, operations and financial results if there is instability, disruption or destruction in a significant geographic region, regardless of cause, including: war, terrorism, riot, civil insurrection or social unrest; natural or man-made disasters; or public health emergencies. For example, in February 2022, armed conflict escalated between Russia and Ukraine. The U.S. and certain other countries have imposed sanctions on Russia and could impose further sanctions, which could damage or disrupt international commerce and the global economy. We are complying with a broad range of U.S. and international sanctions and export control requirements imposed on Russia and, on March 7, 2022, we announced our decision to immediately suspend our business operations in Russia. Although this decision has not materially impacted our results of operations for the second quarter of fiscal 2022 due to the limited amount of business that we conducted in Russia, it is not possible to predict the broader or longer-term consequences of this conflict, which could include further sanctions, embargoes, regional instability, geopolitical shifts and adverse effects on macroeconomic conditions, security conditions, currency exchange rates and financial markets. Such geopolitical instability and uncertainty could have a negative impact on our ability to sell to, ship products to, collect payments from, and support customers in certain regions based on trade restrictions, embargoes and export control law restrictions, and logistics restrictions including closures of air space, and could increase the costs, risks and adverse impacts from supply chain and logistics challenges.
The success of our international sales and operations will depend, in large part, on our ability to anticipate and manage these risks effectively. Our failure to manage any of these risks could harm our international operations, reduce our international sales, and could give rise to liabilities, costs or other business difficulties that could adversely affect our operations and financial results.
Data security breaches and cyber-attacks could compromise our intellectual property or other sensitive information and cause significant damage to our business, reputation and operational capacity.
In the ordinary course of our business, we maintain on our network systems, and on the networks of our third-party providers, certain information that is confidential, proprietary or otherwise sensitive in nature. This information includes intellectual property, financial information and confidential business information relating to us and our customers, suppliers and other business partners. Companies in the technology industry, and in particular in the telecommunications industry, have been increasingly subjected to a wide variety of security incidents, cyber-attacks and other attempts to gain unauthorized access to networks or sensitive information. Our network systems and storage and other business applications, and the systems and storage and other business applications maintained by our third-party providers, have been in the past, and may be in the future, subjected to attempts to gain unauthorized access to our network or information, malfeasance or other system disruptions. In some cases, it is difficult to anticipate or to detect immediately such incidents and the damage caused thereby. If an actual or perceived breach of security occurs in our network or any of our third-party providers’ networks, we could incur significant costs, our operations could be impacted, and our reputation could be harmed. In addition, the internet has experienced an increase in cyber threats during the COVID-19 pandemic in the form of phishing emails, malware attachments and malicious websites. These risks, as well as the number and frequency of cybersecurity events globally, may also be heightened during times of geopolitical tension or instability between countries, including, for example, the ongoing military conflict between Russia and Ukraine, from which a number of recent cybersecurity events have been alleged to have originated.
While we work to safeguard our internal network systems and validate the security of our third-party providers to mitigate these potential risks, including through information security policies and employee awareness and training, there is no assurance that such actions will be sufficient to prevent future cyber-attacks or security breaches. We have been subjected in the past, and expect to be subjected in the future, to a range of incidents including phishing, emails purporting to come from a company executive or vendor seeking payment requests, and communications from look-alike corporate domains, as well as security-related risks created by the use of third-party software and services. While these types of incidents to which we have been subjected have not had a material effect on our business or our network security to date, future incidents involving access to or improper use of our systems, networks or products could compromise confidential or otherwise protected information, destroy or corrupt data, or otherwise disrupt our operations. These security events could also negatively impact our reputation and our competitive position and could result in litigation with third parties, regulatory action, loss of business, potential liability and increased remediation costs, any of which could have a material adverse effect on our financial condition and results of operations.
Item 2. Unregistered Sales of Equity Securities and Use of Proceeds
Issuer Purchases of Equity Securities
The following table provides a summary of repurchases of our common stock during the second quarter of fiscal 2022:
| Period | Total Number of Shares Purchased (1) | Average Price Paid per Share**(1)** | Total Number of Shares Purchased as Part of Publicly Announced Plans or Programs (1) | Approximate Dollar Value of Shares that May Yet Be Purchased Under the Plans or Programs (in thousands)****(1) | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| January 30, 2022 to February 26, 2022 | 884,531 | $ | 69.78 | 884,531 | $ | 750,000 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| February 27, 2022 to March 26, 2022 | 537,226 | $ | 58.07 | 537,226 | $ | 718,806 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| March 27, 2022 to April 30, 2022 | 964,674 | $ | 57.84 | 964,674 | $ | 663,006 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 2,386,431 | $ | 62.32 | 2,386,431 |
(1) On December 9, 2021, we announced that our Board of Directors had authorized a program to repurchase up to $1.0 billion of our common stock, which replaced in its entirety our previous stock repurchase program. On December 13, 2021, we entered into the ASR Agreement with Goldman, Sachs & Co. (“Goldman”). Pursuant to the ASR Agreement, during the first quarter of fiscal 2022, we made an upfront payment of $250.0 million and received an initial delivery of 2.7 million shares of our common stock which were retired. On February 15, 2022, we received a delivery from Goldman of the remaining 884,531 shares of common stock repurchased under the ASR Agreement, calculated based on the average of the daily volume-weighted average prices of our common stock of $69.78 for the period from December 14, 2021 to February 11, 2022, which completed the repurchases contemplated by the ASR Agreement. During the second quarter of fiscal 2022, we repurchased an additional $87.0 million of our common stock under the stock repurchase program, and we had $663.0 million remaining under the current repurchase authorization as of April 30, 2022.
Item 3. Defaults Upon Senior Securities
Not applicable.
Item 4. Mine Safety Disclosures
Not applicable.
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