Item 3. Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk

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Item 3. Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk

Information about market risks for the six months ended June 30, 2023 does not differ materially from that discussed under Item 7A in our 2022 Annual Report on Form 10-K except for foreign currency exchange risks.

Foreign Currency Exchange Risk

At June 30, 2023, we had outstanding foreign currency exchange forward contracts to buy $5.2 billion CAD at $0.751 against the U.S. dollar in anticipation of our future acquisition of the additional interest in Surmont. The forward contracts have a gross notional value of $5.2 billion CAD and are carried at a fair value of $19 million. Based on the assumed volatility in the fair value, the net fair value of these foreign currency contracts at June 30, 2023, was a before-tax gain of $19 million. Based on an adverse hypothetical 10 percent change in the June 30, 2023 exchange rate, this would result in an additional before-tax loss of approximately $350 million. The sensitivity analysis is based on changing one assumption while holding all other assumptions constant, which in practice may be unlikely to occur, as changes in some of the assumptions may be correlated. The contracts will settle in the second half of 2023.

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