Item 3. Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk

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Item 3. Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk

Information about market risks for the nine months ended September 30, 2023 does not differ materially from that discussed under Item 7A in our 2022 Annual Report on Form 10-K except for foreign currency exchange risks.

Foreign Currency Exchange Risk

At September 30, 2023, we had outstanding foreign currency exchange forward contracts to buy $4.3 billion CAD at $0.736 against the U.S. dollar in anticipation of our future acquisition of the additional interest in Surmont. The forward contracts have a gross notional value of $4.3 billion CAD. Based on the assumed volatility in the fair value, the net fair value of these foreign currency contracts at September 30, 2023, was a before-tax gain of $36 million. Based on an adverse hypothetical 10 percent change in the September 30, 2023 exchange rate, this would result in an additional before-tax loss of approximately $320 million. The sensitivity analysis is based on changing one assumption while holding all other assumptions constant, which in practice may be unlikely to occur, as changes in some of the assumptions may be correlated. The contracts settled in the fourth quarter of 2023.

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