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Item 1A. Risk Factors.

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Item 1A. Risk Factors.

There have been no material changes to the risk factors described in “Item 1A. Risk Factors” of our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended January 30, 2021, other than as set forth below and in the discussion of risk factors in the “Cautionary Note Regarding Forward-Looking Statements” section and in the discussion of certain items that have impacted or could impact our business or results of operations during 2021 or in the future as set forth in the “Additional Considerations” section within “Item 2. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations” of this Form 10-Q.

We are experiencing higher costs and disruptions in our distribution network, which have had and could have an adverse impact on our sales, margins and profitability.

Our success is dependent on our ability to import or transport merchandise to our distribution centers and then truck merchandise to our stores in a timely and cost-effective manner. We rely heavily on third parties including ocean carriers and truckers in that process. We may not anticipate, respond to or control all of the challenges of operating our distribution network. Additionally, when a shipping or trucking line fails to deliver on its commitments or our distribution centers fail to operate effectively, we could experience increased freight costs or merchandise shortages that could lead to lost sales. We are experiencing ocean shipping disruptions, trucking shortages, increased ocean shipping rates and increased trucking and fuel costs. In the last several years, we have incurred higher distribution costs due to a variety of factors. Some of the factors that have had and could have an adverse effect on our distribution network or costs in 2021 are:

  • Shipping disruptions. There is currently a shortage of shipping capacity from China and other parts of Asia, and as a result we are experiencing significant delays in importing our goods. We are also experiencing issues with port congestion and pandemic-related port closings and ship diversions. Our receipt of imported merchandise has been and may be further disrupted or delayed as a result of these or other factors. Delays could potentially have a material adverse impact on future product availability, product mix and sales, especially at Dollar Tree, if the delays do not improve. These and other disruptions related to the global COVID-19 pandemic have adversely impacted Trans-Pacific shipping in 2021 and are expected to continue to affect shipping from China, where we buy a significant portion of our merchandise, and we cannot predict when the disruptions will end. In addition, our supply chain may be disrupted as a result of other international events such as war or acts of terrorism.

  • Shipping costs. We are experiencing unprecedented increases in shipping rates from the Trans-Pacific ocean carriers due to various factors, including a continued increase in spot market rates and the limited availability of shipping capacity. As a result of the inability or unwillingness of the ocean carriers with whom we have carriage contracts to execute annual contracts for all of our shipping needs or to completely fulfill their contractual commitments to us, we have found it necessary to rely on an increasingly expensive spot market and other alternative sources to make up the shortfall in our

shipping needs during fiscal 2021. Freight costs for fiscal 2021 are now expected to be $2.00 per diluted share higher than fiscal year 2020. Changes in import duties, import quotas and other trade sanctions could also increase our costs.

  • Efficient operations and management. Distribution centers and other aspects of our distribution network are difficult to operate efficiently, and we have experienced and could continue to experience a reduction in operating efficiency resulting in delayed shipments of merchandise to our stores as a result of high turnover and challenges in attracting and retaining an adequate and reliable workforce. Although we have offered sign-on bonuses, enhanced wages and other inducements in certain markets to address the shortage of labor at our distribution centers, such measures have increased our costs and are expected to continue to increase our costs, which could have an adverse effect on our margins and profitability. There can be no assurances that such measures will be adequate to attract and retain the workforce necessary for the efficient operation of our distribution centers.

  • Trucking costs. We have experienced significant increases in trucking costs due to the truck driver shortage and other factors, and our trucking costs are expected to increase in the future.

  • Diesel fuel costs. We have experienced volatility in diesel fuel costs and are expecting increases to continue this fiscal year.

  • Vulnerability to natural or man-made disasters, including climate change. A fire, explosion or natural disaster at a port or any of our distribution facilities could result in a loss of merchandise and impair our ability to adequately stock our stores. Some facilities are vulnerable to earthquakes, hurricanes, tornadoes or floods, and an increase in the severity and frequency of extreme weather events may increase our operating costs or disrupt our supply chain.

  • Labor disagreement. Labor disagreements, disruptions or strikes, for example at ports, may result in delays in the delivery of merchandise to our distribution centers or stores and increase costs.

  • Direct-to-store deliveries. In fiscal 2020, we purchased and delivered approximately 13% of our merchandise for our Family Dollar segment through our relationship with McLane Company, Inc., which distributes consumable merchandise from multiple manufacturers. We also rely on third parties to deliver frozen and refrigerated product, as well as chocolate in the summer, to our Dollar Tree stores. To the extent that supply chain disruptions and higher costs affect McLane Company, Inc. or our other suppliers, we may be subject to delays or reductions in deliveries and higher costs for merchandise. A substantial disruption in our relationship with or in service levels from McLane Company, Inc. or other suppliers could have a significant near-term impact on our operations.

We may not be successful in implementing important strategic initiatives, which may have an adverse impact on our business and financial results, or in anticipating the impact of these initiatives.

We have adopted important strategic initiatives that are designed to create growth, improve our results of operations and drive long-term shareholder value, including:

  • the addition of price points above $1 (such as $1.25) in all Dollar Tree stores;

  • the expansion of a multi-price initiative in Dollar Tree stores referred to as Dollar Tree Plus;

  • the introduction of selected Dollar Tree merchandise into Family Dollar stores;

  • the roll-out of the Combo Store format that combines a Dollar Tree store and Family Dollar store in a single location;

  • the renovation of Family Dollar stores to the H2 format;

  • our plans relating to new store openings for Dollar Tree and Family Dollar generally; and

  • the continued integration of the operations of Family Dollar with Dollar Tree.

The implementation and timing of these strategic initiatives are subject to various risks and uncertainties, including the acceptance of the amount of price increases by customers and others as justified or reasonable; customer acceptance of new store concepts and merchandise offerings; construction and permitting delays relating to new and renovated stores; the success of our integration strategies; the availability of desirable real estate locations for lease at reasonable rates; the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic; and other factors beyond our control. In addition, several of these initiatives depend on the timeliness, cost and availability of adequate levels of the appropriate domestic and imported merchandise, our ability to execute on our plans and expectations with respect to those initiatives and the continued success of our integration of Family Dollar merchandising, supply chain and operations with those of Dollar Tree. To the extent that shipping delays, supply chain disruptions and other distribution logistics adversely affect the availability of merchandise necessary to implement our strategic initiatives, we may delay or reduce our planned rate of implementation of one or more of those initiatives.

The rollout of our initiative to add price points above $1 in Dollar Tree stores is subject to additional risks and uncertainties relating to, among other things, operational changes such as signage, advertising, and employee training, provisions in our leases and/or third-party waivers tied to single or $1 price points, and compliance with the terms of our leases and state and local consumer laws.

There can be no assurance that we will be able to implement important strategic initiatives in accordance with our expectations or that they will generate expected returns, which may result in an adverse impact on our business and financial results.

Our business or the value of our common stock could be negatively affected as a result of actions by activist shareholders.

We value constructive input from investors and regularly engage in dialogue with our shareholders regarding strategy and performance. The Board of Directors and management team are committed to acting in the best interests of all of our shareholders. There is no assurance that the actions taken by the Board of Directors and management in seeking to maintain constructive engagement with our shareholders will be successful. Activist shareholders who disagree with our strategy or the way we are managed have sought to effect change, and may seek to effect change in the future, through various strategies that range from private engagement to publicity campaigns, proxy contests, efforts to force transactions not supported by the Board of Directors and litigation. Responding to these actions may be costly and time-consuming, disrupt our operations, divert the attention of our Board of Directors, management and employees, and interfere with our ability to execute our strategic plan and attract and retain qualified executive leadership. A contested election, for example, could also require us to incur substantial legal and public relations fees and proxy solicitation expenses. The perceived uncertainty as to our future direction resulting from activist strategies could also affect the market price and volatility of our common stock.

On November 12, 2021, one of our investors filed a Schedule 13D with the SEC, reporting that it was the owner of approximately 5.7% of our outstanding common stock (in addition to other economic exposure through derivative instruments), and that it intended to have communications with members of our management, our Board of Directors, shareholders and other persons regarding our business, operations, strategies, governance and the composition of our executive suite and our Board of Directors and possibilities for changes thereto. Although we may engage in discussions with this investor as we do others, there can be no assurance as to the outcome of any conversations that may take place. In addition, actions of activist shareholders may cause significant fluctuations in our stock price based on temporary or speculative market perceptions or other factors that do not necessarily reflect the underlying fundamentals and prospects of our business.

Item 2. Unregistered Sales of Equity Securities and Use of Proceeds.

During the 13 weeks ended October 30, 2021, the Board increased our share repurchase authorization by $1.05 billion to an aggregate amount of $2.5 billion, including $1.45 billion available for repurchases under the Board’s previous repurchase authorization approved on March 2, 2021. The repurchase authorization does not have an expiration date.

We did not repurchase any shares of common stock on the open market in the 13 weeks ended October 30, 2021.

Item 3. Defaults Upon Senior Securities.

None.

Item 4. Mine Safety Disclosures.

None.

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