Item 3. Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk

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Item 3. Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk

Commodity Price Risk and Derivative Instruments. Our primary market risk exposure is the volatility of future prices for natural gas and NGLs. Due to the volatility of commodity prices, we are unable to predict future potential movements in the market prices for natural gas and NGLs at our ultimate sales points and, thus, cannot predict the ultimate impact of prices on our operations. Prolonged low, or significant, extended declines in, natural gas and NGLs prices could adversely affect, among other things, our development plans, which would decrease the pace of development and the level of our proved reserves and, similarly, could adversely affect timing of development of additional reserves and production that is accessible by our pipeline and storage assets and limit growth in, or may reduce the demand for, and usage of, our gathering or transmission and storage services. Price declines and sustained periods of low natural gas and NGLs prices could also have an adverse effect on the creditworthiness of our gathering, transmission and storage customers and related ability to pay firm reservation fees under long-term contracts. Increases in natural gas and NGLs prices may be accompanied by, or result in, increased well drilling costs, increased production taxes, increased LOE, increased volatility in seasonal gas price spreads for our storage assets and increased end-user conservation or conversion to alternative fuels. In addition, to the extent we have hedged our production at prices below the current market price, we will not benefit fully from an increase in the price of natural gas, and, depending on our then-current credit ratings and the terms of our hedging contracts, we may be required to post additional margin with our hedging counterparties.

The overall objective of our hedging program is to protect our cash flows from undue exposure to the risk of changing commodity prices. Our use of derivatives is further described in Note 4 to the Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements and "Commodity Risk Management" under "Capital Resources and Liquidity" in Item 2. Our over the counter (OTC) derivative commodity instruments are placed primarily with financial institutions and the creditworthiness of those institutions is regularly monitored. We primarily enter into derivative instruments to hedge forecasted sales of production. We also enter into derivative instruments to hedge basis. Our use of derivative instruments is implemented under a set of policies approved by our management-level Hedge and Financial Risk Committee and is reviewed by our Board of Directors.

For derivative commodity instruments used to hedge our forecasted sales of production, which are at, for the most part, NYMEX natural gas prices, we set policy limits relative to the expected production and sales levels that are exposed to price risk. We have an insignificant amount of financial natural gas derivative commodity instruments for trading purposes.

The derivative commodity instruments we use are primarily swap, collar and option agreements. These agreements may require payments to, or receipt of payments from, counterparties based on the differential between two prices for the commodity. We use these agreements to hedge our NYMEX and basis exposure. We may also use other contractual agreements when executing our commodity hedging strategy.

We monitor price and production levels on a continuous basis and adjust quantities hedged as warranted.

A hypothetical decrease of 10% in the NYMEX natural gas price on March 31, 2025 and December 31, 2024 would increase the fair value of our natural gas derivative commodity instruments by approximately $299 million and $283 million, respectively. A hypothetical increase of 10% in the NYMEX natural gas price on March 31, 2025 and December 31, 2024 would decrease the fair value of our natural gas derivative commodity instruments by approximately $302 million and $340 million, respectively. For purposes of this analysis, we applied the 10% change in the NYMEX natural gas price on March 31, 2025 and December 31, 2024 to our natural gas derivative commodity instruments as of March 31, 2025 and December 31, 2024 to calculate the hypothetical change in fair value. The change in fair value was determined using a method similar to our normal process for determining derivative commodity instrument fair value described in Note 5 to the Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements.

The above analysis of our derivative commodity instruments does not include the offsetting impact that the same hypothetical price movement may have on our physical sales of natural gas. The portfolio of derivative commodity instruments held to hedge our forecasted produced natural gas approximates a portion of our expected physical sales of natural gas; therefore, an adverse impact to the fair value of the portfolio of derivative commodity instruments held to hedge our forecasted production associated with the hypothetical changes in commodity prices referenced above should be offset by a favorable impact on our physical sales of natural gas, assuming that the derivative commodity instruments are not closed in advance of their expected term and the derivative commodity instruments continue to function effectively as hedges of the underlying risk.

If the underlying physical transactions or positions are liquidated prior to the maturity of the derivative commodity instruments, a loss on the financial instruments may occur or the derivative commodity instruments might be worthless as determined by the prevailing market value on their termination or maturity date, whichever comes first.

Interest Rate Risk. Changes in market interest rates affect the amount of interest we earn on cash, cash equivalents and short-term investments and the interest rate we pay on borrowings under EQT's and Eureka's revolving credit facilities. In addition, changes in Eureka's Consolidated Leverage Ratio (defined in that certain Credit Agreement, dated May 13, 2021, among Eureka, Sumitomo Mitsui Banking Corporation, as administrative agent, the lenders party thereto from time to time and any other persons party thereto from time to time, as amended, governing Eureka's revolving credit facility) as a result on Eureka's liquidity needs, operating results or distributions to its members affect the interest rate Eureka pays on borrowings under its revolving credit facility. None of the interest we pay on EQT's or EQM's senior notes fluctuates based on changes to market interest rates. A 1% increase in interest rates for the borrowings under EQT's and Eureka's revolving credit facilities during the three months ended March 31, 2025 would have increased interest expense, excluding amounts attributable to noncontrolling interests, by approximately $1 million.

Interest rates for EQT's revolving credit facility and EQT's 7.000% senior notes fluctuate based on changes to the credit ratings assigned to EQT's senior notes by Moody's, S&P and Fitch. Interest rates for EQT's other outstanding senior notes and EQM's senior notes do not fluctuate based on changes to the credit ratings assigned to EQT's or EQM's respective senior notes by Moody's, S&P and Fitch. For a discussion of credit rating downgrade risk, see "Risk Factors – Our operations have substantial capital requirements, and we may not be able to obtain needed capital or financing on satisfactory terms" in EQT's Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2024. Changes in interest rates affect the fair value of our fixed rate debt. See Note 7 to the Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements for further discussion of our debt and Note 5 to the Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements for a discussion of fair value measurements, including the fair value measurement of our debt.

Other Market Risks. We are exposed to credit loss in the event of nonperformance by counterparties to our derivative contracts. This credit exposure is limited to derivative contracts with a positive fair value, which may change as market prices change. Our OTC derivative instruments are primarily with financial institutions and, thus, are subject to events that would impact those companies individually as well as the financial industry as a whole. We use various processes and analyses to monitor and evaluate our credit risk exposures, including monitoring current market conditions and counterparty credit fundamentals. Credit exposure is controlled through credit approvals and limits based on counterparty credit fundamentals. To manage the level of credit risk, we enter into transactions primarily with financial counterparties that are of investment grade, enter into netting agreements whenever possible and may obtain collateral or other security.

Approximately 5%, or $54 million, of our OTC derivative contracts outstanding at March 31, 2025 had a positive fair value. Approximately 20%, or $93 million, of our OTC derivative contracts outstanding at December 31, 2024 had a positive fair value.

As of March 31, 2025, we were not in default under any derivative contracts and had no knowledge of default by any counterparty to our derivative contracts. During the three months ended March 31, 2025, we made no adjustments to the fair value of our derivative contracts due to credit related concerns outside of the normal non-performance risk adjustment included in our established fair value procedure. We monitor market conditions that may impact the fair value of our derivative contracts.

We are exposed to the risk of nonperformance by credit customers on physical sales of natural gas, NGLs and oil. Revenues and related accounts receivable from our operations are generated primarily from the sale of our produced natural gas, NGLs and oil to marketers, utilities and industrial customers located in the Appalachian Basin and in markets that are accessible through our transportation portfolio, which includes markets in the Gulf Coast, Midwest and Northeast United States and Canada. We also contract with certain processors to market a portion of our NGLs on our behalf.

As of March 31, 2025, no one lender of the large group of financial institutions in the syndicate for EQT's revolving credit facility held more than 10% of the financial commitments thereunder. In addition, as of March 31, 2025, no one lender of the large group of financial institutions in the syndicate for Eureka's revolving credit facility held more than 13% of the financial commitments thereunder. The large syndicate group and relatively low percentage of participation by each lender are expected to limit our exposure to disruption or consolidation in the banking industry.

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