Item 7A. QUANTITATIVE
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Item 7A. QUANTITATIVE
AND QUALITATIVE
DISCLOSURES ABOUT MARKET RISK
We
are
exposed
to
market
risk
stemming
from
changes
in
interest
and
foreign
exchange
rates
and
commodity
and
equity
prices.
Changes
in
these
factors
could
cause
fluctuations
in
our
earnings
and
cash
flows.
In
the
normal
course
of
business,
we
actively
manage
our
exposure
to
these market
risks
by entering
into various
hedging
transactions,
authorized
under
established
policies
that
place controls
on these
activities. The
counterparties
in these
transactions are
generally
highly rated
institutions. We
establish
credit
limits for
each counterparty.
Our hedging
transactions include
but are
not limited
to a variety
of derivative
financial instruments.
For
information
on
interest
rate,
foreign
exchange,
commodity
price,
and
equity
instrument
risk,
please
see
Note
to
the
Consolidated
Financial Statements in Item 8 of this report.
VALUE
AT RISK
The
estimates
in
the
table below
are
intended
to measure
the
maximum
potential
fair value
we
could
lose
in one
day
from
adverse
changes
in
market
interest
rates,
foreign
exchange
rates,
commodity
prices,
and
equity
prices
under
normal
market
conditions.
A
Monte Carlo
value-at-risk (VAR)
methodology was
used to
quantify the
market risk
for our
exposures. The
models assumed
normal
market conditions and used a 95 percent confidence level.
The
VAR
calculation
used
historical
interest
and
foreign
exchange
rates,
and
commodity
and
equity
prices
from
the
past
year
to
estimate the
potential volatility
and correlation
of these
rates in
the future.
The market
data were
drawn from
the RiskMetrics™
data
set.
The
calculations
are
not
intended
to
represent
actual
losses
in
fair
value
that
we
expect
to
incur.
Further,
since
the
hedging
instrument (the derivative) inversely correlates
with the underlying exposure, we would
expect that any loss or gain in the fair
value of
our
derivatives
would
be
generally
offset
by
an
increase
or
decrease
in
the
fair
value
of
the
underlying
exposure.
The
positions
included
in the
calculations were:
debt; investments;
interest rate
swaps; foreign
exchange forwards;
commodity swaps,
futures, and
options; and
equity instruments.
The calculations
do not
include the
underlying foreign
exchange
and commodities
or equity-related
positions that are offset by these market-risk-sensitive instruments.
The table below
presents the estimated maximum
potential VAR
arising from a
one-day loss in
fair value for
our interest rate, foreign
currency, commodity,
and equity market-risk-sensitive instruments outstanding as of May 29,
In Millions
May 29, 2022
Average During
Fiscal 2022
May 30, 2021
Analysis of Change
Interest rate instruments
$
40.9
$
41.4
$
37.4
Higher Market Volatility
Foreign currency instruments
20.3
17.7
25.6
Exchange Rate Volatility
Commodity instruments
12.9
10.2
4.2
Higher Market Volatility
Equity instruments
2.5
2.3
2.8
Higher Market Volatility
CAUTIONARY STATEMENT
RELEVANT
TO FORWARD
-LOOKING INFORMATION
FOR THE PURPOSE OF “SAFE
HARBOR” PROVISIONS OF THE PRIVATE
SECURITIES LITIGATION
REFORM ACT OF 1995
This report
contains or
incorporates by
reference
forward-looking
statements within
the meaning
of the
Private Securities
Litigation
Reform Act
of 1995
that are
based on
our current
expectations and
assumptions. We
also may
make written
or oral
forward-looking
statements, including statements contained in our filings with the
SEC and in our reports to shareholders.
The words or
phrases “will likely
result,” “are expected
to,” “will continue,”
“is anticipated,” “estimate,”
“plan,” “project,” or
similar
expressions identify
“forward-looking statements”
within the
meaning of
the Private
Securities Litigation
Reform Act
of 1995.
Such
statements are
subject to
certain risks
and uncertainties
that could
cause actual
results to
differ
materially from
historical results
and
those currently anticipated or projected. We
wish to caution you not to place undue reliance on any such forward-looking statements.
In connection
with the “safe
harbor” provisions
of the Private
Securities Litigation
Reform Act of
1995, we are
identifying important
factors
that could
affect
our financial
performance
and could
cause our
actual results
in future
periods
to differ
materially from
any
current opinions or statements.
Our future results could
be affected by a
variety of factors, such
as: the impact of the
COVID-19 pandemic on
our business, suppliers,
consumers,
customers,
and
employees;
disruptions
or
inefficiencies
in
the
supply
chain,
including
any
impact
of
the
COVID-19
pandemic;
competitive
dynamics
in
the
consumer
foods
industry
and
the
markets
for
our
products,
including
new
product
introductions,
advertising
activities,
pricing
actions,
and
promotional
activities
of
our
competitors;
economic
conditions,
including
changes
in
inflation
rates,
interest
rates,
tax
rates,
or
the
availability
of
capital;
product
development
and
innovation;
consumer
acceptance
of
new
products
and
product
improvements;
consumer
reaction
to
pricing
actions
and
changes
in
promotion
levels;
acquisitions
or
dispositions
of
businesses
or
assets;
changes
in
capital
structure;
changes
in
the
legal
and
regulatory
environment,
including
tax
legislation,
labeling
and
advertising
regulations,
and
litigation;
impairments
in
the
carrying
value
of
goodwill,
other
intangible assets,
or other
long-lived assets,
or changes
in the
useful lives
of other
intangible assets;
changes in
accounting standards
and the impact of significant accounting
estimates; product quality and safety issues, including
recalls and product liability; changes in
consumer
demand
for
our
products;
effectiveness
of
advertising,
marketing,
and
promotional
programs;
changes
in
consumer
behavior,
trends,
and
preferences,
including
weight
loss
trends;
consumer
perception
of
health-related
issues,
including
obesity;
consolidation
in the
retail environment;
changes in
purchasing and
inventory levels
of significant
customers; fluctuations
in the
cost
and
availability
of
supply
chain
resources,
including
raw
materials,
packaging,
energy,
and
transportation;
effectiveness
of
restructuring
and
cost
saving
initiatives;
volatility
in
the
market
value
of
derivatives
used
to
manage
price
risk
for
certain
commodities; benefit plan
expenses due to
changes in plan
asset values and discount
rates used to
determine plan liabilities;
failure or
breach of
our information
technology systems;
foreign economic
conditions, including
currency rate
fluctuations; and
political unrest
in foreign markets and economic uncertainty due to terrorism or war.
You
should also consider the risk factors that we identify in Item 1A of this report, which could also
affect our future results.
We underta
ke no obligation to publicly revise
any forward-looking statements to reflect events
or circumstances after the date of
those
statements or to reflect the occurrence of anticipated or unanticipated events.
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