Item 7A. QUANTITATIVE
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Item 7A. QUANTITATIVE
AND QUALITATIVE
DISCLOSURES ABOUT MARKET RISK
We
are
exposed
to
market
risk
stemming
from
changes
in
interest
and
foreign
exchange
rates
and
commodity
and
equity
prices.
Changes
in
these
factors
could
cause
fluctuations
in
our
earnings
and
cash
flows.
In
the
normal
course
of
business,
we
actively
manage
our
exposure
to
these market
risks
by entering
into various
hedging
transactions,
authorized
under
established
policies
that
place controls
on these
activities. The
counterparties
in these
transactions are
generally
highly rated
institutions. We
establish
credit
limits for
each counterparty.
Our hedging
transactions include
but are
not limited
to a variety
of derivative
financial instruments.
For
information
on
interest
rate,
foreign
exchange,
commodity
price,
and
equity
instrument
risk,
please
see
Note
to
the
Consolidated
Financial Statements in Item 8 of this report.
VALUE
AT RISK
The
estimates
in
the
table below
are
intended
to measure
the
maximum
potential
fair value
we
could
lose
in one
day
from
adverse
changes
in
market
interest
rates,
foreign
exchange
rates,
commodity
prices,
and
equity
prices
under
normal
market
conditions.
A
Monte Carlo
value-at-risk (VAR)
methodology was
used to
quantify the
market risk
for our
exposures. The
models assumed
normal
market conditions and used a 95 percent confidence level.
The
VAR
calculation
used
historical
interest
and
foreign
exchange
rates,
and
commodity
and
equity
prices
from
the
past
year
to
estimate the
potential volatility
and correlation
of these
rates in
the future.
The market
data were
drawn from
the RiskMetrics™
data
set.
The
calculations
are
not
intended
to
represent
actual
losses
in
fair
value
that
we
expect
to
incur.
Further,
since
the
hedging
instrument (the derivative) inversely correlates
with the underlying exposure, we would
expect that any loss or gain in the fair
value of
our
derivatives
would
be
generally
offset
by
an
increase
or
decrease
in
the
fair
value
of
the
underlying
exposure.
The
positions
included
in the
calculations were:
debt; investments;
interest rate
swaps; foreign
exchange forwards;
commodity swaps,
futures, and
options; and
equity instruments.
The calculations
do not
include the
underlying foreign
exchange and
commodities or
equity-related
positions that are offset by these market-risk-sensitive instruments.
The table below
presents the estimated maximum
potential VAR
arising from a
one-day loss in
fair value for
our interest rate, foreign
currency, commodity,
and equity market-risk-sensitive instruments outstanding as of May 28,
In Millions
May 28, 2023
Average During
Fiscal 2023
May 29, 2022
Analysis of Change
Interest rate instruments
$
65.3
$
52.1
$
40.9
Higher Market Volatility
Foreign currency instruments
36.7
33.3
20.3
Exchange Rate Volatility
Commodity instruments
7.6
9.5
12.9
Reduced Market Volatility
Equity instruments
2.8
3.1
2.5
Higher Market Volatility
CAUTIONARY STATEMENT
RELEVANT
TO FORWARD
-LOOKING INFORMATION
FOR THE PURPOSE OF “SAFE
HARBOR” PROVISIONS OF THE PRIVATE
SECURITIES LITIGATION
REFORM ACT OF 1995
This report
contains or
incorporates by
reference
forward-looking
statements within
the meaning
of the
Private Securities
Litigation
Reform Act
of 1995
that are
based on
our current
expectations and
assumptions. We
also may
make written
or oral
forward-looking
statements, including statements contained in our filings with the
SEC and in our reports to shareholders.
The words or
phrases “will likely
result,” “are expected
to,” “may continue,”
“is anticipated,” “estimate,”
“plan,” “project,” or
similar
expressions identify
“forward-looking statements”
within the
meaning of
the Private
Securities Litigation
Reform Act
of 1995.
Such
statements are
subject to
certain risks
and uncertainties
that could
cause actual
results to
differ
materially from
historical results
and
those currently anticipated or projected. We
wish to caution you not to place undue reliance on any such forward-looking statements.
In connection
with the “safe
harbor” provisions
of the Private
Securities Litigation
Reform Act of
1995, we are
identifying important
factors
that could
affect
our financial
performance
and could
cause our
actual results
in future
periods
to differ
materially from
any
current opinions or statements.
Our
future
results
could
be
affected
by
a
variety
of
factors,
such
as:
disruptions
or
inefficiencies
in
the
supply
chain;
competitive
dynamics in the consumer
foods industry and the markets for
our products, including new product
introductions, advertising activities,
pricing actions, and promotional
activities of our competitors;
economic conditions, including
changes in inflation rates,
interest rates,
tax
rates,
or
the
availability
of
capital;
product
development
and
innovation;
consumer
acceptance
of
new
products
and
product
improvements;
consumer
reaction
to
pricing
actions
and
changes
in
promotion
levels;
acquisitions
or
dispositions
of
businesses
or
assets; changes in capital structure;
changes in the legal and regulatory
environment, including tax legislation,
labeling and advertising
regulations, and litigation; impairments in the carrying
value of goodwill, other intangible assets, or other long
-lived assets, or changes
in
the
useful
lives
of
other
intangible
assets;
changes
in
accounting
standards
and
the
impact
of
significant
accounting
estimates;
product quality
and safety
issues, including
recalls and product
liability; changes
in consumer
demand for our
products; effectiveness
of advertising,
marketing,
and promotional
programs;
changes
in consumer
behavior,
trends, and
preferences,
including
weight
loss
trends; consumer perception
of health-related issues,
including obesity; consolidation
in the retail environment;
changes in purchasing
and
inventory
levels
of
significant
customers;
fluctuations
in
the
cost
and
availability
of
supply
chain
resources,
including
raw
materials,
packaging,
energy,
and
transportation;
effectiveness
of
restructuring
and
cost
saving
initiatives;
volatility
in
the
market
value of
derivatives used to
manage price
risk for certain
commodities; benefit
plan expenses due
to changes
in plan asset
values and
discount rates used to determine plan liabilities; failure
or breach of our information technology systems;
foreign economic conditions,
including currency rate fluctuations; and political unrest in foreign markets
and economic uncertainty due to terrorism or war.
You
should also consider the risk factors that we identify in Item 1A of this report, which could also
affect our future results.
We undertake
no obligation to publicly revise any forward-looking
statements to reflect events or circumstances
after the date of those
statements or to reflect the occurrence of anticipated or unanticipated events.
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