Item 6. SELECTED FINANCIAL DATA
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Item 6. SELECTED FINANCIAL DATA
The following table sets forth the Company's selected consolidated financial data at the dates and for the periods indicated below. The selected financial data should be read in conjunction with Management’s Discussion and Analysis of
Financial Condition and Results of Operations ("MD&A") presented in Item 7 and the Company's Consolidated Financial Statements and the related Notes beginning on page F-1.
| (In millions, except per share data) | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | 2014 | ||||||||||
| Income Statement Data | |||||||||||||||
| Total revenues | $ | 18,955 | $ | 17,162 | $ | 16,291 | $ | 16,187 | $ | 15,905 | |||||
| Income from continuing operations before income taxes | $ | 1,753 | $ | 723 | $ | 447 | $ | 1,478 | $ | 1,232 | |||||
| Income (loss) from continuing operations, net of tax | $ | 1,485 | $ | (262 | ) | $ | 613 | $ | 1,189 | $ | 925 | ||||
| Income (loss) from continuing operations, net of tax, available to common stockholders | $ | 1,479 | $ | (262 | ) | $ | 613 | $ | 1,189 | $ | 925 | ||||
| Income (loss) from discontinued operations, net of tax | $ | 322 | $ | (2,869 | ) | $ | 283 | $ | 493 | $ | (127 | ) | |||
| Net income (loss) | $ | 1,807 | $ | (3,131 | ) | $ | 896 | $ | 1,682 | $ | 798 | ||||
| Balance Sheet Data | |||||||||||||||
| Total assets | $ | 62,307 | $ | 225,260 | $ | 224,576 | $ | 229,616 | $ | 245,566 | |||||
| Short-term debt | $ | 413 | $ | 320 | $ | 416 | $ | 275 | $ | 456 | |||||
| Total debt (including capital lease obligations) | $ | 4,678 | $ | 4,998 | $ | 4,910 | $ | 5,216 | $ | 5,966 | |||||
| Preferred stock | $ | 334 | $ | — | $ | — | $ | — | $ | — | |||||
| Total stockholders’ equity | $ | 13,101 | $ | 13,494 | $ | 16,903 | $ | 18,024 | $ | 19,130 | |||||
| Income (loss) from continuing operations, net of tax, available to common stockholders per common share | |||||||||||||||
| Basic | $ | 4.13 | $ | (0.72 | ) | $ | 1.58 | $ | 2.86 | $ | 2.09 | ||||
| Diluted | $ | 4.06 | $ | (0.72 | ) | $ | 1.55 | $ | 2.80 | $ | 2.01 | ||||
| Cash dividends declared per common share | $ | 1.10 | $ | 0.94 | $ | 0.86 | $ | 0.78 | $ | 0.66 |
Part II - Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
Item 7. MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS
(Dollar amounts in millions, except for per share data, unless otherwise stated)
The Hartford provides projections and other forward-looking information in the following discussions, which contain many forward-looking statements, particularly relating to the Company’s future financial performance. These forward-looking statements are estimates based on information currently available to the Company, are made pursuant to the safe harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 and are subject to the cautionary statements set forth on pages 4 and 5 of this Form 10-K. Actual results are likely to differ, and in the past have differed, materially from those forecast by the Company, depending on the outcome of various factors, including, but not limited to, those set forth in the following discussion and in Part I, Item 1A, Risk Factors, and those identified from time to time in our other filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission. The Hartford undertakes no obligation to publicly update any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future developments or otherwise.
On August 22, 2018, the Company announced it entered into a definitive agreement to acquire all outstanding common shares of The Navigators Group, Inc. ("Navigators Group"), a global specialty underwriter, for $70 a share, or $2.1 billion in cash. The transaction is expected to close in late March or April 2019, subject to customary closing conditions, including receipt of regulatory approvals.
On May 31, 2018, Hartford Holdings, Inc., a wholly owned subsidiary of the Company, completed the sale of the issued and outstanding equity of Hartford Life, Inc. (“HLI”), a holding company, and its life and annuity operating subsidiaries. For discussion of this transaction, see Note 20 - Business Dispositions and Discontinued Operations of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements.
On February 16, 2018, The Hartford entered into a renewal rights agreement with the Farmers Exchanges, of the Farmers Insurance Group of Companies, to acquire its Foremost-branded small commercial business sold through independent agents. Written premium from this agreement began in the third quarter of 2018.
On November 1, 2017, Hartford Life and Accident Insurance Company ("HLA"), a wholly owned subsidiary of the Company, completed the acquisition of Aetna's U.S. group life and disability business through a reinsurance transaction. Aetna's U.S. group life and disability revenue and earnings since the acquisition date are included in the operating results of the Company's Group Benefits reporting segment. For discussion of this transaction, see Note 2 - Business Acquisitions of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements.
On May 10, 2017, the Company completed the sale of its U.K.
property and casualty run-off subsidiaries. The operating results of the Company's U.K. property and casualty run-off subsidiaries are included in the P&C Other Operations reporting segment. For discussion of this transaction, see Note 20 - Business Dispositions and Discontinued Operations of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements.
On July 29, 2016, the Company completed the acquisition of Maxum Specialty Insurance Group and Lattice Strategies LLC. Maxum's revenue and earnings since the acquisition date are included in the operating results of the Company's Commercial Lines reporting segment. Lattice's revenue and earnings since the acquisition date are included in the operating results of the Company's Hartford Funds reporting segment. For discussion of these transactions, see Note 2 - Business Acquisitions of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements.
Certain reclassifications have been made to historical financial information presented in Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations ("MD&A") to conform to the current period presentation.
Distribution costs within the Hartford Funds segment that were previously netted against fee income are presented gross in insurance operating costs and other expenses.
The Hartford defines increases or decreases greater than or equal to 200% as “NM” or not meaningful.
Index
| Description | Page |
| Key Performance Measures and Ratios | 33 |
| The Hartford's Operations | 36 |
| Consolidated Results of Operations | 39 |
| Investment Results | 43 |
| Critical Accounting Estimates | 45 |
| Commercial Lines | 65 |
| Personal Lines | 69 |
| Property & Casualty Other Operations | 73 |
| Group Benefits | 75 |
| Hartford Funds | 78 |
| Corporate | 80 |
| Enterprise Risk Management | 81 |
| Capital Resources and Liquidity | 99 |
| Impact of New Accounting Standards | 107 |
Part II - Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
KEY PERFORMANCE MEASURES AND RATIOS
The Company considers the measures and ratios in the following discussion to be key performance indicators for its businesses. Management believes that these ratios and measures are useful in understanding the underlying trends in The Hartford’s businesses. However, these key performance indicators should only be used in conjunction with, and not in lieu of, the results presented in the segment discussions that follow in this MD&A. These ratios and measures may not be comparable to other performance measures used by the Company’s competitors.
Definitions of Non-GAAP and Other Measures and Ratios
Assets Under Management (“AUM”)- include mutual fund and exchange-traded products ("ETP") assets. AUM is a measure used by the Company's Hartford Funds segment because a significant portion of the Company’s mutual fund and ETP revenues are based upon asset values. These revenues increase or decrease with a rise or fall in AUM whether caused by changes in the market or through net flows.
Book Value per Diluted Share excluding accumulated other comprehensive income ("AOCI")- is calculated based upon a non-GAAP financial measure. It is calculated by dividing (a) common stockholders' equity, excluding AOCI, after tax, by (b) common shares outstanding and dilutive potential common shares. Book value per diluted share is the most directly comparable U.S. GAAP ("GAAP") measure. The Company provides this measure to enable investors to analyze the amount of the Company's net worth that is primarily attributable to the Company's business operations. The Company believes it is useful to investors because it eliminates the effect of items in AOCI that can fluctuate significantly from period to period, primarily based on changes in interest rates.
Current Accident Year Catastrophe Ratio- a component of the loss and loss adjustment expense ratio, represents the ratio of catastrophe losses incurred in the current accident year (net of reinsurance) to earned premiums. A catastrophe is an event that causes $25 or more in industry insured property losses and affects a significant number of property and casualty policyholders and insurers, as defined by the Property Claim Service office of Verisk. The current accident year catastrophe ratio includes the effect of catastrophe losses, but does not include the effect of reinstatement premiums.
Combined Ratio- the sum of the loss and loss adjustment expense ratio, the expense ratio and the policyholder dividend ratio. This ratio is a relative measurement that describes the related cost of losses and expenses for every $100 of earned premiums. A combined ratio below 100 demonstrates underwriting profit; a combined ratio above 100 demonstrates underwriting losses.
Core Earnings- a non-GAAP measure, is an important measure of the Company’s operating performance. The Company believes that core earnings provides investors with a valuable measure of the underlying performance of the Company’s businesses because it reveals trends in our insurance and financial services businesses that may be obscured by including the net effect of certain realized capital gains and losses, certain restructuring and other costs, loss on extinguishment of debt, pension settlements, integration and transaction costs in connection with an acquired business, gains and losses on reinsurance transactions, income tax benefit from a reduction in deferred income tax valuation allowance, impact of the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act of 2017 ("Tax Reform") on net deferred tax assets, and results of discontinued operations. Some realized capital gains and losses are primarily driven by investment decisions and external economic developments, the nature and timing of which are unrelated to the insurance and underwriting aspects of our business. Accordingly, core earnings excludes the effect of all realized gains and losses that tend to be variable from period to period based on capital market conditions. The Company believes, however, that some realized capital gains and losses are integrally related to our insurance operations, so core earnings includes net realized gains and losses such as net periodic settlements on credit derivatives. These net realized gains and losses are directly related to an offsetting item included in the income statement such as net investment income. Core earnings are net of preferred stock dividends declared since they are a cost of financing more akin to interest expense on debt and are expected to be a recurring expense as long as the preferred stock is outstanding. Net income (loss), net income (loss) available to common stockholders and income (loss) from continuing operations, net of tax, available to common stockholders are the most directly comparable U.S. GAAP measures to core earnings. Core earnings should not be considered as a substitute for net income (loss), net income (loss) available to common stockholders or income (loss) from continuing operations, net of tax, available to common stockholders and does not reflect the overall profitability of the Company’s business. Therefore, the Company believes that it is useful for investors to evaluate net income (loss), net income (loss) available to common stockholders, income (loss) from continuing operations, net of tax, available to common stockholders and core earnings when reviewing the Company’s performance.
Part II - Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
Reconciliation of Net Income (Loss) to Core Earnings
| For the years ended December 31, | |||||||||
| 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | |||||||
| Net income (loss) | $ | 1,807 | $ | (3,131 | ) | $ | 896 | ||
| Preferred stock dividends | 6 | — | — | ||||||
| Net income (loss) available to common stockholders | 1,801 | $ | (3,131 | ) | $ | 896 | |||
| Less: Net realized capital gains (losses) excluded from core earnings, before tax | (118 | ) | 160 | (112 | ) | ||||
| Less: Loss on extinguishment of debt, before tax | (6 | ) | — | — | |||||
| Less: Loss on reinsurance transactions, before tax | — | — | (650 | ) | |||||
| Less: Pension settlement, before tax | — | (750 | ) | — | |||||
| Less: Integration and transaction costs associated with acquired business, before tax | (47 | ) | (17 | ) | — | ||||
| Less: Income tax benefit (expense) [1] | 75 | (669 | ) | 463 | |||||
| Less: Income (loss) from discontinued operations, net of tax | 322 | (2,869 | ) | 283 | |||||
| Core earnings | $ | 1,575 | $ | 1,014 | $ | 912 |
| [1] | *Includes income tax benefit on items not included in core earnings and other federal income tax benefits and charges, including an $*877 charge in 2017 primarily due to a reduction in net deferred tax assets as a result of the decrease in the Federal income tax rate from 35% to 21%. |
Core Earnings Margin- a non-GAAP financial measure that the Company uses to evaluate, and believes is an important measure of, the Group Benefits segment’s operating performance. Core earnings margin is calculated by dividing (a) core earnings by (b) revenues excluding buyouts and realized gains (losses). Net income margin is the most directly comparable U.S. GAAP measure. The Company believes that core earnings margin provides investors with a valuable measure of the performance of Group Benefits because it reveals trends in the business that may be obscured by the effect of buyouts and realized gains (losses) on revenues or obscured by the effect on net income of realized capital gains (losses), integration costs, and the impact of Tax Reform on net deferred tax assets. Core earnings margin should not be considered as a substitute for net income margin and does not reflect the overall profitability of Group Benefits. Therefore, the Company believes it is important for investors to evaluate both net income margin and core earnings margin when reviewing performance. A reconciliation of net income margin to core earnings margin is set forth in the Results of Operations section within MD&A - Group Benefits.
Expense Ratio- for the underwriting segments of Commercial Lines and Personal Lines is the ratio of underwriting expenses less fee income, to earned premiums. Underwriting expenses include the amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs ("DAC") and insurance operating costs and expenses, including certain centralized services costs and bad debt expense. Deferred policy acquisition costs include commissions, taxes, licenses and fees and other incremental direct underwriting expenses and are amortized over the policy term.
The expense ratio for Group Benefits is expressed as the ratio of insurance operating costs and other expenses including amortization of intangibles and amortization of DAC, to premiums and other considerations, excluding buyout premiums. The expense ratio does not include integration and other transaction costs associated with an acquired business.
Fee Income- is largely driven from amounts earned as a result of contractually defined percentages of assets under management in our Hartford Funds business. These fees are generally earned on a daily basis. Therefore, the growth in assets
under management either through positive net flows or favorable market performance will have a favorable impact on fee income. Conversely, either negative net flows or unfavorable market performance will reduce fee income.
Loss and Loss Adjustment Expense Ratio- a measure of the cost of claims incurred in the calendar year divided by earned premium and includes losses and loss adjustment expenses incurred for both the current and prior accident years. Among other factors, the loss and loss adjustment expense ratio needed for the Company to achieve its targeted return on equity fluctuates from year to year based on changes in the expected investment yield over the claim settlement period, the timing of expected claim settlements and the targeted returns set by management based on the competitive environment.
The loss and loss adjustment expense ratio is affected by claim frequency and claim severity, particularly for shorter-tail property lines of business, where the emergence of claim frequency and severity is credible and likely indicative of ultimate losses. Claim frequency represents the percentage change in the average number of reported claims per unit of exposure in the current accident year compared to that of the previous accident year. Claim severity represents the percentage change in the estimated average cost per claim in the current accident year compared to that of the previous accident year. As one of the factors used to determine pricing, the Company’s practice is to first make an overall assumption about claim frequency and severity for a given line of business and then, as part of the ratemaking process, adjust the assumption as appropriate for the particular state, product or coverage.
Loss and Loss Adjustment Expense Ratio before Catastrophes and Prior Accident Year Development- a measure of the cost of non-catastrophe loss and loss adjustment expenses incurred in the current accident year divided by earned premiums. Management believes that the current accident year loss and loss adjustment expense ratio before catastrophes is a performance measure that is useful to investors as it removes the impact of volatile and unpredictable catastrophe losses and prior accident year development.
Part II - Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
Loss Ratio, excluding Buyouts- utilized for the Group Benefits segment and is expressed as a ratio of benefits, losses and loss adjustment expenses to premiums and other considerations, excluding buyout premiums. Since Group Benefits occasionally buys a block of claims for a stated premium amount, the Company excludes this buyout from the loss ratio used for evaluating the profitability of the business as buyouts may distort the loss ratio. Buyout premiums represent takeover of open claim liabilities and other non-recurring premium amounts.
Mutual Fund and Exchange-Traded Product Assets- are owned by the shareholders of those products and not by the Company and, therefore, are not reflected in the Company’s consolidated financial statements except in instances where the Company seeds new investment products and holds an investment in the fund for a period of time. Mutual fund and ETP assets are a measure used by the Company primarily because a significant portion of the Company’s Hartford Funds segment revenues are based upon asset values. These revenues increase or decrease with a rise or fall in AUM whether caused by changes in the market or through net flows.
New Business Written Premium- represents the amount of premiums charged for policies issued to customers who were not insured with the Company in the previous policy term. New business written premium plus renewal policy written premium equals total written premium.
Policies in Force- represents the number of policies with coverage in effect as of the end of the period. The number of policies in force is a growth measure used for Personal Lines and standard commercial lines within Commercial Lines and is affected by both new business growth and policy count retention.
Policy Count Retention- represents the ratio of the number of policies renewed during the period divided by the number of policies available to renew. The number of policies available to renew represents the number of policies, net of any cancellations, written in the previous policy term. Policy count retention is affected by a number of factors, including the percentage of renewal policy quotes accepted and decisions by the Company to non-renew policies because of specific policy underwriting concerns or because of a decision to reduce premium writings in certain classes of business or states. Policy count retention is also affected by advertising and rate actions taken by competitors.
Policyholder Dividend Ratio- the ratio of policyholder dividends to earned premium.
Prior Accident Year Loss and Loss Adjustment Expense Ratio- represents the increase (decrease) in the estimated cost of settling catastrophe and non-catastrophe claims incurred in prior accident years as recorded in the current calendar year divided by earned premiums.
Reinstatement Premiums- represents additional ceded premium paid for the reinstatement of the amount of reinsurance coverage that was reduced as a result of the Company ceding losses to reinsurers.
Renewal Earned Price Increase (Decrease)- Written premiums are earned over the policy term, which is six months for certain Personal Lines automobile business and
twelve months for substantially all of the remainder of the Company’s Property and Casualty business. Since the Company earns premiums over the six to twelve month term of the policies, renewal earned price increases (decreases) lag renewal written price increases (decreases) by six to twelve months.
Renewal Written Price Increase (Decrease)- for Commercial Lines, represents the combined effect of rate changes, amount of insurance and individual risk pricing decisions per unit of exposure on policies that renewed. For Personal Lines, renewal written price increases represent the total change in premium per policy since the prior year on those policies that renewed and includes the combined effect of rate changes, amount of insurance and other changes in exposure. For Personal Lines, other changes in exposure include, but are not limited to, the effect of changes in number of drivers, vehicles and incidents, as well as changes in customer policy elections, such as deductibles and limits. The rate component represents the change in rate filed with and approved by state regulators during the period and the amount of insurance represents the change in the value of the rating base, such as model year/vehicle symbol for automobiles, building replacement costs for property and wage inflation for workers’ compensation. A number of factors affect renewal written price increases (decreases) including expected loss costs as projected by the Company’s pricing actuaries, rate filings approved by state regulators, risk selection decisions made by the Company’s underwriters and marketplace competition. Renewal written price changes reflect the property and casualty insurance market cycle. Prices tend to increase for a particular line of business when insurance carriers have incurred significant losses in that line of business in the recent past or the industry as a whole commits less of its capital to writing exposures in that line of business. Prices tend to decrease when recent loss experience has been favorable or when competition among insurance carriers increases. Renewal written price statistics are subject to change from period to period, based on a number of factors, including changes in actuarial estimates and the effect of subsequent cancellations and non-renewals, and modifications made to better reflect ultimate pricing achieved.
Return on Assets (“ROA”), Core Earnings- a non-GAAP financial measure that the Company uses to evaluate, and believes is an important measure of, the Hartford Funds segment’s operating performance. ROA, core earnings is calculated by dividing core earnings by a daily average AUM. ROA is the most directly comparable U.S. GAAP measure. The Company believes that ROA, core earnings, provides investors with a valuable measure of the performance of the Hartford Funds segment because it reveals trends in our business that may be obscured by the effect of realized gains (losses). ROA, core earnings, should not be considered as a substitute for ROA and does not reflect the overall profitability of our Hartford Funds business. Therefore, the Company believes it is important for investors to evaluate both ROA, and ROA, core earnings when reviewing the Hartford Funds segment performance. A reconciliation of ROA to ROA, core earnings is set forth in the Results of Operations section within MD&A - Hartford Funds.
Underlying Combined Ratio- a non-GAAP financial measure, represents the combined ratio before catastrophes and prior accident year development. Combined ratio is the most directly comparable U.S. GAAP measure. The Company believes the underlying combined ratio is an important measure of the trend in profitability since it removes the impact of volatile and
Part II - Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
unpredictable catastrophe losses and prior accident year loss and loss adjustment expense reserve development. A reconciliation of combined ratio to underlying combined ratio is set forth in the Results of Operations section within MD&A - Commercial Lines and Personal Lines.
Underwriting Gain (Loss)- The Company's management evaluates profitability of the P&C businesses primarily on the basis of underwriting gain (loss). Underwriting gain (loss) is a before tax measure that represents earned premiums less incurred losses, loss adjustment expenses, amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs, underwriting expenses, amortization of other intangible assets and dividends to policyholders. Underwriting gain (loss) is influenced significantly by earned premium growth and the adequacy of the Company's pricing. Underwriting profitability over time is also greatly influenced by the Company's pricing and underwriting discipline, which seeks to manage exposure to loss through favorable risk selection and diversification, its management of claims, its use of reinsurance and its ability to manage its expense ratio, which it accomplishes through economies of scale and its management of acquisition costs and other underwriting expenses. Net income (loss) is the most directly comparable GAAP measure. The Company believes that underwriting gain (loss) provides investors with a valuable measure of before tax profitability derived from underwriting activities, which are managed separately from the Company's investing activities. A reconciliation of net income (loss) to underwriting gain (loss) for Commercial Lines, Personal Lines and Property & Casualty Other Operations is set forth in segment sections of MD&A.
Written and Earned Premiums- Written premium is a statutory accounting financial measure which represents the amount of premiums charged for policies issued, net of reinsurance, during a fiscal period. Earned premium is a U.S. GAAP and statutory measure. Premiums are considered earned and are included in the financial results on a pro rata basis over the policy period. Management believes that written premium is a performance measure that is useful to investors as it reflects current trends in the Company’s sale of property and casualty insurance products. Written and earned premium are recorded net of ceded reinsurance premium.
Traditional life and disability insurance type products, such as those sold by Group Benefits, collect premiums from policyholders in exchange for financial protection for the policyholder from a specified insurable loss, such as death or disability. These premiums, together with net investment income earned, are used to pay the contractual obligations under these insurance contracts. Two major factors, new sales and persistency, impact premium growth. Sales can increase or decrease in a given year based on a number of factors including, but not limited to, customer demand for the Company’s product offerings, pricing competition, distribution channels and the Company’s reputation and ratings. Persistency refers to the percentage of premium remaining in-force from year-to-year.
THE HARTFORD'S OPERATIONS
Overview
The Hartford conducts business principally in five reporting segments including Commercial Lines, Personal Lines, Property & Casualty Other Operations, Group Benefits and Hartford Funds, as well as a Corporate category. The Company includes in the Corporate category investment management fees and expenses related to managing third party business, including management of the invested assets of Talcott Resolution, discontinued operations related to the life and annuity business sold in May 2018, reserves for run-off structured settlement and terminal funding agreement liabilities, capital raising activities (including debt financing and related interest expense), purchase accounting adjustments related to goodwill and other expenses not allocated to the reporting segments. In addition, Corporate includes a 9.7% ownership interest in the legal entity that acquired the life and annuity business sold in May 2018.
The Company derives its revenues principally from: (a) premiums earned for insurance coverage provided to insureds; (b) management fees on mutual fund and ETP assets; (c) net investment income; (d) fees earned for services provided to third parties; and (e) net realized capital gains and losses. Premiums charged for insurance coverage are earned principally on a pro rata basis over the terms of the related policies in-force.
The profitability of the Company's property and casualty insurance businesses over time is greatly influenced by the Company’s underwriting discipline, which seeks to manage exposure to loss through favorable risk selection and diversification, its management of claims, its use of reinsurance, the size of its in force block, actual mortality and morbidity experience, and its ability to manage its expense ratio which it accomplishes through economies of scale and its management of acquisition costs and other underwriting expenses. Pricing adequacy depends on a number of factors, including the ability to obtain regulatory approval for rate changes, proper evaluation of underwriting risks, the ability to project future loss cost frequency and severity based on historical loss experience adjusted for known trends, the Company’s response to rate actions taken by competitors, its expense levels and expectations about regulatory and legal developments. The Company seeks to price its insurance policies such that insurance premiums and future net investment income earned on premiums received will cover underwriting expenses and the ultimate cost of paying claims reported on the policies and provide for a profit margin. For many of its insurance products, the Company is required to obtain approval for its premium rates from state insurance departments.
Similar to Property & Casualty, profitability of the Group Benefits business depends, in large part, on the ability to evaluate and price risks appropriately and make reliable estimates of mortality, morbidity, disability and longevity. To manage the pricing risk, Group Benefits generally offers term insurance policies, allowing for the adjustment of rates or policy terms in order to minimize the adverse effect of market trends, loss costs, declining interest rates and other factors. However, as policies are typically sold with rate guarantees of up to three years, pricing for the
Part II - Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
Company’s products could prove to be inadequate if loss and expense trends emerge adversely during the rate guarantee period. For some of its products, the Company is required to obtain approval for its premium rates from state insurance departments. New and renewal business for group benefits business, particularly for long-term disability, are priced using an assumption about expected investment yields over time. While the Company employs asset-liability duration matching strategies to mitigate risk and may use interest-rate sensitive derivatives to hedge its exposure in the Group Benefits investment portfolio, cash flow patterns related to the payment of benefits and claims are uncertain and actual investment yields could differ significantly from expected investment yields, affecting profitability of the business. In addition to appropriately evaluating and pricing risks, the profitability of the Group Benefits business depends on other factors, including the Company’s response to pricing decisions and other actions taken by competitors, its ability to offer voluntary products and self-service capabilities, the persistency of its sold business and its ability to manage its expenses which it seeks to achieve through economies of scale and operating efficiencies.
The financial results of the Company’s mutual fund and ETP businesses depend largely on the amount of assets under management and the level of fees charged based, in part, on asset share class and product type. Changes in assets under management are driven by two main factors, net flows and the market return of the funds, which are heavily influenced by the return realized in the equity and bond markets. Net flows are
comprised of new sales less redemptions by mutual fund and ETP stockholders. Financial results are highly correlated to the growth in assets under management since these products generally earn fee income on a daily basis.
The investment return, or yield, on invested assets is an important element of the Company’s earnings since insurance products are priced with the assumption that premiums received can be invested for a period of time before benefits, losses and loss adjustment expenses are paid. Due to the need to maintain sufficient liquidity to satisfy claim obligations, the majority of the Company’s invested assets have been held in available-for-sale securities, including, among other asset classes, corporate bonds, municipal bonds, government debt, short-term debt, mortgage-backed securities, asset-backed securities and collateralized loan obligations.
The primary investment objective for the Company is to maximize economic value, consistent with acceptable risk parameters, including the management of credit risk and interest rate sensitivity of invested assets, while generating sufficient after tax income to meet policyholder and corporate obligations. Investment strategies are developed based on a variety of factors including business needs, regulatory requirements and tax considerations.
For further information on the Company's reporting segments, refer to Part I, Item 1, Business — Reporting Segments.
Financial Highlights
| Net Income (Loss) Available to Common Stockholders | Net Income (Loss) Available to Common Stockholders per Diluted Share | Book Value per Diluted Share |

Net Income (loss) available to common stockholders of $1,801, or $5.03 per basic share and $4.95 per diluted share, compared with prior year net loss of $3,131, or $8.61 per basic and diluted share. The change from net loss in 2017 to a net income in 2018 was primarily due to a number of charges in 2017, including a $3.3 billion loss on the life and annuity business sold in May 2018, net of tax, $877 of income tax expense primarily from reducing net deferred tax assets due to the reduction of the corporate Federal income tax rate, and the effect of a pension settlement charge of $488, net of tax. Apart from these charges in 2017, net income available to common stockholders increased, driven by higher net income in Commercial Lines, Group Benefits and Hartford Funds that was partially attributable to a lower corporate Federal income tax rate in 2018.
Part II - Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
Book value per diluted common share decreased to $35.06 from $37.11 as of December 31, 2017 as a result of a 5% decrease in common stockholders' equity resulting primarily from a decrease in AOCI over the period, partially offset by net income in excess of stockholder dividends.
| Net Investment Income | Investment Yield After Tax |

Net investment income increased 11% to $1,780 compared with the prior year primarily due to higher average fixed maturities asset levels during 2018 as compared to 2017 largely driven by the acquisition of Aetna's U.S. group life and disability business in November 2017 and, to a lesser extent, higher income from partnerships and other alternative investments and a higher reinvestment rate on fixed maturities.
Net realized capital gains (losses) changed to net losses of $112 from net gains of $165 for the year ended December 31, 2017, with losses in 2018 primarily driven by net losses on sales of fixed maturity securities due to sector repositioning and duration, liquidity and credit management as well as net losses on equity securities resulting from depreciation in value due to lower equity market levels, partially offset by gains on sales due to tactical repositioning.
Annualized investment yield, after tax of 3.3%, was up 30 basis points from 2017 primarily due to the effect of a lower corporate Federal income tax rate.
Net unrealized gains, after tax for fixed maturities in the investment portfolio decreased by $2,180 compared with the prior year primarily due to the effect of credit spread widening and higher interest rates and the removal of AOCI related to the life and annuity business sold in May 2018.
| P&C Written Premiums | P&C Combined Ratio |

Written premiums for Property & Casualty decreased 1.0% compared with the prior year, reflecting a decrease in Personal Lines, largely offset by an increase in Commercial Lines.
Part II - Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
Combined ratio for Property & Casualty decreased 2.2 points to 97.8 compared with a combined ratio of 100.0 for 2017 largely due to a lower current accident year loss and loss adjustment expense ratio for Personal Lines and favorable prior accident year development, partially offset by higher expenses.
Catastrophe losses of $821, before tax, decreased from catastrophe losses of $836, before tax, in the prior year, with catastrophes in both years including losses from California wildfires, hurricanes, winter storms and various wind and hail events.
Prior accident year development for property and casualty was a net favorable $167, before tax, in 2018 primarily due to a decrease in reserves for workers' compensation, automobile liability and 2017 catastrophes, partially offset by an increase in reserves for general liability. Reserve development was a net favorable $41, before tax, in 2017 primarily due to a decrease in reserves for workers compensation and package business, partially offset by a reserve increase for customs bond claims.
| Group Benefits Net Income Margin |

Net income margin for Group Benefits declined from 7.2% in 2017 to 5.6% in 2018 primarily due to net realized capital losses of $39, net of tax, in 2018 as compared to net realized capital gains of $19, net of tax, in 2017, integration costs of $37, net of tax, in 2018 as compared to $11, net of tax, in 2017, and a tax benefit of $52 in 2017 from reducing net deferred tax liabilities due to the lower corporate income tax rate, partially offset by an increase in favorable prior incurral year development on long-term disability and premium waiver primarily due to favorable incidence trends and the effect of scale from the acquisition of Aetna’s U.S. group life and disability business on fixed expenses. Prior accident year development, pre-tax, for Group Benefits increased from $185 in 2017 to $324 in 2018 with most of that development from the 2017 incurral year as incidence trends become known after the elimination period is satisfied.
CONSOLIDATED RESULTS OF OPERATIONS
The Consolidated Results of Operations should be read in conjunction with the Company's Consolidated Financial Statements and the related Notes beginning on page F-1 as well as with the segment operating results sections of MD&A.
Part II - Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
Consolidated Results of Operations
| 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | Increase (Decrease) From 2017 to 2018 | Increase (Decrease) From 2016 to 2017 | |||||||||||
| Earned premiums | $ | 15,869 | $ | 14,141 | $ | 13,697 | $ | 1,728 | $ | 444 | |||||
| Fee income [1] | 1,313 | 1,168 | 1,041 | 145 | 127 | ||||||||||
| Net investment income | 1,780 | 1,603 | 1,577 | 177 | 26 | ||||||||||
| Net realized capital gains (losses) | (112 | ) | 165 | (110 | ) | (277 | ) | 275 | |||||||
| Other revenues | 105 | 85 | 86 | 20 | (1 | ) | |||||||||
| Total revenues | 18,955 | 17,162 | 16,291 | 1,793 | 871 | ||||||||||
| Benefits, losses and loss adjustment expenses | 11,165 | 10,174 | 9,961 | 991 | 213 | ||||||||||
| Amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs | 1,384 | 1,372 | 1,377 | 12 | (5 | ) | |||||||||
| Insurance operating costs and other expenses | 4,281 | 4,563 | 3,525 | (282 | ) | 1,038 | |||||||||
| Loss on extinguishment of debt | 6 | — | — | 6 | — | ||||||||||
| Loss on reinsurance transactions | — | — | 650 | — | (650 | ) | |||||||||
| Interest expense | 298 | 316 | 327 | (18 | ) | (11 | ) | ||||||||
| Amortization of other intangible assets | 68 | 14 | 4 | 54 | 10 | ||||||||||
| Total benefits, losses and expenses | 17,202 | 16,439 | 15,844 | 763 | 595 | ||||||||||
| Income from continuing operations, before tax | 1,753 | 723 | 447 | 1,030 | 276 | ||||||||||
| Income tax expense (benefit) | 268 | 985 | (166 | ) | (717 | ) | 1,151 | ||||||||
| Income (loss) from continuing operations, net of tax | 1,485 | (262 | ) | 613 | 1,747 | (875 | ) | ||||||||
| Income (loss) from discontinued operations, net of tax | 322 | (2,869 | ) | 283 | 3,191 | (3,152 | ) | ||||||||
| Net income (loss) | 1,807 | (3,131 | ) | 896 | 4,938 | (4,027 | ) | ||||||||
| Preferred stock dividends | 6 | — | — | 6 | — | ||||||||||
| Net income (loss) available to common stockholders | $ | 1,801 | $ | (3,131 | ) | $ | 896 | $ | 4,932 | $ | (4,027 | ) |
| [1] | Excludes distribution costs of $188 and $184 for the years ended December 31, 2017*, and* 2016*, respectively, that were previously netted against fee income and are now presented gross in insurance operating costs and other expenses.* |
Year ended December 31, 2018 compared to year ended December 31, 2017
Net income (loss) available to common stockholders increased from a net loss in 2017, primarily due to a number of charges in 2017, including a $3.3 billion after tax loss on sale of the life and annuity business sold in May 2018, $877 of income tax expense primarily from reducing net deferred tax assets due to the reduction of the corporate Federal income tax rate, and the effect of a pension settlement charge of $488, after tax. Apart from these charges in 2017, net income available to common stockholders increased, driven by higher net income in Commercial Lines, Group Benefits and Hartford Funds that was partially attributable to a lower corporate Federal income tax rate in 2018. Higher earned premium and net investment income in Commercial Lines and Group Benefits, including from the acquisition of Aetna’s U.S. group life and disability business, increased fee income in Hartford Funds, more favorable prior accident year development in workers’ compensation, a lower current accident year loss ratio before catastrophes in Personal Lines and improved long term disability results, were partially offset by the effect of lower Personal Lines earned premium and higher insurance operating costs and other expenses, and a change to net realized capital losses.
Earned premiums increased primarily due to the acquisition of Aetna's U.S. group life and disability benefits business that has increased earned premiums in the Group Benefits segment. Earned premiums in Property and Casualty declined reflecting an 8% decline in Personal Lines, partially
offset by a 3% increase in Commercial Lines. For a discussion of the Company's operating results by segment, see MD&A - Segment Operating Summaries.
Fee income increased, reflecting higher income in Group Benefits related to an increase in administrative service contracts as a result of the acquisition from Aetna and in Hartford Funds largely due to higher average daily AUM during the year despite a decline in AUM at the end of the year.
Net investment income increased primarily due to a higher level of invested assets due to the acquisition of Aetna's U.S. group life and disability business. For further discussion of investment results, see MD&A - Investment Results, Net Investment Income.
Net realized capital losses of $112 in 2018 were down from net realized capital gains of $165 in 2017. Net losses in 2018 were primarily driven by net losses on sales of fixed maturity securities due to sector repositioning and duration, liquidity and credit management as well as net losses on equity securities resulting from depreciation in value due to lower equity market levels, partially offset by gains on sales due to tactical repositioning. For further discussion of investment results, see MD&A - Investment Results, Net Realized Capital Gains.
Benefits, losses and loss adjustment expenses increased in Group Benefits, partially offset by a decrease in Property & Casualty with the increase in Group Benefits primarily due to the effect of growth in earned premium
Part II - Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
largely resulting from the acquisition of Aetna's U.S. group life and disability business, partially offset by a lower group disability loss ratio. The decrease in incurred losses for Property & Casualty was driven by:
| • | Current accident year loss and loss adjustment expenses before catastrophes in Property & Casualty decreased, primarily resulting from the effect of lower Personal Lines earned premium and lower loss costs in auto, homeowners and general liability, partially offset by higher loss costs in workers’ compensation. |
| • | Current accident year catastrophe losses of $821, before tax, for the year ended December 31, 2018 decreased compared to $836, before tax, for the prior year period. Catastrophe losses in 2018 were primarily from wildfires in California, hurricanes Florence and Michael in the Southeast, wind and hail storms in Colorado, and various wind storms and winter storms across the country and are net of an estimated reinsurance recoverable of $82 under the 2018 Property Aggregate reinsurance treaty. Catastrophe losses in 2017 were primarily due to hurricanes Harvey and Irma in the third quarter, California wildfires, and multiple wind and hail events across various U.S. geographic regions, primarily in the Midwest, Colorado, Texas and the Southeast. For additional information, see MD&A - Critical Accounting Estimates, Property & Casualty Insurance Product Reserves, Net of Reinsurance. |
| • | Net prior accident year reserve development in Property & Casualty was favorable $167, before tax, for the year ended December 31, 2018 compared to favorable net reserve development of $41, before tax, for the prior year period. Prior accident year development in 2018 primarily included a decrease in reserves for workers’ compensation and a decrease in catastrophe reserves for the 2017 hurricanes. |
Amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs was relatively flat year over year as an increase in Commercial Lines was largely offset by a decrease in Personal Lines.
Insurance operating costs and other expenses decreased due to a $750 pension settlement charge in the 2017 period, partially offset by an increase in operating costs associated with the acquisition of Aetna's U.S. group life and disability business, increased commissions in Commercial Lines, and higher variable expenses in Hartford Funds.
Amortization of other intangible assets increased, reflecting the amortization of customer relationship intangibles in the Group Benefits segment that arose from the acquisition of the Aetna U.S. group life and disability business.
Income tax expense decreased primarily due to an $877 charge in 2017 due to a reduction in net deferred tax assets as a result of the lower corporate Federal income tax rate partially offset by an increase in before tax income and the effect of a lower corporate Federal income tax rate in 2018. Differences between the Company's effective income tax rate and the U.S. statutory rate of 21% and 35% in 2018 and 2017, respectively, are due primarily to tax-exempt interest earned on invested assets, stock-based compensation, non-deductible executive compensation and the effects of Tax Reform on net deferred tax
assets. For further discussion of income taxes, see Note 16 - Income Taxes of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements.
Income from discontinued operations, net of tax of $322 in 2018, increased from a net loss from discontinued operations of $2.9 billion in 2017. The $322 of income from discontinued operations in 2018 was mostly attributable to recognizing additional retained tax benefits from the sale of the life and annuity business in May 2018 and the reclassification of $193 of stranded tax effects from AOCI to retained earnings related to this sale, both of which reduced the estimated loss on sale. The reclassification of stranded tax effects resulted in a corresponding increase in AOCI related to the assets held for sale. For more information on the reclassification of stranded tax effects, see Note 1 - Basis of Presentation and Significant Accounting Policies of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements. The $2.9 billion net loss on discontinued operations in 2017 was driven by a $3.3 billion net loss on the sale of the life and annuity business which closed on May 31, 2018.
Year ended December 31, 2017 compared to the year ended December 31, 2016
Net income (loss) available to common stockholders decreased from net income in 2016 to a net loss in 2017 primarily due to a loss on discontinued operations of $2.9 billion related to the pending sale of the life and annuity business, a charge to income tax expense of $877 arising primarily from the reduction of net deferred tax assets due to the enactment of lower Federal income tax rates and a pension settlement charge of $488 after tax. Partially offsetting the decline were the effects of a $179 after tax change from net realized capital losses in 2016 to net realized capital gains in 2017, the effect of a $423 after tax charge in 2016 related to a loss on reinsurance covering the Company’s asbestos and environmental exposures and a reduction in the valuation allowance on capital loss carryovers in 2016. In addition, a $324 after tax improvement in P&C prior accident year development and higher earnings in Group Benefits and Hartford Funds were largely offset by a $273 after tax increase in current accident year catastrophes and higher variable incentive compensation.
Earned premiums increased by $444, before tax, reflecting growth of 3% in Commercial Lines, including the effect of the Maxum acquisition, and 14% in Group Benefits, including the effect of acquiring the Aetna U.S. group life and disability business, partially offset by a 5% decrease in Personal Lines. For a discussion of the Company's operating results by segment, see MD&A - Results of Operations by segment.
Fee income increased reflecting a 15% increase in Hartford Funds due to higher assets under management driven by market appreciation and positive net flows and the addition of Schroders funds in the fourth quarter of 2016. For a discussion of the Company's operating results by segment, see MD&A - Results of Operations by segment.
Net investment income increased 2%, primarily due to higher income from limited partnerships and other alternative investments, partially offset by lower make-whole payment income on fixed maturities and increased investment expenses. For further discussion of investment results, see MD&A - Investment Results, Net Investment Income (Loss).
Part II - Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
Net realized capital gains of $165 before tax compared to net realized capital losses of $110 before tax in 2016, primarily due to higher net gains on sales, lower impairments and the effect of losses in 2016 related to the sale of the Company's U.K. property and casualty run-off subsidiaries and the write-down of investments in solar energy partnerships in 2016 that generated tax benefits. For further discussion of investment results, see MD&A - Investment Results, Net Realized Capital Gains (Losses).
Benefits, losses and loss adjustment expenses increased 11% in Group Benefits and decreased 1% in P&C. The increase in Group Benefits was largely due to the acquisition of Aetna’s U.S. group life and disability business. The decrease in P&C was primarily due to the effect of unfavorable prior accident year reserve development in 2016, largely offset by higher catastrophe losses in 2017.
| • | Current accident year losses and loss adjustment expenses before catastrophes in Property & Casualty were relatively flat, primarily resulting from improved loss ratios and lower earned premiums in Personal Lines, offset by higher loss ratios in workers' compensation and general liability. |
| • | Current accident year catastrophe losses of $836, before tax, compared to $416, before tax, for the prior year period. Catastrophe losses in 2017 were primarily due to hurricanes Harvey and Irma, California wildfires and multiple wind and hail events across various U.S. geographic regions, primarily in the Midwest, Colorado, Texas and the Southeast. Catastrophe losses in 2016 were primarily due to multiple wind and hail and winter storm events across various U.S. geographic regions, concentrated in Texas and the central and southern plains and, to a lesser extent, winter storms and hurricane Matthew. For additional information, see MD&A - Critical Accounting Estimates, Property & Casualty Insurance Product Reserves, Net of Reinsurance. |
| • | Favorable prior accident year reserve development in Property & Casualty of $41, before tax, compared to unfavorable reserve development of $457, before tax, for the prior year period. Prior accident year development in 2017 primarily included decreases in reserves for workers’ compensation and small commercial package business, partially offset by an increase in reserves for bond claims. Prior accident year development in 2016 was largely due to a $268 increase in asbestos and environmental reserves and a $160 increase in Personal Lines automobile liability reserves. For additional information, see MD&A - Critical Accounting Estimates, Reserve Rollforwards and Development. |
Amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs was relatively flat as higher amortization on higher earned premium for Commercial Lines was offset by lower amortization on lower earned premium for Personal Lines.
Insurance operating costs and other expenses increased primarily due to a $750 pre-tax pension
settlement charge. Apart from the pension settlement charge, insurance operating costs and other expenses increased by 9%, primarily driven by higher variable incentive plan compensation, increased IT costs in Commercial Lines, higher variable expenses in Hartford Funds and $20, before tax, of state guaranty fund assessments in Group Benefits, partially offset by lower direct marketing and operation costs in Personal Lines. Effective with awards granted in March 2017, long-term incentive compensation awards to retirement-eligible employees now fully vest when they are granted, which resulted in an accelerated recognition of compensation expense in 2017 of $22 before tax. For additional information on the pension settlement charge in second quarter 2017, see Note 15 - Employee Benefit Plans of Notes to Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements.
Amortization of other intangible assets increased by $10 largely due to amortization of identifiable intangible assets recorded as a result of the acquisition of the Aetna U.S. group life and disability business, including in-force contracts, customer relationships and a marketing agreement with Aetna.
Income tax expense increased primarily due to a charge of $877 as a result of the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act ("Tax Reform") enacted in December, 2017. Among other changes, Tax Reform reduced the Federal corporate income tax rate from 35% to 21% effective January 1, 2018 which resulted in a reduction of the Company's net deferred tax assets, including its net operating loss carryovers. Also contributing to the increase in income tax expense were Federal income tax benefits of $113 in 2016 arising from investments in solar energy partnerships that generated tax benefits and the effect of a federal income tax benefit of $65 in 2016 related to the sale of the Company's U.K. property and casualty run-off subsidiaries.
Differences between the Company's effective income tax rate and the U.S. statutory rate of 35% are due primarily to the effects of Tax Reform on net deferred tax assets, tax exempt interest earned on invested assets, changes in the valuation allowance recorded on capital loss carryovers and federal tax credits associated with investments in solar energy partnerships. For further discussion of income taxes, see Note 16 - Income Taxes of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements.
Income (loss) from discontinued operations, net of tax decreased from income of $283 in 2016 to a net loss of $2.9 billion in 2017 with the net loss in 2017 due to a loss on sale of the Company’s life and annuity business of $3.3 billion, partially offset by operating income from discontinued operations of $388. Operating income from discontinued operations increased from $283 in 2016 primarily due to lower net realized capital losses in 2017. Apart from the reduction in net realized capital losses, earnings were relatively flat as an increase in the unlock benefit and lower interest credited were largely offset by lower net investment income and lower fee income due to the continued run off of the variable annuity block.
Part II - Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
INVESTMENT RESULTS
| Composition of Invested Assets | |||||||||||
| December 31, 2018 | December 31, 2017 | ||||||||||
| Amount | Percent | Amount | Percent | ||||||||
| Fixed maturities, available-for-sale ("AFS"), at fair value | $ | 35,652 | 76.2 | % | $ | 36,964 | 81.9 | % | |||
| Fixed maturities, at fair value using the fair value option ("FVO") | 22 | — | % | 41 | 0.1 | % | |||||
| Equity securities, at fair value [1] | 1,214 | 2.6 | % | ||||||||
| Equity securities, AFS, at fair value [1] | 1,012 | 2.3 | % | ||||||||
| Mortgage loans | 3,704 | 7.9 | % | 3,175 | 7.0 | % | |||||
| Limited partnerships and other alternative investments | 1,723 | 3.7 | % | 1,588 | 3.5 | % | |||||
| Other investments [2] | 192 | 0.4 | % | 96 | 0.2 | % | |||||
| Short-term investments | 4,283 | 9.2 | % | 2,270 | 5.0 | % | |||||
| Total investments | $ | 46,790 | 100.0 | % | $ | 45,146 | 100.0 | % |
| [1] | Effective January 1, 2018, with the adoption of new accounting standards for financial instruments, equity securities, AFS were reclassified to equity securities at fair value. |
| [2] | Primarily consists of investments of consolidated investment funds and derivative instruments which are carried at fair value. |
Year ended December 31, 2018 compared to the year ended December 31, 2017
Total investments increased primarily due to an increase in short-term investments and mortgage loans, largely offset by a decrease in fixed maturities, AFS.
Fixed maturities, AFS decreased primarily due to a decrease in valuations due to widening of spreads and higher interest rates.
Short-term investments increased due to proceeds from the sale of the life and annuity business sold in May 2018 and holding additional short-term investments in preparation to fund the Navigators acquisition and debt that matured in January 2019.
Mortgage Loans increased largely due to new originations of commercial mortgage loans within the industrial, multifamily and single family markets.
| Net Investment Income | |||||||||||||||||
| For the years ended December 31, | |||||||||||||||||
| 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | |||||||||||||||
| (Before tax) | Amount | Yield [1] | Amount | Yield [1] | Amount | Yield [1] | |||||||||||
| Fixed maturities [2] | $ | 1,459 | 3.9 | % | $ | 1,303 | 3.9 | % | $ | 1,319 | 4.0 | % | |||||
| Equity securities | 32 | 3.1 | % | 24 | 2.8 | % | 22 | 3.2 | % | ||||||||
| Mortgage loans | 141 | 4.1 | % | 124 | 4.1 | % | 116 | 4.2 | % | ||||||||
| Limited partnerships and other alternative investments | 205 | 13.2 | % | 174 | 12.0 | % | 128 | 8.6 | % | ||||||||
| Other [3] | 20 | 49 | 51 | ||||||||||||||
| Investment expense | (77 | ) | (71 | ) | (59 | ) | |||||||||||
| Total net investment income | $ | 1,780 | 4.0 | % | $ | 1,603 | 4.0 | % | $ | 1,577 | 4.0 | % | |||||
| Total net investment income excluding limited partnerships and other alternative investments | $ | 1,575 | 3.7 | % | $ | 1,429 | 3.7 | % | $ | 1,449 | 3.8 | % |
| [1] | Yields calculated using annualized net investment income divided by the monthly average invested assets at amortized cost as applicable, excluding repurchase agreement and securities lending collateral, if any, and derivatives book value. |
| [2] | Includes net investment income on short-term investments. |
| [3] | Primarily includes income from derivatives that qualify for hedge accounting and hedge fixed maturities. |
Year ended December 31, 2018 compared to the year ended December 31, 2017
Total net investment income increased primarily due to higher income from fixed maturities as a result of higher average asset levels during 2018 as compared to 2017 largely driven by the acquisition of Aetna's U.S. group life and disability business in November 2017. In addition, total net investment
income increased due to higher returns on private equity and real estate limited partnership investments as well as a higher reinvestment rate on fixed maturities.
Annualized net investment income yield, excluding non-routine items which include prepayment penalties on mortgage loans and make-whole payments on fixed maturities, was 3.7% in 2018 up from 3.6% for the same period for 2017.
Part II - Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
Average reinvestment rate, excluding certain U.S. Treasury securities and cash equivalent securities, for the year ended December 31, 2018, was approximately 4.0% which was above the average yield of sales and maturities of 3.7% for the same period. For the year ended December 31, 2018, the average reinvestment rate of 4.0% increased from 3.5% for the 2017 period, due to higher interest rates.
We expect the annualized net investment income yield for the 2019 calendar year, excluding limited partnerships and other alternative investments, to approximate the portfolio yield earned in 2018 though it could be higher depending on if reinvestment rates stay above the sales/maturity yield. The estimated impact on net investment income yield is subject to change as the composition of the portfolio changes through portfolio management and changes in market conditions.
Year ended December 31, 2017 compared to the year ended December 31, 2016
Total net investment income increased primarily due to higher income from limited partnerships and other alternative investments, partially offset by lower make whole payment income on fixed maturities and increased investment expense. Income from limited partnerships and other alternative investments increased due to higher valuation write-ups of private equity partnerships and strong returns on real estate investments in 2017.
| Net Realized Capital Gains (Losses) | |||||||||
| For the years ended December 31, | |||||||||
| (Before tax) | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | ||||||
| Gross gains on sales | $ | 114 | $ | 275 | $ | 222 | |||
| Gross losses on sales | (172 | ) | (113 | ) | (159 | ) | |||
| Equity securities [1] | (48 | ) | — | — | |||||
| Net other-than-temporary impairment ("OTTI") losses recognized in earnings [2] | (1 | ) | (8 | ) | (27 | ) | |||
| Valuation allowances on mortgage loans [3] | — | (1 | ) | — | |||||
| Transactional foreign currency revaluation | 1 | 14 | (78 | ) | |||||
| Non-qualifying foreign currency derivatives | 3 | (14 | ) | 83 | |||||
| Other, net [4] | (9 | ) | 12 | (151 | ) | ||||
| Net realized capital gains (losses) | $ | (112 | ) | $ | 165 | $ | (110 | ) |
| [1] | Effective January 1, 2018. with the adoption of new accounting standards for equity securities at fair value, includes all changes in fair value and trading gains and losses for equity securities. |
| [2] | See Other-Than-Temporary Impairments within the Investment Portfolio Risks and Risk Management section of the MD&A. |
| [3] | See Valuation Allowances on Mortgage Loans within the Investment Portfolio Risks and Risk Management section of the MD&A. |
| [4] | Primarily consists of changes in value of non-qualifying derivatives, including credit derivatives and interest rate derivatives used to manage duration. Also included for the year ended December 31, 2016, is a loss related to the write-down of investments in solar energy partnerships, which generated tax benefits, and a loss related to the sale of the Company's U.K. property and casualty run-off subsidiaries. |
Year ended December 31, 2018
Gross gains and losses on sales were primarily the result of sector repositioning and duration, liquidity and credit management within corporate securities, U.S. treasury securities and tax-exempt municipal bonds.
Equity securities net losses were driven by depreciation of equity securities due to lower equity market levels, partially offset by gains on sales due to tactical repositioning.
Other, net losses included losses of $11 related to credit derivatives due to credit spread widening.
Year ended December 31, 2017
Gross gains and losses on sales were primarily a result of duration, liquidity and credit management within corporate securities, U.S. treasury securities, equity securities, and tax-exempt municipal bonds.
Other, net gain included gains of $21 related to credit derivatives due to credit spread tightening, partially offset by losses of $7 related to equity derivatives hedging against the
impact of a decline in the equity market on the investment portfolio.
Year ended December 31, 2016
Gross gains and losses on sales were primarily a result of duration, liquidity and credit management within corporate securities, U.S. treasury securities, equity securities, and tax-exempt municipal bonds.
Other, net loss included losses of $96 related to the write-down of investments in solar energy partnerships that generated solar tax credits and losses of $81 associated with the Company's U.K. property and casualty run-off subsidiaries that were sold in May 2017. In addition, there were losses of $15 related to equity derivatives which were hedging against the impact of a decline in the equity market on the investment portfolio.
Part II - Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
CRITICAL ACCOUNTING ESTIMATES
The preparation of financial statements in conformity with U.S. GAAP requires management to make estimates and assumptions that affect the reported amounts of assets and liabilities and disclosure of contingent assets and liabilities at the date of the financial statements and the reported amounts of revenues and expenses during the reporting period. Actual results could differ, and in the past have differed, from those estimates.
The Company has identified the following estimates as critical in that they involve a higher degree of judgment and are subject to a significant degree of variability:
| • | property and casualty insurance product reserves, net of reinsurance; |
| • | group benefit long-term disability (LTD) reserves, net of reinsurance; |
| • | evaluation of goodwill for impairment; |
| • | valuation of investments and derivative instruments including evaluation of other-than-temporary impairments on available-for-sale securities and valuation allowances on mortgage loans; |
| • | valuation allowance on deferred tax assets; and |
| • | contingencies relating to corporate litigation and regulatory matters. |
Certain of these estimates are particularly sensitive to market conditions, and deterioration and/or volatility in the worldwide debt or equity markets could have a material impact on the Consolidated Financial Statements. In developing these estimates
management makes subjective and complex judgments that are inherently uncertain and subject to material change as facts and circumstances develop. Although variability is inherent in these estimates, management believes the amounts provided are appropriate based upon the facts available upon compilation of the financial statements.
Property & Casualty Insurance Product Reserves
P&C Loss and Loss Adjustment Expense Reserves,
Net of Reinsurance, by Segment as of December 31, 2018

Loss and LAE Reserves, Net of Reinsurance as of December 31, 2018
| Commercial Lines | Personal Lines | Property & Casualty Other Operations | Total Property & Casualty Insurance | % Total Reserves-net | |||||||||
| Workers’ compensation | $ | 10,005 | $ | — | $ | — | $ | 10,005 | 49.2% | ||||
| General liability | 2,276 | — | — | 2,276 | 11.2% | ||||||||
| Package business [1] | 1,609 | — | — | 1,609 | 7.9% | ||||||||
| Commercial property | 384 | — | — | 384 | 1.9% | ||||||||
| Automobile liability | 878 | 1,652 | — | 2,530 | 12.4% | ||||||||
| Automobile physical damage | 13 | 40 | — | 53 | 0.3% | ||||||||
| Professional liability | 578 | — | — | 578 | 2.8% | ||||||||
| Bond | 290 | — | — | 290 | 1.4% | ||||||||
| Homeowners | — | 642 | — | 642 | 3.2% | ||||||||
| Asbestos and environmental | 108 | 11 | 1,135 | 1,254 | 6.2% | ||||||||
| Assumed reinsurance | — | — | 113 | 113 | 0.6% | ||||||||
| All other | 177 | 3 | 438 | 618 | 3.0% | ||||||||
| Total reserves-net | 16,318 | 2,348 | 1,686 | 20,352 | 100.0% | ||||||||
| Reinsurance and other recoverables | 3,137 | 108 | 987 | 4,232 | |||||||||
| Total reserves-gross | $ | 19,455 | $ | 2,456 | $ | 2,673 | $ | 24,584 |
| [1] | Commercial Lines policy packages that include property and general liability coverages are generally referred to as the package line of business. |
For descriptions of the coverages provided under the lines of
Part II - Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
business shown above, see Part I - Item1, Business.
Overview of Reserving for Property and Casualty Insurance Claims
It typically takes many months or years to pay claims incurred under a property and casualty insurance product; accordingly, the Company must establish reserves at the time the loss is incurred. Most of the Company’s policies provide for occurrence-based coverage where the loss is incurred when a claim event happens like an automobile accident, house or building fire or injury to an employee under a workers’ compensation policy. Some of the Company's policies, mostly for directors and officers insurance and errors and omissions insurance, are claims-made policies where the loss is incurred in the period the claim event is reported to the Company even if the loss event itself occurred in an earlier period.
Loss and loss adjustment expense reserves provide for the estimated ultimate costs of paying claims under insurance policies written by the Company, less amounts paid to date. These reserves include estimates for both claims that have been reported and those that have not yet been reported, and include estimates of all expenses associated with processing and settling these claims. Incurred but not reported (“IBNR”) reserves represent the difference between the estimated ultimate cost of all claims and the actual loss and loss adjustment expenses reported to the Company by claimants (“reported losses”). Reported losses represent cumulative loss and loss adjustment expenses paid plus case reserves for outstanding reported claims. Company actuaries evaluate the total reserves (IBNR and case reserves) on an accident year basis. An accident year is the calendar year in which a loss is incurred, or, in the case of claims-made policies, the calendar year in which a loss is reported.
Factors that Change Reserve Estimates- Reserve estimates can change over time because of unexpected changes in the external environment. Inflation in medical care, hospital care, automobile parts, wages and home and building repair would cause claims to settle for more than they are initially reserved. Changes in the economy can cause an increase or decrease in the number of reported claims (claim frequency). For example, an improving economy could result in more automobile miles driven and a higher number of automobile reported claims, or a change in economic conditions can lead to more or less workers’ compensation reported claims. An increase in the number or percentage of claims litigated can increase the average settlement amount per claim (claim severity). Changes in the judicial environment can affect interpretations of damages and how policy coverage applies which could increase or decrease claim severity. Over time, judges or juries in certain jurisdictions may be more inclined to determine liability and award damages. New legislation can also change how damages are defined resulting in greater frequency or severity. In addition, new types of injuries may arise from exposures not contemplated when the policies were written. Past examples include pharmaceutical products, silica, lead paint, molestation or abuse and construction defects.
Reserve estimates can also change over time because of changes in internal Company operations. A delay or acceleration in handling claims may signal a need to increase or reduce reserves from what was initially estimated. New lines of business may have loss development patterns that are not well established. Changes in the geographic mix of business, changes in the mix of business
by industry and changes in the mix of business by policy limit or deductible can increase the risk that losses will ultimately develop differently than the loss development patterns assumed in our reserving. In addition, changes in the quality of risk selection in underwriting and changes in interpretations of policy language could increase or decrease ultimate losses from what was assumed in establishing the reserves.
In the case of assumed reinsurance, all of the above risks apply. The Company assumes insurance risk from certain pools and associations and, prior to 2004, assumed property and casualty risks from other insurance companies. Changes in the case reserving and reporting patterns of insurance companies ceding to The Hartford can create additional uncertainty in estimating the reserves. Due to the inherent complexity of the assumptions used, final claim settlements may vary significantly from the present estimates of direct and assumed reserves, particularly when those settlements may not occur until well into the future.
Reinsurance Recoverables- Through both facultative and treaty reinsurance agreements, the Company cedes a share of the risks it has underwritten to other insurance companies. The Company records reinsurance recoverables for loss and loss adjustment expenses ceded to its reinsurers representing the anticipated recovery from reinsurers of unpaid claims, including IBNR.
The Company estimates the portion of losses and loss adjustment expenses to be ceded based on the terms of any applicable facultative and treaty reinsurance, including an estimate of how IBNR for losses will ultimately be ceded.
The Company provides an allowance for uncollectible reinsurance, reflecting management’s best estimate of reinsurance cessions that may be uncollectible in the future due to reinsurers’ unwillingness or inability to pay. The estimated allowance considers the credit quality of the Company's reinsurers, recent outcomes in arbitration and litigation in disputes between reinsurers and cedants and recent communication activity between reinsurers and cedants that may signal how the Company’s own reinsurance claims may settle. Where its reinsurance contracts permit, the Company secures funding of future claim obligations with various forms of collateral, including irrevocable letters of credit, secured trusts, funds held accounts and group-wide offsets. The allowance for uncollectible reinsurance was $126 as of December 31, 2018, comprised of $20 related to Commercial Lines, $1 related to Personal Lines and $105 related to Property & Casualty Other Operations.
The Company’s estimate of reinsurance recoverables, net of an allowance for uncollectible reinsurance, is subject to similar risks and uncertainties as the estimate of the gross reserve for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses for direct and assumed exposures.
Review of Reserve Adequacy- The Hartford regularly reviews the appropriateness of reserve levels at the line of business or more detailed level, taking into consideration the variety of trends that impact the ultimate settlement of claims. For Property & Casualty Other Operations, asbestos and environmental (“A&E”) reserves are reviewed by type of event rather than by line of business.
Reserve adjustments, which may be material, are reflected in the operating results of the period in which the adjustment is
Part II - Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
determined to be necessary. In the judgment of management, information currently available has been properly considered in establishing the reserves for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses and in recording the reinsurance recoverables for ceded unpaid losses.
Reserving Methodology
For a discussion of how A&E reserves are set, see MD&A - P&C Insurance Product Reserves, Reserving for Asbestos and Environmental Claims within Property & Casualty Other Operations. The following is a discussion of the reserving methods used for the Company's property and casualty lines of business other than asbestos and environmental.
How Reserves Are Set- Reserves are set by line of business within the operating segments. A single line of business may be written in more than one segment. Case reserves are established by a claims handler on each individual claim and are adjusted as new information becomes known during the course of handling the claim. Lines of business for which reported losses emerge over a long period of time are referred to as long-tail lines of business. Lines of business for which reported losses emerge more quickly are referred to as short-tail lines of business. The Company’s shortest-tail lines of business are homeowners, commercial property and automobile physical damage. The longest tail lines of business include workers’ compensation, general liability, professional liability and assumed reinsurance. For short-tail lines of business, emergence of paid loss and case reserves is credible and likely indicative of ultimate losses. For long-tail lines of business, emergence of paid losses and case reserves is less credible in the early periods after a given accident year and, accordingly, may not be indicative of ultimate losses.
Use of Actuarial Methods and Judgments- The Company’s reserving actuaries regularly review reserves for both current and prior accident years using the most current claim data. A variety of actuarial methods and judgments are used for most lines of business to arrive at selections of estimated ultimate losses and loss adjustment expenses. In 2018, new methods were added to inform these selections where appropriate. The reserve selections incorporate input, as appropriate, from claims personnel, pricing actuaries and operating management about reported loss cost trends and other factors that could affect the reserve estimates. Most reserves are reviewed fully each quarter, including loss and loss adjustment expense reserves for homeowners, commercial property, automobile physical damage, automobile liability, package property business, and workers’ compensation. Other reserves, including most general liability and professional liability lines, are reviewed semi-annually. Certain additional reserves are also reviewed semi-annually or annually, including reserves for losses incurred in accident years older than twelve years for Personal Lines and older than twenty years for Commercial Lines, as well as reserves for bond, assumed reinsurance, latent exposures such as construction defects, and unallocated loss adjustment expenses. For reserves that are reviewed semi-annually or annually, management monitors the emergence of paid and reported losses in the intervening quarters and, if necessary, performs a reserve review to determine whether the reserve estimate should change.
An expected loss ratio is used in initially recording the reserves for both short-tail and long-tail lines of business. This expected
loss ratio is determined by starting with the average loss ratio of recent prior accident years and adjusting that ratio for the effect of expected changes to earned pricing, loss frequency and severity, mix of business, ceded reinsurance and other factors. For short-tail lines, IBNR for the current accident year is initially recorded as the product of the expected loss ratio for the period, earned premium for the period and the proportion of losses expected to be reported in future calendar periods for the current accident period. For long-tailed lines, IBNR reserves for the current accident year are initially recorded as the product of the expected loss ratio for the period and the earned premium for the period, less reported losses for the period.
As losses emerge or develop in periods subsequent to a given accident year, reserving actuaries use other methods to estimate ultimate unpaid losses in addition to the expected loss ratio method. These primarily include paid and reported loss development methods, frequency/severity techniques and the Bornhuetter-Ferguson method (a combination of the expected loss ratio and paid development or reported development method). Within any one line of business, the methods that are given more influence vary based primarily on the maturity of the accident year, the mix of business and the particular internal and external influences impacting the claims experience or the methods. The output of the reserve reviews are reserve estimates that are referred to herein as the “actuarial indication”.
Reserve Discounting- Most of the Company’s property and casualty insurance product reserves are not discounted. However, the Company has discounted liabilities funded through structured settlements and has discounted certain reserves for indemnity payments due to permanently disabled claimants under workers’ compensation policies. For further discussion of these discounted liabilities, see Note 1 - Basis of Presentation and Significant Accounting Policies of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements.
Differences Between GAAP and Statutory Basis Reserves- As of December 31, 2018 and 2017, U.S. property and casualty insurance product reserves for losses and loss adjustment expenses, net of reinsurance recoverables, reported under U.S. GAAP were less than net reserves reported on a statutory basis. The primary difference between the statutory and GAAP reserve amounts is due to a reinsurance recoverable on ceded asbestos and environmental adverse reserve development under a retroactive reinsurance agreement between the Company and National Indemnity Company ("NICO"), a subsidiary of Berkshire Hathaway Inc. ("Berkshire"), which is included as a reduction of other liabilities under statutory accounting.
Reserving Methods by Line of Business- Apart from A&E which is discussed in the following section on Property & Casualty Other Operations, below is a general discussion of which reserving methods are preferred by line of business. Because the actuarial estimates are generated at a much finer level of detail than line of business (e.g., by distribution channel, coverage, accident period), other methods than those described for the line of business may also be employed for a coverage and accident year within a line of business. Also, as circumstances change, the methods that are given more influence will change.
Part II - Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
Preferred Reserving Methods by Line of Business
| Commercial property, homeowners and automobile physical damage | These short-tailed lines are fast-developing and paid and reported development techniques are used as these methods use historical data to develop paid and reported loss development patterns, which are then applied to cumulative paid and reported losses by accident period to estimate ultimate losses. In addition to paid and reported development methods, for the most immature accident months, the Company uses frequency and severity techniques and the initial expected loss ratio. The advantage of frequency/severity techniques is that frequency estimates are generally easier to predict and external information can be used to supplement internal data in estimating average severity. |
| Personal automobile liability | For automobile liability, and bodily injury in particular, the Company performs a greater number of techniques than it does for commercial property, homeowners and automobile physical damage. In addition to traditional paid and reported development methods, the Company relies on frequency/severity techniques and Berquist-Sherman techniques. Because the paid development technique is affected by changes in claim closure patterns and the reported development method is affected by changes in case reserving practices, the Company uses Berquist-Sherman techniques which adjust these patterns to reflect current settlement rates and case reserving practices. The Company generally uses the reported development method for older accident years and a combination of reported development, frequency/severity and Berquist-Sherman methods for more recent accident years. For older accident periods, reported losses are a good indicator of ultimate losses given the high percentage of ultimate losses reported to date. For more recent periods, the frequency/severity techniques are not affected as much by changes in case reserve practices and changing disposal rates and the Berquist-Sherman techniques specifically adjust for these changes. |
| Automobile liability for commercial lines | For older, more mature accident years, the Company primarily uses reported development techniques. For more recent accident years, the Company relies on several methods that incorporate expected loss ratios, reported loss development, paid loss development, frequency/severity, case reserve adequacy, and claim settlement rates. |
| Professional liability | Reported and paid loss development patterns for this line tend to be volatile. Therefore, the Company typically relies on frequency and severity techniques. |
| General liability, bond and large deductible workers’ compensation | For these long-tailed lines of business, the Company generally relies on the expected loss ratio and reported development techniques. The Company generally weights these techniques together, relying more heavily on the expected loss ratio method at early ages of development and more on the reported development method as an accident year matures. |
| Workers’ compensation | Workers’ compensation is the Company’s single largest reserve line of business and a wide range of methods are used. Methods include paid and reported development techniques, the expected loss ratio and Bornhuetter-Ferguson methods, and an in-depth analysis on the largest states. In recent years, we have seen an acceleration of paid losses relative to historical patterns and have adjusted our expected loss development patterns accordingly. This acceleration is due to an increase in lump sum settlements to claimants across multiple accident years. Adjusting for the effect of an acceleration in payments compared to historical patterns, paid loss development techniques are generally preferred for the workers' compensation line, particularly for more mature accident years. For less mature accident years, the Company places greater reliance on expected loss ratio methods. |
| Assumed reinsurance and all other | For these lines, the Company tends to rely mostly on reported development techniques. In assumed reinsurance, assumptions are influenced by information gained from claim and underwriting audits. |
| Allocated loss adjustment expenses (ALAE) | For some lines of business (e.g., professional liability and assumed reinsurance), ALAE and losses are analyzed together. For most lines of business, however, ALAE is analyzed separately, using paid development techniques and a ratio of paid ALAE to paid loss is applied to loss reserves to estimate unpaid ALAE. |
| Unallocated loss adjustment expenses (ULAE) | ULAE is analyzed separately from loss and ALAE. For most lines of business, incurred ULAE costs to be paid in the future are projected based on an expected claim handling cost per claim year, the anticipated claim closure pattern and the ratio of paid ULAE to paid loss is applied to estimated unpaid losses. |
In the final step of the reserve review process, senior reserving actuaries and senior management apply their judgment to determine the appropriate level of reserves considering the actuarial indications and other factors not contemplated in the actuarial indications. Those factors include, but are not limited to, the assessed reliability of key loss trends and assumptions used in the current actuarial indications, the maturity of the accident year, pertinent trends observed over the recent past, the level of volatility within a particular line of business, and the improvement or deterioration of actuarial indications in the current period as compared to the prior periods. The Company also considers the magnitude of the difference between the actuarial indication and the recorded reserves. As of December 31, 2018, recorded reserves were above the actuarial indications by an amount comparable with December 31, 2017.
Based on the results of the quarterly reserve review process, the Company determines the appropriate reserve adjustments, if any, to record. In general, adjustments are made more quickly to more mature accident years and less volatile lines of business. Such
adjustments of reserves are referred to as “prior accident year development”. Increases in previous estimates of ultimate loss costs are referred to as either an increase in prior accident year reserves or as unfavorable reserve development. Decreases in previous estimates of ultimate loss costs are referred to as either a decrease in prior accident year reserves or as favorable reserve development. Reserve development can influence the comparability of year over year underwriting results.
For a discussion of changes to reserve estimates recorded in 2018, see the Reserve Development section below.
Current Trends Contributing to Reserve Uncertainty
The Hartford is a multi-line company in the property and casualty insurance business. The Hartford is therefore subject to reserve uncertainty stemming from changes in loss trends and other conditions which could become material at any point in time. As market conditions and loss trends develop, management must
Part II - Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
assess whether those conditions constitute a long-term trend that should result in a reserving action (i.e., increasing or decreasing the reserve).
General liability- Within Commercial Lines and Property & Casualty Other Operations, the Company has exposure to general liability claims, including from bodily injury, property damage and product liability. Reserves for these exposures can be particularly difficult to estimate due to the long development pattern and uncertainty about how cases will settle. In particular, the Company has exposure to bodily injury claims that is the result of long-term or continuous exposure to harmful products or substances. Examples include, but are not limited to, pharmaceutical products, silica, talcum powder, head injuries and lead paint. The Company also has exposure to claims from construction defects, where property damage or bodily injury from negligent construction is alleged. In addition, the Company has exposure to claims asserted against religious institutions and other organizations relating to molestation or abuse. Such exposures may involve potentially long latency periods and may implicate coverage in multiple policy periods. These factors make reserves for such claims more uncertain than other bodily injury or property damage claims. With regard to these exposures, the Company monitors trends in litigation, the external environment, the similarities to other mass torts and the potential impact on the Company’s reserves.
Workers’ compensation- Included in middle market and specialty commercial, workers’ compensation is the Company’s single biggest line of business and the property and casualty line of business with the longest pattern of loss emergence. To the extent that patterns in the frequency of settlement payments deviate from historical patterns, loss reserve estimates would be less reliable. Medical costs make up approximately 50% of workers’ compensation payments. As such, reserve estimates for workers’ compensation are particularly sensitive to changes in medical inflation, the changing use of medical care procedures and changes in state legislative and regulatory environments. In addition, a deteriorating economic environment can reduce the ability of an injured worker to return to work and lengthen the time a worker receives disability benefits. Within specialty commercial, reserves for large deductible workers’ compensation insurance require estimating losses attributable to the deductible amount that will be paid by the insured; if such losses are not paid by the insured due to financial difficulties, the Company is contractually liable.
**Commercial Lines automobile-**Uncertainty in estimated claim severity causes reserve variability for commercial automobile losses including reserve variability due to changes in internal claim handling and case reserving practices as well as due to changes in the external environment.
Directors' and officers' insurance- Uncertainty regarding the number and severity of class action suits can result in reserve volatility for both directors' and officers' insurance claims. Additionally, the Company’s exposure to losses under directors’ and officers’ insurance policies is primarily in excess layers, making estimates of loss more complex.
Personal Lines automobile- In Personal Lines, while claims emerge over relatively shorter periods, estimates can still vary due to a number of factors, including uncertain estimates of frequency and severity trends, particularly for auto liability
claims. Severity trends are affected by changes in internal claim handling and case reserving practices as well as by changes in the external environment. Changes in claim practices increase the uncertainty in the interpretation of case reserve data, which increases the uncertainty in recorded reserve levels. Severity trends have increased in recent accident years, in part driven by more expensive parts associated with new automobile technology, causing additional uncertainty about the reliability of past patterns. In addition, the introduction of new products and class plans has led to a different mix of business by type of insured than the Company experienced in the past. Such changes in mix increase the uncertainty of the reserve projections, since historical data and reporting patterns may not be applicable to the new business.
Impact of Key Assumptions on Reserves
As stated above, the Company’s practice is to estimate reserves using a variety of methods, assumptions and data elements within its reserve estimation process. The Company does not consistently use statistical loss distributions or confidence levels around its reserve estimate and, as a result, does not disclose reserve ranges.
Across most lines of business, the most important reserve assumptions are future loss development factors applied to paid or reported losses to date. The trend in loss cost frequency and severity is also a key assumption, particularly in the most recent accident years, where loss development factors are less credible.
The following discussion discloses possible variation from current estimates of loss reserves due to a change in certain key indicators of potential losses. For automobile liability lines in both Personal Lines and Commercial Lines, the key indicator is the annual loss cost trend, particularly the severity trend component of loss costs. For workers’ compensation and general liability, loss development patterns are a key indicator, particularly for more mature accident years. For workers’ compensation, paid loss development patterns have been impacted by medical cost inflation and other changes in loss cost trends. For general liability, loss development patterns have been impacted by, among other things, emergence of new types of claims (e.g., construction defect claims) and a shift in the mixture between smaller, more routine claims and larger, more complex claims.
Each of the impacts described below is estimated individually, without consideration for any correlation among key indicators or among lines of business. Therefore, it would be inappropriate to take each of the amounts described below and add them together in an attempt to estimate volatility for the Company’s reserves in total. For any one reserving line of business, the estimated variation in reserves due to changes in key indicators is a reasonable estimate of possible variation that may occur in the future, likely over a period of several calendar years. The variation discussed is not meant to be a worst-case scenario, and, therefore, it is possible that future variation may be more than the amounts discussed below.
Part II - Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
| Possible Change in Key Indicator | Reserves, Net of Reinsurance December 31, 2018 | Estimated Range of Variation in Reserves | |
| Personal Automobile Liability | +/- 2.5. points to the annual assumed change in loss cost severity for the two most recent accident years | $1.7 billion | +/- $80 |
| Commercial Automobile Liability | +/- 2.5 points to the annual assumed change in loss cost severity for the two most recent accident years | $0.9 billion | +/- $20 |
| Workers' Compensation | 2.0% change in paid loss development patterns | $10.0 billion | +/- $400 |
| General Liability | 10% change in reported loss development patterns | $2.3 billion | +/- $200 |
Reserving for Asbestos and Environmental Claims
How A&E Reserves are Set- The process for establishing reserves for asbestos and environmental claims first involves estimating the required reserves gross of ceded reinsurance and then estimating reinsurance recoverables. In establishing reserves for gross asbestos claims, the Company evaluates its insureds’ estimated liabilities for such claims by examining exposures for individual insureds and assessing how coverage applies. The Company considers a variety of factors, including the jurisdictions where underlying claims have been brought, past, pending and anticipated future claim activity, the level of plaintiff demands, disease mix, past settlement values of similar claims, dismissal rates, allocated loss adjustment expense, and potential impact of other defendants being in bankruptcy.
Similarly, the Company reviews exposures to establish gross environmental reserves. The Company considers several factors in estimating environmental liabilities, including historical values of similar claims, the number of sites involved, the insureds’ alleged activities at each site, the alleged environmental damage, the respective shares of liability of potentially responsible parties, the appropriateness and cost of remediation, the nature of governmental enforcement activities or mandated remediation efforts and potential impact of other defendants being in bankruptcy.
After evaluating its insureds’ probable liabilities for asbestos and/or environmental claims, the Company evaluates the insurance coverage in place for such claims. The Company considers its insureds’ total available insurance coverage, including the coverage issued by the Company. The Company also considers relevant judicial interpretations of policy language, the nature of how policy limits are enforced on multi-year policies and applicable coverage defenses or determinations, if any.
The estimated liabilities of insureds and the Company’s exposure to the insureds depends heavily on an analysis of the relevant legal issues and litigation environment. This analysis is conducted by the Company’s lawyers and is subject to applicable privileges.
For both asbestos and environmental reserves, the Company also analyzes its historical paid and reported losses and expenses year by year, to assess any emerging trends, fluctuations or characteristics suggested by the aggregate paid and reported activity. The historical losses and expenses are analyzed on both a direct basis and net of reinsurance.
Once the gross ultimate exposure for indemnity and allocated loss adjustment expense is determined for its insureds by each policy year, the Company calculates its ceded reinsurance projection based on any applicable facultative and treaty reinsurance and the Company’s experience with reinsurance collections. See the section that follows entitled Adverse Development Cover that discusses the impact the reinsurance agreement with NICO may have on future adverse development of asbestos and environmental reserves, if any.
Uncertainties Regarding Adequacy of A&E Reserves- A number of factors affect the variability of estimates for gross asbestos and environmental reserves including assumptions with respect to the frequency of claims, the average severity of those claims settled with payment, the dismissal rate of claims with no payment, resolution of coverage disputes with our policyholders and the expense to indemnity ratio. Reserve estimates for gross asbestos and environmental reserves are subject to greater variability than reserve estimates for more traditional exposures.
The process of estimating asbestos and environmental reserves remains subject to a wide variety of uncertainties, which are detailed in Note 14 - Commitments and Contingencies of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements. The Company believes that its current asbestos and environmental reserves are appropriate. Future developments could cause the Company to change its estimates of its gross asbestos and environmental reserves and if cumulative ceded losses under the adverse development cover (“ADC”) with NICO exceed the ceded premium paid of $650, there could be significant variability in net income due to timing differences between when gross reserves are increased and when reinsurance recoveries are recognized. Consistent with past practice, the Company will continue to monitor its reserves in Property & Casualty Other Operations regularly, including its annual reviews of asbestos liabilities, reinsurance recoverables, the allowance for uncollectible reinsurance, and environmental liabilities. Where future developments indicate, we will make appropriate adjustments to the reserves at that time. In 2018 and 2017, the Company completed the comprehensive annual review of asbestos and environmental reserves during the fourth quarter, instead of the second quarter as it had done in previous years.
Total P&C Insurance Product Reserves Development
In the opinion of management, based upon the known facts and current law, the reserves recorded for the Company’s property and casualty insurance products at December 31, 2018 represent the Company’s best estimate of its ultimate liability for losses and loss adjustment expenses related to losses covered by policies written by the Company. However, because of the significant
Part II - Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
uncertainties surrounding reserves, it is possible that management’s estimate of the ultimate liabilities for these claims may change in the future and that the required adjustment to
currently recorded reserves could be material to the Company’s results of operations and liquidity.
Rollforward of Property and Casualty Insurance Product Liabilities for Unpaid Losses and LAE for the Year Ended December 31, 2018
| Commercial Lines | Personal Lines | Property & Casualty Other Operations | Total Property & Casualty Insurance | |||||||||
| Beginning liabilities for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses, gross | $ | 18,893 | $ | 2,294 | $ | 2,588 | $ | 23,775 | ||||
| Reinsurance and other recoverables | 3,147 | 71 | 739 | 3,957 | ||||||||
| Beginning liabilities for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses, net | 15,746 | 2,223 | 1,849 | 19,818 | ||||||||
| Provision for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses | ||||||||||||
| Current accident year before catastrophes | 4,037 | 2,249 | — | 6,286 | ||||||||
| Current accident year ("CAY") catastrophes | 275 | 546 | — | 821 | ||||||||
| Prior accident year development ("PYD") | (200 | ) | (32 | ) | 65 | (167 | ) | |||||
| Total provision for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses | 4,112 | 2,763 | 65 | 6,940 | ||||||||
| Less: payments | 3,540 | 2,638 | 228 | 6,406 | ||||||||
| Ending liabilities for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses, net | 16,318 | 2,348 | 1,686 | 20,352 | ||||||||
| Reinsurance and other recoverables | 3,137 | 108 | 987 | 4,232 | ||||||||
| Ending liabilities for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses, gross | $ | 19,455 | $ | 2,456 | $ | 2,673 | $ | 24,584 | ||||
| Earned premiums and fee income | $ | 7,081 | $ | 3,439 | ||||||||
| Loss and loss expense paid ratio [1] | 50.0 | 76.7 | ||||||||||
| Loss and loss expense incurred ratio | 58.4 | 81.3 | ||||||||||
| Prior accident year development (pts) [2] | (2.8 | ) | (0.9 | ) |
[1]The “loss and loss expense paid ratio” represents the ratio of paid losses and loss adjustment expenses to earned premiums.
| [2] | “Prior accident year development (pts)” represents the ratio of prior accident year development to earned premiums. |
| Current Accident Year Catastrophe Losses for the Year Ended December 31, 2018, Net of Reinsurance | |||||||||
| Commercial Lines | Personal Lines | Total | |||||||
| Wind and hail | $ | 124 | $ | 164 | $ | 288 | |||
| Winter storms | 50 | 25 | 75 | ||||||
| Flooding | 1 | 1 | 2 | ||||||
| Volcanic eruption | — | 2 | 2 | ||||||
| Wildfire | 56 | 384 | 440 | ||||||
| Hurricanes | 71 | 23 | 94 | ||||||
| Massachusetts gas explosion | 1 | — | 1 | ||||||
| Earthquake | — | 1 | 1 | ||||||
| Total catastrophe losses | 303 | 600 | 903 | ||||||
| Less: reinsurance recoverable under the property aggregate treaty [1] | (28 | ) | (54 | ) | (82 | ) | |||
| Net catastrophe losses | $ | 275 | $ | 546 | $ | 821 |
[1]Refers to reinsurance recoverable under the Company's Property Aggregate treaty. For further information on the treaty, refer to Part II, Item 7, MD&A — Enterprise Risk Management — Insurance Risk.
Part II - Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
| Unfavorable (Favorable) Prior Accident Year Development for the Year Ended December 31, 2018 | ||||||||||||
| Commercial Lines | Personal Lines | Property & Casualty Other Operations | Total Property & Casualty Insurance | |||||||||
| Workers’ compensation | $ | (164 | ) | $ | — | $ | — | $ | (164 | ) | ||
| Workers’ compensation discount accretion | 40 | — | — | 40 | ||||||||
| General liability | 52 | — | — | 52 | ||||||||
| Package business | (26 | ) | — | — | (26 | ) | ||||||
| Commercial property | (12 | ) | — | — | (12 | ) | ||||||
| Professional liability | (12 | ) | — | — | (12 | ) | ||||||
| Bond | 2 | — | — | 2 | ||||||||
| Automobile liability | (15 | ) | (18 | ) | — | (33 | ) | |||||
| Homeowners | — | (25 | ) | — | (25 | ) | ||||||
| Net asbestos reserves | — | — | — | — | ||||||||
| Net environmental reserves | — | — | — | — | ||||||||
| Catastrophes | (67 | ) | 18 | — | (49 | ) | ||||||
| Uncollectible reinsurance | — | — | 22 | 22 | ||||||||
| Other reserve re-estimates, net | 2 | (7 | ) | 43 | 38 | |||||||
| Total prior accident year development | $ | (200 | ) | $ | (32 | ) | $ | 65 | $ | (167 | ) |
During 2018, the Company’s re-estimates of prior accident year reserves included the following significant reserve changes:
Workers’ compensation reserves were reduced in small commercial and middle market, primarily for accident years 2014 and 2015, as claim severity has emerged favorably compared to previous reserve estimates. Also contributing was a reduction in estimated reserves for unallocated loss adjustment expense ("ULAE").
General liability reserves were increased, primarily due to an increase in reserves for higher hazard general liability exposures in middle market for accident years 2009 to 2017, partially offset by a decrease in reserves for other lines within middle market, including premises and operations, umbrella and products liability, principally for accident years 2015 and prior. Contributing to the increase in reserves for higher hazard general liability exposures was an increase in average claim severity, including from large losses and, in more recent accident years, an increase in claim frequency. Contributing to the reduction in reserves for other middle market lines were more favorable outcomes due to initiatives to reduce legal expenses. In addition, reserve increases for claims with lead paint exposure were offset by reserve decreases for other mass torts and extra-contractual liability claims.
Package business reserves were reduced, primarily due to lower reserve estimates for both liability and property for accident years 2010 and prior, including a recovery of loss adjustment expenses for the 2005 accident year.
Commercial property reserves were reduced, driven by an increase in estimated reinsurance recoverables on middle market property losses from the 2017 accident year.
Professional liability reserves were reduced, principally for accident years 2014 and prior, for directors and
officers liability claims principally due to a number of older claims closing with limited or no payment.
Automobile liability reserves were reduced, primarily driven by reduced estimates of loss adjustment expenses in small commercial for recent accident years and favorable development in personal automobile liability for accident years 2014 to 2017, principally due to lower severity, including with uninsured and underinsured motorist claims.
Homeowners reserves were reduced, primarily in accident years 2013 to 2017, driven by lower than expected severity across multiple perils.
Asbestos and environmental reserves were unchanged as $238 of adverse development arising from the fourth quarter 2018 comprehensive annual review was offset by a $238 recoverable from NICO. For additional information related to the adverse development cover with NICO, see Note 8 - Reinsurance and Note 14 - Commitments and Contingencies of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements.
Catastrophe reserves were reduced, primarily as a result of lower estimated net losses from 2017 catastrophes, principally related to hurricanes Harvey and Irma. Before reinsurance, estimated losses for 2017 catastrophe events decreased by $133, resulting in a decrease in reinsurance recoverables of $90 as the Company no longer expects to recover under the 2017 Property Aggregate reinsurance treaty as aggregate ultimate losses for 2017 catastrophe events are now projected to be less than $850.
Uncollectible reinsurance reserves were increased due to lower anticipated recoveries related to older accident years.
Other reserve re-estimates, net, primarily represents an increase in ULAE reserves in Property & Casualty
Part II - Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
Other Operations that was principally driven by an increase in expected claim handling costs associated with asbestos and environmental and mass tort claims.
Rollforward of Property and Casualty Insurance Product Liabilities for Unpaid Losses and LAE for the Year Ended December 31, 2017
| Commercial Lines | Personal Lines | Property & Casualty Other Operations | Total Property & Casualty Insurance | |||||||||
| Beginning liabilities for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses, gross | $ | 17,950 | $ | 2,094 | $ | 2,501 | $ | 22,545 | ||||
| Reinsurance and other recoverables | 3,037 | 25 | 426 | 3,488 | ||||||||
| Beginning liabilities for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses, net | 14,913 | 2,069 | 2,075 | 19,057 | ||||||||
| Provision for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses | ||||||||||||
| Current accident year before catastrophes | 3,961 | 2,584 | — | 6,545 | ||||||||
| Current accident year catastrophes | 383 | 453 | — | 836 | ||||||||
| Prior accident year development | (22 | ) | (37 | ) | 18 | (41 | ) | |||||
| Total provision for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses | 4,322 | 3,000 | 18 | 7,340 | ||||||||
| Less: payments | 3,489 | 2,846 | 244 | 6,579 | ||||||||
| Ending liabilities for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses, net | 15,746 | 2,223 | 1,849 | 19,818 | ||||||||
| Reinsurance and other recoverables | 3,147 | 71 | 739 | 3,957 | ||||||||
| Ending liabilities for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses, gross | $ | 18,893 | $ | 2,294 | $ | 2,588 | $ | 23,775 | ||||
| Earned premiums and fee income | $ | 6,902 | $ | 3,734 | ||||||||
| Loss and loss expense paid ratio [1] | 50.6 | 76.2 | ||||||||||
| Loss and loss expense incurred ratio | 63.0 | 81.3 | ||||||||||
| Prior accident year development (pts) [2] | (0.3 | ) | (1.0 | ) |
| [1] | The “loss and loss expense paid ratio” represents the ratio of paid losses and loss adjustment expenses to earned premiums and fee income. |
| [2] | “Prior accident year development (pts)” represents the ratio of prior accident year development to earned premiums. |
| Current Accident Year Catastrophe Losses for the Year Ended December 31, 2017, Net of Reinsurance | |||||||||
| Commercial Lines | Personal Lines | Total | |||||||
| Wind and hail | $ | 138 | $ | 176 | $ | 314 | |||
| Hurricanes [1] | 236 | 68 | 304 | ||||||
| Wildfires | 51 | 253 | 304 | ||||||
| Winter storms | 1 | 3 | 4 | ||||||
| Total catastrophe losses | 426 | 500 | 926 | ||||||
| Less: reinsurance recoverable under the property aggregate treaty [2] | (43 | ) | (47 | ) | (90 | ) | |||
| Net catastrophe losses | $ | 383 | $ | 453 | $ | 836 |
[1]Includes catastrophe losses from Hurricane Harvey and Hurricane Irma of $170 and $121, respectively.
[2]Refers to reinsurance recoverable under the Company's Property Aggregate treaty. For further information on the treaty, refer to Part II, Item 7, MD&A — Enterprise Risk Management — Insurance Risk.
Part II - Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
| Unfavorable (Favorable) Prior Accident Year Development for the Year Ended December 31, 2017 | ||||||||||||
| Commercial Lines | Personal Lines | Property & Casualty Other Operations | Total Property & Casualty Insurance | |||||||||
| Workers’ compensation | $ | (79 | ) | $ | — | $ | — | $ | (79 | ) | ||
| Workers’ compensation discount accretion | 28 | — | — | 28 | ||||||||
| General liability | 11 | — | — | 11 | ||||||||
| Package business | (25 | ) | — | — | (25 | ) | ||||||
| Commercial property | (8 | ) | — | — | (8 | ) | ||||||
| Professional liability | 1 | — | — | 1 | ||||||||
| Bond | 32 | — | — | 32 | ||||||||
| Automobile liability | 17 | — | — | 17 | ||||||||
| Homeowners | — | (14 | ) | — | (14 | ) | ||||||
| Net asbestos reserves | — | — | — | — | ||||||||
| Net environmental reserves | — | — | — | — | ||||||||
| Catastrophes | — | (16 | ) | — | (16 | ) | ||||||
| Uncollectible reinsurance | (15 | ) | — | — | (15 | ) | ||||||
| Other reserve re-estimates, net | 16 | (7 | ) | 18 | 27 | |||||||
| Total prior accident year development | $ | (22 | ) | $ | (37 | ) | $ | 18 | $ | (41 | ) |
During 2017, the Company’s re-estimates of prior accident year reserves included the following significant reserve changes:
Workers’ compensation reserves were reduced in small commercial and middle market, given the continued emergence of favorable frequency, primarily for accident years 2013 to 2015, as well as a reduction in estimated reserves for ULAE, partially offset by strengthening reserves for captive programs within specialty commercial.
General liability reserves were increased for the 2013 to 2016 accident years on a class of business that insures service and maintenance contractors. This increase was partially offset by a decrease in recent accident year reserves for other middle market general liability reserves.
Package business reserves were reduced for accident years 2013 and prior largely due to reducing the Company’s estimate of allocated loss adjustment expenses incurred to settle the claims.
Bond business reserves increased for customs bonds written between 2000 and 2010 which was partly offset by a reduction in reserves for recent accident years as reported losses for commercial and contract surety have emerged favorably.
Automobile liability reserves within Commercial Lines were increased in small commercial and large national accounts for the 2013 to 2016 accident years, driven by higher frequency of more severe accidents, including litigated claims.
Asbestos and environmental reserves were unchanged as $285 of adverse development arising from the fourth quarter 2017 comprehensive annual review was offset by a $285 recoverable from NICO. For additional information related to the adverse development cover with NICO, see Note 8 - Reinsurance and Note 14 - Commitments and Contingencies of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements.
Catastrophes reserves were reduced primarily due to lower estimates of 2016 wind and hail event losses and a decrease in losses on a 2015 wildfire.
Uncollectible reinsurance reserves decreased as a result of giving greater weight to favorable collectibility experience in recent calendar periods in estimating future collections.
Part II - Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
Rollforward of Property and Casualty Insurance Product Liabilities for Unpaid Losses and LAE for the Year Ended December 31, 2016
| Commercial Lines | Personal Lines | Property & Casualty Other Operations | Total Property & Casualty Insurance | |||||||||
| Beginning liabilities for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses, gross | $ | 17,302 | $ | 1,845 | $ | 3,421 | $ | 22,568 | ||||
| Reinsurance and other recoverables | 3,036 | 19 | 570 | 3,625 | ||||||||
| Beginning liabilities for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses, net | 14,266 | 1,826 | 2,851 | 18,943 | ||||||||
| Add: Maxum Acquisition | 122 | — | — | 122 | ||||||||
| Provision for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses | ||||||||||||
| Current accident year before catastrophes | 3,766 | 2,808 | — | 6,574 | ||||||||
| Current accident year catastrophes | 200 | 216 | — | 416 | ||||||||
| Prior accident year development | 28 | 151 | 278 | 457 | ||||||||
| Total provision for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses | 3,994 | 3,175 | 278 | 7,447 | ||||||||
| Less: payments | 3,469 | 2,932 | 567 | 6,968 | ||||||||
| Less: net reserves transferred to liabilities held for sale [1] | — | — | 487 | 487 | ||||||||
| Ending liabilities for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses, net | 14,913 | 2,069 | 2,075 | 19,057 | ||||||||
| Reinsurance and other recoverables | 3,037 | 25 | 426 | 3,488 | ||||||||
| Ending liabilities for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses, gross | $ | 17,950 | $ | 2,094 | $ | 2,501 | $ | 22,545 | ||||
| Earned premiums and fee income | $ | 6,690 | $ | 3,937 | ||||||||
| Loss and loss expense paid ratio [2] | 51.9 | 74.5 | ||||||||||
| Loss and loss expense incurred ratio | 60.1 | 81.5 | ||||||||||
| Prior accident year development (pts) [3] | 0.4 | 3.9 |
| [1] | Represents liabilities classified as held-for-sale as of December 31, 2016 and subsequently transferred to the buyer in connection with the sale of the Company's U.K. property and casualty run-off subsidiaries in May 2017. For discussion of the sale transaction, see Note 20 - Business Dispositions and Discontinued Operations of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements. |
| [2] | The “loss and loss expense paid ratio” represents the ratio of paid losses and loss adjustment expenses to earned premiums and fee income. |
| [3] | “Prior accident year development (pts)” represents the ratio of prior accident year development to earned premiums. |
| Current Accident Year Catastrophe Losses for the Year Ended December 31, 2016, Net of Reinsurance | |||||||||
| Commercial Lines | Personal Lines | Total | |||||||
| Wind and hail | $ | 156 | $ | 186 | $ | 342 | |||
| Winter storms | 24 | 7 | $ | 31 | |||||
| Hurricane Matthew | 17 | 16 | $ | 33 | |||||
| Wildfires | 3 | 7 | 10 | ||||||
| Total Catastrophe Losses | $ | 200 | $ | 216 | $ | 416 |
Part II - Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
| Unfavorable (Favorable) Prior Accident Year Development for the Year Ended December 31, 2016 | ||||||||||||
| Commercial Lines | Personal Lines | Property & Casualty Other Operations | Total Property & Casualty Insurance | |||||||||
| Workers’ compensation | $ | (119 | ) | $ | — | $ | — | $ | (119 | ) | ||
| Workers’ compensation discount accretion | 28 | — | — | 28 | ||||||||
| General liability | 65 | — | — | 65 | ||||||||
| Package business | 65 | — | — | 65 | ||||||||
| Commercial property | 1 | — | — | 1 | ||||||||
| Professional liability | (37 | ) | — | — | (37 | ) | ||||||
| Bond | (8 | ) | — | — | (8 | ) | ||||||
| Automobile liability | 57 | 160 | — | 217 | ||||||||
| Homeowners | — | (10 | ) | — | (10 | ) | ||||||
| Net asbestos reserves | — | — | 197 | 197 | ||||||||
| Net environmental reserves | — | — | 71 | 71 | ||||||||
| Catastrophes | (4 | ) | (3 | ) | — | (7 | ) | |||||
| Uncollectible reinsurance | (30 | ) | — | — | (30 | ) | ||||||
| Other reserve re-estimates, net | 10 | 4 | 10 | 24 | ||||||||
| Total prior accident year development | $ | 28 | $ | 151 | $ | 278 | $ | 457 |
During 2016, the Company’s re-estimates of prior accident year reserves included the following significant reserve changes:
Workers' compensation reserves consider favorable emergence on reported losses for recent accident years as well as a partially offsetting adverse impact related to two recent Florida Supreme Court rulings that have increased the Company’s exposure to workers’ compensation claims in that state. The favorable emergence has been driven by lower frequency and, to a lesser extent, lower medical severity and management has placed additional weight on this favorable experience as it becomes more credible.
General liability reserves increased for accident years 2012 - 2015 primarily due to higher severity losses incurred on a class of business that insures service and maintenance contractors and increased for accident years 2008 and 2010 primarily due to indemnity losses and legal costs associated with a litigated claim.
Package business reserves increased due to higher than expected severity on liability claims, principally for accident years 2013 - 2015. Severity for these accident years has developed unfavorably and management has placed more weight on emerged experience.
Professional liability reserves decreased for claims made years 2008 - 2013, primarily for large accounts, including on non-securities class action cases. Claim costs have emerged favorably as these years have matured and management has placed more weight on the emerged experience.
Automobile liability reserves increased due to increases in both commercial lines automobile and personal lines automobile. Commercial automobile liability reserves increased, predominately for the 2015 accident year, primarily due to increased frequency of large claims. Personal automobile liability reserves increased, primarily related to increased bodily injury
frequency and severity for the 2015 accident year, including for uninsured and under-insured motorist claims, and increased bodily injury severity for the 2014 accident year. Increases in automobile liability loss costs were across both the direct and agency distribution channels.
Asbestos and environmental reserves were increased during the period as a result of the second quarter 2016 comprehensive annual review.
Uncollectible reinsurance reserves decreased as a result of giving greater weight to favorable collectibility experience in recent calendar periods in estimating future collections.
Property & Casualty Other Operations
Net reserves and reserve activity in Property & Casualty Other Operations are categorized and reported as Asbestos, Environmental, and “All other”. The “All other” category of reserves covers a wide range of insurance and assumed reinsurance coverages, including, but not limited to, potential liability for construction defects, lead paint, silica, pharmaceutical products, head injuries, molestation and other long-tail liabilities. In addition to various insurance and assumed reinsurance exposures, "All other" includes unallocated loss adjustment expense reserves. "All other" also includes the Company’s allowance for uncollectible reinsurance. When the Company commutes a ceded reinsurance contract or settles a ceded reinsurance dispute, net reserves for the related cause of loss (including asbestos, environmental or all other) are increased for the portion of the allowance for uncollectible reinsurance attributable to that commutation or settlement.
Part II - Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
P&C Other Operations
Total Reserves, Net of Reinsurance

Asbestos and Environmental Reserves
Reserves for asbestos and environmental are primarily within P&C Other Operations with less significant amounts of asbestos and environmental reserves included within Commercial Lines and Personal Lines. The following tables include all asbestos and environmental reserves, including reserves in P&C Other Operations and Commercial Lines and Personal Lines.
Asbestos and Environmental Net Reserves
| Asbestos | Environmental | |||||
| 2018 | ||||||
| Property and Casualty Other Operations | $ | 984 | $ | 151 | ||
| Commercial Lines and Personal Lines | 67 | 52 | ||||
| Ending liability — net | $ | 1,051 | $ | 203 | ||
| 2017 | ||||||
| Property and Casualty Other Operations | $ | 1,143 | $ | 182 | ||
| Commercial Lines and Personal Lines | 72 | 55 | ||||
| Ending liability — net | $ | 1,215 | $ | 237 | ||
| 2016 | ||||||
| Property and Casualty Other Operations | $ | 1,282 | $ | 234 | ||
| Commercial Lines and Personal Lines | 81 | 58 | ||||
| Ending liability — net | $ | 1,363 | $ | 292 |
Property & Casualty Reserves
Asbestos and Environmental Summary as of December 31, 2018
| Asbestos | Environmental | Total A&E | ||||||||
| Gross | ||||||||||
| Direct | $ | 1,442 | $ | 359 | $ | 1,801 | ||||
| Assumed Reinsurance | 431 | 54 | 485 | |||||||
| Total | 1,873 | 413 | 2,286 | |||||||
| Ceded- other than NICO | (472 | ) | (37 | ) | (509 | ) | ||||
| Ceded - NICO ADC | (350 | ) | (173 | ) | (523 | ) | ||||
| Net | $ | 1,051 | $ | 203 | $ | 1,254 |
Rollforward of Asbestos and Environmental Losses and LAE
| Asbestos | Environmental | |||||
| 2018 | ||||||
| Beginning liability — net | $ | 1,215 | $ | 237 | ||
| Losses and loss adjustment expenses incurred [1] | — | — | ||||
| Losses and loss adjustment expenses paid | (164 | ) | (34 | ) | ||
| Reclassification of allowance for uncollectible insurance [4] | — | — | ||||
| Ending liability — net | $ | 1,051 | $ | 203 | ||
| 2017 | ||||||
| Beginning liability — net | $ | 1,363 | $ | 292 | ||
| Losses and loss adjustment expenses incurred [1] | — | — | ||||
| Losses and loss adjustment expenses paid | (149 | ) | (55 | ) | ||
| Reclassification of allowance for uncollectible insurance [4] | 1 | — | ||||
| Ending liability — net | $ | 1,215 | $ | 237 | ||
| 2016 | ||||||
| Beginning liability — net | $ | 1,803 | $ | 318 | ||
| Losses and loss adjustment expenses incurred | 197 | 71 | ||||
| Losses and loss adjustment expenses paid [2] | (462 | ) | (56 | ) | ||
| Reclassification of allowance for uncollectible insurance [4] | 30 | — | ||||
| Net reserves transferred to liabilities held for sale [3] | (205 | ) | (41 | ) | ||
| Ending liability — net | $ | 1,363 | $ | 292 |
| [1] | Cumulative incurred losses of $523, net, have been ceded to NICO under an adverse development cover reinsurance agreement. See the section that follows entitled ADC for additional information. |
| [2] | Included $289 related to the settlement in 2016 of PPG Industries, Inc. ("PPG") asbestos liabilities, net of reinsurance billed to third-party reinsurers. |
| [3] | A&E liabilities classified as held for sale related to the sale of the Company's U.K. property and casualty run-off subsidiaries. |
| [4] | Related to the reclassification of an allowance for uncollectible reinsurance from the "All Other" category of P&C Other Operations reserves. |
Part II - Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
Adverse Development Cover
Effective December 31, 2016, the Company entered into an A&E ADC reinsurance agreement with NICO, a subsidiary of Berkshire Hathaway Inc., to reduce uncertainty about potential adverse development. Under the ADC, the Company paid a reinsurance premium of $650 for NICO to assume adverse net loss and allocated loss adjustment expense reserve development up to $1.5 billion above the Company’s existing net A&E reserves as of December 31, 2016 of approximately $1.7 billion. The $650 reinsurance premium was placed in a collateral trust account as security for NICO’s claim payment obligations to the Company. The Company has retained the risk of collection on amounts due from other third-party reinsurers and continues to be responsible for claims handling and other administrative services, subject to certain conditions. The ADC covers substantially all the Company’s A&E reserve development up to the reinsurance limit.
Under retroactive reinsurance accounting, net adverse A&E reserve development after December 31, 2016, will result in an offsetting reinsurance recoverable up to the $1.5 billion limit. Cumulative ceded losses up to the $650 reinsurance premium paid are recognized as a dollar-for-dollar offset to net losses incurred before ceding to the ADC. Cumulative ceded losses exceeding the $650 reinsurance premium paid would result in a deferred gain. The deferred gain would be recognized over the claim settlement period in the proportion of the amount of cumulative ceded losses collected from the reinsurer to the estimated ultimate reinsurance recoveries. Consequently, until periods when the deferred gain is recognized as a benefit to earnings, cumulative adverse development of A&E claims after December 31, 2016 in excess of $650 may result in significant charges against earnings.
As of December 31, 2018, the Company has incurred a cumulative $523 in adverse development on A&E reserves that have been ceded under the ADC treaty with NICO, leaving approximately $977 of coverage available for future adverse net reserve development, if any.
Net and Gross Survival Ratios
Net and gross survival ratios are a measure of the quotient of the carried reserves divided by average annual payments (net of reinsurance and on a gross basis) and is an indication of the number of years that carried reserves would last (i.e. survive) if future annual payments were consistent with the calculated historical average.
The survival ratios shown below are calculated for the one and three year periods ended December 31, 2018. The net basis survival ratio has been materially affected by the adverse development cover entered into between the Company and NICO. The Company cedes adverse asbestos and environmental development in excess of its December 31, 2016 net carried reserves of $1.7 billion to NICO up to a limit of $1.5 billion. Since December 31, 2016, net reserves for asbestos and environmental have been declining as the Company has had no net incurred losses but continues to pay down net loss reserves. This has the effect of reducing the one- and three-year net survival ratios shown in the table below. For asbestos, the table also presents the net survival ratios excluding the effect of the PPG settlement in 2016. See section that follows entitled Major Categories of Asbestos Accounts for discussion of the PPG settlement.
Net and Gross Survival Ratios
| Asbestos | Environmental | |
| One year net survival ratio | 6.4 | 5.9 |
| Three year net survival ratio- excluding PPG settlement | 6.6 | 4.2 |
| One year gross survival ratio | 8.6 | 8.3 |
| Three year gross survival ratio - excluding PPG settlement | 9.1 | 7.1 |
Asbestos and Environmental
Paid and Incurred Losses and LAE Development
| Asbestos | Environmental | |||||||||||
| Paid Losses & LAE | Incurred Losses & LAE | Paid Losses & LAE | Incurred Losses & LAE | |||||||||
| 2018 | ||||||||||||
| Gross | $ | 218 | $ | 252 | $ | 50 | $ | 83 | ||||
| Ceded- other than NICO | (54 | ) | (85 | ) | (16 | ) | (12 | ) | ||||
| Ceded - NICO ADC | — | (167 | ) | (71 | ) | |||||||
| Net | $ | 164 | $ | — | $ | 34 | $ | — | ||||
| 2017 | ||||||||||||
| Gross | $ | 199 | $ | 306 | $ | 66 | $ | 126 | ||||
| Ceded- other than NICO | (50 | ) | (123 | ) | (11 | ) | (24 | ) | ||||
| Ceded - NICO ADC | — | (183 | ) | — | (102 | ) | ||||||
| Net | $ | 149 | $ | — | $ | 55 | $ | — | ||||
| 2016 | ||||||||||||
| Gross | $ | 535 | $ | 257 | $ | 61 | $ | 77 | ||||
| Ceded- other than NICO | (73 | ) | (60 | ) | (5 | ) | (6 | ) | ||||
| Ceded - NICO ADC | — | — | — | — | ||||||||
| Net | $ | 462 | $ | 197 | $ | 56 | $ | 71 |
Annual Reserve Reviews
Review of Asbestos Reserves
Since 2017, the Company has performed its regular comprehensive annual review of asbestos reserves in the fourth quarter. As part of the evaluation in the fourth quarter of 2018, the Company reviewed all of its open direct domestic insurance accounts exposed to asbestos liability, as well as assumed reinsurance accounts.
During the 2018 fourth quarter review, the Company increased estimated reserves before NICO reinsurance by $167, primarily due to an increase in average mesothelioma settlement values driven by elevated plaintiff demands and defendant bankruptcies. The rise in plaintiff demands also resulted in higher than anticipated defense costs for a small subset of peripheral defendants with a high concentration of asbestos filings in specific, adverse jurisdictions. In addition, the Company observed unfavorable developments in the application of coverage that resulted in increased liability shares on certain insureds. An
Part II - Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
increase in reserves from umbrella and excess policies in the 1981-1985 policy years contributed to the adverse development. The increase in reserves was offset by a $167 reinsurance recoverable under the NICO treaty.
As a result of the 2017 fourth quarter review, the Company increased estimated reserves before NICO reinsurance by $183, primarily due to mesothelioma claim filings not declining as expected, unfavorable developments in coverage law in some jurisdictions and continued filings in specific, adverse jurisdictions. An increase in reserves from umbrella and excess policies in the 1981-1985 policy years contributed to the adverse development. This increase in reserves was offset by a $183 reinsurance recoverable under the NICO treaty.
During the 2016 second quarter review, a substantial majority of the Company’s direct accounts trended as expected, and the Company observed no material changes in the underlying legal environment. However, mesothelioma claims filings have not declined as expected for a small subset of peripheral defendants with a high concentration of asbestos filings in specific, adverse jurisdictions. As a result, aggregate indemnity and defense costs did not decline as expected. While the mesothelioma and adverse jurisdiction claim trends observed in the 2016 comprehensive annual review were similar to the 2015 comprehensive annual review, most of the defendants that had reserve increases in the 2016 review did not have a material impact in the 2015 review. Based on this evaluation, the Company increased its net asbestos reserves for prior year development by $197 in second quarter 2016.
Review of Environmental Reserves
Since 2017, the Company has performed its regular comprehensive annual review of environmental reserves in the fourth quarter. As part of its evaluation in the fourth quarter of 2018, the Company reviewed all of its open direct domestic insurance accounts exposed to environmental liability, as well as assumed reinsurance accounts.
As a result of the 2018 fourth quarter review, the Company increased estimated reserves before NICO reinsurance by $71 due to increased defense and clean-up costs associated with increasingly complex remediation plans at Superfund sites, intensifying regulatory scrutiny by state agencies (particularly in the Pacific Northwest), and increased liability shares due to unavailability of other responsible parties. The increase in environmental reserves was offset by a $71 reinsurance recoverable under the NICO treaty.
As a result of the 2017 comprehensive annual review, the Company increased estimated reserves before NICO reinsurance by $102. This increase was offset by a reinsurance recoverable of $102 under the NICO cover. A substantial majority of the Company’s direct environmental accounts trended as expected. However, a small percentage of the Company’s direct accounts exhibited deterioration due to increased clean-up costs and liability shares associated with Superfund sites and sediments in waterways, as well as adverse legal rulings, most notably from jurisdictions in the Pacific Northwest.
During the 2016 comprehensive annual review, a substantial majority of the Company's direct environmental accounts trended as expected. However, a small percentage of the Company's direct accounts exhibited deterioration associated with the tendering of new sites for coverage, increased defense
costs stemming from individual bodily injury liability suits, and increased clean-up costs associated with waterways. Based on this evaluation, the Company increased its net environmental reserves for prior year development by $71 in second quarter 2016.
Major Categories of Asbestos Accounts
Direct asbestos exposures include both Known and Unallocated Direct Accounts.
| • | Known Direct Accounts- includes both Major Asbestos Defendants and Non-Major Accounts, and represent approximately 69% of the Company's total Direct gross asbestos reserves as of December 31, 2018 compared to approximately 63% as of December 31, 2017. Major Asbestos Defendants have been defined as the “Top 70” accounts in Tillinghast's published Tiers 1 and 2 and Wellington accounts, while Non-Major accounts are comprised of all other direct asbestos accounts and largely represent smaller and more peripheral defendants. Major Asbestos Defendants have the fewest number of asbestos accounts and up through second quarter 2016 had included reserves related to PPG Industries, Inc. (“PPG”). In May 2016, the Company pre-paid its funding obligation in the amount of $315 as permitted under the settlement agreement, arising from participation in a 2002 settlement of asbestos liabilities of PPG. The Company's funding obligation approximated the amount reserved for this exposure. |
| • | Unallocated Direct Accounts**-** includes an estimate of the reserves necessary for asbestos claims related to direct insureds that have not previously tendered asbestos claims to the Company and exposures related to liability claims that may not be subject to an aggregate limit under the applicable policies. These exposures represent approximately 31% of the Company's Direct gross asbestos reserves as of December 31, 2018 compared to approximately 37% as of December 31, 2017. |
Review of "All Other" Reserves in Property & Casualty Other Operations
In the fourth quarters of 2018, 2017 and 2016, the Company completed evaluations of certain of its non-asbestos and non-environmental reserves in Property & Casualty Other Operations, including its assumed reinsurance liabilities, unallocated loss adjustment expense reserves, and allowance for uncollectible reinsurance. Overall prior year development on all other reserves resulted in increases (decreases) of $65, $18 and $(20), respectively for calendar years 2018, 2017 and 2016. Included in the 2018 adverse reserve development was a $38 increase in reserves for unallocated loss adjustment expenses, primarily due to an increase in expected aggregate claim handling costs associated with asbestos and environmental claims.
The Company provides an allowance for uncollectible reinsurance, reflecting management’s best estimate of reinsurance cessions that may be uncollectible in the future due to reinsurers’ unwillingness or inability to pay. During the second and third quarters of 2018, the Company increased the allowance by $19, largely driven by potential coverage disputes on a limited number of claims. During the fourth quarters of 2018 and 2017, and second quarter of 2016, the Company completed its annual evaluations of the collectability of the reinsurance recoverables and the adequacy of the allowance for uncollectible reinsurance associated with older, long-term casualty liabilities reported in
Part II - Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
Property & Casualty Other Operations. In conducting these evaluations, the company used its most recent detailed evaluations of ceded liabilities reported in the segment. The Company analyzed the overall credit quality of the Company’s reinsurers, recent trends in arbitration and litigation outcomes in disputes between cedants and reinsurers, and recent developments in commutation activity between reinsurers and cedants. As of December 31, 2018, 2017, and 2016 the allowance for uncollectible reinsurance for Property & Casualty Other Operations totaled $105, $86 and $136, respectively. Due to the inherent uncertainties as to collection and the length of time before reinsurance recoverables become due, particularly for older, long-term casualty liabilities, it is possible that future adjustments to the Company’s reinsurance recoverables, net of the allowance, could be required.
Impact of Re-estimates on Property and Casualty Insurance Product Reserves
Estimating property and casualty insurance product reserves uses a variety of methods, assumptions and data elements.
Ultimate losses may vary materially from the current estimates. Many factors can contribute to these variations and the need to change the previous estimate of required reserve levels. Prior accident year reserve development is generally due to the emergence of additional facts that were not known or anticipated at the time of the prior reserve estimate and/or due to changes in interpretations of information and trends.
The table below shows the range of annual reserve re-estimates experienced by The Hartford over the past ten years. The amount of prior accident year development (as shown in the reserve rollforward) for a given calendar year is expressed as a percent of the beginning calendar year reserves, net of reinsurance. The ranges presented are significantly influenced by the facts and circumstances of each particular year and by the fact that only the last ten years are included in the range. Accordingly, these percentages are not intended to be a prediction of the range of possible future variability. For further discussion of the potential for variability in recorded loss reserves, see Preferred Reserving Methods by Line of Business - Impact of Changes in Key Assumptions on Reserve Volatility section.
Range of Prior Accident Year Unfavorable (Favorable) Development for the Ten Years Ended December 31, 2018
| Commercial Lines | Personal Lines | Property & Casualty Other Operations | Total Property & Casualty [1] | |
| Annual range of prior accident year unfavorable (favorable) development for the ten years ended December 31, 2018 | (3.1%) - 1.0% | (6.9%) - 8.3% | 0.9% - 9.8% | (1.1%) - 2.4% |
| [1] | Excluding the reserve increases for asbestos and environmental reserves, over the past ten years, reserve re-estimates for total property and casualty insurance ranged from (2.5%) to 1.0%**. |
The potential variability of the Company’s property and casualty insurance product reserves would normally be expected to vary by segment and the types of loss exposures insured by those segments. Illustrative factors influencing the potential reserve variability for each of the segments are discussed under Critical Accounting Estimates for Property & Casualty Insurance Product Reserves and Asbestos and Environmental Reserves. See the section entitled Property & Casualty Other Operations, Annual Reserve Reviews about the impact that the ADC retroactive reinsurance agreement with NICO may have on net reserve changes of asbestos and environmental reserves going forward.
The following table summarizes the effect of reserve re-estimates, net of reinsurance, on calendar year operations for the ten-year period ended December 31, 2018. The total of each column details the amount of reserve re-estimates made in the indicated calendar year and shows the accident years to which the re-estimates are applicable. The amounts in the total column on the far right represent the cumulative reserve re-estimates during the ten year period ended December 31, 2018 for the indicated accident year in each row.
Part II - Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
Effect of Net Reserve Re-estimates on Calendar Year Operations
| Calendar Year | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2009 | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | Total | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| By Accident Year | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2008 & Prior | $ | (186 | ) | $ | (157 | ) | $ | 135 | $ | (19 | ) | $ | (28 | ) | $ | 345 | $ | 327 | $ | 291 | $ | 83 | $ | (58 | ) | $ | 733 | ||||||
| 2009 | (39 | ) | (13 | ) | (24 | ) | (8 | ) | 7 | 7 | 10 | (12 | ) | 20 | (52 | ) | |||||||||||||||||
| 2010 | 245 | 3 | 61 | (22 | ) | 16 | 15 | 16 | 1 | 335 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2011 | 36 | 148 | (4 | ) | 12 | (6 | ) | 6 | 11 | 203 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2012 | 19 | — | (55 | ) | (35 | ) | (12 | ) | (15 | ) | (98 | ) | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 2013 | (98 | ) | (43 | ) | (29 | ) | (33 | ) | (2 | ) | (205 | ) | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 2014 | (14 | ) | 20 | (19 | ) | (54 | ) | (67 | ) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2015 | 191 | (41 | ) | (93 | ) | 57 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2016 | (29 | ) | 14 | (15 | ) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2017 | 9 | 9 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Increase (decrease) in net reserves | $ | (186 | ) | $ | (196 | ) | $ | 367 | $ | (4 | ) | $ | 192 | $ | 228 | $ | 250 | $ | 457 | $ | (41 | ) | $ | (167 | ) | $ | 900 |
Accident years 2008 and Prior
The net increases in estimates of ultimate losses for accident years 2008 and prior are driven mostly by increased reserves for asbestos and environmental reserves, and also by increased estimates for customs bonds and other mass torts claims.
Partially offsetting these reserve increases was favorable development in general liability and workers’ compensation. Additionally, reserves for professional liability were reduced due to a lower estimate of claim severity in both directors’ and officers’ and errors and omissions insurance claims. Reserves for personal automobile liability claims were reduced largely due to improvement in emerged claim severity.
Accident year 2009
Estimates of ultimate losses have emerged favorably for accident year 2009 mainly related to personal automobile liability.
Accident years 2010 and 2011
Unfavorable changes in estimates of ultimate losses on accident years 2010 and 2011 were primarily related to workers' compensation and commercial automobile liability. Workers' compensation loss cost trends were higher than initially expected as an increase in frequency outpaced a moderation of severity trends. Unfavorable commercial automobile liability reserve re-estimates were driven by higher frequency of large loss bodily injury claims.
Accident years 2012 and 2013
Estimates of ultimate losses were decreased for accident years 2012 and 2013 due to favorable frequency and/or medical severity trends for workers’ compensation, favorable professional liability claim emergence, and lower frequency of late emerging general liability claims for the 2012 accident year. Favorable emergence of property lines of business, including catastrophes, for the 2013 accident year, is partially offset by increased reserves in automobile liability due to increased severity of large claims.
Accident years 2014 and 2015
Changes in estimates of ultimate losses for accident years 2014 and 2015 were largely driven by unfavorable frequency and
severity trends for personal and commercial automobile liability and increased severity of liability claims on package business, offset by favorable frequency and medical severity trends for workers' compensation.
Accident year 2016
Estimates of ultimate losses were decreased for the 2016 accident year largely due to reserve decreases on short-tail lines of business, where results emerge more quickly, somewhat offset by unfavorable reserve estimates for higher hazard general liability exposures due to increased frequency and severity trends.
Accident year 2017
Ultimate loss estimates were increased for the 2017 accident year mainly due to unfavorable reserve estimates in general liability, bond and commercial auto liability, largely offset by a reserve release related to catastrophes. General liability was related to higher hazard exposures which experienced increased frequency and severity trends. Unfavorable bond reserve re-estimates were driven by one large claim.
Group Benefit Long-term Disability ("LTD") Reserves, Net of Reinsurance
The Company establishes reserves for group life and accident & health contracts, including long-term disability coverage, for both outstanding reported claims and claims related to insured events that the Company estimates have been incurred but have not yet been reported. These reserve estimates can change over time based on facts and interpretations of circumstances, and consideration of various internal factors including The Hartford’s experience with similar cases, claim payment patterns, loss control programs and mix of business. In addition, the reserve estimates are influenced by various external factors including court decisions and economic conditions. The effects of inflation are implicitly considered in the reserving process. Long-tail claim liabilities are discounted because the payment pattern and the ultimate costs are reasonably fixed and determinable on an
Part II - Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
individual claim basis. The majority of Group Benefits’ reserves are for LTD claimants who are known to be disabled and are currently receiving benefits. The Company held $6,767 and $6,807 of LTD unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses, net of reinsurance, as of December 31, 2018 and 2017, respectively.
Reserving Methodology
How Reserves are Set - A Disabled Life Reserve ("DLR") is calculated for each LTD claim. The DLR for each claim is the expected present value of all future benefit payments starting with the known monthly gross benefit which is reduced for estimates of the expected claim recovery due to return to work or claimant death, offsets from other income including offsets from Social Security benefits, and discounting where the discount rate is tied to expected investment yield at the time the claim is incurred. Estimated future benefit payments represent the monthly income benefit that is paid until recovery, death or expiration of benefits. Claim recoveries are estimated based on claim characteristics such as age and diagnosis and represent an estimate of benefits that will terminate, generally as a result of the claimant returning to work or being deemed able to return to work. For claims recently closed due to recovery, a portion of the DLR is retained for the possibility that the claim reopens upon further evidence of disability. In addition, a reserve for estimated unpaid claim expenses is included in the DLR.
The DLR also includes a liability for potential payments to pending claimants beyond the elimination period who have not yet been approved for LTD. In these cases, the present value of future benefits is reduced for the likelihood of claim denial based on Company experience.
Estimates for incurred but not reported ("IBNR") claims are made by applying completion factors to expected emerged experience by line of business. Included within IBNR are bulk reserves for claims reported but still within the waiting period, typically 3 or 6 months depending on the contract. Completion factors are derived from standard actuarial techniques using triangles that display historical claim count emergence by incurral month. These estimates are reviewed for reasonableness and are adjusted for current trends and other factors expected to cause a change in claim emergence. The reserves include an estimate of unpaid claim expenses, including a provision for the cost of initial set-up of the claim once reported.
For all products, including LTD, there is a period generally ranging from two to twelve months, depending on the product and line of business, where emerged claims for an incurral year are not yet credible enough to be a basis for estimating reserves. In these cases, the ultimate loss is estimated using earned premium multiplied by an expected loss ratio based on pricing assumptions of claim incidence, claim severity, and earned pricing.
Current Trends Contributing to Reserve Uncertainty
In group insurance, LTD has the longest pattern of loss emergence and the highest reserve amount. One significant risk to the reserve would be a slowdown in recoveries. In particular, the economic environment can affect the ability of a disabled employee to return-to-work and the length of time an employee receives disability benefits. Another significant risk is a change in benefit offsets. Often the Company pays a reduced benefit due to offsets from other income sources such as pensions or Social Security Disability Insurance ("SSDI"). Possible changes to the frequency, timing, or amount of offsets, such as a change in SSDI
approval standards or benefit offerings, create a risk that the amount to settle open claims will exceed initial estimates. Since the monthly income benefit for a claimant is established based on the individual’s salary at the time of disability and the level of coverages and benefits provided, inflation is not considered a significant risk to the reserve estimate. Few of the Company’s LTD policies provide for cost of living adjustments to the monthly income benefit.
Impact of Key Assumptions on Reserves
The key assumptions affecting our group life and accident & health reserves include:
Discount Rate - The discount rate is the interest rate at which expected future claim cash flows are discounted to determine the present value. A higher selected discount rate results in a lower reserve. If the discount rate is higher than our future investment returns, our invested assets will not earn enough investment income to cover the discount accretion on our claim reserves which would negatively affect our profits. For each incurral year, the discount rates are estimated based on investment yields expected to be earned net of investment expenses. The incurral year is the year in which the claim is incurred and the estimated settlement pattern is determined. Once established, discount rates for each incurral year are unchanged except that LTD reserves assumed from the acquisition of Aetna's U.S. group life and disability business are all discounted using current rates as of the November 1, 2017 acquisition date. The weighted average discount rate on LTD reserves was 3.4% and 3.5% in 2018 and 2017, respectively. Had the discount rate for each incurral year been 10 basis points lower at the time they were established, our LTD unpaid loss and loss adjustment expense reserves would be higher by $32, pretax, as of December 31, 2018.
Claim Termination Rates (inclusive of mortality, recoveries, and expiration of benefits) - Claim termination rates are an estimate of the rate at which claimants will cease receiving benefits during a given calendar year. Terminations result from a number of factors, including death, recoveries and expiration of benefits. The probability that benefits will terminate in each future month for each claim is estimated using a predictive model that uses past Company experience, contract provisions, job characteristics and other claimant-specific characteristics such as diagnosis, time since disability began, and age. Actual claim termination experience will vary from period to period. Over the past 10 years, claim termination rates for a single incurral year have generally increased and have ranged from 6% below to 13% above current assumptions over that time period. For a single recent incurral year (such as 2018), a one percent decrease in our assumption for LTD claim termination rates would increase our reserves by $9. For all incurral years combined, as of December 31, 2018, a one percent decrease in our assumption for our LTD claim termination rates would increase our Group Benefits unpaid losses and loss adjustment expense reserves by $22.
Part II - Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
Evaluation of Goodwill for Impairment
Goodwill balances are reviewed for impairment at least annually, or more frequently if events occur or circumstances change that would indicate that a triggering event for a potential impairment has occurred. The goodwill impairment test follows a two-step process. In the first step, the fair value of a reporting unit is compared to its carrying value. If the carrying value of a reporting unit exceeds its fair value, the second step of the impairment test is performed for purposes of measuring the impairment. In the second step, the fair value of the reporting unit is allocated to all of the assets and liabilities of the reporting unit to determine an implied goodwill value. If the carrying amount of the reporting unit’s goodwill exceeds the implied goodwill value, an impairment loss is recognized in an amount equal to that excess, not to exceed the goodwill carrying value.
The estimated fair value of each reporting unit incorporates multiple inputs into discounted cash flow calculations including assumptions that market participants would make in valuing the reporting unit. Assumptions include levels of economic capital, future business growth, earnings projections, assets under management for Hartford Funds, and the weighted average cost of capital used for purposes of discounting. Decreases in business growth, decreases in earnings projections and increases in the weighted average cost of capital will all cause a reporting unit’s fair value to decrease, increasing the possibility of impairment.
A reporting unit is defined as an operating segment or one level below an operating segment. The Company’s reporting units, for which goodwill has been allocated include small commercial within the Commercial Lines segment, Group Benefits, Personal Lines and Hartford Funds.
The carrying value of goodwill is $1,290 as of December 31, 2018 and is comprised of $38 for small commercial, $272 for Hartford Funds, $861 for Group Benefits and $119 for Personal Lines.
The annual goodwill assessment for the small commercial, Hartford Funds, Group Benefits and Personal Lines reporting units was completed as of October 31, 2018, and resulted in no write-downs of goodwill for the year ended December 31, 2018. All reporting units passed the first step of the annual impairment test with a significant margin. For information regarding the 2017 and 2016 impairment tests see Note 10 -Goodwill & Other Intangible Assets of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements.
Valuation of Investments and Derivative Instruments
Fixed Maturities, Equity Securities, Short-term Investments and Free-standing Derivatives
The Company generally determines fair values using valuation techniques that use prices, rates, and other relevant information evident from market transactions involving identical or similar instruments. Valuation techniques also include, where appropriate, estimates of future cash flows that are converted into a single discounted amount using current market expectations. The Company uses a "waterfall" approach comprised of the following pricing sources which are listed in
priority order: quoted prices, prices from third-party pricing services, internal matrix pricing, and independent broker quotes. The fair value of free-standing derivative instruments are determined primarily using a discounted cash flow model or option model technique and incorporate counterparty credit risk. In some cases, quoted market prices for exchange-traded transactions and transactions cleared through central clearing houses ("OTC-cleared") may be used and in other cases independent broker quotes may be used. For further discussion, see the Fixed Maturities, Equity Securities, Short-term Investments and Free-standing Derivatives section in Note 5 - Fair Value Measurements of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements.
Evaluation of OTTI on Available-for-sale Securities and Valuation Allowances on Mortgage Loans
Each quarter, a committee of investment and accounting professionals evaluates investments to determine if an other-than-temporary impairment (“impairment”) is present for AFS securities or a valuation allowance is required for mortgage loans. This evaluation is a quantitative and qualitative process, which is subject to risks and uncertainties. For further discussion of the accounting policies, see the Significant Investment Accounting Policies Section in Note 1 - Basis of Presentation and Significant Accounting Policies of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements. For a discussion of impairments recorded, see the Other-than-temporary Impairments within the Investment Portfolio Risks and Risk Management section of the MD&A.
Valuation Allowance on Deferred Tax Assets
Deferred tax assets represent the tax benefit of future deductible temporary differences and certain tax carryforwards. Deferred tax assets are measured using the enacted tax rates expected to be in effect when such benefits are realized if there is no change in tax law. Under U.S. GAAP, we test the value of deferred tax assets for impairment on a quarterly basis at the entity level within each tax jurisdiction, consistent with our filed tax returns. Deferred tax assets are reduced by a valuation allowance if, based on the weight of available evidence, it is more likely than not that some portion, or all, of the deferred tax assets will not be realized. The determination of the valuation allowance for our deferred tax assets requires management to make certain judgments and assumptions. In evaluating the ability to recover deferred tax assets, we have considered all available evidence as of December 31, 2018, including past operating results, forecasted earnings, future taxable income, and prudent and feasible tax planning strategies. In the event we determine it is more likely than not that we will not be able to realize all or part of our deferred tax assets in the future, an increase to the valuation allowance would be charged to earnings in the period such determination is made. Likewise, if it is later determined that it is more likely than not that those deferred tax assets would be realized, the previously provided valuation allowance would be reversed. Our judgments and assumptions are subject to change given the inherent uncertainty in predicting future performance and specific industry and investment market conditions.
As of December 31, 2018 and December 31, 2017, the Company had no valuation allowance. The reduction in the valuation
Part II - Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
allowance in 2016 stems primarily from taxable gains on the termination of derivatives during the period. The Company’s net operating loss carryovers, if unused, would expire between 2026 and 2036. As of December 31, 2018, the Company projects there will be sufficient future taxable income to fully recover the remainder of its loss carryovers, though the Company's estimate of the likely realization may change over time. As of December 31, 2018, the Company had AMT credit carryovers of $841 which are reflected as a current income tax receivable within Other Assets in the accompanying consolidated balance sheet. AMT credits may be used to offset a regular tax liability for any taxable year beginning after December 31, 2017, and are refundable at an amount equal to 50 percent of the excess of the minimum tax credit for the taxable year over the amount of the credit allowable for the year against regular tax liability. Any remaining credits not used against regular tax liability are refundable in the 2021 tax year to be realized in 2022. For additional information about Tax Reform, see Note - 16, Income Taxes of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements.
In assessing the need for a valuation allowance, management considered future taxable temporary difference reversals, future taxable income exclusive of reversing temporary differences and carryovers, taxable income in open carry back years and other tax planning strategies. From time to time, tax planning strategies could include holding a portion of debt securities with market value losses until recovery, altering the level of tax exempt securities held, making investments which have specific tax characteristics, and business considerations such as asset-liability matching. Management views such tax planning strategies as prudent and feasible, and would implement them, if necessary, to realize the deferred tax assets.
Contingencies Relating to Corporate Litigation and Regulatory Matters
Management evaluates each contingent matter separately. A loss is recorded if probable and reasonably estimable. Management
establishes reserves for these contingencies at its “best estimate,” or, if no one number within the range of possible losses is more probable than any other, the Company records an estimated reserve at the low end of the range of losses.
The Company has a quarterly monitoring process involving legal and accounting professionals. Legal personnel first identify outstanding corporate litigation and regulatory matters posing a reasonable possibility of loss. These matters are then jointly reviewed by accounting and legal personnel to evaluate the facts and changes since the last review in order to determine if a provision for loss should be recorded or adjusted, the amount that should be recorded, and the appropriate disclosure. The outcomes of certain contingencies currently being evaluated by the Company, which relate to corporate litigation and regulatory matters, are inherently difficult to predict, and the reserves that have been established for the estimated settlement amounts are subject to significant changes. Management expects that the ultimate liability, if any, with respect to such lawsuits, after consideration of provisions made for estimated losses, will not be material to the consolidated financial condition of the Company. In view of the uncertainties regarding the outcome of these matters, as well as the tax-deductibility of payments, it is possible that the ultimate cost to the Company of these matters could exceed the reserve by an amount that would have a material adverse effect on the Company’s consolidated results of operations and liquidity in a particular quarterly or annual period.
Part II - Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
SEGMENT OPERATING SUMMARIES
| COMMERCIAL LINES |
Results of Operations
Underwriting Summary
| 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | |||||||
| Written premiums | $ | 7,136 | $ | 6,956 | $ | 6,732 | |||
| Change in unearned premium reserve | 89 | 91 | 81 | ||||||
| Earned premiums | 7,047 | 6,865 | 6,651 | ||||||
| Fee income | 34 | 37 | 39 | ||||||
| Losses and loss adjustment expenses | |||||||||
| Current accident year before catastrophes | 4,037 | 3,961 | 3,766 | ||||||
| Current accident year catastrophes [1] | 275 | 383 | 200 | ||||||
| Prior accident year development [1] | (200 | ) | (22 | ) | 28 | ||||
| Total losses and loss adjustment expenses | 4,112 | 4,322 | 3,994 | ||||||
| Amortization of DAC | 1,048 | 1,009 | 973 | ||||||
| Underwriting expenses | 1,369 | 1,347 | 1,230 | ||||||
| Amortization of other intangible assets | 4 | 1 | — | ||||||
| Dividends to policyholders | 23 | 35 | 15 | ||||||
| Underwriting gain | 525 | 188 | 478 | ||||||
| Net servicing income | 2 | 1 | 2 | ||||||
| Net investment income [2] | 997 | 949 | 917 | ||||||
| Net realized capital gains (losses) [2] | (43 | ) | 103 | 13 | |||||
| Other income (expenses) | (2 | ) | 1 | (1 | ) | ||||
| Income before income taxes | 1,479 | 1,242 | 1,409 | ||||||
| Income tax expense [3] | 267 | 377 | 415 | ||||||
| Net income | $ | 1,212 | $ | 865 | $ | 994 |
| [1] | For discussion of current accident year catastrophes and prior accident year development, see MD&A - Critical Accounting Estimates, Property and Casualty Insurance Product Reserves Development, Net of Reinsurance. |
| [2] | For discussion of consolidated investment results, see MD&A - Investment Results. |
| [3] | For discussion of income taxes, see Note 16 - Income Taxes of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements. |
Premium Measures [1]
| 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | |||||||
| New business premium | $ | 1,298 | $ | 1,183 | $ | 1,140 | |||
| Standard commercial lines policy count retention | 82 | % | 84 | % | 84 | % | |||
| Standard commercial lines renewal written price increase | 2.1 | % | 3.2 | % | 2.2 | % | |||
| Standard commercial lines renewal earned price increase | 3.0 | % | 2.8 | % | 2.3 | % | |||
| Standard commercial lines policies in-force as of end of period (in thousands) | 1,340 | 1,338 | 1,346 |
| [1] | Standard commercial lines consists of small commercial and middle market. Standard commercial premium measures exclude Maxum, higher hazard general liability in middle market and livestock lines of business. |
Part II - Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
Underwriting Ratios
| 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | ||||
| Loss and loss adjustment expense ratio | ||||||
| Current accident year before catastrophes | 57.3 | 57.7 | 56.6 | |||
| Current accident year catastrophes | 3.9 | 5.6 | 3.0 | |||
| Prior accident year development | (2.8 | ) | (0.3 | ) | 0.4 | |
| Total loss and loss adjustment expense ratio | 58.4 | 63.0 | 60.1 | |||
| Expense ratio | 33.9 | 33.8 | 32.5 | |||
| Policyholder dividend ratio | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.2 | |||
| Combined ratio | 92.6 | 97.3 | 92.8 | |||
| Current accident year catastrophes and prior year development | 1.1 | 5.3 | 3.4 | |||
| Underlying combined ratio | 91.5 | 92.0 | 89.4 |
2019 Outlook
The Company expects higher Commercial Lines written premiums in 2019, driven by continued strong policy retention in small commercial and national accounts, growth in industry verticals in middle market and an increase in new business across Commercial Lines. Management expects positive renewal written pricing in all lines of business except workers' compensation, which is expected to be flat to down modestly. In addition to the impact of pricing trends, written premium growth in 2019 will depend on economic conditions as economic growth is expected to moderate in 2019.
Pricing varies significantly by product line with low-to-mid single digit pricing increases expected in property and general liability and higher written pricing increases expected in commercial automobile. In workers’ compensation, given favorable profitability trends, rates are expected to decline in 2019.
The Company expects the Commercial Lines combined ratio will be between approximately 94.5 and 96.5 for 2019, compared to 92.6 in 2018, largely due to lower favorable prior year development, partially offset by lower catastrophe losses expected in 2019. The underlying combined ratio is expected to be flat to slightly higher as earned pricing increases may not keep pace with moderate increases in loss costs, and the Company continues to invest in the business . Current accident year catastrophes are assumed to be 3.0 points of the combined ratio in 2019 compared to 3.9 points in 2018.
Net Income

Year ended December 31, 2018 compared to the year ended December 31, 2017
Net income increased in 2018 due to a higher underwriting gain, a lower corporate Federal income tax rate and, to a lesser extent, an increase in net investment income, partially offset by a shift from net realized capital gains in 2017 to net realized capital losses in 2018. (For further discussion of investment results, see MD&A - Investment Results).
Year ended December 31, 2017 compared to the year ended December 31, 2016
Net income decreased in 2017 due to a lower underwriting gain, partially offset by increases in net investment income and net realized capital gains. (For further discussion of investment results, see MD&A - Investment Results).
Underwriting Gain

Year ended December 31, 2018 compared to the year ended December 31, 2017
Underwriting gain increased in 2018 primarily due to more favorable prior accident year reserve development in 2018 compared to 2017, lower current accident year catastrophes, and higher earned premium, partially offset by higher underwriting expenses, including higher amortization of DAC.
Part II - Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
Year ended December 31, 2017 compared to the year ended December 31, 2016
Underwriting gain decreased in 2017 primarily due to higher catastrophe losses and higher underwriting expenses largely driven by an increase in variable incentive compensation and higher IT costs. Also contributing to the decrease were higher current accident year loss costs for workers’ compensation, general liability and non-catastrophe property, offset by the effect of earned premium growth and a change from unfavorable prior accident year development in 2016 to favorable development in 2017.
Earned Premiums

| [1] | Other of $45*,* $46*, and* $42 for 2018*,* 2017*, and* 2016*, respectively, is included in the total.* |
Year ended December 31, 2018 compared to the year ended December 31, 2017
Earned premiums increased in 2018 reflecting written premium growth over the preceding twelve months.
Written premiums increased in 2018 primarily due to growth in middle market, small commercial and specialty commercial. In standard commercial lines, renewal written price increases declined in 2018, mostly attributable to bigger rate decreases in small commercial workers' compensation. New business and renewal written premium increased across most lines of business, particularly in middle market, partially offset by declines in small commercial workers' compensation.
| • | Small commercial written premium increased in 2018, primarily driven by the business acquired under a renewal |
rights agreement with Farmers Group to acquire its Foremost-branded small commercial business. The increase in new business premium was largely offset by the decline in renewal premium. The decline in renewal premium was driven by the effect of lower policy retention, partially offset by renewal written price increases.
| • | Middle market written premium growth in 2018 was primarily due to strong new business growth, improved retention and higher renewal written price increases. |
| • | Specialty commercial written premium increased in 2018 driven by growth in financial products and bond, partially offset by a decline in National Accounts. |
Year ended December 31, 2017 compared to the year ended December 31, 2016
Earned premiums increased in 2017 reflecting written premium growth over the preceding twelve months.
Written premiums increased in 2017 primarily due to growth in small commercial.
| • | Small commercial written premium growth for 2017 was primarily due to higher renewal premium driven by renewal written price increases and growth from the acquisition of Maxum, partially offset by lower new business premium, excluding Maxum, and the effect of lower policy retention. |
| • | Middle market written premiums in 2017 were up modestly as higher new and renewal premium was partially offset by modestly higher property reinsurance costs. |
| • | Specialty commercial written premiums in 2017 were up slightly as growth in Bond was largely offset by new business declines in National Accounts. |
Part II - Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
Loss and LAE Ratio before Catastrophes and Prior Accident Year Development
Year ended December 31, 2018 compared to the year ended December 31, 2017
Loss and LAE ratio before catastrophes and prior accident year development decreased slightly in 2018, primarily due to a lower loss and loss adjustment expense ratio in general liability and commercial auto. The current accident year loss and loss adjustment expense ratio for workers' compensation was relatively flat as the effect of higher claim frequency was largely offset by the benefit of increased audit premium driven by higher than initially estimated insured payroll.
Year ended December 31, 2017 compared to the year ended December 31, 2016
Loss and LAE ratio before catastrophes and prior accident year development increased in 2017, primarily due to a higher loss and loss adjustment expense ratio in both workers' compensation and general liability, as well as higher commercial property losses in middle market. The workers’ compensation current accident year loss ratio deteriorated from 2016 to 2017 as increases in average claim severity outpaced the effect of earned pricing and a modest reduction in loss cost frequency.
Catastrophes and Prior Accident Year Development

Year ended December 31, 2018 compared to the year ended December 31, 2017
Current accident year catastrophe losses for 2018 were lower than in 2017 with catastrophes in 2018 primarily from hurricanes Florence and Michael in the Southeast, wildfires in California, wind and hail storms in Colorado, and various wind storms and winter storms across the country. Catastrophe losses in 2018 are net of an estimated reinsurance recoverable of $28 under the 2018 Property Aggregate reinsurance treaty that was allocated to Commercial Lines. Catastrophe losses in 2017 were primarily from hurricanes Harvey and Irma as well as from wind and hail events in the Midwest, Texas and Colorado.
Prior accident year development was a net favorable $200, before tax, for 2018 compared to favorable $22, before tax, for 2017. Net reserve decreases for 2018 were primarily related to decreases for workers' compensation, catastrophes and unallocated loss adjustment expense reserves, partially offset by an increase in general liability reserves. Estimated losses for 2017 catastrophe events in Commercial Lines decreased by $93 in 2018 resulting in a decrease in reinsurance recoverables of $43 as the Company no longer expects to recover under the 2017 Property Aggregate reinsurance treaty.
Year ended December 31, 2017 compared to the year ended December 31, 2016
Current accident year catastrophe losses for 2017 were primarily from hurricanes Harvey and Irma as well as from wind and hail events in the Midwest, Texas and Colorado. Catastrophe losses for 2016 were primarily due to wind and hail events and winter storms across various U.S. geographic regions.
Prior accident year development was favorable in 2017 compared to unfavorable prior accident year development
Part II - Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
in 2016. Net reserve decreases for 2017 were primarily related to reduced loss reserve estimates for workers' compensation and small commercial package business, partially offset by reserve increases for bond.
| PERSONAL LINES |
Results of Operations
Underwriting Summary
| 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | |||||||
| Written premiums | $ | 3,276 | $ | 3,561 | $ | 3,837 | |||
| Change in unearned premium reserve | (123 | ) | (129 | ) | (61 | ) | |||
| Earned premiums | 3,399 | 3,690 | 3,898 | ||||||
| Fee income | 40 | 44 | 39 | ||||||
| Losses and loss adjustment expenses | |||||||||
| Current accident year before catastrophes | 2,249 | 2,584 | 2,808 | ||||||
| Current accident year catastrophes [1] | 546 | 453 | 216 | ||||||
| Prior accident year development [1] | (32 | ) | (37 | ) | 151 | ||||
| Total losses and loss adjustment expenses | 2,763 | 3,000 | 3,175 | ||||||
| Amortization of DAC | 275 | 309 | 348 | ||||||
| Underwriting expenses | 611 | 577 | 599 | ||||||
| Amortization of other intangible assets | 4 | 4 | 4 | ||||||
| Underwriting loss | (214 | ) | (156 | ) | (189 | ) | |||
| Net servicing income [2] | 16 | 16 | 20 | ||||||
| Net investment income [3] | 155 | 141 | 135 | ||||||
| Net realized capital gains (losses) [3] | (7 | ) | 15 | 2 | |||||
| Other income (expenses) | (1 | ) | 1 | — | |||||
| Income (loss) before income taxes | (51 | ) | 17 | (32 | ) | ||||
| Income tax expense (benefit) [4] | (19 | ) | 26 | (23 | ) | ||||
| Net loss | $ | (32 | ) | $ | (9 | ) | $ | (9 | ) |
| [1] | For discussion of current accident year catastrophes and prior accident year development, see MD&A - Critical Accounting Estimates, Property and Casualty Insurance Product Reserves, Net of Reinsurance. |
| [2] | Includes servicing revenues of $84*,* $85*, and* $86 for 2018*,* 2017*, and* 2016*, respectively and includes servicing expenses of $68, $69, and $66 for* 2018*,* 2017*, and* 2016*, respectively.* |
| [3] | For discussion of consolidated investment results, see MD&A - Investment Results. |
| [4] | For discussion of income taxes, see Note 16 - Income Taxes of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements. |
Written and Earned Premiums
| Written Premiums | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | ||||||
| Product Line | |||||||||
| Automobile | $ | 2,273 | $ | 2,497 | $ | 2,694 | |||
| Homeowners | 1,003 | 1,064 | 1,143 | ||||||
| Total | $ | 3,276 | $ | 3,561 | $ | 3,837 | |||
| Earned Premiums | |||||||||
| Product Line | |||||||||
| Automobile | $ | 2,369 | $ | 2,584 | $ | 2,720 | |||
| Homeowners | 1,030 | 1,106 | 1,178 | ||||||
| Total | $ | 3,399 | $ | 3,690 | $ | 3,898 |
Part II - Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
Premium Measures
| 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | |||||||
| Policies in-force end of period (in thousands) | |||||||||
| Automobile | 1,510 | 1,702 | 1,965 | ||||||
| Homeowners | 927 | 1,038 | 1,176 | ||||||
| New business written premium | |||||||||
| Automobile | $ | 169 | $ | 152 | $ | 311 | |||
| Homeowners | $ | 46 | $ | 44 | $ | 74 | |||
| Policy count retention | |||||||||
| Automobile | 82 | % | 81 | % | 84 | % | |||
| Homeowners | 83 | % | 83 | % | 84 | % | |||
| Renewal written price increase | |||||||||
| Automobile | 7.2 | % | 10.9 | % | 7.6 | % | |||
| Homeowners | 9.7 | % | 8.9 | % | 8.0 | % | |||
| Renewal earned price increase | |||||||||
| Automobile | 9.6 | % | 9.6 | % | 6.3 | % | |||
| Homeowners | 9.3 | % | 8.5 | % | 7.6 | % |
Underwriting Ratios
| 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | ||||
| Loss and loss adjustment expense ratio | ||||||
| Current accident year before catastrophes | 66.2 | 70.0 | 72.0 | |||
| Current accident year catastrophes | 16.1 | 12.3 | 5.5 | |||
| Prior accident year development | (0.9 | ) | (1.0 | ) | 3.9 | |
| Total loss and loss adjustment expense ratio | 81.3 | 81.3 | 81.5 | |||
| Expense ratio | 25.0 | 22.9 | 23.4 | |||
| Combined ratio | 106.3 | 104.2 | 104.8 | |||
| Current accident year catastrophes and prior year development | 15.2 | 11.3 | 9.4 | |||
| Underlying combined ratio | 91.2 | 93.0 | 95.4 |
Product Combined Ratios
| 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | ||||
| Automobile | ||||||
| Combined ratio | 98.6 | 101.6 | 111.6 | |||
| Underlying combined ratio | 98.2 | 99.7 | 103.9 | |||
| Homeowners | ||||||
| Combined ratio | 124.3 | 110.4 | 89.3 | |||
| Underlying combined ratio | 75.1 | 77.1 | 75.9 |
2019 Outlook
In 2019, the Company expects the level of pricing increases for automobile and homeowners across the industry to decrease, as loss cost trends have moderated. Accordingly, the Company expects written pricing increases in 2019 to be in the mid single-digits for automobile and high single-digits for homeowners. Written premium is expected to decline slightly in 2019 as non-renewal of premium more than offsets new business growth, particularly in the agency channel. The Company expects to drive new business growth in more states in 2019, particularly in the direct channel.
The Company expects the combined ratio for Personal Lines will be between approximately 97.5 and 99.5 for 2019 compared to 106.3 in 2018, primarily due to lower current accident year catastrophes with the underlying combined ratio flat to slightly higher, as the Company increases spending on marketing. Current accident year catastrophes are budgeted to be 6.5 points of the combined ratio in 2019 compared with 16.1 points in 2018. For automobile, we expect the underlying combined ratio to improve slightly as a modest loss ratio improvement is partially offset by an increase in acquisition costs to increase new business. While management actions, including the effect of earned pricing, are expected to modestly exceed an increase in loss cost severity,
Part II - Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
those will be partially offset by an increase in direct marketing and other expenses to generate new business. The underlying combined ratio for homeowners is expected to increase slightly in 2019, driven by a return to a more normal level of non-catastrophe weather loss experience and higher acquisition costs, partially offset by earned pricing increases.
Net Loss

Year ended December 31, 2018 compared to the year ended December 31, 2017
Net loss was higher in 2018 than in 2017 due to a higher underwriting loss, a change to net realized capital losses and the effect of a lower corporate income tax rate, partially offset by higher net investment income.
Year ended December 31, 2017 compared to the year ended December 31, 2016
Net loss in 2017 was unchanged from 2016 as lower underwriting loss and higher net realized capital gains was offset by $33 of income tax expense arising primarily from the reduction of net deferred tax assets due to the enactment of lower Federal income tax rates.
Underwriting Loss

Year ended December 31, 2018 compared to the year ended December 31, 2017
Underwriting loss increased in 2018 primarily due to higher current accident year catastrophe losses, higher underwriting expenses and the effect of lower earned premium, partially offset by lower current accident year loss ratios before catastrophes in both auto and homeowners and lower amortization of DAC. The increase in underwriting expenses was largely driven by an increase in direct marketing spending, selling expenses, and operational costs to generate new business.
Year ended December 31, 2017 compared to the year ended December 31, 2016
Underwriting loss decreased in 2017 primarily due to a change from unfavorable prior accident year development in 2016 to favorable development in 2017 and lower current accident year loss costs in both auto and homeowners, partially offset by higher current accident year catastrophe losses. The decrease in underwriting expenses was primarily due to lower marketing and operations costs, partially offset by higher variable incentive compensation and the decrease in DAC amortization was driven primarily by lower Agency commissions.
Earned Premiums

Year ended December 31, 2018 compared to the year ended December 31, 2017
Earned premiums decreased in 2018, reflecting a decline in written premium over the prior six to twelve months in both Agency channels and, to a lesser extent, in AARP Direct.
Written premiums decreased in 2018 in AARP Direct and both Agency channels. Despite an increase in new business and stable policy count retention in both auto and homeowners, written premium declined primarily due to not generating enough new business to offset the loss of non-renewed premium.
Renewal written pricing increases in 2018 were higher in homeowners driven by actions taken to improve profitability and were lower in automobile as loss cost trends have moderated and the Company has sought to increase new business.
Policy count retention increased in automobile as renewal written price increases decreased. Policy count
Part II - Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
retention in homeowners was flat despite higher renewal written price increases.
Policies in-force decreased in 2018 in both automobile and homeowners, driven by not generating enough new business to offset the loss of non-renewed policies.
Year ended December 31, 2017 compared to the year ended December 31, 2016
Earned premiums decreased in 2017, reflecting a decline in written premium over the prior six to twelve months in the Other Agency channel and, to a lesser extent, in AARP Direct.
Written premiums decreased in 2017 in AARP Direct and both Agency channels primarily due to a decline in new business and lower policy count retention in both automobile and homeowners partially offset by the effect of renewal written price increases.
Renewal written pricing increases were higher in 2017 in both automobile and home, as the Company increased rates to improve profitability.
Policy count retention decreased in 2017 in both automobile and homeowners, driven in part by renewal written pricing increases.
Loss and Loss Adjustment Expense Ratio before Catastrophes and Prior Accident Year Development

Year ended December 31, 2018 compared to the year ended December 31, 2017
Loss and loss adjustment expense ratio before catastrophes and prior accident year development decreased in 2018, primarily due to the effect of earned pricing increases in both automobile and homeowners and lower non-catastrophe weather-related homeowners loss costs.
Year ended December 31, 2017 compared to the year ended December 31, 2016
Loss and loss adjustment expense ratio before catastrophes and prior accident year development decreased in 2017, primarily as a result of lower automobile liability and auto physical damage frequency and lower non-catastrophe weather-related homeowners losses and the effect of earned pricing increases.
Current Accident Year Catastrophes and Unfavorable (Favorable) Prior Accident Year Development

Year ended December 31, 2018 compared to the year ended December 31, 2017
Current accident year catastrophe losses for 2018 were primarily from wildfires in California, wind and hail storms in Colorado, hurricanes Florence and Michael in the Southeast and various wind storms and winter storms across the country. Catastrophe losses in 2018 are net of an estimated
Part II - Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
reinsurance recoverable of $54 under the 2018 Property Aggregate reinsurance treaty that was allocated to Personal Lines. Catastrophe losses for 2017 were primarily due to hurricanes Harvey and Irma and wildfires in California as well as multiple wind and hail events across various U.S. geographic regions, concentrated in Texas, Colorado, the Midwest and the Southeast.
Prior accident year development was less favorable in 2018 than in 2017 with favorable development in 2018 primarily in automobile liability.
Year ended December 31, 2017 compared to the year ended December 31, 2016
Current accident year catastrophe losses for 2017 were primarily due to hurricanes Harvey and Irma and wildfires in California as well as multiple wind and hail events across various U.S. geographic regions, concentrated in Texas, Colorado, the Midwest and the Southeast. Catastrophe losses for 2016 were primarily due to multiple wind and hail events across various U.S. geographic regions, concentrated in the Midwest and central plains.
Prior accident year development was favorable for 2017 compared to unfavorable prior accident year development for 2016. Net reserves decreased in 2017 primarily due to decreases in reserves for prior accident year catastrophes and homeowners.
| PROPERTY & CASUALTY OTHER OPERATIONS |
Results of Operations
Underwriting Summary
| 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | |||||||
| Written premiums | $ | (4 | ) | $ | — | $ | (1 | ) | |
| Change in unearned premium reserve | (4 | ) | — | (1 | ) | ||||
| Earned premiums | — | — | — | ||||||
| Losses and loss adjustment expenses | |||||||||
| Prior accident year development [1] | 65 | 18 | 278 | ||||||
| Total losses and loss adjustment expenses | 65 | 18 | 278 | ||||||
| Underwriting expenses | 12 | 14 | 19 | ||||||
| Underwriting loss | (77 | ) | (32 | ) | (297 | ) | |||
| Net investment income [2] | 90 | 106 | 127 | ||||||
| Net realized capital gains (losses) [2] | (4 | ) | 14 | (70 | ) | ||||
| Loss on reinsurance transaction | — | — | 650 | ||||||
| Other income (expenses) | (1 | ) | 5 | 6 | |||||
| Income (loss) before income taxes | 8 | 93 | (884 | ) | |||||
| Income tax expense (benefit) [3] | (7 | ) | 24 | (355 | ) | ||||
| Net income (loss) | $ | 15 | $ | 69 | $ | (529 | ) |
| [1] | For discussion of prior accident year development, see MD&A - Critical Accounting Estimates, Property and Casualty Insurance Product Reserves, Net of Reinsurance. |
| [2] | For discussion of consolidated investment results, see MD&A - Investment Results. |
| [3] | For discussion of income taxes, see Note 16 - Income Taxes of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements. |
Part II - Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
Net Income (Loss)

Year ended December 31, 2018 compared to the year ended December 31, 2017
Net income decreased from 2017 to 2018, primarily due to greater adverse reserve development in 2018 related to unallocated loss adjustment expenses, the allowance for uncollectible reinsurance and certain mass torts. Also contributing to the decrease was lower net investment income driven by the decline in invested assets associated with this run-off business.
Year ended December 31, 2017 compared to the year ended December 31, 2016
Net loss improved from a loss of $529 to net income of $69 primarily due to ceded premium of $423 after tax incurred in 2016 for an Adverse Reserve Development ("ADC") reinsurance cover on asbestos and environmental reserves after 2016. (For further discussion on the ADC, see MD&A - Critical Accounting Estimates, Property and Casualty Other Operations). Prior accident year asbestos and environmental losses in 2016 before execution of the ADC also contributed to the year over year improvement.
Pre-tax Charge for Asbestos and Environmental Reserve Increases

Year ended December 31, 2018 compared to the year ended December 31, 2017
Asbestos Reserves reflected no net incurred losses and allocated loss adjustment expenses in 2018 as a $167 increase in estimated reserves before NICO reinsurance was offset by $167 of losses recoverable under the NICO treaty. The increase in reserves before NICO reinsurance was primarily due to a higher than previously expected number of mesothelioma claim filings, an increase in the average settlement value of mesothelioma claims, an increase in defense costs, and the Company assuming a greater share of liability due to unfavorable interpretations of coverage. An increase in reserves from umbrella and excess policies in the 1981-1985 policy years contributed to the adverse development.
Environmental Reserves reflected no net incurred losses and allocated loss adjustment expenses in 2018 as a $71 increase in estimated reserves before NICO reinsurance was offset by $71 of loss recoverable under the NICO treaty. The increase in reserves before NICO reinsurance was primarily due to increased clean-up costs and liability shares associated with Superfund sites and sediment in waterways, increased defense costs and adverse legal rulings, most notably from jurisdictions in the Pacific Northwest.
Year ended December 31, 2017 compared to the year ended December 31, 2016
Asbestos Reserves reflected no net incurred losses and allocated loss adjustment expenses in 2017 as a $183 increase in estimated reserves before NICO reinsurance was offset by $183 of losses recoverable under the NICO treaty. The increase in reserves before NICO reinsurance was primarily due to mesothelioma claim filings not declining as expected, unfavorable developments in coverage law in some jurisdictions and continued filings in specific, adverse jurisdictions. An increased share of adverse development from the fourth quarter review is from umbrella and excess policies in the 1981-1985 policy years.
Environmental Reserves reflected no net incurred losses and allocated loss adjustment expenses in 2017 as a $102 increase in estimated reserves before NICO reinsurance was offset by $102 of loss recoverable under the NICO treaty. The
Part II - Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
increase in reserves before NICO reinsurance was primarily due to increased clean-up costs and liability shares associated with Superfund sites and sediment in waterways, as well as adverse
legal rulings, most notably from jurisdictions in the Pacific Northwest.
| GROUP BENEFITS |
Results of Operations
Operating Summary
| 2018 | 2017 [1] | 2016 | |||||||
| Premiums and other considerations | $ | 5,598 | $ | 3,677 | $ | 3,223 | |||
| Net investment income [2] | 474 | 381 | 366 | ||||||
| Net realized capital gains (losses) [2] | (47 | ) | 34 | 45 | |||||
| Total revenues | 6,025 | 4,092 | 3,634 | ||||||
| Benefits, losses and loss adjustment expenses | 4,214 | 2,803 | 2,514 | ||||||
| Amortization of DAC | 45 | 33 | 31 | ||||||
| Insurance operating costs and other expenses | 1,282 | 915 | 776 | ||||||
| Amortization of other intangible assets | 60 | 9 | — | ||||||
| Total benefits, losses and expenses | 5,601 | 3,760 | 3,321 | ||||||
| Income before income taxes | 424 | 332 | 313 | ||||||
| Income tax expense [3] | 84 | 38 | 83 | ||||||
| Net income | $ | 340 | $ | 294 | $ | 230 |
| [1] | The Results of Operations related to 2017 include two months of results from Aetna's U.S. group life and disability business due to the acquisition that occurred on November 1, 2017. For discussion of the acquisition, see Note 2 - Business Acquisitions of Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements. |
| [2] | For discussion of consolidated investment results, see MD&A - Investment Results. |
| [3] | For discussion of income taxes, see Note 16 - Income Taxes of Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements. |
Premiums and Other Considerations
| 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | |||||||
| Fully insured — ongoing premiums | $ | 5,418 | $ | 3,571 | $ | 3,142 | |||
| Buyout premiums | 5 | 15 | 6 | ||||||
| Fee income | 175 | 91 | 75 | ||||||
| Total premiums and other considerations | $ | 5,598 | $ | 3,677 | $ | 3,223 | |||
| Fully insured ongoing sales, excluding buyouts | $ | 704 | $ | 449 | $ | 450 |
Ratios, Excluding Buyouts
| 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | ||||
| Group disability loss ratio | 73.1 | % | 76.5 | % | 81.4 | % |
| Group life loss ratio | 78.4 | % | 76.7 | % | 75.7 | % |
| Total loss ratio | 75.3 | % | 76.1 | % | 78.0 | % |
| Expense ratio [1] | 24.0 | % | 25.7 | % | 25.1 | % |
[1] Integration and transaction costs related to the acquisition of Aetna's U.S. group life and disability business are not included in the expense ratio.
Margin
| 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | ||||
| Net income margin | 5.6 | % | 7.2 | % | 6.3 | % |
| Less: Net realized capital gains (losses) excluded from core earnings, after tax | (0.6 | %) | 0.4 | % | 0.6 | % |
| Less: Integration and transaction costs associated with acquired business, after tax | (0.6 | %) | (0.3 | %) | — | % |
| Less: Income tax benefit | (0.2 | %) | 1.3 | % | — | % |
| Core earnings margin | 7.0 | % | 5.8 | % | 5.7 | % |
Part II - Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
2019 Outlook
The Company expects Group Benefits fully insured ongoing premiums to be relatively flat in 2019, driven by an expected decrease in sales, partly due to the introduction of the New York Paid Family Leave product in 2018, offset by strong persistency. In 2019, the segment's net income margin is expected to be between 5.5% and 6.5%, compared to a net income margin of 5.6% in 2018. The expected increase largely reflects net realized capital losses and higher integration costs associated with the acquired business in 2018. Management expects that the 2019 core earnings margin, which does not include the effect of net realized capital gains (losses) or integration costs associated with the acquired business, will be in the range of 6.0% to 7.0%, down from prior year as strong investment returns from limited partnerships in 2018 are not assumed to repeat in 2019. The total loss ratio and expense ratio are expected to be consistent with 2018.
Net Income

Year ended December 31, 2018 compared to the year ended December 31, 2017
Net income increased in 2018 compared to 2017, primarily due to higher premiums and other considerations and higher net investment income, including from the acquisition of Aetna's U.S. group life and disability business, a lower loss ratio, and the benefit of a lower corporate income tax rate, partially offset by higher insurance operating costs and other expenses, including integration costs, and amortization of intangible assets in connection with the acquisition, and a change to net realized capital losses. The benefit of the lower corporate income tax rate was largely offset by a $52 tax benefit in 2017 that was primarily due to reducing net deferred tax liabilities given the reduction in the corporate income tax rate.
Insurance operating costs and other expenses increased 40% primarily due to the acquisition of Aetna's U.S. group life and disability business, including integration costs and amortization of intangible assets, partially offset by state guaranty fund assessments of $20 before tax related to the liquidation of a life and health insurance company in 2017. Integration costs were $47 in 2018 compared to $17 in 2017.
Year ended December 31, 2017 compared to the year ended December 31, 2016
Net income increased in 2017 compared to 2016, primarily due to $52 of income tax benefits arising primarily from the reduction of net deferred tax liabilities due to the enactment of lower Federal income tax rates. In addition, net income increased as a result of growth in premiums and other considerations and a lower group disability loss ratio, partially offset by an increase in insurance operating costs and other expenses due, in part, to higher variable incentive compensation as well as integration and transaction costs related to the acquisition of Aetna's U.S. group life and disability business. Insurance operating costs and other expenses in 2017 also included state guaranty fund assessments of $20 before tax related to the liquidation of a life and health insurance company. The acquisition of Aetna's U.S. group life and disability business, which closed on November 1, 2017, did not have a material impact on results in 2017.
Insurance operating costs and other expenses increased 18%, primarily due to the inclusion of two months of expenses for the acquired Aetna's U.S. group life and disability business, state guaranty fund assessments of $20 before tax related to the liquidation of a life and health insurance company and an increase in variable incentive compensation.
Fully Insured Ongoing Premiums

Year ended December 31, 2018 compared to the year ended December 31, 2017
Fully insured ongoing premiums increased 52% in 2018 driven primarily by the acquisition of Aetna's U.S. group life and disability business, sales in excess of cancellations with strong group life and disability persistency, and premium from the New York Paid Family Leave product.
Fully insured ongoing sales, excluding buyouts increased 57% primarily due to new business generated by our larger combined sales force following the acquisition of Aetna's U.S. group life and disability business. The
Part II - Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
Company also saw an increase in the sale of voluntary products and sales of fully insured disability in 2018 due, in part, to the addition of the New York Paid Family Leave product.
Year ended December 31, 2017 compared to the year ended December 31, 2016
Fully insured ongoing premiums increased in 2017, in part, because it included two months of premiums for the acquired Aetna's U.S. group life and disability business. Excluding the impact of the acquisition, fully insured ongoing premiums increased 3% due to sales, strong persistency and modest group disability pricing increases.
Fully insured ongoing sales, excluding buyouts were essentially flat to prior year reflecting higher group disability sales offset by lower group life and other sales.
Ratios

Year ended December 31, 2018 compared to the year ended December 31, 2017
Total loss ratio decreased 0.8 points from 2017 to 2018 as a decrease in the group disability loss ratio was partially offset by an increase in the group life loss ratio. The group disability loss ratio decreased 3.4 points driven by continued favorable incidence trends, including favorable prior incurral year development of approximately $230 with most of that development from the 2017 incurral year as incidence trends become known after the elimination period is satisfied. In addition, the group disability loss ratio benefited from the lower discount accretion associated with the disability business acquired from Aetna.
The group life loss ratio increased 1.7 points primarily driven by higher expected loss ratios associated with the group life business acquired from Aetna. Group life business (including group life premium waiver) included favorable prior incurral year development of approximately $90 in 2018, mostly from the 2017 incurral year.
Expense ratio decreased 1.7 points due to a greater mix of lower commission national accounts business due to the acquisition of Aetna's group life and disability business, higher revenues to cover fixed costs and the effect of state guaranty assessments in 2017 related to the liquidation of a life and health
insurance company, partially offset by higher intangible asset amortization incurred in 2018.
Year ended December 31, 2017 compared to the year ended December 31, 2016
Total loss ratio decreased 1.9 points, primarily due to a lower group disability loss ratio. The group disability loss ratio decreased 4.9 points, driven by continued improvements in incidence trends, higher recoveries and modest pricing increases. The group life loss ratio increased 1.0 points, primarily driven by favorable changes in reserve estimates of 1.3 points in 2016 partially offset by favorable mortality in the current year.
Expense ratio increased 0.6 points primarily due to state guaranty fund assessments related to the liquidation of a life and health insurance company, an increase in variable incentive compensation and amortization of intangible assets recorded in connection with the acquisition of Aetna's U.S. group life and disability business. Integration and transaction costs of $17 in 2017 related to the acquisition are not included in the expense ratio.
Part II - Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
| HARTFORD FUNDS |
Results of Operations
Operating Summary
| 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | |||||||
| Fee income and other revenue | $ | 1,032 | $ | 992 | $ | 885 | |||
| Net investment income | 5 | 3 | 1 | ||||||
| Net realized capital losses | (4 | ) | — | — | |||||
| Total revenues | 1,033 | 995 | 886 | ||||||
| Amortization of DAC | 16 | 21 | 24 | ||||||
| Operating costs and other expenses [1] | 831 | 805 | 741 | ||||||
| Total benefits, losses and expenses | 847 | 826 | 765 | ||||||
| Income before income taxes | 186 | 169 | 121 | ||||||
| Income tax expense [2] | 38 | 63 | 43 | ||||||
| Net income | $ | 148 | $ | 106 | $ | 78 | |||
| Daily average total Hartford Funds segment AUM | $ | 116,876 | $ | 107,593 | $ | 92,042 | |||
| Return on Assets ("ROA") [3] | 12.6 | 9.9 | 8.5 | ||||||
| Less: Effect of net realized capital losses, excluded from core earnings, before tax | (0.4 | ) | — | — | |||||
| Less: Effect of income tax expense | 0.1 | (0.3 | ) | — | |||||
| Return on Assets ("ROA"), core earnings [3] | 12.9 | 10.2 | 8.5 |
| [1] | Includes distribution costs of $188 and $184 for the twelve months ended December 31, 2017 and 2016, respectively, that were previously netted against fee income and are now presented gross in insurance operating costs and other expenses. |
| [2] | *2017 includes $*4 of income tax expense primarily from reducing net deferred tax assets due to the reduction in the corporate Federal income tax rate from 35% to 21%. For further discussion, see Note 16 - Income Taxes of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements. |
| [3] | Represents annualized earnings divided by a daily average of assets under management, as measured in basis points. |
Hartford Funds Segment AUM
| 2018 | 2017 [1] | 2016 [1] | |||||||
| Mutual Fund and ETP AUM - beginning of period | $ | 99,090 | $ | 81,507 | $ | 74,413 | |||
| Sales - mutual fund | 22,198 | 23,654 | 19,135 | ||||||
| Redemptions - mutual fund | (23,888 | ) | (20,409 | ) | (20,055 | ) | |||
| Net flows - ETP | 1,404 | 157 | 8 | ||||||
| Net Flows - mutual fund and ETP | (286 | ) | 3,402 | (912 | ) | ||||
| Change in market value and other | (7,247 | ) | 14,181 | 8,006 | |||||
| Mutual Fund and ETP AUM - end of period | 91,557 | 99,090 | 81,507 | ||||||
| Talcott Resolution life and annuity separate account AUM [2] | 13,283 | 16,260 | 16,010 | ||||||
| Hartford Funds AUM | $ | 104,840 | $ | 115,350 | $ | 97,517 |
| [1] | ETP AUM has been combined with mutual fund AUM. Previously ETPs were shown separately. |
| [2] | Represents AUM of the life and annuity business sold in May, 2018 that is still managed by the Company's Hartford Funds segment. |
Mutual Fund AUM by Asset Class
| 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | |||||||
| Equity | $ | 56,986 | $ | 63,740 | $ | 50,826 | |||
| Fixed Income | 14,467 | 14,401 | 13,301 | ||||||
| Multi-Strategy Investments [1] | 18,233 | 20,469 | 17,171 | ||||||
| Exchange-traded products | 1,871 | 480 | 209 | ||||||
| Mutual Fund and ETP AUM | $ | 91,557 | $ | 99,090 | $ | 81,507 |
| [1] | Includes balanced, allocation, and alternative investment products. |
Part II - Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
2019 Outlook
Due in large part to the effect of the decline in markets on assets under management since October 2018, the Company expects net income for Hartford Funds to be relatively flat from 2018 to 2019, provided the Company continues to deliver strong fund performance and generates positive net flows. The Company expects to increase net sales in 2019 from a diversified lineup of mutual funds and ETPs, though net flows are more uncertain given the increased volatility in the markets. Assuming the Company can generate positive net flows and fund performance is strong, assets under management are expected to increase modestly despite the continued decline of the Talcott Resolution AUM.
Net Income

Year ended December 31, 2018 compared to the year ended December 31, 2017
Net income increased in 2018 due to higher investment management fees driven by higher average daily assets under management, partially offset by higher variable costs. Also contributing to the increase was the effect of a lower corporate Federal income tax rate.
Year ended December 31, 2017 compared to the year ended December 31, 2016
Net income increased in 2017 due to higher investment management fees resulting from higher daily average AUM levels driven in part by the addition of Schroders' funds in late 2016, as well as a reduction in estimated state income tax expense, partially offset by higher variable costs including sub-advisory and distribution and service expenses.
Hartford Funds AUM

Year ended December 31, 2018 compared to the year ended December 31, 2017
Hartford Funds AUM decreased from December 31, 2017 to December 31, 2018 largely due to a decline in markets in the fourth quarter of 2018 and the continued expected decline of the Talcott Resolution AUM still managed by the Company. Despite the decline in AUM in the fourth quarter of 2018, average daily assets under management for the year were up 9% due to market appreciation and net positive flows during the first 9 months of 2018.
Year ended December 31, 2017 compared to the year ended December 31, 2016
Hartford Funds AUM increased in 2017 primarily due to positive net flows and market appreciation, partially offset by the continued expected decline of the Talcott Resolution AUM still managed by the Company.
Part II - Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
| CORPORATE |
Results of Operations
Operating Summary
| 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | |||||||
| Fee income | $ | 32 | $ | 4 | $ | 3 | |||
| Other revenue | 21 | — | — | ||||||
| Net investment income | 59 | 23 | 31 | ||||||
| Net realized capital losses | (7 | ) | (1 | ) | (100 | ) | |||
| Total revenues (losses) | 105 | 26 | (66 | ) | |||||
| Benefits, losses and loss adjustment expenses [1] | 11 | 31 | — | ||||||
| Insurance operating costs and other expenses | 83 | 59 | 87 | ||||||
| Pension settlement | — | 750 | — | ||||||
| Loss on extinguishment of debt [2] | 6 | — | — | ||||||
| Interest expense [2] | 298 | 316 | 327 | ||||||
| Total benefits, losses and expenses | 398 | 1,156 | 414 | ||||||
| Loss before income taxes | (293 | ) | (1,130 | ) | (480 | ) | |||
| Income tax expense (benefit) [3] | (95 | ) | 457 | (329 | ) | ||||
| Loss from continuing operations, net of tax | (198 | ) | (1,587 | ) | (151 | ) | |||
| Income (loss) from discontinued operations,net of tax | 322 | (2,869 | ) | 283 | |||||
| Net income (loss) | $ | 124 | $ | (4,456 | ) | $ | 132 | ||
| Preferred stock dividends | 6 | — | — | ||||||
| Net income (loss) available to common stockholders | $ | 118 | $ | (4,456 | ) | $ | 132 |
| [1] | Represents benefits expense on life and annuity business previously underwritten by the Company. |
| [2] | For discussion of debt, see Note 13 - Debt of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements. |
| [3] | *2017 includes $*867 of income tax expense primarily from reducing net deferred tax assets due to the reduction in the corporate Federal income tax rate from 35% to 21%. For discussion of income taxes, see Note 16 - Income Taxes of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements. |
Net Income (Loss)

Year ended December 31, 2018 compared to the year ended December 31, 2017
Net income compared to a net loss in 2017, primarily due to a number of charges in 2017, including a $3.3 billion after tax loss on the life and annuity business sold in May 2018, $867 of income tax expense primarily from reducing net deferred tax assets due to the reduction of the corporate Federal income tax rate from 35% to 21%, and the effect of a pension settlement charge of
$488, after tax. The settlement charge in 2017 related to the purchase of a group annuity contract to transfer $1.6 billion of certain U.S. qualified pension plan liabilities to a third party. Apart from the effect of these charges in 2017, an increase in fee income from managing Talcott Resolution invested assets post-sale and lower interest expense, as well as higher net investment income and lower benefits and losses incurred related to run-off structured settlement and terminal funding agreement liabilities was partially offset by higher investment management expenses and a lower tax benefit due to the reduction in the corporate Federal income tax rate. Other revenue in 2018 from providing transition services to Talcott Resolution was offset by the cost of providing those services.
Insurance operating costs and other expenses increased in 2018 largely due to costs incurred to manage the invested assets of Talcott Resolution post-sale, partially offset by a reduction in centralized services costs previously allocated to the life and annuity business sold in May 2018.
Income (loss) from discontinued operations increased from loss of $2,869 in 2017 to income of $322 in 2018 with the net loss in 2017 due to a loss on sale of the Company’s life and annuity business of $3.3 billion in 2017. A $202 reduction in loss on sale in 2018 was largely offset by a decline in operating income from the life and annuity business sold in May 2018. The reduction in loss on sale was largely attributable to an increase in
Part II - Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
the estimated retained net operating loss carryover tax benefits from the life and annuity business sold in May 2018 as well as the reclassification to retained earnings of $193 of tax effects stranded in AOCI due to the accounting for Tax Reform. For more information on the reclassification of stranded tax effects, see Note 1-Basis of Presentation and Significant Accounting Policies within Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements.
Year ended December 31, 2017 compared to the year ended December 31, 2016
Net loss increased primarily due to a $3.3 billion estimated loss on sale of the life and annuity business, $867 of income tax expense arising primarily from the reduction of net deferred tax assets due to the enactment of lower Federal income tax rates and a $488 after tax pension settlement charge.
Insurance operating costs and other expenses decreased in 2017 largely due lower centralized services costs and lower estimated state income tax expense. Upon reporting the life and annuity business as discontinued operations, centralized services costs were reallocated to Corporate for all periods presented and those reallocated costs declined from 2016 to 2017 principally due to a lower allocation of IT costs.
Income (loss) from discontinued operations decreased from income of $283 in 2016 to a net loss of $2.9 billion in 2017 with the net loss in 2017 due to a loss on sale of the Company’s life and annuity business of $3.3 billion, partially offset by operating income from discontinued operations of $388. Operating income from discontinued operations increased from $283 in 2016 primarily due to lower net realized capital losses in 2017. Apart from the reduction in net realized capital losses, earnings were relatively flat as an increase in the assumption study benefit and lower interest credited were largely offset by lower net investment income and lower fee income due to the continued run off of the variable annuity block.
Interest Expense

Year ended December 31, 2018 compared to the year ended December 31, 2017
Interest expense decreased primarily due to the redemption of junior subordinated debentures. On June 15, 2018, The Hartford redeemed $500 aggregate principal amount of its 8.125% Fixed-to-Floating Rate Junior Subordinated Debentures due 2068 and recognized a $6 loss on extinguishment of debt for unamortized deferred debt issuance costs. On March 15, 2018, the Company issued $500 of 4.4% senior notes due March 15, 2048 for net proceeds of approximately $490. The Company used a portion of the net proceeds to repay the Company's $320 of 6.3% senior notes at maturity. See Note 13 -Debt of Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements.
Year ended December 31, 2017 compared to the year ended December 31, 2016
Interest expense decreased primarily due to a decrease in outstanding debt due to debt maturities and the paydown of senior notes.
ENTERPRISE RISK MANAGEMENT
The Company’s Board of Directors has ultimate responsibility for risk oversight, as described more fully in our Proxy Statement, while management is tasked with the day-to-day management of the Company’s risks.
The Company manages and monitors risk through risk policies, controls and limits. At the senior management level, an Enterprise Risk and Capital Committee (“ERCC”) oversees the risk profile and risk management practices of the Company. As illustrated below, a number of functional committees sit underneath the ERCC, providing oversight of specific risk areas and recommending risk mitigation strategies to the ERCC.
| ERCC Members |
| CEO (Chair) |
| President |
| Chief Financial Officer |
| Chief Investment Officer |
| Chief Risk Officer |
| General Counsel |
| Others as deemed necessary by the Committee Chair |
Part II - Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
| ERCC | |||||||||||||||||||
| Asset Liability Committee | Underwriting Risk Committee | Emerging Risk Steering Committee | Operational Risk Committee | Catastrophe Risk Steering Committee | Economic Capital Executive Committee | Model Oversight Committee |
The Company's enterprise risk management ("ERM") function supports the ERCC and functional committees, and is tasked with, among other things:
| • | risk identification and assessment; |
| • | the development of risk appetites, tolerances, and limits; |
| • | risk monitoring; and |
| • | internal and external risk reporting. |
The Company categorizes its main risks as insurance risk, operational risk and financial risk, each of which is described in more detail below.
Insurance Risk
Insurance risk is the risk of losses of both a catastrophic and non-catastrophic nature on the P&C and group benefits products the Company has sold. Catastrophe insurance risk is the exposure arising from both natural (e.g., weather, earthquakes, wildfires, pandemics) and man-made catastrophes (e.g., terrorism, cyber-attacks) that create a concentration or aggregation of loss across the Company's insurance or asset portfolios.
Sources of Insurance Risk Non-catastrophe insurance risks exist within each of the Company's divisions except Hartford Funds and include:
| • | Property- Risk of loss to personal or commercial property from automobile related accidents, weather, explosions, smoke, shaking, fire, theft, vandalism, inadequate installation, faulty equipment, collisions and falling objects, and/or machinery mechanical breakdown resulting in physical damage and other covered perils. |
| • | Liability- Risk of loss from automobile related accidents, uninsured and underinsured drivers, lawsuits from accidents, defective products, breach of warranty, negligent acts by professional practitioners, environmental claims, latent exposures, fraud, coercion, forgery, failure to fulfill obligations per contract surety, liability from errors and omissions, losses from political and credit coverages, losses derivative lawsuits, and other securities actions and covered perils. |
| • | Mortality- Risk of loss from unexpected trends in insured deaths impacting timing of payouts from group life insurance, personal or commercial automobile related accidents, and death of employees or executives during the course of employment, while on disability, or while collecting workers compensation benefits. |
| • | Morbidity- Risk of loss to an insured from illness incurred during the course of employment or illness from other covered perils. |
| • | Disability- Risk of loss incurred from personal or commercial automobile related losses, accidents arising outside of the workplace, injuries or accidents incurred during the course of employment, or from equipment, with each loss resulting in short term or long-term disability payments. |
| • | Longevity- Risk of loss from increased life expectancy trends among policyholders receiving long-term benefit payments. |
Catastrophe risk primarily arises in the property, automobile, group life, group disability, and workers' compensation product lines.
Impact Non-catastrophe insurance risk can arise from unexpected loss experience, underpriced business and/or underestimation of loss reserves and can have significant effects on the Company’s earnings. Catastrophe insurance risk can arise from various unpredictable events and can have significant effects on the Company's earnings and may result in losses that could constrain its liquidity.
Management The Company's policies and procedures for managing these risks include disciplined underwriting protocols, exposure controls, sophisticated risk-based pricing, risk modeling, risk transfer, and capital management strategies. The Company has established underwriting guidelines for both individual risks, including individual policy limits, and risks in the aggregate, including aggregate exposure limits by geographic zone and peril. The Company uses both internal and third-party models to estimate the potential loss resulting from various catastrophe events and the potential financial impact those events would have on the Company's financial position and results of operations across its businesses.
In addition, certain insurance products offered by The Hartford provide coverage for losses incurred due to cyber events and the Company has assessed and modeled how those products would respond to different events in order to manage its aggregate exposure to losses incurred under the insurance policies we sell. The Company models numerous deterministic scenarios including losses caused by malware, data breach, distributed denial of service attacks, intrusions of cloud environments and attacks of power grids.
Among specific risk tolerances set by the Company, risk limits are set for natural catastrophes, terrorism risk and pandemic risk.
Part II - Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
| Risk | Definition | Details and Company Limits | |
| Natural catastrophe | Exposure arising from natural phenomena (e.g., earthquakes, wildfires, etc.) that create a concentration or aggregation of loss across the Company's insurance or asset portfolios and the inherent volatility of weather or climate pattern changes. | The Company generally limits its estimated pre-tax loss as a result of natural catastrophes for property & casualty exposures from a single 250-year event to less than 30% of statutory surplus of the property and casualty insurance subsidiaries prior to reinsurance and to less than 15% of statutory surplus of the property and casualty insurance subsidiaries after reinsurance. From time to time the estimated loss to natural catastrophes from a single 250-year event prior to reinsurance may fluctuate above or below these limits due to changes in modeled loss estimates, exposures or statutory surplus. | |
| - The estimated 250 year pre-tax probable maximum loss from earthquake events is estimated to be $917 before reinsurance and $470 net of reinsurance. [1] | |||
| - The estimated 250 year pre-tax probable maximum losses from hurricane events are estimated to be $1.6 billion before reinsurance and $877 net of reinsurance. [1] | |||
| Terrorism | The risk of losses from terrorist attacks, including losses caused by single-site and multi-site conventional attacks, as well as the potential for attacks using nuclear, biological, chemical or radiological weapons (“NBCR”). | Enterprise limits for terrorism apply to aggregations of risk across property-casualty, group benefits and specific asset portfolios and are defined based on a deterministic, single-site conventional terrorism attack scenario. The Company manages its potential estimated loss from a conventional terrorism loss scenario, up to $2.0 billion net of reinsurance and $2.5 billion gross of reinsurance, before coverage under the Terrorism Risk Insurance Program established under “TRIPRA”. In addition, the Company monitors exposures monthly and employs both internally developed and vendor-licensed loss modeling tools as part of its risk management discipline. Our modeled exposures to conventional terrorist attacks around landmark locations may fluctuate above and below our stated limits. | |
| Pandemic | The exposure to loss arising from widespread influenza or other pathogens or bacterial infections that create an aggregation of loss across the Company's insurance or asset portfolios. | The Company generally limits its estimated pre-tax loss from a single 250 year pandemic event to less than 18% of statutory surplus of the property and casualty and group benefits insurance subsidiaries. In evaluating these scenarios, the Company assesses the impact on group life policies, short-term and long-term disability, property & casualty claims, and losses in the investment portfolio associated with market declines in the event of a widespread pandemic. While ERM has a process to track and manage these limits, from time to time, the estimated loss for pandemics may fluctuate above or below these limits due to changes in modeled loss estimates, exposures, or statutory surplus. |
| [1] | The loss estimates represent total property losses for hurricane events and property and workers compensation losses for earthquake events resulting from a single event. The estimates provided are based on 250-year return period loss estimates that have a 0.4% likelihood of being exceeded in any single year. The net loss estimates provided assume that the Company is able to recover all losses ceded to reinsurers under its reinsurance programs. The Company also manages natural catastrophe risk for group life and group disability, which in combination with property and workers compensation loss estimates are subject to separate enterprise risk management net aggregate loss limits as a percent of enterprise surplus. |
Reinsurance as a Risk Management Strategy
In addition to the policies and procedures outlined above, the Company uses reinsurance to transfer certain risks to reinsurance companies based on specific geographic or risk concentrations. A variety of traditional reinsurance products are used as part of the Company's risk management strategy, including excess of loss occurrence-based products that reinsure property and workers' compensation exposures, and individual risk (including facultative reinsurance) or quota share arrangements, that reinsure losses from specific classes or lines of business. The Company has no significant finite risk contracts in
place and the statutory surplus benefit from all such prior year contracts is immaterial. The Hartford also participates in governmentally administered reinsurance facilities such as the Florida Hurricane Catastrophe Fund (“FHCF”), the Terrorism Risk Insurance Program (“TRIPRA”) and other reinsurance programs relating to particular risks or specific lines of business.
Reinsurance for Catastrophes- The Company has catastrophe reinsurance programs, including reinsurance treaties that cover property and workers’ compensation losses aggregating from single catastrophe events.
Part II - Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
Primary Catastrophe Treaty Reinsurance Coverages as of January 1, 2019
| Portion of losses reinsured | Portion of losses retained by The Hartford | |
| Per Occurrence Property Catastrophe Treaty for 1/1/2019 to 12/31/2019 [1] | ||
| Losses of $0 to $350 from one event | None | 100% retained |
| Losses of $350 to $500 from one event | 75% of $150 in excess of $350 | 25% co-participation |
| Losses of $500 to $1.1 billion from one event [2] | 90% of $600 in excess of $500 | 10% co-participation |
| Aggregate Property Catastrophe Treaty for 1/1/2019 to 12/31/2019 [3] | ||
| $0 to $775 of aggregate losses | None | 100% retained |
| $775 to $1.0 billion of aggregate losses | 100% | None |
| Workers' Compensation Catastrophe Treaty for 1/1/2019 to 12/31/2019 | ||
| Losses of $0 to $100 from one event | None | 100% retained |
| Losses of $100 to $450 from one event [4] | 80% of $350 in excess of $100 | 20% co-participation |
| [1] | In addition to the Property Occurrence Treaty, for Florida events, The Hartford has purchased the mandatory FHCF reinsurance for the period from 6/1/2018 to 5/30/2019. Retention and coverage varies by writing company. The writing company with the largest coverage under FHCF is Hartford Insurance Company of the Midwest, with coverage for $84 of per event losses in excess of a $29 retention. |
| [2] | Portions of this layer of coverage extend beyond the traditional one year term. |
| [3] | The aggregate treaty is not limited to a single event; rather, it is designed to provide reinsurance protection for the aggregate of all events designated as catastrophes by PCS (Property Claims Services/Verisk) with a $350 limit on any one event. |
| [4] | In addition to the limits shown, the worker's compensation reinsurance includes a non-catastrophe, industrial accident layer, providing coverage for 80% of $30 in per event losses in excess of a $20 retention. |
In addition to the property catastrophe reinsurance coverage described in the above table, the Company has other reinsurance agreements that cover property catastrophe losses. The Per Occurrence Property Catastrophe Treaty and Workers' Compensation Catastrophe Treaty include a provision to reinstate limits in the event that a catastrophe loss exhausts limits on one or more layers under the treaties.
Reinsurance for Terrorism- For the risk of terrorism, private sector catastrophe reinsurance capacity is generally limited and largely unavailable for terrorism losses caused by nuclear, biological, chemical or radiological attacks. As such, the Company's principal reinsurance protection against large-scale terrorist attacks is the coverage currently provided through TRIPRA to the end of 2020.
TRIPRA provides a backstop for insurance-related losses resulting from any “act of terrorism”, which is certified by the Secretary of the Treasury, in consultation with the Secretary of Homeland Security and the Attorney General, for losses that exceed a threshold of industry losses of $180 in 2019, with the threshold increasing to $200 by 2020. Under the program, in any one calendar year, the federal government would pay a percentage of losses incurred from a certified act of terrorism after an insurer's losses exceed 20% of the Company's eligible direct commercial earned premiums of the prior calendar year up to a combined annual aggregate limit for the federal government and all insurers of $100 billion. The percentage of losses paid by the federal government is 81% in 2019, decreasing to 80% in 2020. The Company's estimated deductible under the program is $1.3 billion for 2019. If an act of terrorism or acts of terrorism result in covered losses exceeding the $100 billion annual industry aggregate limit, Congress would be responsible for determining how additional losses in excess of $100 billion will be paid.
Reinsurance for A&E Reserve Development**-** Under an ADC reinsurance agreement, NICO assumes adverse net loss and allocated loss adjustment expense reserve development up to $1.5 billion above the Company’s net A&E reserves recorded as of December 31, 2016. Under retroactive reinsurance accounting, net adverse A&E reserve development after December 31, 2016 results in an offsetting reinsurance recoverable up to the $1.5 billion limit. Cumulative ceded losses up to the $650 reinsurance premium paid for the ADC are recognized as a dollar-for-dollar offset to direct losses incurred. As of December 31, 2018, $523 of incurred asbestos and environmental losses had been ceded to NICO, leaving approximately $977 of coverage available for future adverse net reserve development, if any. Cumulative ceded losses exceeding the $650 reinsurance premium paid would result in a deferred gain. The deferred gain would be recognized over the claim settlement period in the proportion of the amount of cumulative ceded losses collected from the reinsurer to the estimated ultimate reinsurance recoveries. Consequently, until periods when the deferred gain is recognized as a benefit to earnings, cumulative adverse development of A&E claims after December 31, 2016 in excess of $650 may result in significant charges against earnings. Furthermore, there is a risk that cumulative adverse development of A&E claims could ultimately exceed the $1.5 billion treaty limit in which case all adverse development in excess of the treaty limit would be absorbed as a charge to earnings by the Company. In these scenarios, the effect of these charges could be material to the Company’s consolidated operating results and liquidity.
Reinsurance Recoverables
Property and casualty insurance product reinsurance recoverables represent loss and loss adjustment expense recoverables from a number of entities, including reinsurers and pools.
Part II - Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
Property & Casualty Reinsurance Recoverables
| As of December 31, | ||||||
| 2018 | 2017 | |||||
| Paid loss and loss adjustment expenses | $ | 127 | $ | 84 | ||
| Unpaid loss and loss adjustment expenses | 3,773 | 3,496 | ||||
| Gross reinsurance recoverables | 3,900 | 3,580 | ||||
| Less: Allowance for uncollectible reinsurance | (126 | ) | (104 | ) | ||
| Net reinsurance recoverables | $ | 3,774 | $ | 3,476 |
As shown in the following table, a portion of the total gross reinsurance recoverables relates to the Company’s mandatory participation in various involuntary assigned risk pools and the value of annuity contracts held under structured settlement agreements. Reinsurance recoverables due from mandatory pools are backed by the financial strength of the property and casualty insurance industry. Annuities purchased from third-party life insurers under structured settlements are recognized as reinsurance recoverables in cases where the Company has not obtained a release from the claimant. Of the remaining gross reinsurance recoverables, the portion of recoverables due from companies rated by A.M. Best is as follows:
Distribution of Gross Reinsurance Recoverables
| As of December 31, | ||||||||||
| 2018 | 2017 | |||||||||
| Gross reinsurance recoverables | $ | 3,900 | $ | 3,580 | ||||||
| Less: mandatory (assigned risk) pools and structured settlements | (1,220 | ) | (1,199 | ) | ||||||
| Gross reinsurance recoverables excluding mandatory pools and structured settlements | $ | 2,680 | $ | 2,381 | ||||||
| % of Total | % of Total | |||||||||
| Rated A- (excellent) or better by A.M. Best [1] | $ | 2,194 | 81.8 | % | $ | 1,836 | 77.1 | % | ||
| Other rated by A.M. Best | 1 | 0.1 | % | 1 | 0.1 | % | ||||
| Total rated companies | 2,195 | 81.9 | % | 1,837 | 77.2 | % | ||||
| Voluntary pools | 35 | 1.3 | % | 37 | 1.5 | % | ||||
| Captives | 302 | 11.3 | % | 323 | 13.6 | % | ||||
| Other not rated companies | 148 | 5.5 | % | 184 | 7.7 | % | ||||
| Total | $ | 2,680 | 100.0 | % | $ | 2,381 | 100.0 | % |
| [1] | Based on A.M. Best ratings as of December 31, 2018 and 2017*, respectively.* |
To manage reinsurer credit risk, a reinsurance security review committee evaluates the credit standing, financial performance, management and operational quality of each potential reinsurer. In placing reinsurance, the Company considers the nature of the risk reinsured, including the expected liability payout duration, and establishes limits tiered by reinsurer credit rating.
Where its contracts permit, the Company secures future claim obligations with various forms of collateral, including irrevocable letters of credit, secured trusts, funds held accounts and group wide offsets. As part of its reinsurance recoverable review, the Company analyzes recent developments in commutation activity between reinsurers and cedants, recent trends in arbitration and litigation outcomes in disputes between cedants and reinsurers and the overall credit quality of the Company’s reinsurers. As indicated in the above table, 81.8% of the gross reinsurance recoverables due from reinsurers rated by A.M. Best were rated A- (excellent) or better as of December 31, 2018.
Annually, the Company completes evaluations of the reinsurance recoverable asset associated with older, long-term casualty liabilities reported in the Property & Casualty Other Operations reporting segment, and the allowance for uncollectible reinsurance reported in the Commercial Lines reporting segment. For a discussion regarding the results of these evaluations, see MD&A - Critical Accounting Estimates, Property and Casualty Insurance Product Reserves, Net of Reinsurance.
Group Benefits reinsurance recoverables represent reserve for future policy benefits and unpaid loss and loss adjustment expenses and other policyholder funds and benefits payable that are recoverable from a number of reinsurers.
Group Benefits Reinsurance Recoverables
| As of December 31, | ||||||
| 2018 | 2017 | |||||
| Paid loss and loss adjustment expenses | $ | 12 | $ | 27 | ||
| Unpaid loss and loss adjustment expenses | 239 | 209 | ||||
| Gross reinsurance recoverables | 251 | 236 | ||||
| Less: Allowance for uncollectible reinsurance [1] | — | — | ||||
| Net reinsurance recoverables | $ | 251 | $ | 236 |
| [1] | No allowance for uncollectible reinsurance was required as of December 31, 2018 and 2017*.* |
Guaranty Funds and Other Insurance-related Assessments
As part of its risk management strategy, the Company regularly monitors the financial strength of other insurers and, in particular, activity by insurance regulators and various state guaranty associations relating to troubled insurers. In all states, insurers licensed to transact certain classes of insurance are required to become members of a guaranty fund.
Operational Risk
Operational risk is the risk of loss resulting from inadequate or failed internal processes and systems, human error, or from external events.
Sources of Operational Risk Operational risk is inherent in the Company's business and functional areas. Operational risks include: compliance with laws and regulation, cybersecurity, business disruption, technology failure, inadequate execution or process management, reliance on model and data analytics, internal fraud, external fraud, third party dependency and attraction and retention of talent.
Part II - Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
Impact Operational risk can result in financial loss, disruption of our business, regulatory actions or damage to our reputation.
Management Responsibility for day-to-day management of operational risk lies within each business unit and functional area. ERM provides an enterprise-wide view of the Company's operational risk on an aggregate basis. ERM is responsible for establishing, maintaining and communicating the framework, principles and guidelines of the Company's operational risk management program. Operational risk mitigation strategies include the following:
| • | Establishing policies and monitoring risk tolerances and exceptions; |
| • | Conducting business risk assessments and implementing action plans where necessary; |
| • | Validating existing crisis management protocols; |
| • | Identifying and monitoring emerging risks; and |
| • | Purchasing insurance coverage. |
Cybersecurity Risk
The Hartford has implemented an information protection program with established governance routines that promote an adaptive approach for assessing and managing risks. The Hartford has invested to build a ‘defense-in-depth’ strategy that uses multiple security measures to protect the integrity of the Company's information assets. This ‘defense-in-depth’ strategy aligns to the National Institute of Standards and Technology ("NIST") Cyber Security Framework and provides preventative, detective and responsive measures that collectively protects the Company. Various cyber assurance methods, including security metrics, third party security assessments, external penetration testing, red team exercises, and cyber war game exercises are used to test the effectiveness of the overall cybersecurity control environment.
The Hartford, like many other large financial services companies, blocks attempted cyber intrusions on a daily basis. In the event of a cyber intrusion, the Company invokes its Cyber Incident Response Program (the "Program") commensurate with the nature of the intrusion. While the actual methods employed differ based on the event, our approach employs internal teams and outside advisors with specialized skills to support the response and recovery efforts and requires elevation of issues, as necessary, to senior management. In addition, we have procedures to ensure timely notification of critical cybersecurity incidents pursuant to the Program to help identify employees who may have material non-public information and to implement blackout restrictions on trading the Company's securities during the investigation and assessment of such cybersecurity incidents.
From a governance perspective, senior members of our Enterprise Risk Management, Information Protection and Internal Audit functions provide detailed, regular reports on cybersecurity matters to the Board, including the Finance, Investment, and Risk Management Committee (FIRMCo), a committee comprised of all directors, which has principal responsibility for oversight of cybersecurity risk, and/or the Audit Committee, which oversees controls for the Company's major risk exposures. The topics covered by these updates include the Company's activities, policies and procedures to prevent, detect and respond to cybersecurity incidents, as well as lessons learned
from cybersecurity incidents and internal and external testing of our cyber defenses.
Financial Risk
Financial risks include direct and indirect risks to the Company's financial objectives coming from events that impact market conditions or prices. Some events may cause correlated movement in multiple risk factors. The primary sources of financial risks are the Company's invested assets. Consistent with its risk appetite, the Company establishes financial risk limits to control potential loss on a U.S. GAAP, statutory, and economic basis. Exposures are actively monitored and mitigated where appropriate. The Company uses various risk management strategies, including reinsurance and over-the-counter ("OTC") and exchange traded derivatives with counterparties meeting the appropriate regulatory and due diligence requirements. Derivatives are utilized to achieve one of four Company-approved objectives: hedging risk arising from interest rate, equity market, commodity market, credit spread and issuer default, price or currency exchange rate risk or volatility; managing liquidity; controlling transaction costs; or entering into synthetic replication transactions. Derivative activities are monitored and evaluated by the Company’s compliance and risk management teams and reviewed by senior management.
The Company identifies different categories of financial risk, including liquidity, credit, interest rate, equity and foreign currency exchange, as described below.
Liquidity Risk
Liquidity risk is the risk to current or prospective earnings or capital arising from the Company's inability or perceived inability to meet its contractual funding obligations as they come due.
Sources of Liquidity Risk Sources of liquidity risk include funding risk, company-specific liquidity risk and market liquidity risk resulting from differences in the amount and timing of sources and uses of cash as well as company-specific and general market conditions. Stressed market conditions may impact the ability to sell assets or otherwise transact business and may result in a significant loss in value.
Impact Inadequate capital resources and liquidity could negatively affect the Company’s overall financial strength and its ability to generate cash flows from its businesses, borrow funds at competitive rates, and raise new capital to meet operating and growth needs.
Management The Company has defined ongoing monitoring and reporting requirements to assess liquidity across the enterprise under both current and stressed market conditions. The Company measures and manages liquidity risk exposures and funding needs within prescribed limits across legal entities, taking into account legal, regulatory and operational limitations to the transferability of liquid assets. The Company also monitors internal and external conditions, and identifies material risk changes and emerging risks that may impact operating cash flows or liquid assets. The liquidity requirements of the Holding Company have been and will continue to be met by the Holding Company's fixed maturities, short-term investments and cash, and dividends from its subsidiaries, principally its insurance operations, as well as the issuance of common stock, debt or other capital securities and borrowings from its credit
Previous: Item 5. MARKET FOR THE HARTFORD’S COMMON EQUITY, RELATED STOCKHOLDER MATTERS AND ISSUER PURCHASES OF EQUITY SECURITIES · Next: Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations