Item 3. QUANTITATIVE AND QUALITATIVE DISCLOSURES ABOUT MARKET RISK
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Item 3. QUANTITATIVE AND QUALITATIVE DISCLOSURES ABOUT MARKET RISK
Interest Rate Risk
The total amount of short-term debt, net of cash, amounted to a net cash position of $948 million and a net debt position of $576 million, at September 28, 2025 and December 31, 2024, respectively. A hypothetical 100 basis point increase in interest rates applied to this variable-rate short-term debt as of September 28, 2025 would have changed interest income by approximately $7.7 million for the first nine months of 2025 versus a change to interest expense of $7.0 million for 2024.
We consider our current risk related to market fluctuations in interest rates on our remaining debt portfolio, excluding fixed-rate debt converted to variable rates with fixed-to-floating instruments, to be minimal since this debt is largely long-term and fixed-rate in nature. Generally, the fair market value of fixed-rate debt will increase as interest rates fall and decrease as interest rates rise. A 100 basis point increase in market interest rates would decrease the fair value of our fixed-rate long-term debt at September 28, 2025 and December 31, 2024 by approximately $273 million and $169 million, respectively. However, since we currently have no plans to repurchase our outstanding fixed-rate instruments before their maturities, the impact of market interest rate fluctuations on our long-term debt does not affect our results of operations or financial position.
Foreign Currency Exchange Rate Risk
We are exposed to currency fluctuations related to manufacturing or selling products in currencies other than the U.S. dollar. We may enter into foreign currency forward exchange contracts to reduce fluctuations in our long or short currency positions relating primarily to purchase commitments or forecasted purchases for equipment, raw materials and finished goods denominated in foreign currencies.
The fair value of foreign currency forward exchange contracts represents the difference between the contracted and current market foreign currency exchange rates at the end of the period. We estimate the fair value of foreign currency forward exchange contracts on a quarterly basis by obtaining market quotes of spot and forward rates for contracts with similar terms, adjusted where necessary for maturity differences. The potential decline in fair value of foreign currency forward exchange contracts resulting from a hypothetical near-term adverse change in market rates of 10% was $16.5 million as of September 28, 2025 and $32.3 million as of December 31, 2024, generally offset by a reduction in foreign exchange associated with our transactional activities.
Commodities—Price Risk Management and Derivative Contracts
We use futures and options contracts and other commodity derivative instruments in combination with forward purchasing of cocoa products, sugar, corn products, certain dairy products, wheat products, natural gas and diesel fuel primarily to mitigate price volatility and provide visibility to future costs within our supply chain. Significant changes impacting our commodity price risk management since our 2024 Annual Report on Form 10-K are described below.
| Table of Contents | The Hershey Company | Q3 2025 Form 10-Q | Page 46 | ![]() |
Cocoa Products
During the first nine months of 2025, the average cocoa futures contract price was $3.97 per pound, with a trading range of $3.30 to $4.89 per pound, based on the Intercontinental Exchange futures contract. This average cocoa futures contract price represents an increase of approximately 15% compared to the 2024 annual average of $3.45 per pound.
The cocoa supply-demand outlook continues to show improved signs for the 2024/25 season following three consecutive seasons of supply deficit. Supply has benefited from a combination of more favorable weather conditions in Côte d’Ivoire and Ghana and the ongoing expansion of supply in the rest of the world, specifically Ecuador, which is supplying approximately 35% more cocoa than in the previous season. Demand for cocoa beans has been negatively impacted by high prices over the last two years and this season’s grind is expected to be 2% lower than the previous season. Despite recent pullback of future contracts across the board, the outlook for cocoa prices remains uncertain due to significant liquidity and volatility events in the market, which may have an impact on our financial condition and results of operations.
Our costs for cocoa products will not necessarily reflect market price fluctuations because of our forward purchasing and hedging practices (including amount and duration thereof), premiums and discounts reflective of varying delivery times, and supply and demand for our specific varieties and grades of cocoa liquor, cocoa butter and cocoa powder. We generally hedge commodity price risks for 3- to 24-month periods. As a result, the average market prices are not necessarily indicative of our average costs.
Commodity Sensitivity Analysis
Our open commodity derivative contracts had a notional value of $591.8 million as of September 28, 2025 and $667.4 million as of December 31, 2024. At the end of the third quarter of 2025, the potential change in fair value of commodity derivative instruments, assuming a 10% decrease in the underlying commodity price, would have increased our net unrealized losses by $25.8 million, generally offset by a reduction in the cost of the underlying commodity purchases.
For additional information about our market risks, see Item 7A under Part II of our 2024 Annual Report on Form 10-K.
| Table of Contents | The Hershey Company | Q3 2025 Form 10-Q | Page 47 | ![]() |
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