Item 7A. Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures about Market Risk

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Item 7A. Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures about Market Risk

Our future income, cash flows, and fair values relevant to financial instruments are dependent upon prevalent market interest rates. Market risk refers to the risk of loss from adverse changes in interest rates, seasonality, market prices, commodity prices, and inflation. The primary market risks to which we are exposed are interest rate risk and seasonality. We may in the future use derivative financial instruments to manage, or hedge, interest rate risks related to any borrowings we may have. We may enter into such contracts only with major financial institutions based on their credit ratings and other factors.

Interest Rate Risk

A primary market risk to which we believe we are exposed is interest rate risk, which may result from many factors, including government monetary and tax policies, domestic and international economic and political considerations, and other factors that are beyond our control. We may incur additional variable rate debt in the future, including additional amounts that we may borrow under our credit facilities. In addition, decreases in interest rates may lead to additional competition for the acquisition of single-family homes, which may lead to future acquisitions being more costly and resulting in lower yields on single-family homes targeted for acquisition. Significant increases in interest rates may also have an adverse impact on our earnings if we are unable to acquire single-family homes with rental rates high enough to offset the increase in interest rates on our borrowings.

As of December 31, 2016 and 2015, the total outstanding balance of our variable-rate debt was comprised of borrowings on our credit facilities of $2,321.6 and $2,355.9 million, respectively, our mortgage loans of $5,264.0 and $5,305.9 million, respectively, and our warehouse loans from our Sponsor of $0.0 million and $114.0 million, respectively. Total outstanding variable-rate debt decreased 2.4% from December 31, 2015 to December 31, 2016. All borrowings bear interest at LIBOR plus the applicable spread. Assuming no change in the outstanding balance of our existing variable rate debt, the following table illustrates the projected effect of a 100 basis point increase or decrease in the LIBOR rate on our annual interest expense as of December 31, 2016 and 2015:

Change in Interest Expense(1)
Impact to future earnings due to variable rate debt ($ in thousands):As of December 31, 2016As of December 31, 2015
Rate increase of 1%(2)$75,856$77,759
Rate decrease of 1%(3)$(52,323)$(28,473)
(1)The impact of the interest rate swap agreements that were in place as of December 31, 2016 is not factored into the above table as the forward looking swaps do not begin until February 28, 2017.
(2)Calculation of additional projected annual interest expense as a result of a 100 basis point increase considers the potential impact of our interest rate cap agreements as of December 31, 2016.
(3)Calculation of projected decrease in annual interest expense as a result of a 100 basis point decrease is reflective of any LIBOR floors or minimum interest rates stated in the agreements of the respective borrowings.

This analysis does not consider the effects of the reduced level of overall economic activity that could exist in such an environment. Further, in the event of a change of such magnitude, we may consider taking actions to further mitigate our exposure to the change. However, because of the uncertainty of the specific actions that would be taken and their possible effects, the sensitivity analysis assumes no changes in our capital structure.

Seasonality

Our business and related operating results have been, and we believe that they will continue to be, impacted by seasonal factors throughout the year. In particular, we have experienced higher levels of resident move-outs during the summer months, which impacts both our rental revenues and related turnover costs. Further, our property operating costs are seasonally impacted in certain markets by increases in expenses such as HVAC repairs, costs to re-resident, and landscaping expenses during the summer season.

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