A Dark Vector Cognition product

Item 2. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations

35K characters. Original on sec.gov ·

Item 2. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations

The following discussion should be read in conjunction with our audited consolidated financial statements and notes thereto in our Annual Report.

This Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, and Section 21E of the Exchange Act, including, in particular, statements about the impact of future events, future financial performance, plans (including our executive succession plan), strategies, expectations, prospects, competitive environment, regulation, labor matters, supply chain issues, inflation, and availability of raw materials. Forward-looking statements include all statements that are not historical facts and can be identified by the use of forward-looking terminology such as “outlook,” “guidance,” “anticipate,” “expect,” “believe,” “could,” “estimate,” “feel,” “forecast,” “intend,” “may,” “plan,” “potential,” “project,” “should,” “target,” “will,” “would,” and similar words, phrases or expressions and variations or negatives of these words in this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q. We have based these forward-looking statements on our current views with respect to future events and financial performance. Our actual financial performance could differ materially from those projected in the forward-looking statements due to the inherent uncertainty of estimates, forecasts and projections, and our financial performance may be better or worse than anticipated. Given these uncertainties, you should not put undue reliance on any forward-looking statements. All of the forward-looking statements are qualified in their entirety by reference to the factors discussed under "Risk Factors" in Part I, Item 1A of our Annual Report, as well as our subsequent filings with the SEC. Forward-looking statements represent our estimates and assumptions only as of the date that they were made. We do not undertake any duty to update the forward-looking statements, and the estimates and assumptions associated with them, after the date of this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q, except to the extent required by applicable securities laws.

This Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q contains the names of some of our owned or licensed trademarks, trade names and service marks, which we refer to as our brands. All of the product names included in this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q are either our registered trademarks or those of our licensors.

OVERVIEW

KDP is a leading beverage company in North America that manufactures, markets, distributes, and sells hot and cold beverages and single serve brewing systems. We have a broad portfolio of iconic beverage brands, including Dr Pepper, Canada Dry, Mott's, A&W, Snapple, Peñafiel, 7UP, Green Mountain Coffee Roasters, Core Hydration, and The Original Donut Shop, as well as the Keurig brewing system. KDP has some of the most recognized beverage brands in North America, with significant consumer awareness levels and long histories that evoke strong emotional connections with consumers. We offer more than 125 owned, licensed, and partner brands, available nearly everywhere people shop and consume beverages through our sales and distribution network.

KDP operates as an integrated brand owner, manufacturer, and distributor. We believe our integrated business model strengthens our route-to-market and provides opportunities for net sales and profit growth through the alignment of the economic interests of our brand ownership and our manufacturing and distribution businesses through both our DSD system and our WD system. We market and sell our products to retailers, including supermarkets, mass merchandisers, club stores, pure-play e-commerce retailers, and office superstores; to restaurants, hotel chains, office product and coffee distributors, and partner brand owners; and directly to consumers through our website. Our integrated business model enables us to be more flexible and responsive to the changing needs of our large retail customers and allows us to more fully leverage our scale and reduce costs by creating greater geographic manufacturing and distribution coverage.

Table of Contents

Our operating and reportable segments are as follows:

  • The U.S. Refreshment Beverages segment reflects sales in the U.S. from the manufacture and distribution of branded concentrates, syrup and finished beverages, including the sales of the Company's own brands and third-party brands, to third-party bottlers, distributors and retailers.

  • The U.S. Coffee segment reflects sales in the U.S. from the manufacture and distribution of finished goods relating to the Company's K-Cup pods, single-serve brewers and other coffee products to partners, retailers and directly to consumers through our Keurig.com website.

  • The International segment reflects sales in international markets, including the following:

◦Sales in Canada, Mexico, the Caribbean, and other international markets from the manufacture and distribution of branded concentrates, syrup, and finished beverages, including sales of the Company's own brands and third-party brands, to third-party bottlers, distributors, and retailers.

◦Sales in Canada from the manufacture and distribution of finished goods relating to the Company’s single-serve brewers, K-Cup pods, and other coffee products.

COMPARABLE RESULTS OF OPERATIONS

We eliminate from our financial results all applicable intercompany transactions between entities included in our consolidated financial statements and the intercompany transactions with our equity method investees. References in tables below to percentage changes that are not meaningful are denoted by "NM".

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Financial Overview - First Quarter of 2024 as compared to First Quarter of 2023

As Reported, in millions (except EPS)

88899091

Key Events During the First Quarter of 2024

March 2024 Debt Issuance

In March 2024, we completed the issuance of an aggregate principal amount of $3 billion of senior unsecured notes. The proceeds were used to repay the 2024 Notes at maturity, to repurchase KDP shares as described below, to repay outstanding commercial paper, and for general corporate purposes.

Repurchase of KDP Shares

In March 2024, JAB BevCo B.V., a subsidiary of JAB, sold 100 million shares of KDP’s common stock through an underwritten secondary offering. In connection with this offering, we repurchased 35 million shares at the per-share price paid by the underwriter, for a total of $1,012 million, which was effected under our existing share repurchase program.

Table of Contents

RESULTS OF OPERATIONS

First Quarter of 2024 Compared to First Quarter of 2023

Consolidated Operations

The following table sets forth our unaudited condensed consolidated results of operations for the first quarter of 2024 and 2023:

First QuarterDollar ChangePercentage Change
($ in millions, except per share amounts)20242023
Net sales$3,468$3,353$1153.4%
Cost of sales1,5281,609(81)(5.0)
Gross profit1,9401,74419611.2
Selling, general and administrative expenses1,1761,165110.9
Other operating income, net(1)(5)4NM
Income from operations76558418131.0
Interest expense17823155NM
Other income, net(7)(20)13NM
Income before provision for income taxes594581132.2
Provision for income taxes1401142622.8
Net income$454$467(13)(2.8)
Earnings per common share:
Basic$0.33$0.33$——%
Diluted0.330.33——
Gross margin55.9%52.0%390 bps
Operating margin22.1%17.4%470 bps
Effective tax rate23.6%19.6%400 bps

Sales Volume. The following table provides the percentage change in sales volume compared to the prior year period:

Percentage Change
LRB(0.7)%
K-Cup pods(0.6)
Appliances21.7

Net Sales. Net sales increased $115 million, or 3.4%, to $3,468 million for the first quarter of 2024 compared to $3,353 million in the prior year period. This performance reflected favorable net price realization (3.1%) and favorable FX translation (0.6%), slightly offset by unfavorable volume/mix (0.3%).

Gross Profit. Gross profit increased $196 million, or 11.2%, to $1,940 million for the first quarter of 2024 compared to $1,744 million in the prior year period. This performance primarily reflected the impact to gross profit of the strong growth in net sales (6 percentage points), the benefit from the earned equity from the achievement of milestones associated with certain distribution agreements (3 percentage points), and a net benefit from changes in ingredients, materials, and productivity (2 percentage points). Gross margin increased 390 bps versus the prior year period to 55.9%.

Income from Operations. Income from operations increased $181 million, or 31.0%, to $765 million for the first quarter of 2024 compared to $584 million in the prior year period, primarily driven by increased gross profit. Operating margin increased 470 bps from the prior year period to 22.1%.

Table of Contents

Interest Expense. Interest expense increased $155 million to $178 million for the first quarter of 2024 compared to $23 million for the prior year period, primarily driven by the unfavorable change in unrealized mark-to-market activity on interest rate contracts, resulting from increasing interest rates.

Effective Tax Rate. The effective tax rate increased 400 bps to 23.6% for the first quarter of 2024, compared to 19.6% in the prior year period, driven by a shift in the mix of income from lower tax jurisdictions to higher tax jurisdictions (210 bps) and the unfavorable comparison to the prior year tax benefit received from favorable adjustments upon foreign tax return filing (150 bps).

Net Income. Net income decreased $13 million, or 2.8%, to $454 million for the first quarter of 2024 as compared to $467 million in the prior year period, as increased interest expense and unfavorable changes in our effective tax rate offset our increased income from operations.

Diluted EPS. Diluted EPS was flat relative to the prior year period at $0.33 per diluted share.

Results of Operations by Segment

The following tables provide net sales and income from operations for our reportable segments for the first quarter of 2024 and 2023, as well as the other amounts necessary to reconcile our total segment results to our consolidated results presented in accordance with U.S. GAAP.

First Quarter
(in millions)20242023
Net sales
U.S. Refreshment Beverages$2,093$2,007
U.S. Coffee911931
International464415
Total net sales$3,468$3,353
Income from operations
U.S. Refreshment Beverages$615$490
U.S. Coffee248232
International11280
Unallocated corporate costs(210)(218)
Total income from operations$765$584

Table of Contents

U.S. REFRESHMENT BEVERAGES

The following table provides selected information about our U.S. Refreshment Beverages segment's results:

First QuarterDollar ChangePercentage Change
(in millions)20242023
Net sales$2,093$2,007$864.3%
Income from operations61549012525.5
Operating margin29.4%24.4%500 bps

Sales Volume. Sales volume for the first quarter of 2024 decreased approximately 1.7% compared to the prior year period, as growth in Canada Dry and C4 Energy, combined with the launch of Electrolit within our distribution network, was more than offset by softness in the remainder of our portfolio.

Net Sales. Net sales increased 4.3% to $2,093 million in the first quarter of 2024, compared to $2,007 million in the prior year period, driven by favorable net price realization (5.6%), which was partially offset by unfavorable volume/mix (1.3%).

Income from Operations. Income from operations increased $125 million, or 25.5%, to $615 million for the first quarter of 2024 compared to $490 million for the prior year period. This performance was led by the benefits to gross profit from net sales growth (17 percentage points) and earned equity from the achievement of milestones associated with certain distribution agreements (9 percentage points), as well as a net benefit from changes in ingredients, materials, and productivity (2 percentage points). Operating margin improved 500 bps versus the year ago period to 29.4%.

U.S. COFFEE

The following table provides selected information about our U.S. Coffee segment's results:

First QuarterDollar ChangePercentage Change
(in millions)20242023
Net sales$911$931$(20)(2.1)%
Income from operations248232166.9
Operating margin27.2%24.9%230 bps

Sales Volume. K-Cup pod volume decreased 1.1% for the first quarter of 2024 compared to the prior year period, reflecting softer at-home coffee category trends. Appliance volume increased 26.1% in the first quarter of 2024, driven by Keurig market share momentum.

Net Sales. Net sales decreased 2.1% to $911 million for the first quarter of 2024 compared to $931 million in the prior year period, driven by unfavorable volume/mix (1.8%) and net price realization (0.3%).

Income from Operations. Income from operations increased $16 million, or 6.9%, to $248 million for the first quarter of 2024, compared to $232 million in the prior year period, driven by a net benefit from changes in ingredients, materials, and productivity (10 percentage points) and reduced costs associated with productivity projects (6 percentage points), partially offset by the impact to gross profit of the decrease in net sales (8 percentage points). Operating margin improved 230 bps versus the year ago period to 27.2%.

Table of Contents

INTERNATIONAL

The following table provides selected information about our International segment's results:

First QuarterDollar ChangePercentage Change
(in millions)20242023
Net sales$464$415$4911.8%
Income from operations112803240.0
Operating margin24.1%19.3%480 bps

Sales Volume. The following table provides the percentage change in sales volume for the International segment compared to the prior year period:

Percentage Change
LRB4.0%
K-Cup pods2.8
Appliances(4.2)

Net Sales. Net sales increased 11.8% to $464 million in the first quarter of 2024, compared to $415 million in the prior year period, reflecting volume/mix growth (4.8%), favorable FX translation (4.8%), and higher net price realization (2.2%).

Income from Operations. Income from operations increased $32 million, or 40.0%, to $112 million for the first quarter of 2024 compared to $80 million in the prior year period. This performance reflected the impact to gross profit of higher net price realization and volume/mix growth (30 percentage points) and favorable FX impacts (9 percentage points). Operating margin improved 480 bps versus the year ago period to 24.1%.

CRITICAL ACCOUNTING ESTIMATES

The process of preparing our consolidated financial statements in conformity with U.S. GAAP requires the use of estimates and judgments that affect the reported amounts of assets, liabilities, revenue and expenses. Critical accounting estimates are both fundamental to the portrayal of a company’s financial condition and results and require difficult, subjective or complex estimates and assessments. These estimates and judgments are based on historical experience, future expectations and other factors and assumptions we believe to be reasonable under the circumstances. The most significant estimates and judgments are reviewed on an ongoing basis and revised when necessary. These critical accounting estimates are discussed in greater detail in Part II, Item 7 of our Annual Report.

Table of Contents

LIQUIDITY AND CAPITAL RESOURCES

Overview

We believe our financial condition and liquidity remain strong. We continue to manage all aspects of our business, including, but not limited to, monitoring the financial health of our customers, suppliers and other third-party relationships, implementing gross margin enhancement strategies through our productivity initiatives, and developing new opportunities for growth such as innovation and agreements with partners to distribute brands that are accretive to our portfolio.

Cash generated by our foreign operations is generally repatriated to the U.S. periodically as working capital funding requirements, where allowed. We do not expect restrictions or taxes on repatriation of cash held outside the U.S. to have a material effect on our overall business, liquidity, financial condition or results of operations for the foreseeable future.

The following summarizes our cash activity for the first quarter of 2024 and 2023:

580

Principal Sources of Capital Resources

Our principal sources of liquidity are our existing cash and cash equivalents, cash generated from our operations, and borrowing capacity currently available under our Revolving Credit Agreement. Additionally, we have an uncommitted commercial paper program where we can issue unsecured commercial paper notes on a private placement basis. Based on our current and anticipated level of operations, we believe that our operating cash flows will be sufficient to meet our anticipated obligations for the next twelve months and thereafter for the foreseeable future. To the extent that our operating cash flows are not sufficient to meet our liquidity needs, we may utilize cash on hand or amounts available under our financing arrangements, if necessary. At any time, and from time to time, we may seek additional deleveraging, refinancing or liquidity enhancing transactions, including entering into transactions to repurchase or redeem outstanding indebtedness or otherwise seek transactions to reduce interest expense, extend debt maturities and improve our capital and liquidity structure.

Table of Contents

Sources of Liquidity - Operations

Net cash provided by operating activities increased $14 million for the first quarter of 2024, as compared to the first quarter of 2023, driven by an increase in working capital.

Cash Conversion Cycle

Our cash conversion cycle is defined as DIO and DSO less DPO. The calculation of each component of the cash conversion cycle is provided below:

ComponentCalculation (on a trailing twelve month basis)
DIO(Average inventory divided by cost of sales) * Number of days in the period
DSO(Accounts receivable divided by net sales) * Number of days in the period
DPO(Accounts payable * Number of days in the period) divided by cost of sales and SG&A expenses

The following table summarizes our cash conversion cycle:

March 31,
20242023
DIO7071
DSO3237
DPO100154
Cash conversion cycle2(46)

Our cash conversion cycle increased 48 days to approximately 2 days as of March 31, 2024 as compared to (46) days as of March 31, 2023, which was primarily driven by the decrease in DPO, reflecting the reduction of payment terms for certain suppliers.

Accounts Payable Program

As part of our ongoing efforts to improve our cash flow and related liquidity, we work with our suppliers to optimize our terms and conditions, which includes payment terms. Excluding our suppliers who require cash at date of purchase or sale, our current payment terms with our suppliers generally range from 10 to 360 days. We also enter into agreements with third party administrators to allow participating suppliers to track payment obligations from us, and, if voluntarily elected by the supplier, sell payment obligations from us to financial institutions. Suppliers can sell one or more of our payment obligations at their sole discretion and our rights and obligations to our suppliers are not impacted. We have no economic interest in a supplier’s decision to enter into these agreements and no direct financial relationship with the financial institutions. Our obligations to our suppliers, including amounts due and scheduled payment terms, are not impacted.

Table of Contents

Sources of Liquidity - Financing

37

Refer to Note 2 of the Notes to our Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements for management's discussion of our financing arrangements.

We also have an active shelf registration statement, filed with the SEC on August 19, 2022, which allows us to issue an indeterminate number or amount of common stock, preferred stock, debt securities and warrants from time to time in one or more offerings at the direction of our Board.

Debt Ratings

Our credit ratings are as follows:

Rating AgencyLong-Term Debt RatingCommercial Paper RatingOutlook
Moody'sBaa1P-2Stable
S&PBBBA-2Stable

These debt and commercial paper ratings impact the interest we pay on our financing arrangements. A downgrade of one or both of our debt and commercial paper ratings could increase our interest expense and decrease the cash available to fund anticipated obligations.

As of March 31, 2024, we were in compliance with all debt covenants and we have no reason to believe that we will be unable to satisfy these covenants.

Principal Uses of Capital Resources

Our capital allocation priorities are investing to grow our business both organically and inorganically, continuing to strengthen our balance sheet, and returning cash to shareholders through regular quarterly dividends and opportunistic share repurchases. We dynamically adjust our cash deployment plans based on the specific opportunities available in a given period, but over time we allocate capital to balance each of these priorities.

Regular Quarterly Dividends

We have declared total dividends of $0.215 per share and $0.20 per share for the first quarter of 2024 and 2023, respectively.

Repurchases of Common Stock

Our Board authorized a four-year share repurchase program, ending December 31, 2025, of up to $4 billion of our outstanding common stock. We repurchased and retired $1,105 million of common stock during the first quarter of 2024. As of March 31, 2024, $1,810 million remained available for repurchase under the authorized share repurchase program.

Table of Contents

Capital Expenditures

We continue to invest in state-of-the-art manufacturing and warehousing facilities, including expansive investments in facilities in Spartanburg, South Carolina, in order to optimize our supply chain network.

Purchases of property, plant and equipment were $158 million and $62 million for the first quarter of 2024 and 2023, respectively.

Capital expenditures, which includes both purchases of property, plant and equipment and amounts included in accounts payable and accrued expenses, for the first quarter of 2024 and 2023 primarily related to investments in manufacturing capabilities. Capital expenditures included in accounts payable and accrued expenses were $189 million and $222 million for the first quarter of 2024 and 2023, respectively, which primarily related to these investments.

Investments in Unconsolidated Affiliates

From time to time, we expect to invest in beverage startup companies or in brand ownership companies to grow our presence in certain product categories, or enter into various licensing and distribution agreements to expand our product portfolio. Our investments generally involve acquiring a minority interest in equity securities of a company, in certain cases with a protected path to ownership at our future option.

Purchases of Intangible Assets

We have invested in the expansion of our DSD network through transactions with strategic independent bottlers or third-party brand ownership companies to ensure competitive distribution scale. From time to time, we additionally acquire brand ownership companies to expand our portfolio. These transactions are generally accounted for as an asset acquisition, as the majority of the transaction price represents the acquisition of an intangible asset. Purchases of intangible assets were $31 million and $51 million for the first quarter of 2024 and 2023, respectively.

Uncertainties and Trends Affecting Liquidity

Disruptions in financial and credit markets, including those caused by inflation, global economic uncertainty and rising interest rates, may impact our ability to manage normal commercial relationships with our customers, suppliers and creditors. These disruptions could have a negative impact on the ability of our customers to timely pay their obligations to us, thus reducing our cash flow, or the ability of our vendors to timely supply materials.

Customer and consumer demand for our products may also be impacted by the risk factors discussed under "Risk Factors" in Part 1, Item 1A of our Annual Report, as well as subsequent filings with the SEC, that could have a material effect on production, delivery and consumption of our products, which could result in a reduction in our sales volume.

SUPPLEMENTAL GUARANTOR FINANCIAL INFORMATION

The Notes are fully and unconditionally guaranteed by certain of our direct and indirect subsidiaries (the "Guarantors"), as defined in the indentures governing the Notes. The Guarantors are 100% owned either directly or indirectly by us and jointly and severally guarantee, subject to the release provisions described below, our obligations under the Notes. None of our subsidiaries organized outside of the U.S., any of the subsidiaries held by Maple Parent Holdings Corp. prior to the DPS Merger or any of the subsidiaries acquired after the DPS Merger (collectively, the "Non-Guarantors") guarantee the Notes. The subsidiary guarantees with respect to the Notes are subject to release upon the occurrence of certain events, including the sale of all or substantially all of a subsidiary's assets, the release of the subsidiary's guarantee of our other indebtedness, our exercise of the legal defeasance option with respect to the Notes and the discharge of our obligations under the applicable indenture.

The following schedules present the summarized financial information for Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. (the “Parent”) and the Guarantors on a combined basis after intercompany eliminations; the Parent and the Guarantors' amounts due from and amounts due to Non-Guarantors are disclosed separately. The consolidating schedules are provided in accordance with the reporting requirements of Rule 13-01 under SEC Regulation S-X for the issuer and guarantor subsidiaries.

Table of Contents

The summarized financial information for the Parent and Guarantors were as follows:

(in millions)For the First Quarter of 2024
Net sales$2,180
Gross profit1,227
Income from operations390
Net income454
(in millions)March 31, 2024December 31, 2023
Current assets$2,227$1,957
Non-current assets48,19148,029
Total assets(1)$50,418$49,986
Current liabilities$5,102$6,749
Non-current liabilities19,79116,689
Total liabilities(2)$24,893$23,438

(1)Includes $157 million and $56 million of intercompany receivables due to the Parent and Guarantors from the Non-Guarantors as of March 31, 2024 and December 31, 2023, respectively.

(2)Includes $1,388 million and $1,399 million of intercompany payables due to the Non-Guarantors from the Parent and Guarantors as of March 31, 2024 and December 31, 2023, respectively.

Previous: Item 1. Financial Statements (Unaudited) · Next: Item 3. Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk