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Item 3. QUANTITATIVE AND QUALITATIVE DISCLOSURES ABOUT MARKET RISK.

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Item 3. QUANTITATIVE AND QUALITATIVE DISCLOSURES ABOUT MARKET RISK.

Except for the item disclosed below, there was no material change to our market risks during the three months ended March 31, 2023. For a discussion of our market risks in general, please refer to our Annual Report. In addition, for a discussion of current market conditions and uncertainties, see "Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations—Business Environment."

Insurance Segment Market Risks

The market risk sensitivities reported below have been updated from those reported in the Annual Report to reflect the impact from the adoption of LDTI (see Note 2 "Summary of Significant Accounting Policies" in our financial statements included in this report.)

Sensitivities

Interest rate risk

Effect of interest rate sensitivity

In the table below, Global Atlantic estimates the impact of a 50 basis point increase/(decrease) in interest rates, from a parallel shift in the yield curve, from levels as of March 31, 2023 to its net income and shareholders’ equity, excluding AOCI. These sensitivities include the impact of related hedges and adjustments to DAC attributable to interest rate changes.

March 31, 2023
Hypothetical change**(1)**
+50 Basis points-50 Basis points
($ in thousands)
Total estimated net income and shareholders’ equity excluding AOCI sensitivity (point in time)$193,524$(199,732)
Total estimated net income and shareholders’ equity excluding AOCI sensitivity (over 12 months)(2)55,286(55,286)

(1)The point in time and over 12 months total estimated impacts reflect the impact of hedges within Global Atlantic's liability hedging program, as well as hedges designed to limit surplus volatility resulting from interest rate movements.

(2)Excludes point in time impact. Estimated sensitivity to a hypothetical change over 12 months does not take into account any management actions that may be taken to mitigate actual impacts.

The estimated point in time impact is driven by a net decrease/(increase) in the value of (i) the embedded derivatives associated with Global Atlantic's modified coinsurance and coinsurance with funds withheld payables and receivables, (ii) the embedded derivatives associated with its fixed-indexed annuity, interest-sensitive life products, and variable annuities accounted for under the fair value option, (iii) market risk benefits, and (iv) the remeasurement gain/loss of the liability for future policy benefits. These are largely offset by a loss/(gain) in financial instruments used in Global Atlantic's hedging program, investments classified as trading, and loans designated under the fair value option, based on balances in place as of quarter end. These estimated changes include the impact of related amortization of deferred revenue and expenses and related income tax impacts.

The impact over 12 months is driven by an increase/(decrease) in the income earned on Global Atlantic's floating-rate assets, and partially offset by an increase/(decrease) in the cost of its floating-rate liabilities.

In the table below, Global Atlantic estimates the impact of a 50 basis point increase/(decrease) in interest rates, for a parallel shift in the yield curve, from levels as of March 31, 2023 to Global Atlantic's AOCI.

March 31, 2023
Hypothetical change**(1)**
+50 Basis points-50 Basis points
($ in thousands)
Total estimated AOCI sensitivity (point in time)$(1,286,383)$1,385,126

The estimated point in time impact is driven by a (i) net (decrease)/increase in the value of Global Atlantic's available-for-sale fixed maturity securities which are carried at fair value with unrealized gains and losses, and (ii) the effect of changes in the discount rates used to measure traditional and limited-payment long duration insurance contracts, all reported in AOCI. The estimated changes include the impact of related amortization of deferred revenue and expenses and related income tax impacts.

Effect of credit spread sensitivity

In the table below, Global Atlantic estimates the impact of a 50 basis points increase/(decrease) in credit spreads from levels as of March 31, 2023 to its net income and shareholders’ equity, excluding AOCI. These estimated changes include the impact of related amortization of deferred revenues and expenses and related income tax impacts and include impacts on its instrument-specific credit risk used in valuing embedded derivative liabilities.

March 31, 2023
Hypothetical change**(1)**
+50 Basis points-50 Basis points
($ in thousands)
Total estimated net income and shareholders’ equity excluding AOCI sensitivity (point in time)$160,012$(169,349)

In the table below Global Atlantic estimates the impact of a 50 basis point increase/(decrease) in instrument-specific credit risk on market risk benefits, for a parallel shift in the yield curve, from levels as of March 31, 2023 to its AOCI.

March 31, 2023
Hypothetical change**(1)**
+50 Basis points-50 Basis points
($ in thousands)
Total estimated AOCI sensitivity (point in time)$109,477$(122,758)

The estimated point in time impact is driven by the effect of changes in the fair value of a market risk benefit attributable to a change in the instrument-specific credit risk. The estimated changes include the impact of related amortization of deferred revenue and expenses and related income tax impacts.

Effect of equity price sensitivity

In the table below, Global Atlantic estimates the impact of a 10% increase/(decrease) in equity prices from levels as of March 31, 2023 to its net income and shareholders’ equity, excluding AOCI. These sensitivities include the impact of related hedges but exclude the potential impact of alternative assets, because the fair value of these investments does not necessarily move directly in line with movements in public equity markets.

March 31, 2023
Hypothetical change**(1)**
+10% Equity Prices-10% Equity Prices
($ in thousands)
Total estimated net income and shareholders’ equity excluding AOCI sensitivity (point in time)$(11,136)$23,674
Total estimated net income and shareholders’ equity excluding AOCI sensitivity (over 12 months)(2)4,630(5,011)

(1)From time to time, Global Atlantic may choose to enter into additional hedges to mitigate economic exposure to equity markets.

(2)Excludes point in time impact. Estimated sensitivity to a hypothetical change over 12 months does not take into account any management actions that may be taken to mitigate actual impacts.

The estimated point-in-time impact is driven by an increase/(decrease) in the value of (i) the embedded derivatives associated with Global Atlantic's fixed-indexed annuity and interest-sensitive life products, (ii) its variable annuity embedded derivatives, (iii) market risk benefits, and (iv) a gains (losses) in financial instruments used in its hedging program based on balances in place at year-end. These estimated changes include the impact of related amortization of deferred revenue and expenses and related income tax impacts.

The impact over 12 months is driven by an increase/(decrease) in fees earned and benefits paid in Global Atlantic's variable annuity and variable universal life blocks.

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