Item 3. Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk.
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Item 3. Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk.
The Company’s operations are highly dependent upon the interest rate-sensitive construction and steelmaking industries. Demand in the residential and nonresidential construction markets, which combined accounted for 60% of aggregates shipments for the nine months ended September 30, 2022, is affected by interest rates. Since December 31, 2021, the Federal Reserve raised the target federal funds rate 300 basis points, and more increases are expected during the fourth quarter. Consequently, these marketplaces could experience lower levels of economic activity in an environment of rising interest rates or escalating costs if companies and consumers are unable to obtain financing for construction projects or if consumer confidence is eroded by economic uncertainty.
Demand for aggregates products, particularly in the infrastructure construction market, is affected by federal, state and local budget and deficit issues.
Aside from these inherent risks from within its operations, the Company’s earnings are also affected by changes in short-term interest rates and changes in enacted tax laws.
Variable-Rate Borrowing Facilities. At September 30, 2022, the Company had an $800.0 million Revolving Facility and a $400.0 million Trade Receivable Facility. Borrowings under these facilities bear interest at a variable interest rate. There were no borrowings outstanding on either facility at September 30, 2022. However, any future borrowings under the credit facilities or outstanding variable-rate debt are exposed to interest rate risk.
Pension Expense. The Company’s results of operations are affected by its pension expense. Assumptions that affect pension expense include the discount rate and, for the qualified defined benefit pension plan only, the expected long-term rate of return on assets. Therefore, the Company has interest rate risk associated with these factors. The impact of hypothetical changes in these assumptions on the Company’s annual pension expense is discussed in the Company’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2021. The Company remeasured its qualified pension plan as of February 28, 2022, to reflect an amendment that increased the pension benefit for qualifying hourly employees. The discount rate at the remeasurement date was approximately 50 basis points higher compared with the discount rate as of December 31, 2021. As of September 30, 2022, discount rates have increased approximately 210 additional basis points since the remeasurement. Unless another event requires an interim remeasurement, the Company will next remeasure its pension obligation and funded status as of December 31, 2022. Changes in the discount rate and pension asset values will impact 2023 pension expense.
Income Tax. Any changes in enacted tax laws, rules or regulatory or judicial interpretations; or any change in the pronouncements relating to accounting for income taxes could materially impact the Company’s effective tax rate, tax payments, financial condition and results of operations.
Energy Costs. Energy costs, including diesel fuel, natural gas, electricity, and coal, represent significant production costs of the Company. The Magnesia Specialties business has fixed price agreements covering a majority of its 2022 energy requirements. On a consolidated basis, organic energy expense for the nine months ended September 30, 2022 increased approximately 59% compared with the prior-year period, related to higher prices for diesel, natural gas, electricity and gasoline in 2022. Specifically, the ongoing conflict between Russia and Ukraine has exacerbated already increased diesel prices; however, any future energy prices cannot be reliably predicted. A hypothetical increase of 59% would change consolidated organic full-year 2022 energy expense by $179.3 million as compared with 2021, assuming constant volumes. Further, the full-year 2022 impact on consolidated total profitability and margins would be greater when also considering the energy consumed by operations acquired in 2021.
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MARTIN MARIETTA MATERIALS, INC. AND CONSOLIDATED SUBSIDIARIES
FORM 10-Q
For the Quarter Ended September 30, 2022
(Continued)
Commodity Risk. Cement is a commodity, and competition is based principally on price, which is highly sensitive to changes in supply and demand. Prices are often subject to material changes in response to relatively minor fluctuations in supply and demand, general economic conditions and other market conditions beyond the Company’s control. Increases in the production capacity of industry participants or increases in cement imports tend to create an oversupply of such products leading to an imbalance between supply and demand, which can have a negative impact on product prices. There can be no assurance that prices for products sold will not decline in the future or that such declines will not have a material adverse effect on the Company’s business, financial condition and results of operations. Assuming full-year 2021 cement product revenues of $494.5 million, a hypothetical 10% change in sales price would impact full-year cement product revenues by $49.5 million.
Cement is a key raw material in the production of ready mixed concrete. The Company may be unable to pass along increases in the costs of cement and raw materials to customers in the form of price increases for the Company’s products. Assuming annual cement costs are $210 million, an approximate 2021 full year rate for ready mixed concrete continuing operations, a 10% change in cement costs, assuming constant volumes, would change the ready mixed concrete product line cost of revenues by $21.0 million. While increases in cement pricing may negatively impact the profitability of the ready mixed concrete operations, the cement business would benefit, although the positive impact may not reflect a direct correlation to the impact on the ready mixed concrete business.
The Company consumes other raw material and supply commodities in its operations, the costs of which have been negatively impacted by high inflation. The Company periodically implements price increases due to rising costs. However, there is a lag between announced price increases and the time when they are fully realized.
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