Item 3. Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk.
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Item 3. Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk.
The Company’s operations are highly dependent upon the interest rate-sensitive construction and steelmaking industries. Consequently, these marketplaces could experience lower levels of economic activity in an environment of rising interest rates or escalating costs.
Management has considered the current economic environment and its potential impact to the Company's business. Demand for aggregates products, particularly in the infrastructure construction market, is affected by federal, state and local budget and deficit issues. Further, delays or cancellations of capital projects in the nonresidential and residential construction markets could occur if companies and consumers are unable to obtain affordable financing for construction projects or if consumer confidence is eroded by economic uncertainty.
Demand in the nonresidential and residential construction markets, which combined accounted for 59% of aggregates shipments for the nine months ended September 30, 2023, is affected by interest rates. Since December 31, 2022, the Federal Reserve has raised the target federal funds rate 100 basis points.
Aside from these inherent risks from within its operations, the Company’s earnings are also affected by changes in short-term interest rates and changes in enacted tax laws.
Variable-Rate Borrowing Facilities. At September 30, 2023, the Company had an $800.0 million Revolving Facility and a $400.0 million Trade Receivable Facility. Borrowings under these facilities bear interest at a variable interest rate. There were no borrowings outstanding on either facility at September 30, 2023. However, any future borrowings under the credit facilities or outstanding variable-rate debt are exposed to interest rate risk.
Pension Expense. The Company’s results of operations are affected by its pension expense. Assumptions that affect pension expense include the discount rate and, for the qualified defined benefit pension plan only, the expected long-term rate of return on assets. Therefore, the Company has interest rate risk associated with these factors. The impact of hypothetical changes in these assumptions on the Company’s annual pension expense is discussed in the Company’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2022. As of September 30, 2023, discount rates were approximately 50 basis points higher than the rate selected at December 31, 2022, the most recent measurement date.
Income Tax. Any changes in enacted tax laws, rules or regulatory or judicial interpretations, or any change in the pronouncements relating to accounting for income taxes could materially impact the Company’s effective tax rate, tax payments, financial condition and results of operations.
Energy Costs. Energy costs, including diesel fuel, natural gas, electricity, coal, petroleum coke and liquid asphalt, represent significant production costs of the Company. The Company may be unable to pass along increases in the costs of energy to customers in the form of price increases for the Company’s products. The cement product line and Magnesia Specialties business each have varying fixed-price agreements for a portion of their 2023 energy requirements. On a consolidated basis, energy expense for the nine months ended September 30, 2023 decreased 19% compared with the prior-year period, inclusive of a $0.87-per-gallon decrease in diesel costs. A hypothetical 10% change in the Company’s energy prices in 2023 as compared with 2022, assuming constant volumes, would change 2023 energy expense by $50.0 million.
Commodity Risk. Cement is a commodity and competition is based principally on price, which is highly sensitive to changes in supply and demand. Prices are often subject to material changes in response to relatively minor fluctuations in supply and demand, general economic conditions and other market conditions beyond the Company’s control. Increases in the production capacity of industry participants or increases in cement imports tend to create an oversupply of such products leading to an imbalance between supply and demand, which can have a negative impact on product prices. There can be no assurance that product prices will not decline in the future or that such declines will not have a material adverse effect on the Company’s business, financial condition and results of operations. Taking full-year 2022 cement product revenues of $602.3 million, a hypothetical 10% change in the average selling price of the cement product line would impact full-year cement product revenues by $60.2 million.
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MARTIN MARIETTA MATERIALS, INC. AND CONSOLIDATED SUBSIDIARIES
FORM 10-Q
For the Quarter Ended September 30, 2023
(Continued)
Cement is a key raw material in the production of ready mixed concrete. The Company may be unable to pass along increases in the costs of cement and raw materials to customers in the form of price increases for the Company’s products. A hypothetical 10% change in cement costs in 2023 compared with 2022, assuming constant volumes, would change the ready mixed concrete product line cost of sales by $26.2 million. While increases in cement pricing may negatively impact the profitability of the ready mixed concrete operations, the cement business would benefit, although the positive impact may not reflect a direct correlation to the impact on the ready mixed concrete business.
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