Item 7A. QUANTITATIVE AND QUALITATIVE DISCLOSURES ABOUT MARKET RISK
8K characters. Original on sec.gov · Markdown
Item 7A. QUANTITATIVE AND QUALITATIVE DISCLOSURES ABOUT MARKET RISK
| COMMODITY PRICE RISK |
GENERAL
Occidental’s results are sensitive to fluctuations in oil, NGL and natural gas prices. Price changes at current global prices and levels of production affect Occidental’s budgeted 2025 pre-tax annual income by approximately $250 million for a $1 per barrel change in oil prices and approximately $30 million for a $1 per barrel change in NGL prices. If domestic natural gas prices varied by $0.10 per Mcf, it would have an estimated annual effect on Occidental’s budgeted 2025 pre-tax income of approximately $35 million. These price-change sensitivities include the impact of PSC and similar contract volume changes on income. If production levels differ from Occidental’s 2025 budgeted production, the sensitivity of Occidental’s results to prices also will change. Marketing results are sensitive to price changes of oil, natural gas and, to a lesser degree, other commodities. A $0.25 change in the Midland-to-Gulf-Coast oil spreads impacts budgeted 2025 operating cash flows by approximately $60 million.
Occidental’s results are also sensitive to fluctuations in chemical prices. A variation in chlorine and caustic soda prices of $10 per ton would have a pre-tax annual effect on income of approximately $10 million and $30 million, respectively. A variation in PVC prices of $0.01 per lb. would have a pre-tax annual effect on income of approximately $30 million. Historically, over time, product price changes have tracked raw material and feedstock product price changes, somewhat mitigating the effect of price changes on margins.
RISK MANAGEMENT
Occidental conducts its risk management activities for marketing and trading under the controls and governance of its risk control policies. The controls under these policies are implemented and enforced by a risk management group which monitors risk by providing an independent and separate evaluation and check. Members of the risk management group report to the Corporate Vice President and Treasurer. Controls for these activities include limits on value at risk, limits on credit, limits on total notional trade value, segregation of duties, delegation of authority, daily price verifications, reporting to senior management on various risk measures and a number of other policy and procedural controls.
FAIR VALUE OF MARKETING DERIVATIVE CONTRACTS
Occidental carries derivative contracts it enters into in connection with its marketing activities at fair value. Fair values for these contracts are derived from Level 1 and Level 2 sources. The fair values in future maturity periods are insignificant.
The following table shows the fair value of Occidental’s derivatives (excluding collateral), segregated by maturity periods and by methodology of fair value estimation:
| Maturity Periods | |||||||||||||||||
| Source of Fair Value Assets (Liabilities) millions | 2025 | 2026 and 2027 | 2028 and 2029 | 2030 and thereafter | Total | ||||||||||||
| Prices actively quoted | $ | 3 | $ | — | $ | — | $ | — | $ | 3 | |||||||
| Prices provided by other external sources | 2 | (1) | 1 | — | 2 | ||||||||||||
| Total | $ | 5 | $ | (1) | $ | 1 | $ | — | $ | 5 |
QUANTITATIVE INFORMATION
Occidental uses value at risk to estimate the potential effects of changes in fair values of commodity contracts used in trading activities. This measure determines the maximum potential negative one day change in fair value with a 95% level of confidence. Additionally, Occidental uses complementary trading limits including position and tenor limits and maintains liquid positions as a result of which market risk typically can be neutralized or mitigated on short notice. As a result of these controls, Occidental believes that the market risk of its trading activities is not reasonably likely to have a material adverse effect on its performance.
| 58 | OXY 2024 FORM 10-K |
![]() | table of contents | QUANTITATIVE AND QUALITATIVE DISCLOSURES |
| INTEREST RATE RISK |
GENERAL
As of December 31, 2024, Occidental had fixed rate debt with a fair value of $21.2 billion outstanding. A 25-basis point change in Treasury rates would change the fair value of the fixed rate debt approximately $325 million.
As of December 31, 2024, Occidental had variable rate debt with a notional value of $2.8 billion outstanding. A 25-basis point increase in SOFR interest rates would increase gross interest expense $7 million per year.
The table below provides information about Occidental’s long-term debt obligations. Debt amounts represent principal payments by maturity date.
| millions except percentages | U.S. Dollar Fixed-Rate Debt | U.S. Dollar Variable-Rate Debt | Total (a) | ||||||||
| 2025 | $ | 1,003 | $ | — | $ | 1,003 | |||||
| 2026 | 1,449 | 2,700 | 4,149 | ||||||||
| 2027 | 1,504 | — | 1,504 | ||||||||
| 2028 | 907 | — | 907 | ||||||||
| 2029 | 1,854 | — | 1,854 | ||||||||
| Thereafter | 14,906 | 68 | 14,974 | ||||||||
| Total | $ | 21,623 | $ | 2,768 | $ | 24,391 | |||||
| Weighted-average interest rate | 5.91 | % | 6.21 | % | 5.96 | % | |||||
| Fair Value | $ | 21,229 | $ | 2,780 | $ | 24,009 |
(a)Excluded unamortized debt premiums, net of $1.0 billion and debt issuance costs of $105 million.
| FOREIGN CURRENCY RISK |
Occidental’s international operations have limited currency risk. Occidental manages its exposure primarily by balancing monetary assets and liabilities and limiting cash positions in foreign currencies to levels necessary for operating purposes. A vast majority of international oil sales are denominated in United States dollars. Additionally, all of Occidental’s consolidated international oil and gas subsidiaries have the United States dollar as the functional currency. The effect of exchange rates on transactions in foreign currencies is included in periodic income.
| CREDIT RISK |
The majority of Occidental’s counterparty credit risk is related to the physical delivery of energy commodities to its customers and any inability of these customers to meet their settlement commitments. Occidental manages credit risk by selecting counterparties that it believes to be financially strong, by entering into netting arrangements with counterparties and by requiring collateral or other credit risk mitigants, as appropriate. Occidental actively evaluates the creditworthiness of its counterparties, assigns appropriate credit limits and monitors credit exposures against those assigned limits. Occidental also enters into futures contracts through regulated exchanges with select clearinghouses and brokers, which are subject to minimal credit risk, if any.
As of December 31, 2024, the substantial majority of the credit exposures were with investment grade counterparties. Occidental believes its exposure to credit-related losses as of December 31, 2024, was not material and losses associated with credit risk have been insignificant for all years presented.
| OXY 2024 FORM 10-K | 59 |
![]() | table of contents | FINANCIAL STATEMENTS INDEX |
Previous: Item 7. MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS · Next: Item 8. FINANCIAL STATEMENTS AND SUPPLEMENTARY DATA
