Progressive 10-K 2022-12-31

Filed 2023-02-27. 23 sections, 231K characters. Original on sec.gov · Markdown · JSON

Cover and table of contents

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington, D.C. 20549

FORM 10-K

(Mark One)

☒Annual Report Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934

For the fiscal year ended December 31, 2022

or

☐Transition Report Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934

For the transition period from to

Commission file number 001-09518

THE PROGRESSIVE CORPORATION

(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)

Ohio34-0963169
(State or other jurisdiction of incorporation or organization)(I.R.S. Employer Identification No.)
6300 Wilson Mills Road,Mayfield Village,Ohio44143
(Address of principal executive offices)(Zip Code)

(440) 461-5000

(Registrant’s telephone number, including area code)

Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:

Title of each classTrading Symbol(s)Name of each exchange on which registered
Common Shares, $1.00 Par ValuePGRNew York Stock Exchange

Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(g) of the Act:

None

(Title of class)

Indicate by check mark if the registrant is a well-known seasoned issuer, as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act. ☒ Yes ☐ No

Indicate by check mark if the registrant is not required to file reports pursuant to Section 13 or Section 15(d) of the Act. ☐ Yes ☒ No

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant (1) has filed all reports required to be filed by Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 during the preceding 12 months (or for such shorter period that the registrant was required to file such reports), and (2) has been subject to such filing requirements for the past 90 days. ☒ Yes ☐ No

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant has submitted electronically every Interactive Data File required to be submitted pursuant to Rule 405 of Regulation S-T (§232.405 of this chapter) during the preceding 12 months (or for such shorter period that the registrant was required to submit such files). ☒ Yes ☐ No

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is a large accelerated filer, an accelerated filer, a non-accelerated filer, a smaller reporting company, or an emerging growth company. See the definitions of “large accelerated filer,” “accelerated filer,” “smaller reporting company,” and “emerging growth company” in Rule 12b-2 of the Exchange Act.

Large accelerated filer☒Accelerated filer☐
Non-accelerated filer☐Smaller reporting company☐
Emerging growth company☐

If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act. ☐

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant has filed a report on and attestation to its management’s assessment of the effectiveness of its internal control over financial reporting under Section 404(b) of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act (15 U.S.C. 7262(b)) by the registered public accounting firm that prepared or issued its audit report. ☒

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is a shell company (as defined in Rule 12b-2 of the Act). ☐ Yes ☒ No

The aggregate market value of the voting common shares held by non-affiliates of the registrant at June 30, 2022: $67,446,094,306

The number of the registrant’s Common Shares, $1.00 par value, outstanding as of January 31, 2023: 585,340,036

DOCUMENTS INCORPORATED BY REFERENCE

Portions of the registrant’s Proxy Statement for the Annual Meeting of Shareholders to be held on May 12, 2023, and the Annual Report to Shareholders of The Progressive Corporation and subsidiaries for the year ended December 31, 2022, included as Exhibit 13 to this Form 10-K, are incorporated by reference in Parts I, II, III, and IV hereof.

PART I

Item 1. BUSINESS

General Development of Business

The Progressive Corporation, an insurance holding company, has insurance and non-insurance subsidiaries and affiliates (references in this Item to subsidiaries includes affiliates as well). Our insurance subsidiaries provide personal and commercial auto insurance, personal residential and commercial property insurance, workers’ compensation insurance primarily for the transportation industry, business-related general liability insurance, and other specialty property-casualty insurance and related services. Our non-insurance subsidiaries generally support our insurance and investment operations. We operate throughout the United States. Unless noted, references to “state(s)” throughout this report include the District of Columbia. The Progressive Corporation, together with its insurance and non-insurance subsidiaries and affiliates, comprise what we refer to as Progressive.

Progressive’s vision is to become consumers’, agents’, and business owners’ number one destination for insurance and other financial needs. Progressive's four strategic pillars of people and culture, broad needs of our customers, leading brand, and competitive prices serve as the foundation of how we will achieve our vision.

Description of Business

Organization

Our executive group oversees the business and corporate functions that support all areas of our organization and consists of the following:

Chief Executive Officer
•Chief Financial Officer•Personal Lines President
•Chief Investment Officer•Property General Manager
•Chief Human Resources Officer•Commercial Lines President
•Chief Information Officer•Claims President
•Chief Legal Officer•Customer Relationship
•Chief Marketing OfficerManagement President
•Chief Strategy Officer

Our insurance and claims organizations are generally managed on a state-by-state basis due to the nature of insurance, legal and regulatory requirements, and other local factors, and are supplemented by national operations and supported by our corporate functions. State-specific organizations typically report to a regional general manager, who then reports to the applicable group president. In California, we operate a separate agency auto organization with its own management and customer relationship management organization.

Personal Lines

Our Personal Lines segment writes insurance for personal autos and recreational vehicles, which we refer to as our special lines products. This business generally offers more than one program in a single state, with each program targeted to a specific distribution channel, market, or customer group. As of December 31, 2022, we wrote our Personal Lines products in all states, however, our special lines products are not written in the District of Columbia. The Personal Lines business accounted for 77% of our total net premiums written in 2022, 78% in 2021, and 82% in 2020.

The Personal Lines segment consists of personal auto and special lines products.

  • Personal auto insurance represented approximately 94% of our total Personal Lines net premiums written in 2022, 2021, and 2020. We ranked third in market share in the U.S. private passenger auto market based on 2021 premiums written. We believe that our market share grew in 2022, however, industry data regarding our ranking for 2022 is not yet available. There are approximately 255 competitors in this market. Progressive and the other leading 15 private passenger auto insurers, each of which writes over $2.5 billion of premiums annually, comprise 84% of this market. All industry data, including ranking and market share, based on premiums written, has been obtained directly from data reported by either SNL Financial or A.M. Best Company, Inc. (A.M. Best), or was estimated using A.M. Best data as the primary source.

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  • Special lines products, which include insurance for motorcycles, ATVs, RVs, watercraft, snowmobiles, and similar items, represented the remaining Personal Lines net premiums written for the years mentioned above. Due to the seasonal nature of these products, we typically experience higher losses during the warmer weather months. Our competitors are specialty companies and large multi-line insurance carriers. Although industry figures are not available, based on our analysis of this market, we believe that we are the market share leader for both the motorcycle and boat products and that we are one of the largest providers of RV insurance.

Our Personal Lines products are sold through both the Agency and Direct channels.

  • The Agency business includes business written by our network of more than 40,000 independent insurance agencies located throughout the United States, including brokerages in New York and California. These independent insurance agents and brokers have the ability to place business with Progressive for specified insurance coverages within prescribed underwriting guidelines, subject to compliance with our mandated procedures. The agents and brokers do not have authority to establish underwriting guidelines, develop rates, settle or adjust claims, or enter into other transactions or commitments. The Agency business also writes insurance through strategic alliance business relationships with other insurance companies, financial institutions, and national agencies. The total net premiums written through the Agency channel represented 47% of our Personal Lines volume in 2022, and 48% in both 2021 and 2020.

  • The Direct business includes business written directly by us on the Internet, through the Progressive mobile app, and over the phone. The total net premiums written by the Direct business represented 53% of our Personal Lines volume in 2022, and 52% in both 2021 and 2020.

Our Personal Lines strategy is to be a competitively priced provider of a broad range of personal auto and special lines insurance products with distinctive service, distributed through whichever channel the customer prefers, and combined with property insurance and other products when appropriate to match our customers’ needs. Volume potential is driven by our price competitiveness, the actions of our competitors, brand recognition, and quality service delivered through our dedicated employees who embody the Progressive culture, among other factors. See “Competitive Factors” below for further discussion.

We seek to refine our personal auto segmentation, underwriting models, and pricing over time, and we regularly elevate new product models. At any one time, we could have multiple product models in the marketplace as new versions are being rolled out from state to state. Such new product models generally introduce new risk variables intended to improve its accuracy of matching rate to risk, increase our competitiveness, or make our products more attractive to specific market segments, among other enhancements.

We continue to provide customers in both the Agency and Direct channels the opportunity to improve their auto insurance rates based on their personal driving behavior through Snapshot®, our usage-based insurance (UBI) program. We offer Snapshot through our hardware-based and/or mobile-app versions in all states, other than California. This mobile app is intended to improve the user experience while also reducing our monitoring costs. In addition to the personal benefits for our customers, the data collected via the mobile app affords us a unique perspective on mobile device usage, vehicle operations, and accidents. Our updated auto product models, discussed above, often also include Snapshot enhancements intended to improve its accuracy and competitiveness and broaden its applicability.

Our Perso

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Item 1A. RISK FACTORS

I. Summary

Our business involves various risks and uncertainties, certain of which are discussed in this section. Management divides these risks into five broad categories in assessing how they may affect our financial condition, cash flows, and results of operations, as well as our ability to achieve our strategic business goals and objectives. Our risk categories include:

  • Insurance Risks -** risks associated with assuming, or indemnifying for, the losses or liabilities incurred by policyholders

  • Operating Risks -** risks stemming from external or internal events or circumstances that directly or indirectly may affect our insurance operations

  • Market Risks -** risks that may cause changes in the value of assets held in our investment portfolios

  • Liquidity Risk -** risk that our financial condition will be adversely affected by the inability to meet our short-term cash, collateral, or other financial obligations, and

  • Credit and Other Financial Risks** - risks that the other party to a transaction will fail to perform according to the terms of a contract, or that we will be unable to satisfy our obligations when due or obtain capital when necessary.

We have also included an “Other” section in the discussion below to identify risks that do not fit into one of the categories above.

Although we have organized risks generally according to these categories in the discussion below, many of the risks may have ramifications in more than one category. For example, although presented as an Operating Risk below, governmental regulation of insurance companies also affects our underwriting, investing, and financing activities, which are addressed separately under Insurance Risks, Market Risks, and Credit and Other Financial Risks below. These categories, therefore, should be viewed as a starting point for understanding the significant risks facing us and not as a limitation on the potential impact of the matters discussed.

It also should be noted that our business and that of other insurers may be adversely affected by a downturn in general economic conditions and other forces beyond our control. Issues such as unemployment rates, the number of vehicles sold, technological advances, home ownership trends, inflation or deflation, consumer confidence, and construction spending, among a host of other factors, will have a bearing on the amount of insurance that is purchased by consumers and small businesses and the costs that we incur. Also, to the extent that we have a concentration of business in one or more states or regions of the country, general economic conditions in those states or regions may have a greater impact on our business.

We cannot predict whether the risks and uncertainties discussed in this section, or other risks not presently known to us or that we currently believe to be immaterial, may develop into actual events and impact our businesses. If any one or more of them does so, the events could materially adversely affect our financial condition, cash flows, or results of operations, and the market prices of our equity or debt securities could decline.

This information should be considered carefully together with the other information contained in this report and in the other reports and materials filed by us with the SEC, as well as news releases and other information we publicly disseminate from time to time.

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II. Insurance Risks

Our success depends on our ability to underwrite and price risks accurately and to charge adequate rates to policyholders*.*

Our financial condition, cash flows, and results of operations depend on our ability to underwrite and set rates accurately for a full spectrum of risks. A primary role of the pricing function is to ensure that rates are adequate to generate sufficient premiums to pay losses, loss adjustment expenses, and underwriting expenses, and to earn a profit.

Pricing involves the acquisition and analysis of historical data regarding vehicle accidents, other insured events, and associated losses, and the projection of future trends for such accidents and events, loss costs, expenses, and inflation, among other factors, for each of our products in multiple risk tiers and many different markets. Our ability to price accurately is subject to a number of risks and uncertainties, including, without limitation:

  • the availability of sufficient, reliable data

  • our ability to conduct a complete and accurate analysis of available data

  • uncertainties inherent in estimates and assumptions, generally

  • our ability to timely recognize changes in trends and to predict both the severity and frequency of future losses with reasonable accuracy

  • our ability to predict changes in operating expenses with reasonable accuracy

  • our ability to reflect changes in reinsurance costs in a timely manner

  • the development, selection, and application of appropriate rating formulae or other pricing methodologies

  • our ability to innovate with new pricing strategies and the success of those strategies

  • our ability to implement rate changes and obtain any required regulatory approvals on a timely basis

  • our ability to predict policyholder retention accurately

  • unanticipated court decisions, legislation, or regulatory actions

  • the frequency, severity, duration, and geographic location and scope of severe weather and other catastrophe events, which may be becoming more severe and less predictable as a result of climate change

  • our ability to understand the impact of ongoing changes in our claim settlement practices

  • changing vehicle usage and driving patterns, which may be influenced by epidemics, pandemics, other widespread health risks or changes in oil and gas prices among other factors, changes in residential occupancy patterns, and the sharing economy

  • advancements in vehicle or home technology or safety features, such as accident and loss prevention technologies or the development of autonomous or partially autonomous vehicles

  • unexpected changes in the medical sector of the economy, including medical costs and systemic changes resulting from national or state health care laws or regulations

  • unforeseen disruptive technologies and events

  • the ability to understand the risk profile of significant customers, such as transportation network companies

  • unanticipated changes in auto repair costs, auto parts prices, used car prices, or construction requirements or labor and materials costs, or the imposition and impacts of tariffs

We are seeing new insurance regulations, various legislative and regulatory challenges, political initiatives, and other societal pressures that seek to limit or prohibit the use of specific rating factors in insurance policy pricing such as credit, education, and occupation. In our view, these efforts have the potential to significantly undermine the effectiveness of risk-based pricing. If we are unable to use rating factors that have been shown empirically to be highly predictive of risk, we may not be able to as accurately match insurance rates to the applicable risks, which may significantly adversely impact our insurance operating results.

The realization of one or more of these risks may result in our pricing being based on inadequate or inaccurate data or inappropriate analyses, assumptions, or methodologies, and may cause us to estimate incorrectly future changes in the frequency or severity of claims. As a result, we could underprice risks, which would negatively affect our underwriting profit margins, or we could overprice risks, which could reduce our competitiveness and growth prospects. In either event, our financial condition, cash flows, and results of operations could be materially adversely affected. In addition, underpricing insurance policies over time could erode the capital position of one or more of our insurance subsidiaries, thereby constraining our ability to write new business.

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**Our success depends on our abilit

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Item 1B. UNRESOLVED STAFF COMMENTS

We currently do not have any unresolved comments from the SEC staff.

Item 2. PROPERTIES

All of our properties are owned or leased by subsidiaries of The Progressive Corporation and are used for office functions (corporate, claims, and business unit), as call centers, as data centers, for training, or for warehouse space.

At December 31, 2022, we owned 71 buildings located throughout the United States. About 55% of these buildings are claims offices. Our owned facilities, which contain approximately 4.7 million square feet of space, are generally not segregated by segment. We own significant locations in Mayfield Village, Ohio and surrounding suburbs (including our corporate headquarters); Colorado Springs, Colorado; St. Petersburg, Florida; and Tampa, Florida.

We lease approximately 2.2 million square feet of space throughout the United States. These leases are generally short-term to medium-term leases of commercial space.

Item 3. LEGAL PROCEEDINGS

None.

Item 4. MINE SAFETY DISCLOSURES

Not applicable.

INFORMATION ABOUT OUR EXECUTIVE OFFICERS

Incorporated by reference from information with respect to executive officers of The Progressive Corporation and its subsidiaries set forth in Part III, Item 10 of this Form 10-K, “Directors, Executive Officers and Corporate Governance.”

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PART II

Item 5. MARKET FOR REGISTRANT’S COMMON EQUITY, RELATED STOCKHOLDER MATTERS AND ISSUER PURCHASES OF EQUITY SECURITIES

Market Information

Progressive’s Common Shares, $1.00 par value, are traded on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) under the symbol PGR.

Holders

We had 1,750 shareholders of record on January 31, 2023.

Securities Authorized for Issuance Under Equity Compensation Plans

See Part III, Item 12 of this Form 10-K, “Security Ownership of Certain Beneficial Owners and Management and Related Stockholder Matters,” for information about securities authorized for issuance under our equity compensation plans.

Performance Graph

See the Performance Graph section in our Annual Report.

Recent Sales of Unregistered Securities

None.

Purchase of Equity Securities

ISSUER PURCHASES OF EQUITY SECURITIES
2022 Calendar MonthTotal Number of Shares PurchasedAverage Price Paid per ShareTotal Number of Shares Purchased as Part of Publicly Announced Plans or ProgramsMaximum Number of Shares That May Yet Be Purchased Under the Plans or Programs
October44,920$122.11455,10124,544,899
November42,193128.40497,29424,502,706
December74,454128.60571,74824,428,252
Total161,567$126.74

In May 2022, the Board of Directors approved an authorization for the Company to repurchase up to 25 million of its common shares. This authorization does not have an expiration date. Share repurchases under this authorization may be accomplished through open market purchases, including trading plans entered into with one or more brokerage firms in accordance with Rule 10b5-1 under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, through privately negotiated transactions, pursuant to our equity incentive awards, or otherwise. During the fourth quarter 2022, all repurchases were accomplished in conjunction with our equity incentive awards or through the open market at the then-current market prices.

Progressive’s financial policies state that we will repurchase shares to neutralize dilution from equity-based compensation in the year of issuance and as an option to effectively use underleveraged capital. See Note 9 – Employee Benefit Plans, “Incentive Compensation Plans” in our Annual Report, for a summary of our restricted equity grants.

Item 6. SELECTED FINANCIAL DATA [Reserved]

Item 7. MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS

Incorporated by reference from Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations in our Annual Report.

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Item 7A. QUANTITATIVE AND QUALITATIVE DISCLOSURES ABOUT MARKET RISK

The quantitative and qualitative disclosures about market risk are incorporated by reference from section “IV. Results of Operations – Investments” in our Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations, and the Quantitative Market Risk Disclosures section in our Annual Report.

Item 8. FINANCIAL STATEMENTS AND SUPPLEMENTARY DATA

The Consolidated Financial Statements of Progressive, along with the related Notes, and Report of Independent Registered Public Accounting Firm, are incorporated by reference from our Annual Report.

Item 9. CHANGES IN AND DISAGREEMENTS WITH ACCOUNTANTS ON ACCOUNTING AND FINANCIAL DISCLOSURE

None.

Item 9A. CONTROLS AND PROCEDURES

Under the direction of our Chief Executive Officer and our Chief Financial Officer, we have established disclosure controls and procedures that are designed to ensure that information required to be disclosed by us in the reports that we file or submit under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 is recorded, processed, summarized, and reported within the time periods specified in the Securities and Exchange Commission’s rules and forms. The disclosure controls and procedures are also intended to ensure that such information is accumulated and communicated to our management, including the Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer, as appropriate, to allow timely decisions regarding required disclosures.

Our Chief Executive Officer and our Chief Financial Officer reviewed and evaluated Progressive’s disclosure controls and procedures as of the end of the period covered by this report. Based on that review and evaluation, the Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer concluded that Progressive’s disclosure controls and procedures are effectively serving the stated purposes as of the end of the period covered by this report.

Management’s Report on Internal Control over Financial Reporting and the attestation of the independent registered public accounting firm are incorporated by reference from our Annual Report.

There have not been any changes in our internal control over financial reporting during our most recent fiscal quarter that has materially affected, or is reasonably likely to materially affect, our internal control over financial reporting.

Item 9B. OTHER INFORMATION

None.

Item 9C. DISCLOSURE REGARDING FOREIGN JURISDICTIONS THAT PREVENT INSPECTIONS

None.

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PART III

Item 10. DIRECTORS, EXECUTIVE OFFICERS AND CORPORATE GOVERNANCE

Information relating to our directors is incorporated herein by reference from the section entitled “Item 1: Election of Directors” in The Progressive Corporation’s Proxy Statement for the Annual Meeting of Shareholders to be held on May 12, 2023 (the Proxy Statement).

Information relating to executive officers of Progressive follows. Unless otherwise indicated, the executive officer has held the position(s) indicated with Progressive.

NameAgeOffices Held and Last Five Years’ Business Experience
Susan Patricia Griffith58President and Chief Executive Officer
John P. Sauerland58Vice President and Chief Financial Officer
Karen B. Bailo55Commercial Lines President since October 2020; Commercial Lines Acquisition and Small Business General Manager from January 2020 to September 2020; Commercial Lines Controller from August 2018 to December 2019; Agency Distribution Business Leader prior to August 2018
Jonathan S. Bauer45Chief Investment Officer since January 2020; Portfolio Manager prior to January 2020
Steven A. Broz52Chief Information Officer
Patrick K. Callahan52Personal Lines President
William L. Clawson II53Chief Human Resources Officer since December 2021; Compensation and Benefits Business Leader from November 2019 to December 2021; Product Manager prior to November 2019
Remi Kent47Chief Marketing Officer since November 2021; Senior Vice President and Global Chief Marketing Officer of the Consumer Business Group of 3M Company (global manufacturing and technology company) from January 2020 to October 2021; Global Business Director for Post-It® and Scotch® Brands of 3M Company prior to January 2020
Mariann Wojtkun Marshall60Vice President and Chief Accounting Officer since March 2019; Director of Financial Reporting – GAAP prior to March 2019; Assistant Secretary
Daniel P. Mascaro59Vice President, Secretary, and Chief Legal Officer
John Murphy53Claims President since December 2021; Customer Relationship Management President prior to December 2021
Lori Niederst49Customer Relationship Management President since December 2021; Chief Human Resources Officer prior to December 2021
Andrew J. Quigg43Chief Strategy Officer since July 2018; Customer Experience General Manager prior to July 2018

Delinquent Section 16(a) Reports. Any delinquent filings (if applicable) are incorporated by reference from the “Security Ownership of Certain Beneficial Owners and Management - Delinquent Section 16(a) Reports” section of the Proxy Statement.

Code of Ethics. Progressive has a Code of Ethics for the Chief Executive Officer, Chief Financial Officer, Chief Accounting Officer, and other senior financial officers. This CEO/Senior Financial Officer Code of Ethics is available at: progressive.com/governance. We intend to continue to satisfy the disclosure requirements under Item 5.05 of Form 8-K regarding amendments to, and waivers from, the provisions of the foregoing Code of Ethics by posting such information on our Internet website at: progressive.com/governance.

Shareholder-Proposed Candidate Procedures. There were no material changes during 2022 to Progressive’s procedures by which a shareholder can recommend a director candidate. The description of those procedures is incorporated by reference from the “Other Matters - Procedures for Recommendations and Nominations of Directors and Shareholder Proposals - To Recommend a Candidate for our Board of Directors” section of the Proxy Statement.

Audit Committee. Incorporated by reference from the “Other Board of Directors Information - Board Committees - Audit Committee” section of the Proxy Statement.

Financial Expert. Incorporated by reference from the “Other Board of Directors Information - Board Committees - Audit Committee” section of the Proxy Statement.

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Item 11. EXECUTIVE COMPENSATION

Incorporated by reference from the sections of the Proxy Statement entitled “Compensation Discussion and Analysis,” “Executive Compensation,” “Director Compensation,” “Other Board of Directors Information - Compensation Committee Interlocks and Insider Participation,” “Compensation Committee Report,” and “Compensation Programs and Risk Management.”

Item 12. SECURITY OWNERSHIP OF CERTAIN BENEFICIAL OWNERS AND MANAGEMENT AND RELATED STOCKHOLDER MATTERS

Information regarding ownership of Common Shares by certain beneficial owners and management is incorporated by reference from the section of the Proxy Statement entitled “Security Ownership of Certain Beneficial Owners and Management.”

The following information is set forth with respect to our equity compensation plans at December 31, 2022.

EQUITY COMPENSATION PLAN INFORMATION
Plan CategoryNumber of Securities to be Issued upon Exercise of Outstanding Options, Warrants and RightsWeighted-Average Exercise Price of Outstanding Options, Warrants and RightsNumber of Securities Remaining Available for Future Issuance Under Equity Compensation Plans 1
Equity compensation plans approved by security holders
Employee Plans:
2015 Equity Incentive Plan3,198,1502NA6,055,1963
Director Plans:
Amended and Restated 2017 Directors Equity Incentive Plan30,439NA417,5114
Equity compensation plans not approved by security holders
None
Total3,228,589NA6,472,707

NA = Not applicable because awards do not have an exercise price.

1 Excludes shares included in the Number of Securities to be Issued upon Exercise of Outstanding Options, Warrants and Rights column.

2 Reflects restricted stock unit awards, including reinvested dividend equivalents, under which, upon vesting, the holder has the right to receive common shares on a one-to-one basis.

Performance-based restricted stock unit awards, including dividend equivalents, of 669,797 units are included under the 2015 Equity Incentive Plan at their target value. Maximum potential payout for the performance awards outstanding under the 2015 Equity Incentive Plan was 1,648,366. For a description of the performance-based awards, including the performance measurement and vesting ranges, see Note 9 — Employee Benefit Plans in our Annual Report.

3 Gives effect to reservation of common shares subject to performance-based awards at maximum potential payout.

4 Reflects Progressive’s Amended and Restated 2017 Directors Equity Incentive Plan that was approved by shareholders in 2022 and increased the authorized shares by 150,000 under this plan.

Item 13. CERTAIN RELATIONSHIPS AND RELATED TRANSACTIONS, AND DIRECTOR INDEPENDENCE

Incorporated by reference from the section of the Proxy Statement entitled “Other Board of Directors Information - Board of Directors Independence Determinations,” and “Other Board of Directors Information - Transactions with Related Persons.”

Item 14. PRINCIPAL ACCOUNTANT FEES AND SERVICES

Incorporated by reference from the section of the Proxy Statement entitled “Other Independent Registered Public Accounting Firm Information.”

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PART IV

Item 15. EXHIBITS AND FINANCIAL STATEMENT SCHEDULES

(a)(1) Listing of Financial Statements

The following consolidated financial statements are included in our Annual Report and are incorporated by reference in Item 8:

  • Report of Independent Registered Public Accounting Firm (PCAOB ID: 238)

  • Consolidated Statements of Comprehensive Income - For the Years Ended December 31, 2022, 2021, and 2020

  • Consolidated Balance Sheets - December 31, 2022 and 2021

  • Consolidated Statements of Changes in Shareholders’ Equity - For the Years Ended December 31, 2022, 2021, and 2020

  • Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows - For the Years Ended December 31, 2022, 2021, and 2020

  • Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements

  • Supplemental Information (Unaudited)

(a)(2) Listing of Financial Statement Schedules

The following financial statement schedules, Report of Independent Registered Public Accounting Firm, and Consent of Independent Registered Public Accounting Firm are included in Item 15(c):

  • Schedule I - Summary of Investments - Other than Investments in Related Parties

  • Schedule II - Condensed Financial Information of Registrant

  • Schedule III - Supplementary Insurance Information

  • Schedule IV - Reinsurance

  • Report of Independent Registered Public Accounting Firm on Financial Statement Schedules

  • No other schedules are required to be filed herewith pursuant to Article 7 of Regulation S-X.

(a)(3) Listing of Exhibits

See exhibit index contained herein beginning at page 44, which is incorporated by reference from information with respect to this item. Management contracts and compensatory plans and arrangements are identified in the Exhibit Index as Exhibit Nos. 10.1 through 10.52.

(b) Exhibits

The exhibits in response to this portion of Item 15 are submitted concurrently with this report.

(c) Financial Statement Schedules

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SCHEDULE I — SUMMARY OF INVESTMENTS — OTHER THAN INVESTMENTS IN RELATED PARTIES

THE PROGRESSIVE CORPORATION AND SUBSIDIARIES

(millions)

December 31, 2022
Type of InvestmentCostFair ValueAmount At Which Shown In The Balance Sheet
Fixed maturities:
Bonds:
United States Government and government agencies and authorities$26,770.7$25,167.4$25,167.4
States, municipalities, and political subdivisions2,180.01,977.11,977.1
Foreign government obligations16.815.515.5
Public utilities907.1837.7837.7
Corporate and other debt securities9,218.78,575.08,575.0
Asset-backed securities10,968.19,894.99,894.9
Redeemable preferred stocks202.6184.3184.3
Total fixed maturities50,264.046,651.946,651.9
Equity securities:
Common stocks:
Public utilities49.6123.9123.9
Banks, trusts, and insurance companies154.2516.6516.6
Industrial, miscellaneous, and all other622.32,181.02,181.0
Nonredeemable preferred stocks1,364.21,213.21,213.2
Total equity securities2,190.34,034.74,034.7
Short-term investments2,861.72,861.72,861.7
Total investments$55,316.0$53,548.3$53,548.3

Progressive did not have any securities of any one issuer, excluding U.S. government obligations, with an aggregate cost or fair value exceeding 10% of total shareholders’ equity at December 31, 2022.

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SCHEDULE II — CONDENSED FINANCIAL INFORMATION OF REGISTRANT

CONDENSED STATEMENTS OF COMPREHENSIVE INCOME

THE PROGRESSIVE CORPORATION (PARENT COMPANY)

(millions)

Years Ended December 31,
202220212020
Revenues
Dividends from subsidiaries$540.5$2,847.0$4,096.5
Undistributed income from subsidiaries325.0674.91,774.4
Equity in net income of subsidiaries865.53,521.95,870.9
Intercompany investment income92.74.516.5
Total revenues958.23,526.45,887.4
Expenses
Interest expense246.0220.0218.1
Deferred compensation125.38.833.9
Other operating costs and expenses6.86.87.2
Total expenses278.1235.6259.2
Income before income taxes680.13,290.85,628.2
Benefit for income taxes41.460.176.4
Net income721.53,350.95,704.6
Other comprehensive income (loss)(2,842.7)(891.0)587.3
Comprehensive income (loss)$(2,121.2)$2,459.9$6,291.9

1 See Note 4 – Employee Benefit Plans in these condensed financial statements.

See notes to condensed financial statements.

- 34 -

SCHEDULE II — CONDENSED FINANCIAL INFORMATION OF REGISTRANT (Continued)

CONDENSED BALANCE SHEETS

THE PROGRESSIVE CORPORATION (PARENT COMPANY)

(millions)

December 31,
20222021
Assets
Investment in affiliate$5.0$5.0
Investment in subsidiaries17,911.819,512.2
Receivable from investment subsidiary4,098.73,382.1
Intercompany receivable466.2387.2
Net federal deferred income taxes64.365.1
Other assets150.6207.3
Total assets$22,696.6$23,558.9
Liabilities and Shareholders’ Equity
Accounts payable, accrued expenses, and other liabilities$417.3$428.5
Debt16,388.34,898.8
Total liabilities6,805.65,327.3
Serial Preferred Shares (authorized 20.0)
Serial Preferred Shares, Series B, no par value (cumulative, liquidation preference of $1,000 per share) (authorized, issued, and outstanding 0.5)493.9493.9
Common shares, $1.00 par value (authorized 900.0; issued 797.6, including treasury shares of 212.7 and 213.2)584.9584.4
Paid-in capital1,893.01,772.9
Retained earnings15,721.215,339.7
Total accumulated other comprehensive income (loss)(2,802.0)40.7
Total shareholders’ equity15,891.018,231.6
Total liabilities and shareholders’ equity$22,696.6$23,558.9

1 Consists of long-term debt. See Note 4 – Debt in our Annual Report for further discussion.

See notes to condensed financial statements.

- 35 -

SCHEDULE II — CONDENSED FINANCIAL INFORMATION OF REGISTRANT (Continued)

CONDENSED STATEMENTS OF CASH FLOWS

THE PROGRESSIVE CORPORATION (PARENT COMPANY)

(millions)

Years Ended December 31,
202220212020
Cash Flows From Operating Activities:
Net income$721.5$3,350.9$5,704.6
Adjustments to reconcile net income to net cash provided by operating activities:
Undistributed income from subsidiaries(325.0)(674.9)(1,774.4)
Amortization of equity-based compensation3.23.12.9
Changes in:
Intercompany receivable(79.0)86.6(20.2)
Accounts payable, accrued expenses, and other liabilities(21.5)23.852.0
Income taxes28.9(154.8)(52.2)
Other, net60.176.840.4
Net cash provided by operating activities388.22,711.53,953.1
Cash Flows From Investing Activities:
Additional investments in equity securities of consolidated subsidiaries(797.8)(397.3)(27.1)
(Paid to) received from investment subsidiary(716.6)2,519.6(2,989.7)
Acquisition of Protective Insurance Corporation0(337.5)0
Acquisition of additional shares of ARX Holding Corp.00(233.2)
Net cash provided by (used in) investing activities(1,514.4)1,784.8(3,250.0)
Cash Flows From Financing Activities:
Dividends paid to common shareholders(234.0)(3,746.5)(1,551.0)
Dividends paid to preferred shareholders(26.8)(26.8)(26.8)
Acquisition of treasury shares for restricted stock tax liabilities(76.7)(67.2)(68.7)
Acquisition of treasury shares acquired in open market(22.3)(155.8)(42.9)
Net proceeds from debt issuance1,486.00986.3
Payments of debt0(500.0)0
Net cash provided by (used in) financing activities1,126.2(4,496.3)(703.1)
Change in cash000
Cash - beginning of year000
Cash - end of year$0$0$0

See notes to condensed financial statements.

- 36 -

SCHEDULE II — CONDENSED FINANCIAL INFORMATION OF REGISTRANT (Continued)

NOTES TO CONDENSED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS

The accompanying condensed financial statements of The Progressive Corporation (parent company) should be read in conjunction with the consolidated financial statements and notes thereto in the Annual Report to Shareholders of The Progressive Corporation and its subsidiaries, which is included as Exhibit 13 to this Form 10-K.

Note 1. Statements of Cash Flows — For the purpose of the condensed statements of cash flows, cash includes only bank demand deposits. The Progressive Corporation does not hold any cash but has unrestricted access to funds maintained in a non-insurance investment subsidiary to meet its holding company obligations; at December 31, 2022, 2021, and 2020, $4.4 billion, $4.2 billion, and $6.2 billion, respectively, of marketable securities were available in this subsidiary.

Our condensed statement of cash flows for the year ended December 31, 2021, was revised to properly reflect the change in income taxes as a decrease to cash from operating activities rather than an increase as it was reported last year. At December 31, 2021, we had net taxes recoverable, compared to net taxes payable at December 31, 2020. Since income taxes recoverable/payable are components of “other assets” and “accounts payable, accrued expenses, and other liabilities,” respectively, in the condensed balance sheets, this revision had no impact on net cash provided by operating activities for the year ended December 31, 2021.

For the years ended December 31, non-cash activity included the following:

(millions)202220212020
Common share dividends1$58.5$58.5$2,694.5
Preferred share dividends113.413.413.4
Loan to ARX converted to capital contribution00225.0

1 Declared but unpaid. See Note 14 – Dividends in the Annual Report for further discussion.

For the years ended December 31, The Progressive Corporation paid the following:

(millions)202220212020
Income taxes$705.0$815.0$1,411.0
Interest228.9223.9206.0

Note 2. Income Taxes — The Progressive Corporation files a consolidated federal income tax return with its subsidiaries and acts as an agent for the consolidated tax group when making payments to the Internal Revenue Service. The Progressive Corporation consolidated group’s net income taxes currently payable/recoverable are included in other liabilities/assets, respectively, in the accompanying condensed balance sheets based on the balance at the end of the year. The Progressive Corporation and its eligible subsidiaries have adopted, pursuant to a written agreement, a method of allocating consolidated federal income taxes. Amounts allocated to the eligible subsidiaries under the written agreement are included in intercompany receivable in the accompanying condensed balance sheets.

Note 3. Debt — The information relating to debt is incorporated by reference from Note 4 – Debt in our Annual Report.

Note 4. Employee Benefit Plans — The information relating to incentive compensation and deferred compensation plans is incorporated by reference from Note 9 – Employee Benefit Plans in our Annual Report.

Note 5. Other Comprehensive Income (Loss) — On the condensed statements of comprehensive income, other comprehensive income (loss) represents activity of the subsidiaries of The Progressive Corporation and includes net unrealized gains (losses) on fixed-maturity securities, net unrealized losses on forecasted transactions, and foreign currency translation adjustments.

Note 6. Dividends — The information relating to our dividend policy is incorporated by reference from Note 14 – Dividends in our Annual Report.

- 37 -

SCHEDULE III — SUPPLEMENTARY INSURANCE INFORMATION

THE PROGRESSIVE CORPORATION AND SUBSIDIARIES

(millions)

SegmentDeferred policy acquisition costs****1Future policy benefits, losses, claims, and loss expenses****1Unearned premiums****1Other policy claims and benefits payable****1Premium revenueNet investment income****1,2Benefits, claims, losses, and settlement expensesAmortization of deferred policy acquisition costsOther operating expenses****1Net premiums written
Year ended December 31, 2022:
Personal Lines$37,880.2$29,680.8$2,592.1$4,668.9$39,278.5
Commercial Lines9,088.36,544.7913.3947.79,398.8
Property2,270.01,891.3411.1235.32,401.7
Other indemnity2.75.90.57.72.1
Total$1,544.4$30,359.3$17,293.6$0$49,241.2$1,236.0$38,122.7$3,917.0$5,859.6$51,081.1
Year ended December 31, 2021:
Personal Lines$35,373.3$27,043.1$2,614.7$4,656.8$36,168.8
Commercial Lines6,945.24,814.5734.1742.38,015.9
Property2,042.51,764.6362.9253.02,216.2
Other indemnity7.75.41.12.64.3
Total$1,355.6$26,164.1$15,615.8$0$44,368.7$835.4$33,627.6$3,712.8$5,654.7$46,405.2
Year ended December 31, 2020:
Personal Lines3$32,620.1$20,611.7$2,437.3$5,762.0$33,342.6
Commercial Lines4,875.83,146.0525.7647.55,315.3
Property1,765.71,364.1310.2237.91,910.8
Other indemnity00000
Total$1,237.2$20,265.8$13,437.5$0$39,261.6$916.6$25,121.8$3,273.2$6,647.4$40,568.7

1 Progressive does not allocate assets, liabilities, or investment income to operating segments. Expense allocations are based on certain assumptions and estimates primarily related to revenue and volume; stated segment operating results would change if different methods were applied.

2 Excludes total net realized gains (losses) on securities.

3 Other operating expenses includes $1,077.4 million of policyholder credits issued to personal auto customers.

- 38 -

SCHEDULE IV — REINSURANCE

THE PROGRESSIVE CORPORATION AND SUBSIDIARIES

(millions)

Year Ended:Gross AmountCeded to Other CompaniesAssumed From Other CompaniesNet AmountPercentage of Amount Assumed to Net
December 31, 2022
Premiums earned:
Property and liability insurance$50,650.2$1,409.0$0$49,241.20%
December 31, 2021
Premiums earned:
Property and liability insurance$46,018.6$1,649.9$0$44,368.70%
December 31, 2020
Premiums earned:
Property and liability insurance$40,687.7$1,426.1$0$39,261.60%

- 39 -

Report of Independent Registered Public Accounting Firm on Financial Statement Schedules

To the Board of Directors and Shareholders of The Progressive Corporation

Our audits of the consolidated financial statements referred to in our report dated February 27, 2023 appearing in the 2022 Annual Report to Shareholders of The Progressive Corporation (which report and consolidated financial statements are incorporated by reference in this Annual Report on Form 10-K) also included an audit of the schedule of summary of investments – other than investments in related parties as of December 31, 2022, the schedule of condensed financial information of registrant, which includes the condensed balance sheets as of December 31, 2022 and 2021 and the condensed statements of comprehensive income and of cash flows for each of the three years in the period ended December 31, 2022, and the related notes to the condensed financial statements, the schedule of supplementary insurance information for each of the three years in the period ended December 31, 2022, and the schedule of reinsurance for each of the three years in the period ended December 31, 2022 (collectively “the financial statement schedules”) listed in Item 15(a)(2) of this Form 10-K. In our opinion, these financial statement schedules present fairly, in all material respects, the information set forth therein when read in conjunction with the related consolidated financial statements.

/s/ PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP

Cleveland, Ohio

February 27, 2023

- 40 -

Item 16. FORM 10-K SUMMARY

We have elected not to include a summary of information as permitted under this item.

- 41 -

SIGNATURES

Pursuant to the requirements of Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned, thereunto duly authorized.

THE PROGRESSIVE CORPORATION
February 27, 2023By:/s/ Susan Patricia Griffith
Susan Patricia Griffith
President and Chief Executive Officer

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, this report has been signed below by the following persons on behalf of the registrant and in the capacities and on the dates indicated.

/s/ Susan Patricia GriffithDirector, President and Chief Executive OfficerFebruary 27, 2023
Susan Patricia Griffith
/s/ John P. SauerlandVice President and Chief Financial OfficerFebruary 27, 2023
John P. Sauerland
/s/ Mariann Wojtkun MarshallVice President and Chief Accounting OfficerFebruary 27, 2023
Mariann Wojtkun Marshall
*Chairperson of the BoardFebruary 27, 2023
Lawton W. Fitt
*DirectorFebruary 27, 2023
Philip Bleser
*DirectorFebruary 27, 2023
Stuart B. Burgdoerfer
*DirectorFebruary 27, 2023
Pamela J. Craig
*DirectorFebruary 27, 2023
Charles A. Davis
*DirectorFebruary 27, 2023
Roger N. Farah
*DirectorFebruary 27, 2023
Devin C. Johnson
*DirectorFebruary 27, 2023
Jeffrey D. Kelly
*DirectorFebruary 27, 2023
Barbara R. Snyder
*DirectorFebruary 27, 2023
Jan E. Tighe
*DirectorFebruary 27, 2023
Kahina Van Dyke

- 42 -

  • Daniel P. Mascaro, by signing his name hereto, does sign this document on behalf of the persons indicated above pursuant to powers of attorney duly executed by such person.
By:/s/ Daniel P. MascaroFebruary 27, 2023
Daniel P. Mascaro
Attorney-in-fact

- 43 -

EXHIBIT INDEX
Exhibit No. Under Reg. S-K, Item 601Form 10-K Exhibit No.Description of ExhibitIf Incorporated by Reference, Documents with Which Exhibit was Previously Filed with SEC
3(i)3.1Amended Articles of Incorporation of The Progressive Corporation (as amended March 13, 2018)Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q (filed on May 1, 2019; Exhibit 3.1 therein)
3(ii)3.2Code of Regulations of The Progressive Corporation (as amended May 7, 2021)Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q (filed on August 3, 2021; Exhibit 3.1 therein)
44.1Description of the Registrant’s Securities Registered Pursuant to Section 12 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934Annual Report on Form 10-K (filed on March 2, 2020; Exhibit 4.23 therein)
44.2Form of certificate representing Series B Fixed-to-Floating Rate Cumulative Perpetual Serial Preferred SharesCurrent Report on Form 8-K (filed on March 14, 2018; Exhibit 4.3 therein)
44.3Form of 6 5/8% Senior Notes due 2029, issued in the aggregate principal amount of $300,000,000 under the 1993 Senior Indenture, as amended and supplementedAnnual Report on Form 10-K (filed on March 2, 2015; Exhibit 4.2 therein)
44.4Form of 6.25% Senior Notes due 2032, issued in the aggregate principal amount of $400,000,000 under the 1993 Senior Indenture, as amended and supplementedAnnual Report on Form 10-K (filed on February 27, 2018; Exhibit 4.3 therein)
44.5Form of 4.35% Senior Notes due 2044, issued in the aggregate principal amount of $350,000,000 under the 1993 Senior Indenture, as amended and supplementedCurrent Report on Form 8-K (filed on April 25, 2014; Exhibit 4.2 therein)
44.6Form of 3.70% Senior Notes due 2045, issued in the aggregate principal amount of $400,000,000 under the 1993 Senior Indenture, as amended and supplementedCurrent Report on Form 8-K (filed on January 26, 2015; Exhibit 4.2 therein)
44.7Form of 2.45% Senior Notes due 2027, issued in the aggregate principal amount of $500,000,000 under the 1993 Senior Indenture, as amended and supplementedCurrent Report on Form 8-K (filed on August 25, 2016; Exhibit 4.2 therein)
44.8Form 4.125% Senior Note Due 2047, issued in the aggregate principal amount of $850,000,000 under the 1993 Senior Indenture, as amended and supplementedCurrent Report on Form 8-K (filed on April 6, 2017; Exhibit 4.2 therein)
44.9Form 4.20% Senior Note Due 2048, issued in the aggregate principal amount of $600,000,000 under the 1993 Senior Indenture, as amended and supplementedCurrent Report on Form 8-K (filed on March 14, 2018; Exhibit 4.2 therein)
44.10Form 4.00% Senior Note Due 2029, issued in the aggregate principal amount of $550,000,000Current Report on Form 8-K (filed on October 23, 2018; Exhibit 4.2 therein)
44.11Indenture dated as of September 12, 2018 between The Progressive Corporation and U.S. Bank National Association, Trustee (including table of contents and cross-reference sheet)Registration Statement No. 333-227315 (filed on September 13, 2018; Exhibit 4.2 therein)
44.12First Supplemental Indenture dated October 23, 2018 between The Progressive Corporation and U.S. Bank National Association, as trusteeCurrent Report on Form 8-K (filed on October 23, 2018; Exhibit 4.1 therein)
44.13Second Supplemental Indenture dated March 26, 2020 between The Progressive Corporation and U.S. Bank National Association, as trusteeCurrent Report on Form 8-K (filed on March 26, 2020; Exhibit 4.1 therein)

- 44 -

EXHIBIT INDEX
Exhibit No. Under Reg. S-K, Item 601Form 10-K Exhibit No.Description of ExhibitIf Incorporated by Reference, Documents with Which Exhibit was Previously Filed with SEC
44.14Third Supplemental Indenture between The Progressive Corporation and U.S. Bank Trust Company, National Association, as trusteeCurrent Report on Form 8-K (filed March 9, 2022; Exhibit 4.1 therein)
44.15Form of 3.20% Senior Note due 2030, issued in the aggregate principal amount of $500,000,000Current Report on Form 8-K (filed on March 26, 2020; Exhibit 4.2 therein)
44.16Form of 3.95% Senior Note due 2050, issued in the aggregate principal amount of $500,000,000Current Report on Form 8-K (filed on March 26, 2020; Exhibit 4.3 therein)
44.17Form of 2.50% Senior Note due 2027Current Report on Form 8-K (filed March 9, 2022; Exhibit 4.2 therein)
44.18Form of 3.00% Senior Note due 2032Current Report on Form 8-K (filed March 9, 2022; Exhibit 4.3 therein)
44.19Form of 3.70% Senior Note due 2052Current Report on Form 8-K (filed March 9, 2022; Exhibit 4.4 therein)
44.20Indenture dated as of September 15, 1993 between The Progressive Corporation and State Street Bank and Trust Company (successor in interest to The First National Bank of Boston), as Trustee (“1993 Senior Indenture”) (including table of contents and cross-reference sheet)Registration Statement No. 333-48935 (filed on March 31, 1998; Exhibit 4.1 therein)
44.21First Supplemental Indenture dated March 15, 1996 to the 1993 Senior Indenture between The Progressive Corporation and State Street Bank and Trust CompanyRegistration Statement No. 333-01745 (filed on March 15, 1996; Exhibit 4.2 therein)
44.22Second Supplemental Indenture dated February 26, 1999 to the 1993 Senior Indenture between The Progressive Corporation and State Street Bank and Trust Company, as TrusteeRegistration Statement No. 333-100674 (filed on October 22, 2002; Exhibit 4.3 therein)
44.23Fourth Supplemental Indenture dated November 21, 2002 to the 1993 Senior Indenture between The Progressive Corporation and State Street Bank and Trust Company, as TrusteeRegistration Statement No. 333-143824 (filed on June 18, 2007; Exhibit 4.5 therein)
44.24Fifth Supplemental Indenture dated June 13, 2007 to the 1993 Senior Indenture between The Progressive Corporation and U.S. Bank National Association, evidencing the designation of U.S. Bank National Association as successor Trustee under the 1993 Senior IndentureRegistration Statement No. 333-143824 (filed on June 18, 2007; Exhibit 4.6 therein)
44.25Seventh Supplemental Indenture dated April 25, 2014 to the 1993 Senior Indenture between The Progressive Corporation and U.S. Bank National Association, as TrusteeCurrent Report on Form 8-K (filed on April 25, 2014; Exhibit 4.1 therein)
44.26Eighth Supplemental Indenture dated January 26, 2015 to the 1993 Senior Indenture between The Progressive Corporation and U.S. Bank National Association, as TrusteeCurrent Report on Form 8-K (filed on January 26, 2015; Exhibit 4.1 therein)

- 45 -

EXHIBIT INDEX
Exhibit No. Under Reg. S-K, Item 601Form 10-K Exhibit No.Description of ExhibitIf Incorporated by Reference, Documents with Which Exhibit was Previously Filed with SEC
44.27Ninth Supplemental Indenture dated August 25, 2016 to the 1993 Senior Indenture between The Progressive Corporation and U.S. Bank National Association, as TrusteeCurrent Report on Form 8-K (filed on August 25, 2016; Exhibit 4.1 therein)
44.28Tenth Supplemental Indenture dated April 6, 2017 to the 1993 Senior Indenture between The Progressive Corporation and U.S. Bank National Association, as TrusteeCurrent Report on Form 8-K (filed on April 6, 2017; Exhibit 4.1 therein)
44.29Eleventh Supplemental Indenture dated March 14, 2018 to the 1993 Senior Indenture between The Progressive Corporation and U.S. Bank National Association, as TrusteeCurrent Report on Form 8-K (filed on March 14, 2018; Exhibit 4.1 therein)
44.30Form of Confirmation Letter-Discretionary Line of Credit from PNC Bank, National Association to The Progressive CorporationQuarterly Report on Form 10-Q (filed on May 1, 2019; Exhibit 4.1 therein)
44.31Amendment to Discretionary Line Documents - Discretionary Line of Credit from PNC Bank, National Association, to The Progressive Corporation (2020 Amendment)Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q (filed on August 4, 2020; Exhibit 5.1 therein)
44.32Amendment to Discretionary Line Documents - Discretionary Line of Credit from PNC Bank, National Association, to The Progressive Corporation (2021 Amendment)Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q (filed on August 3, 2021; Exhibit 4.1 therein)
44.33Form of Discretionary Line of Credit Note from The Progressive Corporation to PNC Bank, National AssociationQuarterly Report on Form 10-Q (filed on May 11, 2015; Exhibit 4.2 therein)
10(iii)10.1The Progressive Corporation 2023 Gainshare PlanFiled herewith
10(iii)10.2The Progressive Corporation 2015 Equity Incentive PlanCurrent Report on Form 8-K (filed on February 4, 2015; Exhibit 10.1 therein)
10(iii)10.3Form of Restricted Stock Unit Award Agreement for 2020 Time-Based Awards (Executive Officers) under the Progressive Corporation 2015 Equity Incentive Plan (for 2020)Current Report on Form 8-K (filed on March 26, 2020; Exhibit 10.1 therein)
10(iii)10.4Form of Restricted Stock Unit Award Agreement for Time-Based Awards under The Progressive Corporation 2015 Equity Incentive Plan (for 2022)Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q (filed on May 2, 2022; Exhibit 10.1 therein)
10(iii)10.5Form of Restricted Stock Unit Award Agreement for 2021 Time-Based Awards under the Progressive Corporation 2015 Equity Incentive Plan (for 2021)Current Report on Form 8-K (filed on March 25, 2021; Exhibit 10.1 therein)
10(iii)10.6Form of Restricted Stock Unit Award Agreement for 2020 Time-Based Awards under the Progressive Corporation 2015 Equity Incentive Plan (for 2020)Current Report on Form 8-K (filed on March 26, 2020; Exhibit 10.2 therein)
10(iii)10.7Form of Restricted Stock Unit Award Agreement for Time-Based Awards under The Progressive Corporation 2015 Equity Incentive Plan (for 2019)Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q (filed on May 1, 2019; Exhibit 10.1 therein)

- 46 -

EXHIBIT INDEX
Exhibit No. Under Reg. S-K, Item 601Form 10-K Exhibit No.Description of ExhibitIf Incorporated by Reference, Documents with Which Exhibit was Previously Filed with SEC
10(iii)10.8Form of Restricted Stock Unit Award Agreement for Performance-Based Awards (Performance Versus Market) under The Progressive Corporation 2015 Equity Incentive Plan (for 2022)Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q (filed on May 2, 2022; Exhibit 10.2 therein)
10(iii)10.9Form of Restricted Stock Unit Award Agreement for 2021 Performance-Based Awards (Performance Versus Market) under The Progressive Corporation 2015 Equity Incentive Plan (for 2021)Current Report on Form 8-K (filed on March 25, 2021; Exhibit 10.2 therein)
10(iii)10.10Form of Restricted Stock Unit Award Agreement for 2020 Performance-Based Awards (Performance Versus Market) under The Progressive Corporation 2015 Equity Incentive Plan (for 2020)Current Report on Form 8-K (filed on March 26, 2020; Exhibit 10.3 therein)
10(iii)10.11Form of Restricted Stock Unit Award Agreement for Performance-Based Awards (Investment Results) under The Progressive Corporation 2015 Equity Incentive Plan (for 2022)Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q (filed on May 2, 2022; Exhibit 10.3 therein)
10(iii)10.12Form of Restricted Stock Unit Award Agreement for 2021 Performance-Based Awards (Investment Results) under The Progressive Corporation 2015 Equity Incentive Plan (for 2021)Current Report on Form 8-K (filed on March 25, 2021; Exhibit 10.3 therein)
10(iii)10.13Form of Restricted Stock Unit Award Agreement for 2020 Performance-Based Awards (Investment Results) under The Progressive Corporation 2015 Equity Incentive Plan (for 2020)Current Report on Form 8-K (filed on March 26, 2020; Exhibit 10.4 therein)
10(iii)10.14Form of Restricted Stock Unit Award Agreement for Special Time/Performance-Based Award under The Progressive Corporation 2015 Equity Incentive Plan (for 2022)Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q (filed on May 2, 2022; Exhibit 10.4 therein)
10(iii)10.15Form of Restricted Stock Unit Award Agreement for 2020 Special Time/Performance-Based Award under The Progressive Corporation 2015 Equity Incentive Plan (for 2020)Annual Report on Form 10-K (filed on March 1, 2021; Exhibit 10.14 therein)
10(iii)10.16The Progressive Corporation 2017 Directors Equity Incentive PlanCurrent Report on Form 8-K (filed on February 21, 2017; Exhibit 10.1 therein)
10(iii)10.17The Progressive Corporation 2017 Directors Equity Incentive Plan (2022 Amendment and Restatement)Current Report on Form 8-K (filed May 16, 2022; Exhibit 10 therein)
10(iii)10.18Form of Restricted Stock Award Agreement under The Progressive Corporation 2017 Directors Equity Incentive Plan (for 2022)Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q (filed on August 2, 2022; Exhibit 10.2 therein)
10(iii)10.19The Progressive Corporation Executive Deferred Compensation Plan (2003 Amendment and Restatement)Registration Statement No. 333-185704 (filed on December 27, 2012; Exhibit 4.3 therein)
10(iii)10.20First Amendment to The Progressive Corporation Executive Deferred Compensation Plan (2003 Amendment and Restatement)Registration Statement No. 333-185704 (filed on December 27, 2012; Exhibit 4.4 therein)

- 47 -

EXHIBIT INDEX
Exhibit No. Under Reg. S-K, Item 601Form 10-K Exhibit No.Description of ExhibitIf Incorporated by Reference, Documents with Which Exhibit was Previously Filed with SEC
10(iii)10.21Second Amendment to The Progressive Corporation Executive Deferred Compensation Plan (2003 Amendment and Restatement)Registration Statement No. 333-185704 (filed on December 27, 2012; Exhibit 4.5 therein)
10(iii)10.22Third Amendment to The Progressive Corporation Executive Deferred Compensation Plan (2003 Amendment and Restatement)Registration Statement No. 333-185704 (filed on December 27, 2012; Exhibit 4.6 therein)
10(iii)10.23Fourth Amendment to The Progressive Corporation Executive Deferred Compensation Plan (2003 Amendment and Restatement)Registration Statement No. 333-185704 (filed on December 27, 2012; Exhibit 4.7 therein)
10(iii)10.24The Progressive Corporation Executive Deferred Compensation Plan (2008 Amendment and Restatement)Registration Statement No. 333-185704 (filed on December 27, 2012; Exhibit 4.8 therein)
10(iii)10.25First Amendment to The Progressive Corporation Executive Deferred Compensation Plan (2008 Amendment and Restatement)Registration Statement No. 333-185704 (filed on December 27, 2012; Exhibit 4.9 therein)
10(iii)10.26The Progressive Corporation Executive Deferred Compensation Plan (2010 Amendment and Restatement)Registration Statement No. 333-185704 (filed on December 27, 2012; Exhibit 4.10 therein)
10(iii)10.27First Amendment to The Progressive Corporation Executive Deferred Compensation Plan (2010 Amendment and Restatement)Registration Statement No. 333-185704 (filed on December 27, 2012; Exhibit 4.11 therein)
10(iii)10.28Second Amendment to The Progressive Corporation Executive Deferred Compensation Plan (2010 Amendment and Restatement)Current Report on Form 8-K (filed on October 14, 2014; Exhibit 10 therein)
10(iii)10.29Third Amendment to the Progressive Corporation Executive Deferred Compensation Plan (2010 Amendment and Restatement)Annual Report on Form 10-K (filed on February 29, 2016; Exhibit 10.53 therein)
10(iii)10.30Fourth Amendment to The Progressive Corporation Executive Deferred Compensation Plan (2010 Amendment and Restatement)Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q (filed on November 2, 2017; Exhibit 10 therein)
10(iii)10.31The Progressive Corporation Executive Deferred Compensation Plan (2018 Amendment and Restatement)Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q (filed on July 31, 2018; Exhibit 10 therein)
10(iii)10.32The Progressive Corporation Executive Deferred Compensation Trust (November 8, 2002 Amendment and Restatement)Registration Statement No. 333-185704 (filed on December 27, 2012; Exhibit 4.23 therein)
10(iii)10.33First Amendment to Trust Agreement between Fidelity Management Trust Company and ProgressiveRegistration Statement No. 333-185704 (filed on December 27, 2012; Exhibit 4.24 therein)
10(iii)10.34Second Amendment to The Progressive Corporation Executive Deferred Compensation TrustRegistration Statement No. 333-185704 (filed on December 27, 2012; Exhibit 4.25 therein)
10(iii)10.35Third Amendment to The Progressive Corporation Executive Deferred Compensation TrustRegistration Statement No. 333-185704 (filed on December 27, 2012; Exhibit 4.26 therein)
10(iii)10.36Fourth Amendment to The Progressive Corporation Executive Deferred Compensation TrustRegistration Statement No. 333-185704 (filed on December 27, 2012; Exhibit 4.27 therein)

- 48 -

EXHIBIT INDEX
Exhibit No. Under Reg. S-K, Item 601Form 10-K Exhibit No.Description of ExhibitIf Incorporated by Reference, Documents with Which Exhibit was Previously Filed with SEC
10(iii)10.37Fifth Amendment to The Progressive Corporation Executive Deferred Compensation TrustRegistration Statement No. 333-185704 (filed on December 27, 2012; Exhibit 4.28 therein)
10(iii)10.38Sixth Amendment to The Progressive Corporation Executive Deferred Compensation TrustRegistration Statement No. 333-185704 (filed on December 27, 2012; Exhibit 4.29 therein)
10(iii)10.39Seventh Amendment to The Progressive Corporation Executive Deferred Compensation TrustRegistration Statement No. 333-185704 (filed on December 27, 2012; Exhibit 4.30 therein)
10(iii)10.40Eighth Amendment to The Progressive Corporation Executive Deferred Compensation Trust (2002 Amendment and Restatement)Annual Report on Form 10-K (filed on February 27, 2019; Exhibit 10.49 therein)
10(iii)10.41Ninth Amendment to The Progressive Corporation Executive Deferred Compensation TrustQuarterly Report on Form 10-Q (filed on May 11, 2015; Exhibit 10.5 therein)
10(iii)10.42Tenth Amendment to The Progressive Corporation Executive Deferred Compensation TrustQuarterly Report on Form 10-Q (filed on May 11, 2015; Exhibit 10.6 therein)
10(iii)10.43The Progressive Corporation Directors Deferral Plan (2008 Amendment and Restatement)Annual Report on Form 10-K (filed on February 27, 2018; Exhibit 10.91 therein)
10(iii)10.44The Progressive Corporation Directors Deferral Plan (2015 Amendment and Restatement)Annual Report on Form 10-K (filed on February 29, 2016; Exhibit 10.77 therein)
10(iii)10.45The Progressive Corporation Directors Restricted Stock Deferral Plan (2008 Amendment and Restatement)Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q (filed on May 1, 2019; Exhibit 10.4 therein)
10(iii)10.46First Amendment to The Progressive Corporation Directors Restricted Stock Deferral Plan (2008 Amendment and Restatement)Annual Report on Form 10-K (filed on February 27, 2019; Exhibit 10.56 therein)
10(iii)10.47Director Compensation Schedule for 2022-2023 TermFiled herewith
10(iii)10.48The Progressive Corporation Executive Separation Allowance Plan (2021 Amendment and Restatement)Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q (filed on May 4, 2021; Exhibit 10.4 therein)
10(iii)10.49First Amendment to The Progressive Corporation Executive Separation Allowance Plan (2021 Amendment and Restatement)Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q (filed on August 3, 2021; Exhibit 10.3 therein)
10(iii)10.50Second Amendment to The Progressive Corporation Executive Separation Allowance Plan (2021 Amendment and Restatement)Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q (filed on May 2, 2022; Exhibit 10.5 therein)
10(iii)10.512023 Progressive Capital Management Annual Incentive PlanFiled herewith
10(iii)10.52Chief Marketing Officer Offer LetterAnnual Report on Form 10-K (filed on February 28, 2022; Exhibit 10.49 therein)
1313The Progressive Corporation 2022 Annual Report to ShareholdersFiled herewith
2121Subsidiaries of The Progressive CorporationFiled herewith

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EXHIBIT INDEX
Exhibit No. Under Reg. S-K, Item 601Form 10-K Exhibit No.Description of ExhibitIf Incorporated by Reference, Documents with Which Exhibit was Previously Filed with SEC
2323Consent of Independent Registered Public Accounting FirmFiled herewith
2424Powers of AttorneyFiled herewith
3131.1Rule 13a-14(a)/15d-14(a) Certification of the Principal Executive Officer, Susan Patricia GriffithFiled herewith
3131.2Rule 13a-14(a)/15d-14(a) Certification of the Principal Financial Officer, John P. SauerlandFiled herewith
3232.1Section 1350 Certification of the Principal Executive Officer, Susan Patricia GriffithFiled herewith
3232.2Section 1350 Certification of the Principal Financial Officer, John P. SauerlandFiled herewith
9999Letter to Shareholders from Susan Patricia Griffith, President and Chief Executive OfficerFiled herewith
101101.INSXBRL Instance Document - the instance document does not appear in the Interactive Data File because its XBRL tags are embedded within the Inline XBRL document.Filed herewith
101101.SCHInline XBRL Taxonomy Extension Schema DocumentFiled herewith
101101.CALInline XBRL Taxonomy Extension Calculation Linkbase DocumentFiled herewith
101101.DEFInline XBRL Taxonomy Extension Definition Linkbase DocumentFiled herewith
101101.LABInline XBRL Taxonomy Extension Label Linkbase DocumentFiled herewith
101101.PREInline XBRL Taxonomy Extension Presentation Linkbase DocumentFiled herewith
104104Cover Page Interactive Data File (the cover page tags are embedded within the Inline XBRL document).Filed herewith

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