Progressive 10-Q 2026-03-31

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington, D.C. 20549

FORM 10-Q

(Mark One)

For the quarterly period ended March 31, 2026

or

For the transition period from to

Commission File Number: 001-09518

THE PROGRESSIVE CORPORATION

(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)

(440) 461-5000

(Registrant’s telephone number, including area code)

Not Applicable

(Former name, former address and former fiscal year, if changed since last report)

Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant (1) has filed all reports required to be filed by Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 during the preceding 12 months (or for such shorter period that the registrant was required to file such reports), and (2) has been subject to such filing requirements for the past 90 days. ☒ Yes ☐ No

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant has submitted electronically every Interactive Data File required to be submitted pursuant to Rule 405 of Regulation S-T (§232.405 of this chapter) during the preceding 12 months (or for such shorter period that the registrant was required to submit such files). ☒ Yes ☐ No

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is a large accelerated filer, an accelerated filer, a non-accelerated filer, a smaller reporting company, or an emerging growth company. See the definitions of “large accelerated filer,” “accelerated filer,” “smaller reporting company,” and “emerging growth company” in Rule 12b-2 of the Exchange Act.

If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act. ☐

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is a shell company (as defined in Rule 12b-2 of the Exchange Act). ☐ Yes ☒ No

Indicate the number of shares outstanding of each of the issuer’s classes of common stock, as of the latest practicable date.

Common Shares, $1.00 par value: 584,336,464 outstanding at April 2, 2026

PART I—FINANCIAL INFORMATION

The Progressive Corporation and Subsidiaries

Consolidated Statements of Comprehensive Income

(unaudited)

See notes to consolidated financial statements.

The Progressive Corporation and Subsidiaries

Consolidated Balance Sheets

(unaudited)

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I. OVERVIEW

The Progressive Corporation’s insurance subsidiaries maintained an underwriting profit better than our 4% companywide calendar-year underwriting profit goal during the first quarter 2026 and reported strong growth year over year in both premiums and policies in force. During the first quarter 2026, we maintained strong profitability, with a companywide underwriting profit margin of 13.6%. We wrote $23.6 billion of companywide net premiums written in the first quarter 2026, which was $1.4 billion, or 6%, more than we generated during the same period last year, with an 8% increase in net premiums earned. We ended the first quarter 2026 with 3.3 million, or 9%, more policies in force than at March 31, 2025; adding nearly one million policies in force in the first quarter 2026 alone.

Both our Personal Lines and Commercial Lines operating segments generated strong profitability during the first quarter 2026, reporting underwriting profit margins of 14.0% and 11.0%, respectively, fairly consistent with the underwriting margins of 14.3% and 12.5% reported for the first quarter last year.

Our Personal Lines segment experienced year-over-year growth for the first quarter 2026, with net premiums written increasing 7% and policies in force up 9%, over the significant growth of 20% in net premiums written and 18% in policies in force we experienced in the first quarter last year. The current period growth was primarily driven by policies in force growth in our personal auto products, which were up 11% compared to March 2025.

In Commercial Lines, we experienced an increase in both net premiums written and policies in force of 3% for the first quarter 2026, compared to the same period last year. The increase in net premiums written was primarily driven by an increase in transportation network company (TNC) premiums, due to the renewal of certain TNC policies that have higher projected mileage, which is the basis for computing premiums, and an increase in the percentage of premiums retained, compared to the TNC policies renewed in the first quarter 2025. Excluding TNC, Commercial Lines net premiums written would have decreased 1% for the first quarter 2026, compared to the same period last year. In our core commercial auto business (which excludes our TNC business, our Progressive Fleet & Specialty Programs (Fleet & Specialty) products, and our business owners’ policy (BOP) product) we continued to experience a shift to a greater mix of policies with 6-month terms in our contractor and business auto business market targets (BMT), which have about half the amount of net premiums written as 12-month policies, and a shift to a greater mix of BMTs with lower average written premium.

For the first quarter 2026, the $251 million year-over-year increase in net income, compared to the first quarter 2025, reflected an increase in both underwriting profit and total net investment income. Total comprehensive income decreased $1.2 billion for the first quarter 2026, compared to the same period last year, driven by net unrealized losses on our fixed-maturity securities, compared to net unrealized gains during the same period last year.

At March 31, 2026, total capital (debt plus shareholders’ equity) was $40.4 billion, which was an increase of $3.2 billion from year-end 2025. This increase was primarily driven by the $2.2 billion of comprehensive income earned in the first three months of 2026 and the March 2026 issuances of $500 million of 4.60% Senior Notes due 2031, and $1.0 billion of 5.15% Senior Notes due 2036, partially offset by the repurchase of 2.3 million of our common shares, at a total cost of $478 million.

A. Insurance Operations

Our companywide underwriting profit margin was 13.6% during the first quarter 2026, compared to 14.0% during the first quarter 2025. For the first quarter 2026, our loss and loss adjustment expense (LAE) ratio and our underwriting expense ratio were relatively stable, compared to the same period last year.

We closely manage our expenses, monitoring both acquisition expenses and non-acquisition expenses, which we view as an important measure of operational efficiency as we seek to deliver our most competitive rates to consumers. During the first quarter 2026, our advertising spend was $1.5 billion, or 20% greater than the first quarter last year. The current period impact of the increase in advertising spend on our expense ratio was partially offset by the increase in net premiums earned, contributing 0.7 more points to the underwriting expense ratio in the first quarter 2026, compared to the same period last year. We will continue to advertise to maximize growth as long as the advertising spend is efficient and we remain on track to achieve our calendar-year profitability goal.

Our Personal Lines segment represented 83% of our companywide net premiums written at period end and is comprised of our personal vehicle and property products. Personal Lines vehicles include both personal auto and special lines products, with the latter typically having higher losses during the warmer weather months, due to the seasonal nature of these products (e.g., recreational vehicles, such as motorcycles, RVs, and watercraft). Our Personal Lines underwriting margin for the first quarter 2026 was 14.0%, with personal vehicle and personal property products reporting 13.7% and 21.7%, respectively. Profitability in our special lines products had about a one point favorable impact to our personal vehicle

combined ratio during the first quarter 2026. The strong underwriting profit margin in our personal property products was primarily driven by the low level of incurred catastrophe losses and frequency of loss during the period and increased rates.

For the first quarter 2026, Personal Lines generated net premiums written growth of 7%, with our agency and direct personal vehicle businesses growing 5% and 10%, respectively, while our personal property business decreased 5%, each compared to the same period last year. Changes in net premiums written are a function of new business applications (i.e., policies sold), retention, business mix, and premium per policy.

Relative to the significant growth we experienced in our personal vehicle products during the first quarter 2025, we experienced a 2% increase in total personal vehicle new business applications during the first quarter 2026. Total personal vehicle renewal business applications increased 14% during the first quarter, primarily driven by the renewal of new business applications gained over the past twelve months. Our personal vehicle business continued to demonstrate sustained net premiums written and application growth despite increased competition in the marketplace during the first quarter 2026.

Homeowners products are defined as our total personal property business excluding renters and umbrella products. For the first quarter 2026, the new business applications in our homeowners product were flat, compared to the same period last year, with the decrease in the less volatile weather-related markets, offset by an increase in the more volatile (e.g., coastal, wildfire, and hail-prone states) weather-related markets. In our renters product, new business applications experienced a 2% decline.

During the first quarter 2026, in our personal property business, we continued to focus on improving profitability and reducing exposure in more volatile weather-related markets, and, where permitted, on slowing growth and non-renewing policies. We continued to prioritize insuring lower-risk properties (e.g., new construction, existing homes with newer roofs), accepting new business for our homeowners product only when bundled with a Progressive personal auto policy, where permitted, and continued to restrict new business in the non-owner-occupied home market. In addition, we maintained our cost sharing through mandatory wind and hail deductibles and roof depreciation schedules in mo

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The duration of the financial instruments held in our portfolio that are subject to interest rate risk was 3.5 years at March 31, 2026, compared to 3.4 years at March 31, 2025 and December 31, 2025. The weighted average beta of the equity portfolio was 1.1 at March 31, 2026 and December 31, 2025, compared to 1.0 at March 31, 2025. We have not experienced a material impact when compared to the tabular presentations of our interest rate and market risk sensitive instruments in our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2025.

We, under the direction of our Chief Executive Officer and our Chief Financial Officer, have established disclosure controls and procedures that are designed to ensure that information required to be disclosed by us in the reports that we file or submit under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 is recorded, processed, summarized, and reported within the time periods specified in the Securities and Exchange Commission’s rules and forms. The disclosure controls and procedures are also intended to ensure that such information is accumulated and communicated to our management, including the Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer, as appropriate, to allow timely decisions regarding required disclosures.

Our Chief Executive Officer and our Chief Financial Officer reviewed and evaluated our disclosure controls and procedures as of the end of the period covered by this report. Based on that review and evaluation, the Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer concluded that our disclosure controls and procedures are effectively serving the stated purposes as of the end of the period covered by this report.

There have not been any changes in our internal control over financial reporting during our most recent fiscal quarter that has materially affected, or is reasonably likely to materially affect, our internal control over financial reporting.

PART II—OTHER INFORMATION

Item 1. Legal Proceedings.

For discussion of legal proceedings, see Note 9 – Litigation to the consolidated financial statements, which is incorporated herein by reference.

There have been no material changes in the risk factors from those discussed in Item 1A, Risk Factors included in our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2025.

Item 2. Unregistered Sales of Equity Securities and Use of Proceeds.

(c) Share Repurchases

Progressive’s financial policies state that we will repurchase shares to neutralize dilution from equity-based compensation in the year of issuance and as an option to effectively use under-leveraged capital.

In May 2025, the Board of Directors approved an authorization for the company to repurchase up to 25 million of its common shares. This authorization does not have an expiration date. Share repurchases under this authorization may be accomplished through open market purchases, including trading plans entered into with one or more brokerage firms in accordance with Rule 10b5-1 under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, through privately negotiated transactions, pursuant to our equity incentive awards, or otherwise. During the first quarter 2026, all repurchases were accomplished in conjunction with our equity incentive awards or through the open market at the then-current market prices.

(c) Insider Trading Arrangements

During the first quarter 2026, certain executive officers entered into Rule 10b5-1 trading arrangements that are intended to satisfy the affirmative defense of Rule 10b5-1(c). The trading arrangements provide for: (i) the sale of all (or a certain percentage) of the shares issued upon vesting for certain outstanding equity awards previously granted to the applicable executive, excluding any shares withheld by the company to satisfy tax withholding obligations (see our 2026 Proxy Statement for a description of the company’s equity compensation plans) and (ii) the sale and/or gift of a certain amount of shares (see “Additional or Specified Shares” below) held by the applicable executive, that are not sold in connection with the vesting of an outstanding equity award (as described above), some of which may have been the result of a prior vesting event for the applicable executive.

Below are the details of each applicable Rule 10b5-1 trading arrangement:

1 Subject to the plan’s earlier expiration or completion in accordance with its terms.

Additional Information

President and CEO Susan Patricia Griffith’s quarterly letter to shareholders is included as Exhibit 99 to this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q and in our online shareholders’ report located on our investor relations website at: investors.progressive.com/financials.

See exhibit index contained herein beginning on page 48, which is incorporated by reference from information with respect to this item.

SIGNATURES

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned thereunto duly authorized.