Item 3. Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk.
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Item 3. Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk.
As a result of our global operating, investment, acquisition, divestiture, and financing activities, we are exposed to market risk associated with changes in foreign currency exchange rates, commodity prices, and interest rates. To manage the volatility relating to these risks, we periodically purchase and/or sell derivative instruments including foreign currency forward and option contracts, commodity swap contracts, interest rate swap contracts, and Pre-issuance hedge contracts. We use derivative instruments to reduce earnings and cash flow volatility resulting from shifts in market rates, as well as to hedge economic exposures. We do not enter into derivative instruments for trading or speculative purposes.
Foreign currency and commodity price risk
Foreign currency derivative instruments are or may be used to hedge existing foreign currency denominated assets and liabilities, forecasted foreign currency denominated sales/purchases to/from third parties as well as intercompany sales/purchases, intercompany principal and interest payments, and in connection with investments, acquisitions, or divestitures outside the U.S. As of May 31, 2023, we had exposures to foreign currency risk primarily related to the Mexican peso, Canadian dollar, New Zealand dollar, and euro. Approximately 100% of our balance sheet exposures and 74% of our forecasted transactional exposures for the remaining nine months of Fiscal 2024 were hedged as of May 31, 2023.
Commodity derivative instruments are or may be used to hedge forecasted commodity purchases from third parties as either economic hedges or accounting hedges. As of May 31, 2023, exposures to commodity price risk which we are currently hedging include aluminum, corn, diesel fuel, and natural gas prices. Approximately 80% of our forecasted transactional exposures for the remaining nine months of Fiscal 2024 were hedged as of May 31, 2023.
We have performed a sensitivity analysis to estimate our exposure to market risk of foreign exchange rates and commodity prices reflecting the impact of a hypothetical 10% adverse change in the applicable market. The volatility of the applicable rates and prices is dependent on many factors which cannot be forecasted with reliable accuracy. Gains or losses from the revaluation or settlement of the related underlying positions would substantially offset such gains or losses on the derivative instruments. The aggregate notional value, estimated fair value, and sensitivity analysis for our open foreign currency and commodity derivative instruments are summarized as follows:
| Aggregate Notional Value | Fair Value, Net Asset (Liability) | Increase (Decrease) in Fair Value – Hypothetical 10% Adverse Change | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| May 31, 2023 | May 31, 2022 | May 31, 2023 | May 31, 2022 | May 31, 2023 | May 31, 2022 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| (in millions) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Foreign currency contracts | $ | 2,550.2 | $ | 2,726.2 | $ | 287.0 | $ | 125.3 | $ | (172.9) | $ | (198.2) | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| Commodity derivative contracts | $ | 392.1 | $ | 342.0 | $ | (35.3) | $ | 112.8 | $ | 30.0 | $ | (40.2) |
Interest rate risk
The estimated fair value of our fixed interest rate debt is subject to interest rate risk, credit risk, and foreign currency risk. In addition, we also have variable interest rate debt outstanding (primarily SOFR-based), certain of which includes a fixed margin subject to the same risks identified for our fixed interest rate debt.
There were no cash flow designated or undesignated interest rate swap contracts or Pre-issuance hedge contracts outstanding as of May 31, 2023, or May 31, 2022.
We have performed a sensitivity analysis to estimate our exposure to market risk of interest rates reflecting the impact of a hypothetical 1% increase in the prevailing interest rates. The volatility of the applicable rates is dependent on many factors which cannot be forecasted with reliable accuracy.
| Constellation Brands, Inc. Q1 FY 2024 Form 10-Q | #WORTHREACHINGFOR I 41 |
| OTHER KEY INFORMATION | Table of Contents |
The aggregate notional value, estimated fair value, and sensitivity analysis for our outstanding fixed-rate debt, including current maturities, are summarized as follows:
| Aggregate Notional Value | Fair Value, Net Asset (Liability) | Increase (Decrease) in Fair Value – Hypothetical 1% Rate Increase | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| May 31, 2023 | May 31, 2022 | May 31, 2023 | May 31, 2022 | May 31, 2023 | May 31, 2022 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| (in millions) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Fixed interest rate debt | $ | 11,324.5 | $ | 10,638.2 | $ | (10,435.9) | $ | (10,142.9) | $ | (642.5) | $ | (689.6) | |||||||||||||||||||||||
A 1% hypothetical change in the prevailing interest rates would have increased interest expense on our variable interest rate debt by $4.2 million and $1.4 million for the three months ended May 31, 2023, and May 31, 2022, respectively.
For additional discussion on our market risk, refer to Notes 3 and 4.
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