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Item 2. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations

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Item 2. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations

Financial Summary

Third quarter 2024 included the following notable items:

  • GAAP and adjusted diluted earnings per share (Adjusted EPS) were $1.85.

  • Total revenue was $25.7 billion, an increase of 1.1 percent from the comparable prior-year period, reflecting a total sales increase of 0.9 percent and a 11.5 percent increase in other revenue.

  • Comparable sales increased 0.3 percent, reflecting a 2.4 percent increase in traffic and a 2.0 percent decrease in average transaction amount.

*◦*Comparable stores-originated sales declined 1.9 percent.

*◦*Comparable digitally-originated sales increased 10.8 percent.

  • Operating income of $1.2 billion was 11.2 percent lower than the comparable prior-year period.
Earnings Per ShareThree Months EndedNine Months Ended
November 2, 2024October 28, 2023ChangeNovember 2, 2024October 28, 2023Change
GAAP and Adjusted EPS$1.85$2.10(11.9)%$6.45$5.968.3%

Note: Adjusted EPS, a non-GAAP metric, excludes the impact of certain items when applicable. However, there are no adjustments in any period presented. Management believes that Adjusted EPS is useful in providing period-to-period comparisons of the results of our operations. A reconciliation of non-GAAP financial measures to GAAP measures is provided on page 19.

We report after-tax return on invested capital (ROIC) because we believe ROIC provides a meaningful measure of our capital allocation effectiveness over time. For the trailing twelve months ended November 2, 2024, after-tax ROIC was 15.9 percent, compared with 13.9 percent for the trailing twelve months ended October 28, 2023. The calculation of ROIC is provided on page 20.

TARGET CORPORATIONBullseye.jpgQ3 2024 Form 10-Q14
MANAGEMENT'S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSISTable of Contents
ANALYSIS OF RESULTS OF OPERATIONSIndex to Notes

Analysis of Results of Operations

Summary of Operating IncomeThree Months EndedNine Months Ended
(dollars in millions)November 2, 2024October 28, 2023ChangeNovember 2, 2024October 28, 2023Change
Sales$25,228$25,0040.9%$74,392$74,3360.1%
Other revenue44039411.51,2591,1578.8
Total revenue25,66825,3981.175,65175,4930.2
Cost of sales18,37518,1491.253,62354,333(1.3)
SG&A expenses5,4865,3163.216,04615,5253.4
Depreciation and amortization (exclusive of depreciation included in cost of sales)6396163.61,8831,7935.0
Operating income$1,168$1,317(11.2)%$4,099$3,8426.7%
Rate AnalysisThree Months EndedNine Months Ended
November 2, 2024October 28, 2023November 2, 2024October 28, 2023
Gross margin rate27.2%27.4%27.9%26.9%
SG&A expense rate21.420.921.220.6
Depreciation and amortization expense rate (exclusive of depreciation included in cost of sales)2.52.42.52.4
Operating income margin rate4.65.25.45.1

Note: Gross margin rate is calculated as gross margin (sales less cost of sales) divided by sales. All other rates are calculated by dividing the applicable amount by total revenue.

Sales

Sales include all merchandise sales, net of expected returns, and our estimate of gift card breakage. We use comparable sales to evaluate the performance of our stores and digital channel sales by measuring the change in sales for a period over the comparable prior-year period of equivalent length. Comparable sales include all sales, except sales from stores open less than 13 months, digital acquisitions we have owned less than 13 months, stores that have been closed, and digital acquisitions that we no longer operate. Comparable sales measures vary across the retail industry. As a result, our comparable sales calculation is not necessarily comparable to similarly titled measures reported by other companies. Digitally originated sales include all sales initiated through mobile applications and our websites. Our stores fulfill the majority of digitally originated sales, including shipment from stores to guests, store Order Pickup or Drive Up, and delivery via Shipt. Digitally originated sales may also be fulfilled through our distribution centers, our vendors, or other third parties.

Sales growth—from both comparable sales and new stores—represents an important driver of our long-term profitability. We expect that comparable sales growth will drive the majority of our total sales growth. We believe that our ability to successfully differentiate our guests’ shopping experience through a careful combination of merchandise assortment, price, convenience, guest experience, and other factors will, over the long-term, drive both increasing shopping frequency (number of transactions, or "traffic") and the amount spent each visit (average transaction amount).

TARGET CORPORATIONBullseye.jpgQ3 2024 Form 10-Q15
MANAGEMENT'S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSISTable of Contents
ANALYSIS OF RESULTS OF OPERATIONSIndex to Notes
Comparable SalesThree Months EndedNine Months Ended
November 2, 2024October 28, 2023November 2, 2024October 28, 2023
Comparable sales change0.3%(4.9)%(0.5)%(3.5)%
Drivers of change in comparable sales
Number of transactions (traffic)2.4(4.1)1.1(2.7)
Average transaction amount(2.0)(0.8)(1.6)(0.8)
Comparable Sales by ChannelThree Months EndedNine Months Ended
November 2, 2024October 28, 2023November 2, 2024October 28, 2023
Stores originated comparable sales change(1.9)%(4.6)%(2.0)%(2.8)%
Digitally originated comparable sales change10.8(6.0)6.9(6.7)
Sales by ChannelThree Months EndedNine Months Ended
November 2, 2024October 28, 2023November 2, 2024October 28, 2023
Stores originated81.5%83.2%81.8%82.9%
Digitally originated18.516.818.217.1
Total100%100%100%100%
Sales by Fulfillment ChannelThree Months EndedNine Months Ended
November 2, 2024October 28, 2023November 2, 2024October 28, 2023
Stores97.7%97.7%97.8%97.5%
Other2.32.32.22.5
Total100%100%100%100%

Note: Sales fulfilled by stores include in-store purchases and digitally originated sales fulfilled by shipping merchandise from stores to guests, Order Pickup, Drive Up, and Shipt.

Sales by Product CategoryThree Months EndedNine Months Ended
November 2, 2024October 28, 2023November 2, 2024October 28, 2023
Apparel & accessories16%16%16%16%
Beauty13121312
Food & beverage23232323
Hardlines12131313
Home furnishings & décor17181617
Household essentials19181919
Total100%100%100%100%

Note 2 to the Financial Statements provides additional product category sales information. The collective interaction of a broad array of macroeconomic, competitive, and consumer behavioral factors, as well as sales mix and the transfer of sales to new stores, makes further analysis of sales metrics infeasible.

TARGET CORPORATIONBullseye.jpgQ3 2024 Form 10-Q16
MANAGEMENT'S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSISTable of Contents
ANALYSIS OF RESULTS OF OPERATIONSIndex to Notes

We monitor the percentage of purchases that are paid for using Target Circle Cards™ (Target Circle Card Penetration) because our internal analysis has indicated that a meaningful portion of the incremental purchases on Target Circle Cards are also incremental sales for Target. Guests receive a 5 percent discount on virtually all purchases when they use a Target Circle Card at Target. For the three months ended November 2, 2024 and October 28, 2023, total Target Circle Card Penetration was 17.7 percent and 18.3 percent, respectively. For the nine months ended November 2, 2024 and October 28, 2023, total Target Circle Card Penetration was 17.8 percent and 18.6 percent, respectively.

Gross Margin Rate

Quarter-to-Date

39

Year-to-Date

55

For the three months ended November 2, 2024, our gross margin rate was 27.2 percent compared with 27.4 percent in the comparable prior-year period. For the nine months ended November 2, 2024, our gross margin rate was 27.9 percent compared with 26.9 percent in the comparable prior-year period. For both the three and nine months ended November 2, 2024, the changes reflected the net impact of

  • higher digital fulfillment & supply chain costs due to

  • costs of managing elevated inventory levels during the third quarter, including the impact of receipt timing;

  • an increase in digital volume; and

  • new supply chain facilities coming online;

  • lower book to physical inventory adjustments compared to the prior-year period; and

  • merchandising activities, including cost improvements which more than offset higher promotional and clearance markdown rates.

TARGET CORPORATIONBullseye.jpgQ3 2024 Form 10-Q17
MANAGEMENT'S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSISTable of Contents
ANALYSIS OF RESULTS OF OPERATIONSIndex to Notes

Selling, General, and Administrative Expense Rate

For the three months ended November 2, 2024, our SG&A expense rate was 21.4 percent compared with 20.9 percent for the comparable prior-year period. For the nine months ended November 2, 2024, our SG&A expense rate was 21.2 percent compared with 20.6 percent for the comparable prior-year period. The increases reflected the net impact of cost increases across our business, including higher team member pay and benefits and higher general liability expenses, partially offset by the benefit of lower store remodel-related expenses.

Store Data

Change in Number of StoresThree Months EndedNine Months Ended
November 2, 2024October 28, 2023November 2, 2024October 28, 2023
Beginning store count1,9661,9551,9561,948
Opened13102321
Closed(1)(9)(1)(13)
Ending store count1,9781,9561,9781,956
Number of Stores andNumber of StoresRetail Square Feet (a)
Retail Square FeetNovember 2, 2024February 3, 2024October 28, 2023November 2, 2024February 3, 2024October 28, 2023
170,000 or more sq. ft.27327327348,82448,82448,824
50,000 to 169,999 sq. ft.1,5591,5421,542195,050192,908192,877
49,999 or less sq. ft.1461411414,4044,2074,207
Total1,9781,9561,956248,278245,939245,908

*(a)*In thousands; reflects total square feet less office, supply chain facilities, and vacant space.

Other Performance Factors

Net Interest Expense

Net interest expense was $105 million and $321 million for the three and nine months ended November 2, 2024, respectively, compared with $107 million and $395 million in the comparable prior-year periods. The decrease in net interest expense was primarily due to an increase in interest income.

Provision for Income Taxes

Our effective income tax rates for the three and nine months ended November 2, 2024, were 21.7 percent and 22.5 percent, respectively, compared with 21.3 percent and 21.5 percent in the comparable prior-year periods. The increase in both periods reflects the impact of lower discrete tax benefits compared to the prior-year.

TARGET CORPORATIONBullseye.jpgQ3 2024 Form 10-Q18
MANAGEMENT'S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSISTable of Contents
RECONCILIATION OF NON-GAAP FINANCIAL MEASURESIndex to Notes

Reconciliation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures to GAAP Measures

To provide additional transparency, we disclose non-GAAP Adjusted EPS. When applicable, this metric excludes certain discretely managed items. However, there are no adjustments in any period presented. We believe this information is useful in providing period-to-period comparisons of the results of our operations. This measure is not in accordance with, or an alternative to, U.S. GAAP. The most comparable GAAP measure is diluted earnings per share. Adjusted EPS should not be considered in isolation or as a substitution for analysis of our results as reported in accordance with GAAP. Other companies may calculate Adjusted EPS differently, limiting the usefulness of the measure for comparisons with other companies.

Reconciliation of Non-GAAP Adjusted EPSThree Months EndedNine Months Ended
November 2, 2024October 28, 2023November 2, 2024October 28, 2023
GAAP and Adjusted EPS$1.85$2.10$6.45$5.96

Earnings before interest expense and income taxes (EBIT) and earnings before interest expense, income taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) are non-GAAP financial measures. We believe these measures provide meaningful information about our operational efficiency compared with our competitors by excluding the impact of differences in tax jurisdictions and structures, debt levels, and, for EBITDA, capital investment. These measures are not in accordance with, or an alternative to, GAAP. The most comparable GAAP measure is net earnings. EBIT and EBITDA should not be considered in isolation or as a substitution for analysis of our results as reported in accordance with GAAP. Other companies may calculate EBIT and EBITDA differently, limiting the usefulness of the measures for comparisons with other companies.

EBIT and EBITDAThree Months EndedNine Months Ended
(dollars in millions)November 2, 2024October 28, 2023ChangeNovember 2, 2024October 28, 2023Change
Net earnings$854$971(12.1)%$2,988$2,7568.4%
+ Provision for income taxes237264(9.9)86775514.9
+ Net interest expense105107(1.5)321395(18.7)
EBIT$1,196$1,342(10.8)%$4,176$3,9066.9%
+ Total depreciation and amortization (a)7547224.22,2152,0726.8
EBITDA$1,950$2,064(5.5)%$6,391$5,9786.9%

*(a)*Represents total depreciation and amortization, including amounts classified within Depreciation and Amortization and within Cost of Sales.

TARGET CORPORATIONBullseye.jpgQ3 2024 Form 10-Q19
MANAGEMENT'S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSISTable of Contents
RECONCILIATION OF NON-GAAP FINANCIAL MEASURESIndex to Notes

We have also disclosed after-tax ROIC, which is a ratio based on GAAP information, with the exception of the add-back of operating lease interest to operating income. We believe this metric is useful in assessing the effectiveness of our capital allocation over time. Other companies may calculate ROIC differently, limiting the usefulness of the measure for comparisons with other companies.

After-Tax Return on Invested Capital
(dollars in millions)
Trailing Twelve Months
NumeratorNovember 2, 2024 (a)October 28, 2023
Operating income$5,964$5,001
+ Net other income10579
EBIT6,0695,080
+ Operating lease interest (b)157106
- Income taxes (c)1,4031,050
Net operating profit after taxes$4,823$4,136
DenominatorNovember 2, 2024October 28, 2023October 29, 2022
Current portion of long-term debt and other borrowings$1,635$1,112$2,207
+ Noncurrent portion of long-term debt14,34614,88314,237
+ Shareholders' investment14,48912,51411,019
+ Operating lease liabilities (d)3,7653,3512,879
- Cash and cash equivalents3,4331,910954
Invested capital$30,802$29,950$29,388
Average invested capital (e)$30,376$29,670
After-tax return on invested capital15.9%13.9%

*(a)*The trailing twelve months ended November 2, 2024, consisted of 53 weeks compared with 52 weeks in the prior-year period.

*(b)*Represents the add-back to operating income driven by the hypothetical interest expense we would incur if the property under our operating leases were owned or accounted for as finance leases. Calculated using the discount rate for each lease and recorded as a component of rent expense within Operating Income. Operating lease interest is added back to Operating Income in the ROIC calculation to control for differences in capital structure between us and our competitors.

*(c)*Calculated using the effective tax rates, which were 22.5 percent and 20.3 percent for the trailing twelve months ended November 2, 2024 and October 28, 2023, respectively. For the trailing twelve months ended November 2, 2024 and October 28, 2023, includes tax effect of $1.4 billion and $1.0 billion, respectively, related to EBIT and $35 million and $22 million, respectively, related to operating lease interest.

*(d)*Total short-term and long-term operating lease liabilities included within Accrued and Other Current Liabilities and Noncurrent Operating Lease Liabilities, respectively.

*(e)*Average based on the invested capital at the end of the current period and the invested capital at the end of the comparable prior period.

TARGET CORPORATIONBullseye.jpgQ3 2024 Form 10-Q20
MANAGEMENT'S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSISTable of Contents
ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL CONDITIONIndex to Notes

Analysis of Financial Condition

Liquidity and Capital Resources

Capital Allocation

We follow a disciplined and balanced approach to capital allocation based on the following priorities, ranked in order of importance: first, we fully invest in opportunities to profitably grow our business, create sustainable long-term value, and maintain our current operations and assets; second, we maintain a competitive quarterly dividend and seek to grow it annually; and finally, we return any excess cash to shareholders by repurchasing shares within the limits of our credit rating goals.

Our cash and cash equivalents balance was $3.4 billion, $3.8 billion, and $1.9 billion as of November 2, 2024, February 3, 2024, and October 28, 2023, respectively. Our cash and cash equivalents balance includes short-term investments of $2.5 billion, $2.9 billion, and $1.0 billion as of November 2, 2024, February 3, 2024, and October 28, 2023, respectively. Our investment policy is designed to preserve principal and liquidity of our short-term investments. This policy allows investments in large money market funds or in highly-rated direct short-term instruments that mature in 60 days or less. We also place dollar limits on our investments in individual funds or instruments.

Operating Cash Flows

Cash flows provided by operating activities were $4.1 billion and $5.3 billion for the nine months ended November 2, 2024, and October 28, 2023, respectively. The operating cash flow decrease is primarily due to increased inventory levels and slightly lower accounts payable leverage, in addition to higher income tax and incentive compensation payments.

Inventory

Inventory was $15.2 billion as of November 2, 2024, compared with $11.9 billion and $14.7 billion as of February 3, 2024, and October 28, 2023, respectively. The increase from February 3, 2024, primarily reflects the seasonal inventory build ahead of the November and December holiday sales period. The increase from October 28, 2023, primarily reflects the impact of lower-than-expected sales in certain discretionary categories during the three months ended November 2, 2024, as well as an improved in-stock position.

Investing Cash Flows

Cash required for investing activities decreased to $1.9 billion for the nine months ended November 2, 2024, compared to $3.9 billion for the nine months ended October 28, 2023, due to lower capital investments.

Dividends

We paid dividends totaling $516 million ($1.12 per share) and $1.5 billion ($3.32 per share) for the three and nine months ended November 2, 2024, respectively, and $507 million ($1.10 per share) and $1.5 billion ($3.26 per share) for the three and nine months ended October 28, 2023, respectively, a per share increase of 1.8 percent. We declared dividends totaling $521 million ($1.12 per share) during the third quarter of 2024 and $513 million ($1.10 per share) during the third quarter of 2023, a per share increase of 1.8 percent. We have paid dividends every quarter since our 1967 initial public offering, and it is our intent to continue to do so in the future.

Share Repurchase

We deployed $509 million to repurchase shares during the nine months ended November 2, 2024. See Part II, Item 2, Unregistered Sales of Equity Securities and Use of Proceeds of this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q and Note 8 to the Financial Statements for more information.

TARGET CORPORATIONBullseye.jpgQ3 2024 Form 10-Q21
MANAGEMENT'S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSISTable of Contents
ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL CONDITIONIndex to Notes

Financing

Our financing strategy is to ensure liquidity and access to capital markets, to maintain a balanced spectrum of debt maturities, and to manage our net exposure to floating interest rate volatility. Within these parameters, we seek to minimize our borrowing costs. Our ability to access the long-term debt and commercial paper markets has provided us with ample sources of liquidity. Our continued access to these markets depends on multiple factors, including the condition of debt capital markets, our operating performance, and maintaining strong credit ratings. As of November 2, 2024, our credit ratings were as follows:

Credit RatingsMoody’sStandard and Poor’sFitch
Long-term debtA2AA
Commercial paperP-1A-1F1

If our credit ratings were lowered, our ability to access the debt markets, our cost of funds, and other terms for new debt issuances could be adversely impacted. Each of the credit rating agencies reviews its rating periodically, and there is no guarantee our current credit ratings will remain the same as described above.

In September 2024, we issued $750 million of debt. Note 6 to the Financial Statements provides additional information.

We have the ability to obtain short-term financing from time to time under our commercial paper program and credit facilities. In October 2024, we obtained a new committed $1.0 billion 364-day unsecured revolving credit facility that will expire in October 2025 and terminated our prior 364-day credit facility. This credit facility and our $3.0 billion unsecured revolving credit facility that will expire in October 2028 backstop our commercial paper program. No balances were outstanding under either credit facility at any time during 2024 or 2023. There was no commercial paper outstanding as of either November 2, 2024 or October 28, 2023. Note 6 to the Financial Statements provides additional information.

Most of our long-term debt obligations contain covenants related to secured debt levels. In addition to a secured debt level covenant, our credit facilities also contain a debt leverage covenant. We are, and expect to remain, in compliance with these covenants. Additionally, as of November 2, 2024, no notes or debentures contained provisions requiring acceleration of payment upon a credit rating downgrade, except that certain outstanding notes allow the note holders to put the notes to us if within a matter of months of each other we experience both (i) a change in control and (ii) our long-term credit ratings are either reduced and the resulting rating is non-investment grade, or our long-term credit ratings are placed on watch for possible reduction and those ratings are subsequently reduced and the resulting rating is non-investment grade.

We believe our sources of liquidity, namely operating cash flows, credit facility capacity, and access to capital markets, will continue to be adequate to meet our contractual obligations, working capital, and planned capital expenditures, finance anticipated expansion and strategic initiatives, fund debt maturities, pay dividends, and execute purchases under our share repurchase program for the foreseeable future.

New Accounting Pronouncements

We do not expect any recently issued accounting pronouncements to have a material effect on our financial statements.

TARGET CORPORATIONBullseye.jpgQ3 2024 Form 10-Q22
MANAGEMENT'S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS & SUPPLEMENTAL INFORMATIONTable of Contents
FORWARD LOOKING STATEMENTS & CONTROLS AND PROCEDURESIndex to Notes

Forward-Looking Statements

This report contains forward-looking statements, which are based on our current assumptions and expectations. These statements are typically accompanied by the words "anticipate," "believe," "could," “expect,” “may,” “might,” “seek,” "will," “would,” or similar words. The principal forward-looking statements in this report include statements regarding: our future financial and operational performance, the adequacy of and costs associated with our sources of liquidity, the funding of debt maturities, the execution of our share repurchase program, our expected capital expenditures and new lease commitments, the expected compliance with debt covenants, the expected impact of new accounting pronouncements, our intentions regarding future dividends, the expected return on plan assets, the expected outcome of, and adequacy of our reserves for, claims, litigation, and the resolution of tax matters, and changes in our assumptions and expectations.

All such forward-looking statements are intended to enjoy the protection of the safe harbor for forward-looking statements contained in the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, as amended. Although we believe there is a reasonable basis for the forward-looking statements, our actual results could be materially different. The most important factors which could cause our actual results to differ from our forward-looking statements are set forth in our description of risk factors included in Part I, Item 1A, Risk Factors of our Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended February 3, 2024, which should be read in conjunction with the forward-looking statements in this report. Forward-looking statements speak only as of the date they are made, and we do not undertake any obligation to update any forward-looking statement.

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