Item 7A. QUANTITATIVE AND QUALITATIVE DISCLOSURES ABOUT MARKET RISK

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Item 7A. QUANTITATIVE AND QUALITATIVE DISCLOSURES ABOUT MARKET RISK

COMMODITY PRICE RISK

We are exposed to market risks related to the volatility in the price of crude oil, refined products (primarily gasoline and distillate), grain (primarily corn), and natural gas used in our operations. To reduce the impact of price volatility on our results of operations and cash flows, we use commodity derivative instruments, including swaps, futures, and options to hedge:

•inventories and firm commitments to purchase inventories generally for amounts by which our current year inventory levels (determined on a last-in, first-out (LIFO) basis) differ from our previous year-end LIFO inventory levels and
•forecasted feedstock and refined product purchases, refined product sales, natural gas purchases, and corn purchases to lock in the price of these forecasted transactions at existing market prices that we deem favorable.

We use the futures markets for the available liquidity, which provides greater flexibility in transacting our hedging and trading operations. We use swaps primarily to manage our price exposure. We also enter into certain commodity derivative instruments for trading purposes to take advantage of existing market conditions related to future results of operations and cash flows.

Our positions in commodity derivative instruments are monitored and managed on a daily basis by a risk control group to ensure compliance with our stated risk management policy that has been approved by our board of directors.

The following sensitivity analysis includes all positions at the end of the reporting period with which we have market risk (in millions):

Derivative Instruments Held For
Non-Trading PurposesTrading Purposes
December 31, 2012:
Gain (loss) in fair value resulting from:
10% increase in underlying commodity prices$(131)$(9)
10% decrease in underlying commodity prices135(1)
December 31, 2011:
Gain (loss) in fair value resulting from:
10% increase in underlying commodity prices(156)1
10% decrease in underlying commodity prices1562

See Note 21 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for notional volumes associated with these derivative contracts as of December 31, 2012.

COMPLIANCE PROGRAM PRICE RISK

We are exposed to market risks related to the volatility in the price of financial instruments associated with

various governmental and regulatory compliance programs that we must purchase in the open market to comply with these programs. To reduce the impact of this risk on our results of operations and cash flows, we may enter into derivative instruments, such as futures. As of December 31, 2012, there was no gain or loss in the fair value of derivative instruments that would result from a 10 percent increase or decrease in the underlying price of the futures contracts. See Note 21 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for a discussion about these compliance programs and notional volumes associated with these derivative contracts as of December 31, 2012.

INTEREST RATE RISK

The following table provides information about our debt instruments, excluding capital lease obligations (dollars in millions), the fair values of which are sensitive to changes in interest rates. Principal cash flows and related weighted-average interest rates by expected maturity dates are presented. We had no interest rate derivative instruments outstanding as of December 31, 2012 and 2011.

December 31, 2012
Expected Maturity Dates
20132014201520162017There- afterTotalFair Value
Debt:
Fixed rate$480$200$475$—$950$4,824$6,929$8,521
Average interest rate5.5%4.8%5.2%—%6.4%7.3%6.8%
Floating rate$100$—$—$—$—$—$100$100
Average interest rate0.9%—%—%—%—%—%0.9%
December 31, 2011
Expected Maturity Dates
20122013201420152016There- afterTotalFair Value
Debt:
Fixed rate$754$484$200$475$—$5,578$7,491$9,048
Average interest rate6.9%5.5%4.8%5.2%—%7.3%6.9%
Floating rate$250$—$—$—$—$—$250$250
Average interest rate0.6%—%—%—%—%—%0.6%

FOREIGN CURRENCY RISK

As of December 31, 2012, we had commitments to purchase $552 million of U.S. dollars. Our market risk was minimal on the contracts, as they matured on or before January 31, 2013, resulting in a gain of $1 million in the first quarter of 2013.

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