Vistra 10-Q 2025-09-30

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington, D.C. 20549

FORM 10-Q

FOR THE QUARTERLY PERIOD ENDED SEPTEMBER 30, 2025

— OR —

For the transition period from __ to __

Commission File Number 001-38086

Vistra Corp.

(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)

Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant (1) has filed all reports required to be filed by Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 during the preceding 12 months (or for such shorter period that the registrant was required to file such reports) and (2) has been subject to such filing requirements for the past 90 days. Yes ☒ No ☐

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant has submitted electronically every Interactive Data File required to be submitted pursuant to Rule 405 of Regulation S-T (§232.405 of this chapter) during the preceding 12 months (or for such shorter period that the registrant was required to submit such files). Yes ☒ No ☐

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is a large accelerated filer, an accelerated filer, a non-accelerated filer, a smaller reporting company, or an emerging growth company. See the definitions of "large accelerated filer," "accelerated filer," "smaller reporting company," and "emerging growth company" in Rule 12b-2 of the Exchange Act.

Large accelerated filer ☒ Accelerated filer ☐ Non-accelerated filer ☐ Smaller reporting company ☐ Emerging growth company ☐

If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act. ☐

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is a shell company (as defined in Rule 12b-2 of the Exchange Act). Yes ☐ No ☒

Indicate the number of shares outstanding of each of the registrant's classes of common stock, as of the latest practicable date.

TABLE OF CONTENTS

i

GLOSSARY OF TERMS AND ABBREVIATIONS

When the following terms and abbreviations appear in the text of this report, they have the meanings indicated below.

ii

iii

iv

FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS

This quarterly report on Form 10-Q contains forward-looking statements that involve risk and uncertainties. All statements, other than statements of historical facts, that are included in this report, or made in presentations, in response to questions or otherwise, that address activities, events or developments that may occur in the future, including (without limitation) such matters as activities related to our financial or operational projections, capital allocation, capital expenditures, liquidity, dividend policy, business strategy, competitive strengths, goals, future acquisitions or dispositions, development or operation of power generation assets, market and industry developments, and the growth of our businesses and operations, including potential transactions with large load facilities at our nuclear and natural gas plants (often, but not always, through the use of words or phrases such as "intends," "plans," "potential," "will likely," "unlikely," "believe," "expect," "anticipated," "estimate," "should," "could," "may," "projection," "forecast," "target," "goal," "objective," and "outlook"), are forward-looking statements. Although we believe that in making any such forward-looking statement our expectations are based on reasonable assumptions, any such forward-looking statement involves uncertainties and risks which could cause our actual results to differ materially from those projected in or implied by such forward looking statements. Any such forward-looking statement is qualified in its entirety by reference to the discussion in (i) Item 1A. Risk Factors and Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition, and Results of Operations in our 2024 Form 10-K, and (ii) Part I, Item 2 Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition, and Results of Operations in this quarterly report on Form 10-Q.

Any forward-looking statement speaks only at the date on which it is made, and except as may be required by law, we undertake no obligation to update any forward-looking statement to reflect events or circumstances after the date on which it is made or to reflect the occurrence of unanticipated events or circumstances. New factors emerge from time to time, and it is not possible for us to predict them. In addition, we may be unable to assess the impact of any such event or condition or the extent to which any such event or condition, or combination of events or conditions, may cause results to differ materially from those contained in or implied by any forward-looking statement. As such, you should not unduly rely on such forward-looking statements.

v

PART I. FINANCIAL INFORMATION

VISTRA CORP.

CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF OPERATIONS

(Unaudited) (Millions of Dollars, Except Share Data)

CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF COMPREHENSIVE INCOME (LOSS)

(Unaudited) (Millions of Dollars)

See Notes to Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements

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The following discussion and analysis of our financial condition and results of operations should be read together with the condensed consolidated financial statements and related notes included in Part I, Item 1 Financial Statements.

Significant Activities and Events, and Items Influencing Future Performance

Acquisition of Natural Gas Generation Facilities

On October 22, 2025 (Acquisition Date), pursuant to a purchase and sale agreement dated May 15, 2025, Vistra Operations acquired 100% of the membership interests of subsidiaries of Lotus (the Acquisition). The Acquisition resulted in the addition of seven natural gas generation facilities totaling 2,600 MW in Delaware and Pennsylvania (PJM), Rhode Island (ISO-NE), New York (NYISO), and California (CAISO) further geographically diversifying Vistra's natural gas fleet.

The aggregate purchase price consisted of a base purchase price of $1.9 billion, subject to certain customary adjustments, including the acquired companies' working capital, cash, indebtedness, and certain other adjustments. Vistra Operations funded the Acquisition with a combination of cash and the assumption of the acquired companies' indebtedness, which consisted of a senior secured credit facility, including an existing term loan with approximately $800 million principal outstanding, which reduced the cash consideration payable at closing. Cash consideration payable at closing, excluding adjustments for the acquired companies' working capital, cash, and certain other adjustments, was $1.1 billion. See Note 2 to the Financial Statements for more information concerning the Acquisition.

Comanche Peak Power Purchase Agreement

In September 2025, Vistra entered into a 20-year power purchase agreement (with options to extend for up to an additional 20 years) with a large, investment grade company (the Customer), pursuant to which Vistra has agreed to supply to the Customer 1,200 MW of carbon-free power from the Comanche Peak Nuclear Power Plant. Vistra anticipates power delivery to begin in the fourth quarter of 2027 and ramp to full capacity by 2032.

Capacity Markets — PJM Auction Results

In July 2025, Vistra received its results from PJM's Reliability Pricing Model (RPM) auction results for planning year 2026-2027, and the table below lists clearing price per MW-day and our cleared capacity volumes by zone:

Nuclear Plant License Renewal

In July 2025, our application for license renewal at our Perry Nuclear Plant was approved by the NRC. The license now extends through 2046.

OBBBA and CAMT

In July 2025, the legislation known as the OBBBA was signed into law and we have accounted for the effects in our consolidated financial statements. Key changes include the immediate expensing of domestic research and development costs, the reinstatement of 100% bonus depreciation, and increases in the limitation of interest deductibility. Certain provisions of the OBBBA will change the timing of cash tax payments in the current fiscal year and future year periods, however the legislation did not have a material impact on our consolidated financial statements. We do not expect Vistra to be subject to the corporate alternative minimum tax (CAMT) in the 2025 tax year as it applies only to corporations with a three-year average annual adjusted financial statement income in excess of $1 billion. We have taken the CAMT and forecasted OBBBA impacts into account when forecasting cash taxes.

Macroeconomic Conditions

Our industry is subject to uncertainties associated with the impact of rapidly evolving technology on U.S. electricity demand, as well as evolving political, regulatory and economic uncertainties.

Electricity Demand

Emerging electricity demand drivers including the rise of large-scale data centers, the electrification of oil field operations, and electric vehicle load building are contributing to a faster-paced load growth in the regions we serve. Our integrated retail electricity and power generation operations allows us to quickly respond to electricity demand changes. We are actively engaged in discussions with various counterparties regarding the potential long-term sale of power from both our operating nuclear and gas facilities as well as facilities in development to support large-scale electricity consumers.

Our business and these types of transactions are subject to inherent risks and uncertainties, including regulatory reviews, necessary approvals, and potential legislative actions. Such factors could affect the timing and feasibility of finalizing any definitive agreements with large scale electricity consumers.

Supply Chain Constraints

Our industry continues to face ongoing supply chain constraints and labor shortages, which have reduced the availability of essential equipment and supplies for constructing new generation facilities, increased lead times for procuring materials and raised labor costs associated with maintaining our natural gas, nuclear, and coal fleet.

We are proactively managing these constraints by continuously re-evaluating the business cases and timing of our planned development projects. This has led to the deferral or abandonment of some planned capital expenditures for our solar and battery projects and could impact the economic feasibility of additional projects in our new generation development pipeline. We are engaging with suppliers to secure key materials needed to maintain our existing generation facilities before future planned outages.

Russia/Ukraine Conflict

We are closely monitoring developments in the Russia and Ukraine conflict, specifically sanctions (or potential sanctions) against Russian energy exports and Russian nuclear fuel supply and enrichment activities, and actions by Russia to limit energy deliveries, which may further impact commodity prices in Europe and globally. The Prohibiting Russian Uranium Imports Act (PRUI Act), which was signed into law on August 11, 2024, prohibits importation of Russian uranium; however, the Department of Energy can issue waivers (subject to decreasing annual caps) until December 31, 2027 if there is no alternate source of low-enriched uranium available to keep U.S. nuclear reactors operating or is in the national interest. Additionally, passage of the PRUI Act enabled the allocation of $2.72 billion in federal funding to ramp up production of domestic uranium fuel. On November 15, 2024, the Russian Federation temporarily suspended shipments of uranium to the U.S., stating that they would grant future export licenses on a case-by-case basis.

Our 2025 and 2026 refueling plans have not been affected by the Russia and Ukraine conflict, nor have we seen any disruption to the delivery of nuclear fuel impacting our refueling schedules. All nuclear fuel requirements for 2025 and 2026 are either in inventory or are onshore. We work with a diverse set of global nuclear fuel cycle suppliers to procure our nuclear fuel years in advance. We have nuclear fuel contracted to support all our refueling needs through 2030 without any additional Russian deliveries. We continue to take affirmative action by building strategic inventory and deploying mitigating strategies in our procurement portfolio to ensure we can secure the nuclear fuel needed to continue to operate our nuclear

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In the normal course of business, our financial position is routinely subject to a variety of risks, including market risks associated with (i) changes in commodity prices, (ii) interest rate movements on outstanding debt, and (iii) credit risk, which is the risk of financial loss if a customer, counterparty, or financial institution is unable to perform or pay amounts due to us.

Market risks are monitored by our risk management group which operates independently of the wholesale commercial operations, utilizing defined practices and analytical methodologies. These practices and methodologies measure the risk of change in value of the portfolio of contracts and the hypothetical effect on this value from changes in market conditions. Measurement techniques include, but are not limited to, position reporting and review, Value at Risk (VaR) methodologies and stress test scenarios. Risk management regularly reports their analysis to the Company's Risk Committee and Executive Committee, and to the Sustainability and Risk Committee of the Board of Directors.

Commodity Price Risk and Oversight

Our business is subject to the inherent risks of market fluctuations in the price of commodities for energy-related products we market or purchase in futures markets including electricity, natural gas, uranium, coal, environmental credits and other energy commodities in competitive wholesale markets. Factors that influence these market fluctuations are dependent upon many factors outside of our control including seasonal changes in supply and demand, weather conditions, market liquidity, governmental, regulatory, and environmental policies.

We manage the commodity price and commodity-related operational risk related to the competitive energy business within limitations established by senior management and in accordance with overall risk management policies. In managing commodity price risk, we enter into a variety of market transactions including, but not limited to, short- and long-term contracts for physical delivery, exchange-traded and over-the-counter financial contracts and bilateral contracts with customers. Similar to other participants in the market, we cannot fully manage the long-term value impact of structural declines or increases in natural gas and power prices. Our nuclear fleet is eligible for the nuclear PTC provided by the IRA, which provides increasing levels of support as unit revenues decline below levels established in the IRA and is further adjusted annually for inflation over the duration of the program.

VaR Methodology

A VaR methodology is used to measure the amount of market risk that exists within the portfolio under a variety of market conditions. The resultant VaR produces an estimate of a portfolio's potential for loss given a specified confidence level and considers, among other things, market movements utilizing standard statistical techniques given historical and projected market prices and volatilities.

Parametric processes are used to calculate VaR and are considered by management to be the most effective way to estimate changes in a portfolio's value based on assumed market conditions for liquid markets. This measurement estimates the potential loss in value, due to changes in market conditions, of all underlying generation assets and contracts. The use of this method requires a number of key assumptions, such as use of (i) an assumed confidence level, (ii) an assumed holding period (i.e., the time necessary for management action, such as to liquidate positions), and (iii) historical estimates of volatility and correlation data.

The following table summarizes the VaR for Vistra's commodity portfolio based on a 95% confidence level and an assumed holding period of 60 days. Average VaRs are the average of each month-end average for the nine months ended September 30, 2025 and the year ended December 31, 2024, respectively.

Interest Rate Risk

We are exposed to fluctuations in interest rates through our issuance of variable rate debt. We mitigate our exposure to fluctuations in interest rates through entering interest rate swaps. These interest rate swaps limit the impact of interest rate changes on our results of operations and cash flows and lower our overall borrowing costs. Interest rate risk is managed centrally by our treasury function.

As of September 30, 2025, we have approximately $3.9 billion principal amount of variable rate debt consisting of the Vistra Operations Term Loan B-3 Facility, the BCOP Credit Facility and the Vistra Zero Term Loan B Facility (see Note 9 to the Financial Statements for additional information). We have entered into net notional interest rate swaps that will hedge $2.3 billion of our exposure to Vistra Operations variable rate debt through December 2030 and $416 million of our project-level debt through October 2045 (see Note 10 to Financial Statements for additional information). As of September 30, 2025, the potential reduction of annual pretax earnings over the next twelve months due to a one percentage-point (100 basis points) increase in floating interest rates on long-term debt totaled approximately $12 million after taking into account the interest rate swaps.

Credit Risk

Our primary concentration of credit risk is associated with the collection of receivables resulting from sales to retail customers and the risk of a counterparty's failure to meet its obligations under derivative contracts. We minimize our exposure to credit risk by evaluating potential counterparties, monitoring ongoing counterparty risk and assessing overall portfolio risk. This includes review of counterparty financial conditions, current and potential credit exposures, credit rating and other quantitative and qualitative credit criteria. We also employ certain risk mitigation practices, including utilization of standardized master agreements that provide for netting and setoff rights, as well as credit enhancements such as margin deposits and customer deposits, letters of credit, parental guarantees and surety bonds. See Note 10 to the Financial Statements for additional information.

Our gross credit exposure (excluding collateral impacts) associated with retail and wholesale trade accounts receivable and net derivative assets (liabilities) arising from commodity contracts and hedging and trading activities totaled $2.718 billion as of September 30, 2025. Including collateral posted to us by counterparties, our net exposure was $2.614 billion, as seen in the following table that presents the distribution of credit exposure by counterparty credit quality as of September 30, 2025. Credit collateral includes cash and letters of credit but excludes other credit enhancements such as guarantees or liens on assets.

Contracts classified as "normal" purchase or sale and non-derivative contractual commitments are not marked-to-market in the financial statements and are excluded from the detail above. Such contractual commitments may contain pricing that is favorable considering current market conditions and therefore represent economic risk if the counterparties do not perform.

An event of default by one or more counterparties could subsequently result in termination-related settlement payments that reduce available liquidity if amounts such as margin deposits are owed to the counterparties or delays in receipts of expected settlements owed to us. Significant (i.e., 10% or greater) concentration of credit exposure exists with two counterparties, which represented an aggregate $451 million, or 65%, of our total net exposure of our wholesale segments as of September 30, 2025. We view exposure to these counterparties to be within an acceptable level of risk tolerance due to the counterparties' credit ratings, market role and deemed creditworthiness and the importance of our business relationship with the counterparties.

An evaluation was performed under the supervision and with the participation of our management, including the principal executive officer and principal financial officer, of the effectiveness of the design and operation of the disclosure controls and procedures (as such term is defined in Rules 13a-15(e) and 15d-15(e) of the Exchange Act) in effect at September 30, 2025. Based on the evaluation performed, our principal executive officer and principal financial officer concluded that the disclosure controls and procedures were effective as of that date.

During the third quarter of 2025, we completed the implementation of a new Enterprise Resource Planning (ERP) system, replacing our previous core financial system. The implementation resulted in significant changes to our processes, procedures, and controls which represents a material change to our internal control over financial reporting (ICFR). Management believes the new ERP system will strengthen our overall control environment. The Company will continue to evaluate and monitor the internal controls over financial reporting during this period of change and will continue to evaluate the operating effectiveness of related key controls. Except for the ERP implementation described above, there were no other changes in our ICFR (as such term is defined in Rules 13a-15(f) and 15d-15(f) of the Exchange Act) during the most recently completed fiscal quarter that have materially affected, or are reasonably likely to materially affect, our ICFR.

PART II. OTHER INFORMATION

**Item 1.**LEGAL PROCEEDINGS

See Note 13 to the Financial Statements for additional information.

As of the date of this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q, there have been no material changes to the risk factors discussed in Part I, Item 1A Risk Factors in our 2024 Form 10-K. We could also be affected by additional factors that are not presently known to us or that we currently consider to be immaterial to our operations.

**Item 2.**UNREGISTERED SALES OF EQUITY SECURITIES AND USE OF PROCEEDS

The following table provides information about our repurchase of common stock during the three months ended September 30, 2025.

In October 2021, the Board authorized a share repurchase program (Share Repurchase Program). Under this program, shares of the Company's common stock may be repurchased in open market transactions, privately negotiated transactions, or other means in accordance with federal securities laws. The timing, number, and value of shares repurchased will be determined at our discretion, considering factors such as capital allocation priorities, stock market price, general market and economic conditions, legal requirements, and compliance with debt agreements and preferred stock certificates of designation.

In October 2025, the Board authorized an incremental amount of $1.0 billion for repurchases under the Share Repurchase Program. We expect to complete repurchases under the Share Repurchase Program by the end of 2027.

See Note 14 to the Financial Statements for additional information.

**Item 3.**DEFAULTS UPON SENIOR SECURITIES

None.

Item 4. MINE SAFETY DISCLOSURES

Vistra currently owns and operates, or is in the process of reclaiming, 12 surface lignite coal mines in Texas to provide fuel for its electricity generation facilities. Vistra also owns or leases, and is in the process of reclaiming, two waste-to-energy surface facilities in Pennsylvania. These mining operations are regulated by the MSHA under the Federal Mine Safety and Health Act of 1977, as amended (the Mine Act), along with other federal and state regulatory agencies such as the RCT and Office of Surface Mining. The MSHA inspects U.S. mines, including Vistra's mines, on a regular basis, and if it believes a violation of the Mine Act or any health or safety standard or other regulation has occurred, it may issue a citation or order, generally accompanied by a proposed fine or assessment. Such citations and orders can be contested and appealed, which often results in a reduction of the severity and amount of fines and assessments and sometimes results in dismissal. Disclosure of MSHA citations, orders, and proposed assessments are provided in Exhibit 95.1 to this quarterly report on Form 10-Q.

During the three months ended September 30, 2025, none of our officers or directors adopted or terminated any contract, instruction, or written plan for the purchase or sale of Company securities that was intended to satisfy the affirmative defense conditions of Rule 10b5-1(c) or any "non-Rule 10b5-1 trading arrangement".

(a) Exhibits filed or furnished as part of Part II are:

• Incorporated herein by reference

** Filed herewith

*** Furnished herewith

SIGNATURE

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned thereunto duly authorized.

Date: November 6, 2025