Item 3. QUANTITATIVE AND QUALITATIVE DISCLOSURES ABOUT MARKET RISK
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Item 3. QUANTITATIVE AND QUALITATIVE DISCLOSURES ABOUT MARKET RISK
The following discussion of our exposure to various market risks contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. These projected results have been prepared utilizing certain assumptions considered reasonable in light of information currently available to us. Nevertheless, because of the inherent unpredictability of interest rates and other factors, actual results could differ materially from those projected in such forward-looking information.
We are exposed to market risk related to changes in interest rates with respect to borrowings under our unsecured revolving credit facility and our unsecured term loans, certain of our mortgage loans that are floating rate obligations, mortgage loans receivable that bear interest at floating rates and available for sale securities. These market risks result primarily from changes in LIBOR rates or prime rates. To manage these risks, we continuously monitor our level of floating rate debt with respect to total debt and other factors, including our assessment of current and future economic conditions.
As of September 30, 2020 and December 31, 2019, the fair value of our secured and non-mortgage loans receivable, based on our estimates of currently prevailing rates for comparable loans, was $544.2 million and $710.5 million, respectively.
The fair value of our fixed and variable rate debt is based on current interest rates at which we could obtain similar borrowings. For fixed rate debt, interest rate fluctuations generally affect the fair value, but not our earnings or cash flows. Therefore, interest rate risk does not have a significant impact on our fixed rate debt obligations until their maturity or earlier prepayment and refinancing. If interest rates have risen at the time we seek to refinance our fixed rate debt, whether at maturity or otherwise, our future earnings and cash flows could be adversely affected by additional borrowing costs. Conversely, lower interest rates at the time of refinancing may reduce our overall borrowing costs.
To highlight the sensitivity of our fixed rate debt to changes in interest rates, the following summary shows the effects of a hypothetical instantaneous change of 100 basis points in interest rates:
| As of September 30, 2020 | As of December 31, 2019 | ||||||||||
| (In thousands) | |||||||||||
| Gross book value | $ | 10,656,616 | $ | 10,270,402 | |||||||
| Fair value | 11,408,266 | 10,784,441 | |||||||||
| Fair value reflecting change in interest rates: | |||||||||||
| -100 basis points | 12,063,942 | 11,438,507 | |||||||||
| +100 basis points | 10,821,236 | 10,196,943 |
The increase in our fixed rate debt from December 31, 2019 to September 30, 2020 was due primarily to the issuance of senior notes in 2020, partially offset by the change in presentation of the secured revolving construction credit facility to variable rate debt. The secured revolving construction credit facility was previously reflected as fixed rate debt due to an interest rate swap which had effectively converted the associated interest expense from variable to fixed until its expiration in August 2020.
The table below sets forth certain information with respect to our debt, excluding premiums and discounts.
| As of September 30, 2020 | As of December 31, 2019 | As of September 30, 2019 | |||||||||||||||
| (Dollars in thousands) | |||||||||||||||||
| Balance: | |||||||||||||||||
| Fixed rate: | |||||||||||||||||
| Senior notes | $ | 9,057,583 | $ | 8,584,056 | $ | 8,110,614 | |||||||||||
| Unsecured term loans | 200,000 | 200,000 | 200,000 | ||||||||||||||
| Secured revolving construction credit facility | — | 160,492 | 143,108 | ||||||||||||||
| Mortgage loans and other | 1,399,033 | 1,325,854 | 1,284,690 | ||||||||||||||
| Variable rate: | |||||||||||||||||
| Senior notes | 225,242 | 231,018 | — | ||||||||||||||
| Unsecured revolving credit facility | 41,484 | 120,787 | 983,788 | ||||||||||||||
| Unsecured term loans | 375,404 | 385,030 | 377,672 | ||||||||||||||
| Commercial paper notes | — | 567,450 | 305,000 | ||||||||||||||
| Secured revolving construction credit facility | 164,585 | — | — | ||||||||||||||
| Mortgage loans and other | 677,337 | 671,115 | 735,548 | ||||||||||||||
| Total | $ | 12,140,668 | $ | 12,245,802 | $ | 12,140,420 | |||||||||||
| Percentage of total debt: | |||||||||||||||||
| Fixed rate: | |||||||||||||||||
| Senior notes | 74.6 | % | 70.1 | % | 66.8 | % | |||||||||||
| Unsecured term loans | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 | ||||||||||||||
| Secured revolving construction credit facility | — | 1.3 | 1.2 | ||||||||||||||
| Mortgage loans and other | 11.5 | 10.8 | 10.6 | ||||||||||||||
| Variable rate: | |||||||||||||||||
| Senior notes | 1.9 | 1.9 | — | ||||||||||||||
| Unsecured revolving credit facility | 0.3 | 1.0 | 8.1 | ||||||||||||||
| Unsecured term loans | 3.1 | 3.1 | 3.1 | ||||||||||||||
| Commercial paper notes | — | 4.7 | 2.5 | ||||||||||||||
| Secured revolving construction credit facility | 1.4 | — | — | ||||||||||||||
| Mortgage loans and other | 5.6 | 5.5 | 6.1 | ||||||||||||||
| Total | 100.0 | % | 100.0 | % | 100.0 | % | |||||||||||
| Weighted average interest rate at end of period: | |||||||||||||||||
| Fixed rate: | |||||||||||||||||
| Senior notes | 3.7 | % | 3.7 | % | 3.7 | % | |||||||||||
| Unsecured term loans | 3.6 | 2.0 | 2.0 | ||||||||||||||
| Secured revolving construction credit facility | — | 4.5 | 4.5 | ||||||||||||||
| Mortgage loans and other | 3.6 | 3.7 | 3.8 | ||||||||||||||
| Variable rate: | |||||||||||||||||
| Senior notes | 1.1 | 2.5 | — | ||||||||||||||
| Unsecured revolving credit facility | 1.1 | 2.4 | 2.8 | ||||||||||||||
| Unsecured term loans | 1.4 | 2.9 | 2.9 | ||||||||||||||
| Commercial paper notes | — | 2.0 | 2.3 | ||||||||||||||
| Secured revolving construction credit facility | 1.9 | — | — | ||||||||||||||
| Mortgage loans and other | 1.9 | 3.4 | 3.4 | ||||||||||||||
| Total | 3.5 | 3.5 | 3.5 |
The variable rate debt in the table above reflects, in part, the effect of $147.5 million notional amount of interest rate swaps with maturities ranging from March 2022 to May 2022, in each case that effectively convert fixed rate debt to variable rate debt. In addition, the fixed rate debt in the table above reflects, in part, the effect of $306.6 million and C$146.5 million notional amount of interest rate swaps with maturities ranging from January 2023 to December 2029 in each case that effectively convert variable rate debt to fixed rate debt.
The decrease in our outstanding variable rate debt at September 30, 2020 compared to December 31, 2019 is primarily attributable to repayments of our commercial paper program, partially offset by the change in presentation of the secured revolving construction credit facility to variable rate debt. The secured revolving construction credit facility was previously reflected as fixed rate debt due to an interest rate swap which had effectively converted the associated interest expense from variable to fixed until its expiration in August 2020.
Assuming a 100 basis point increase in the weighted average interest rate related to our variable rate debt and assuming no change in our variable rate debt outstanding as of September 30, 2020, interest expense on an annualized basis would increase by approximately $13.8 million, or $0.04 per diluted common share.
As of September 30, 2020 and December 31, 2019, our joint venture partners’ aggregate share of total debt was $260.0 million and $228.2 million, respectively, with respect to certain properties we owned through consolidated joint ventures. Total debt does not include our portion of debt related to investments in unconsolidated entities, which was $120.8 million and $60.6 million as of September 30, 2020 and December 31, 2019, respectively.
As a result of our Canadian and United Kingdom operations, we are subject to fluctuations in certain foreign currency exchange rates that may, from time to time, affect our financial condition and operating performance. Based solely on our results for the nine months ended September 30, 2020 (including the impact of existing hedging arrangements), if the value of the U.S. dollar relative to the British pound and Canadian dollar were to increase or decrease by one standard deviation compared to the average exchange rate during the year, our normalized FFO per share for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2020 would decrease or increase, as applicable, by less than $0.01 per share or 1%. We will continue to mitigate these risks through a layered approach to hedging looking out for the next year and continual assessment of our foreign operational capital structure. Nevertheless, we cannot assure you that any such fluctuations will not have an effect on our earnings.
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