Item 3. QUANTITATIVE AND QUALITATIVE DISCLOSURES ABOUT MARKET RISK

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Item 3. QUANTITATIVE AND QUALITATIVE DISCLOSURES ABOUT MARKET RISK

The following discussion of our exposure to various market risks contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. These projected results have been prepared utilizing certain assumptions considered reasonable in light of information currently available to us. Nevertheless, because of the inherent unpredictability of interest rates and other factors, actual results could differ materially from those projected in such forward-looking information.

We are exposed to market risk related to changes in interest rates with respect to borrowings under our unsecured revolving credit facility and our unsecured term loans, certain of our mortgage loans that are floating rate obligations, mortgage loans receivable that bear interest at floating rates and available for sale securities. These market risks result primarily from changes in LIBOR rates or prime rates. To manage these risks, we continuously monitor our level of floating rate debt with respect to total debt and other factors, including our assessment of current and future economic conditions.

As of September 30, 2021 and December 31, 2020, the fair value of our secured and non-mortgage loans receivable, based on our estimates of current prevailing rates for comparable loans, was $541.5 million and $565.7 million, respectively.

The fair value of our fixed rate debt is based on current market interest rates at which we could obtain similar borrowings. Increases in market interest rates typically result in a decrease in the fair value of fixed rate debt while decreases in market interest rates typically result in an increase in the fair value of fixed rate date. While changes in market interest rates affect the fair value of our fixed rate debt, these changes do not affect the interest expense associated with our fixed rate debt. Therefore, interest rate risk does not have a significant impact on our fixed rate debt obligations until their maturity or earlier prepayment and refinancing. If interest rates have risen at the time we seek to refinance our fixed rate debt, whether at maturity or otherwise, our future earnings and cash flows could be adversely affected by additional borrowing costs. Conversely, lower interest rates at the time of refinancing may reduce our overall borrowing costs.

To highlight the sensitivity of our fixed rate debt to changes in interest rates, the following summary shows the effects of a hypothetical instantaneous change of 100 basis points in interest rates:

As of September 30, 2021As of December 31, 2020
(In thousands)
Gross book value$10,619,121$10,458,262
Fair value11,487,51911,550,236
Fair value reflecting change in interest rates:
-100 basis points12,145,90812,204,507
+100 basis points10,899,33510,951,483

The increase in our fixed rate debt from December 31, 2020 to September 30, 2021 was primarily due to an increase in mortgage loans outstanding, largely as a result of mortgage debt assumed in connection with the New Senior Acquisition, and the issuance of $500.0 million of senior notes due in 2031, partially offset by the redemptions of senior notes due in 2022 and 2023.

The table below sets forth certain information with respect to our debt, excluding premiums and discounts:

As of September 30, 2021As of December 31, 2020As of September 30, 2020
(Dollars in thousands)
Balance:
Fixed rate:
Senior notes$8,309,779$8,869,036$9,057,583
Unsecured term loans200,000200,000200,000
Mortgage loans and other2,109,3421,389,2271,399,033
Variable rate:
Senior notes236,630235,664225,242
Unsecured revolving credit facility49,14139,39541,484
Unsecured term loans394,384392,773375,404
Commercial paper notes370,000——
Secured revolving construction credit facility—154,098164,585
Mortgage loans and other473,470702,878677,337
Total$12,142,746$11,983,071$12,140,668
Percentage of total debt:
Fixed rate:
Senior notes68.4%73.9%74.6%
Unsecured term loans1.61.71.6
Mortgage loans and other17.411.611.5
Variable rate:
Senior notes1.92.01.9
Unsecured revolving credit facility0.40.30.3
Unsecured term loans3.23.33.1
Commercial paper notes3.0——
Secured revolving construction credit facility—1.31.4
Mortgage loans and other4.15.95.6
Total100.0%100.0%100.0%
Weighted average interest rate at end of period:
Fixed rate:
Senior notes3.7%3.7%3.7%
Unsecured term loans3.63.63.6
Mortgage loans and other3.63.53.6
Variable rate:
Senior notes1.01.01.1
Unsecured revolving credit facility1.11.01.1
Unsecured term loans1.31.41.4
Commercial paper notes0.2——
Secured revolving construction credit facility—1.91.9
Mortgage loans and other1.71.91.9
Total3.43.43.5

The variable rate debt in the table above reflects, in part, the effect of $146.2 million notional amount of interest rate swaps with maturities ranging from March 2022 to May 2022, in each case that effectively convert fixed rate debt to variable rate debt. In addition, the fixed rate debt in the table above reflects, in part, the effect of $303.8 million and C$275.6 million notional amount of interest rate swaps with maturities ranging from January 2023 to April 2031 in each case that effectively convert variable rate debt to fixed rate debt.

The decrease in our outstanding variable rate debt at September 30, 2021 compared to December 31, 2020 is primarily attributable to reduced borrowings under our secured revolving construction credit facility and repayments of variable rate mortgage loans, partially offset by borrowings under our commercial paper program.

Assuming a 100 basis point increase in the weighted average interest rate related to our variable rate debt and assuming no change in our variable rate debt outstanding as of September 30, 2021, interest expense on an annualized basis would increase by approximately $14.7 million, or $0.04 per diluted common share.

As of September 30, 2021 and December 31, 2020, our joint venture partners’ aggregate share of total debt was $277.3 million and $271.6 million, respectively, with respect to certain properties we owned through consolidated joint ventures. Total debt does not include our portion of debt related to investments in unconsolidated real estate entities, which was $292.5 million and $213.0 million as of September 30, 2021 and December 31, 2020, respectively.

As a result of our Canadian and United Kingdom operations, we are subject to fluctuations in certain foreign currency exchange rates that may, from time to time, affect our financial condition and operating performance. Based solely on our results for the nine months ended September 30, 2021 (including the impact of existing hedging arrangements), if the value of the U.S. dollar relative to the British pound and Canadian dollar were to increase or decrease by one standard deviation compared to the average exchange rate during the year, our Normalized FFO per share for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2021 would decrease or increase, as applicable, by less than $0.01 per share or 1%. We will continue to mitigate these risks through a layered approach to hedging looking out for the next year and continual assessment of our foreign operational capital structure. Nevertheless, we cannot assure you that any such fluctuations will not have an effect on our earnings.

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