Item 1A. Risk Factors
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Item 1A. Risk Factors
Investors should carefully review and consider the information regarding certain factors that could materially affect our business, results of operations, financial condition and cash flows as set forth under Part I, Item 1A - Risk Factors of the Company’s 2021 Form 10-K and Part II, Item 1A - Risk Factors of the Company's Q1 Form 10-Q, as supplemented by the additional risk factor described below under “Risks Related to Our Industry.” In addition, certain of the risks described in our 2021 Form 10-K and Q1 Form 10-Q are amended and restated as set forth below.
Additional risks and uncertainties not presently known to us or that we currently believe not to be material may also adversely impact our business, results of operations, financial position and cash flows.
Risks Related to our Acquisition of the WarnerMedia Business
We could be required to recognize impairment charges related to goodwill and other intangible assets.
The Merger added a significant amount of goodwill and other intangible assets to our consolidated balance sheet. In accordance with GAAP, management periodically assesses these assets to determine if they are impaired. Significant negative industry or economic trends, including the ongoing effects of the COVID-19 pandemic, disruptions to our business, inability to effectively integrate acquired businesses, underperformance of the WarnerMedia Business as compared to management's initial expectations, unexpected significant changes or planned changes in use of the assets, divestitures and market capitalization declines may impair goodwill and other intangible assets. Any charges relating to such impairments could materially adversely affect our results of operations in the periods recognized.
We may be unable to provide (or obtain from third parties) the same types and level of services to the WarnerMedia Business that historically have been provided by AT&T or may be unable to provide (or obtain) them at the same cost.
Prior to the Merger, as part of a separate reporting segment of AT&T, the WarnerMedia Business was able to receive services from AT&T. Following the Merger, we have replaced these services either by providing them internally from our existing services or by obtaining them from unaffiliated third parties, including AT&T. These services include AT&T bundling HBO Max with some of its wireless and broadband offerings, and certain administrative and operating functions of which effective and appropriate performance is critical to the operations of the WarnerMedia Business and the Company as a whole following the Merger. AT&T is providing certain services on a transitional basis pursuant to a Transition Services Agreement (the “TSA”) with us. The duration of such services is subject to a limited term set out in the Services Schedule to the TSA. We may have difficulty enforcing the terms of the agreements governing the provision of these services or be unable to replace these services in a timely manner or on terms and conditions as favorable as those the WarnerMedia Business currently receives from AT&T. The costs for these services, or the costs associated with replacing these services, could in the aggregate be higher than the combination of our historical costs and those reflected in the historical financial statements of the WarnerMedia Business. If we are unable to replace the services provided by AT&T or are unable to replace them at the same cost or are delayed in replacing the services provided by AT&T, our results of operations may be materially adversely impacted.
If the results of operations of the WarnerMedia Business following the Merger continue to be below management’s expectations, the Company may not achieve the increases in revenues and net earnings that management expects as a result of the Merger.
In connection with our comprehensive business and strategic review which commenced following the Merger, we determined that certain WarnerMedia budget projections that were made available to us prior to closing varied from what we now view as WarnerMedia’s baseline post-closing. We are actively implementing actions to address these issues. However, as we derive a majority of our revenues and net earnings from the WarnerMedia Business, if the results of operations of the WarnerMedia Business continue to be below management’s expectations, we may not achieve the increases in revenue and net earnings expected as a result of the Merger. Significant factors that could negatively impact the results of operations of the WarnerMedia Business, and therefore harm the results of operations of the Company, include:
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more intense competitive pressure from existing or new competitors;
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fluctuations in the exchange rates in the jurisdictions in which the WarnerMedia Business operates;
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increases in promotional and operating costs for the WarnerMedia Business;
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a decline in the viewership or consumption of content provided by the WarnerMedia Business; and
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additional material variations in the results of operations of the WarnerMedia Business from expectations or projections of such results of operations, any or all of which may prove to be incorrect or inaccurate.
Risks Related to our Industry
If our DTC products fail to attract and retain subscribers, our business, financial condition and results of operations may be adversely impacted.
In January 2021, Discovery launched an aggregated DTC product, discovery+, in the U.S. In May 2020, the WarnerMedia Business launched HBO Max in the U.S. We have incurred and will likely continue to incur significant costs to develop and market discovery+ and HBO Max, including costs related to developing and implementing a go-to-market strategy that coordinates and/or combines our DTC products, and there can be no assurance that consumers and advertisers will embrace our offerings or that subscribers will activate or renew a subscription.
Our discovery+ and HBO Max offerings are subscription-based streaming products and are among many such services in a crowded and competitive landscape. Their success will also be largely dependent on our ability to initially attract, and ultimately retain, subscribers. Competitors to discovery+ and HBO Max include traditional linear programming networks, including our own linear channels, competing subscription video-on-demand services, and other digital entertainment platforms and offerings all vying for consumer time, attention and discretionary spending. If we are unable to effectively market our DTC products or if consumers do not perceive the pricing and related features of our DTC products to be of value versus our competitors, we may not be able to attract and retain subscribers. In particular, decreases in consumer discretionary spending where our DTC products are offered may reduce our ability to attract and retain subscribers to our services, which could have a negative impact on our business. Relatedly, a decrease in viewing subscribers on our advertising-supported DTC products could also have a negative impact on the rates we are able to charge advertisers for advertising-supported services. The ability to attract and retain subscribers will also depend in part on our ability to provide compelling content choices that are differentiated from that of our competitors and that are more attractive than other sources of entertainment that consumers could choose in their free time. Furthermore, our ability to provide a quality subscriber experience and our relative service levels, may also impact our ability to attract and retain subscribers. If existing subscribers, including those who receive subscriptions through wireless and broadband bundling arrangements with third parties, cancel or discontinue their subscriptions for any reason, including as a result of selecting an alternative wireless or broadband plan that does not bundle our products, or due to the availability of competing offerings that are perceived to offer greater value compared to our DTC products, our business may be adversely affected. We must continue to add new subscribers both to replace subscribers who cancel or discontinue their subscriptions and to grow our business. If we are unable to attract and retain subscribers and offset the losses of subscribers who cancel or discontinue their subscriptions to our DTC products, our business, financial condition and results of operations could be adversely affected.
Forecasting our financial results requires us to make judgements and estimates which may differ materially from actual results.
Given the dynamic nature of our business, the current uncertain economic climate and the inherent limitations in predicting the future, forecasts of our revenues, Adjusted EBITDA, free cash flow and core subscriber growth, and other financial and operating data, may differ materially from actual results, including as a result of events outside of our control and other risks and uncertainties described herein. Such discrepancies could cause a decline in the trading price of our common stock.
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