Item 7. MANAGEMENT'S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS

97K characters. Original on sec.gov · Markdown

Item 7. MANAGEMENT'S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS

Overview

W. R. Berkley Corporation is an insurance holding company that is among the largest commercial lines writers in the United States and operates worldwide in two business segments of the property and casualty business: Insurance and Reinsurance. Our decentralized structure provides us with the flexibility to respond quickly and efficiently to local or specific market conditions and to pursue specialty business niches. It also allows us to be closer to our customers in order to better understand their individual needs and risk characteristics. While providing our business units with certain operating autonomy, our structure allows us to capitalize on the benefits of economies of scale through centralized capital, investment, reinsurance and enterprise risk management, and actuarial, financial and corporate legal staff support. Our primary sources of revenues and earnings are its insurance operations and its investments.

An important part of our strategy is to form new operating units to capitalize on various business opportunities. Over the years, the Company has formed numerous new operating units that are focused on important parts of the economy in the U.S., including healthcare, cyber security, energy and agriculture, and on growing international markets, including Scandinavia, Australia, the Asia-Pacific region, South America and Mexico.

The profitability of the Company’s insurance business is affected primarily by the adequacy of premium rates. The ultimate adequacy of premium rates is not known with certainty at the time an insurance policy is issued because premiums are determined before claims are reported. The ultimate adequacy of premium rates is affected mainly by the severity and frequency of claims, which are influenced by many factors, including natural and other disasters, regulatory measures and court decisions that define and change the extent of coverage and the effects of economic inflation on the amount of compensation for injuries or losses. General insurance prices are also influenced by available insurance capacity, i.e., the level of statutory capital and surplus employed in the industry, and the industry’s willingness to deploy that capital.

Although insurance prices have generally increased for most lines of business since 2011, the rate of increase has declined in more recent years. That decline accelerated in 2016. Loss costs have also increased over that period of time. With the low level of interest rates available, current price levels for certain lines of business remain below the prices required for the Company to achieve its long-term return objectives. Part of the Company's strategy is to selectively reduce its business in areas where it believes returns are not adequate. Price changes are reflected in the Company’s results over time as premiums are earned.

The Company’s profitability is also affected by its investment income and investment gains. The Company’s invested assets are invested principally in fixed maturity securities. The return on fixed maturity securities is affected primarily by general interest rates, as well as the credit quality and duration of the securities. Returns available on fixed maturity investments are at historically low levels. The Company's investment income has been negatively impacted by the low fixed maturity investment returns, and will be further impacted if investment returns remain at this level.

The Company also invests in equity securities, merger arbitrage securities, investment funds (including energy related funds), private equity, loans and real estate related assets. The Company's investments in investment funds and its other alternative investments have experienced, and the Company expects to continue to experience, greater fluctuations in investment income.

Critical Accounting Estimates

The following presents a discussion of accounting policies and estimates relating to reserves for losses and loss expenses, assumed premiums and other-than-temporary impairments of investments. Management believes these policies and estimates are the most critical to its operations and require the most difficult, subjective and complex judgments.

Reserves for Losses and Loss Expenses. To recognize liabilities for unpaid losses, either known or unknown, insurers establish reserves, which is a balance sheet account representing estimates of future amounts needed to pay claims and related expenses with respect to insured events which have occurred. Estimates and assumptions relating to reserves for losses and loss expenses are based on complex and subjective judgments, often including the interplay of specific uncertainties with related accounting and actuarial measurements. Such estimates are also susceptible to change as significant periods of time may elapse between the occurrence of an insured loss, the report of the loss to the insurer, the ultimate determination of the cost of the loss and the insurer’s payment of that loss.

In general, when a claim is reported, claims personnel establish a “case reserve” for the estimated amount of the ultimate payment based upon known information about the claim at that time. The estimate represents an informed judgment based on general reserving practices and reflects the experience and knowledge of the claims personnel regarding the nature and value of the specific type of claim. Reserves are also established on an aggregate basis to provide for losses incurred but not reported (“IBNR”) to the insurer, potential inadequacy of case reserves and the estimated expenses of settling claims, including legal and other fees and general expenses of administrating the claims adjustment process. Reserves are established based upon the then current legal interpretation of coverage provided.

In examining reserve adequacy, several factors are considered in estimating the ultimate economic value of losses. These factors include, among other things, historical data, legal developments, changes in social attitudes and economic conditions, including the effects of inflation. The actuarial process relies on the basic assumption that past experience, adjusted judgmentally for the effects of current developments and anticipated trends, is an appropriate basis for predicting future outcomes. Reserve amounts are based on management’s informed estimates and judgments using currently available data. As additional experience and other data become available and are reviewed, these estimates and judgments may be revised. This may result in reserve increases or decreases that would be reflected in our results in periods in which such estimates and assumptions are changed.

Reserves do not represent a certain calculation of liability. Rather, reserves represent an estimate of what management expects the ultimate settlement and claim administration will cost. While the methods for establishing reserves are well tested over time, the major assumptions about anticipated loss emergence patterns are subject to uncertainty. These estimates, which generally involve actuarial projections, are based on management’s assessment of facts and circumstances then known, as well as estimates of trends in claims severity and frequency, judicial theories of liability and other factors, including the actions of third parties which are beyond the Company’s control. These variables are affected by external and internal events, such as inflation and economic volatility, judicial and litigation trends, reinsurance coverage, legislative changes and claim handling and reserving practices, which make it more difficult to accurately predict claim costs. The inherent uncertainties of estimating reserves are greater for certain types of liabilities where long periods of time elapse before a definitive determination of liability is made. Because setting reserves is inherently uncertain, the Company cannot provide assurance that its current reserves will prove adequate in light of subsequent events.

Loss reserves included in the Company’s financial statements represent management’s best estimates based upon an actuarially derived point estimate and other considerations. The Company uses a variety of actuarial techniques and methods to derive an actuarial point estimate for each operating unit. These methods include paid loss development, incurred loss development, paid and incurred Bornhuetter-Ferguson methods and frequency and severity methods. In circumstances where one actuarial method is considered more credible than the others, that method is used to set the point estimate. For example, the paid loss and incurred loss development methods rely on historical paid and incurred loss data. For new lines of business, where there is insufficient history of paid and incurred claims data, or in circumstances where there have been significant changes in claim practices, the paid and incurred loss development methods would be less credible than other actuarial methods. The actuarial point estimate may also be based on a judgmental weighting of estimates produced from each of the methods considered. Industry loss experience is used to supplement the Company’s own data in selecting “tail factors” and in areas where the Company’s own data is limited. The actuarial data is analyzed by line of business, coverage and accident or policy year, as appropriate, for each operating unit.

The establishment of the actuarially derived loss reserve point estimate also includes consideration of qualitative factors that may affect the ultimate losses. These qualitative considerations include, among others, the impact of re-underwriting initiatives, changes in the mix of business, changes in distribution sources and changes in policy terms and conditions. Examples of changes in terms and conditions that can have a significant impact on reserve levels are the use of aggregate policy limits, the expansion of coverage exclusions, whether or not defense costs are within policy limits, and changes in deductibles and attachment points.

The key assumptions used to arrive at the best estimate of loss reserves are the expected loss ratios, rate of loss cost inflation, and reported and paid loss emergence patterns. Expected loss ratios represent management’s expectation of losses at the time the business is priced and written, before any actual claims experience has emerged. This expectation is a significant determinant of the estimate of loss reserves for recently written business where there is little paid or incurred loss data to consider. Expected loss ratios are generally derived from historical loss ratios adjusted for the impact of rate changes, loss cost trends and known changes in the type of risks underwritten. Expected loss ratios are estimated for each key line of business within each operating unit. Expected loss cost inflation is particularly important for the long-tail lines, such as excess casualty, and claims with a high medical component, such as workers’ compensation. Reported and paid loss emergence patterns are used to project current reported or paid loss amounts to their ultimate settlement value. Loss development factors are based on the historical emergence patterns of paid and incurred losses, and are derived from the Company’s own experience and industry data. The paid loss emergence pattern is also significant to excess and assumed workers’ compensation reserves because those reserves are discounted to their estimated present value based upon such estimated payout patterns. Management believes the estimates and assumptions it makes in the reserving process provide the best estimate of the ultimate cost of settling claims and related expenses with respect to insured events which have occurred; however, different assumptions and variables could lead to significantly different reserve estimates.

Loss frequency and severity are measures of loss activity that are considered in determining the key assumptions described in our discussion of loss and loss expense reserves, including expected loss ratios, rate of loss cost inflation and reported and paid loss emergence patterns. Loss frequency is a measure of the number of claims per unit of insured exposure, and loss severity is a measure of the average size of claims. Factors affecting loss frequency include the effectiveness of loss controls and safety programs and changes in economic activity or weather patterns. Factors affecting loss severity include changes in policy limits, retentions, rate of inflation and judicial interpretations.

Another factor affecting estimates of loss frequency and severity is the loss reporting lag, which is the period of time between the occurrence of a loss and the date the loss is reported to the Company. The length of the loss reporting lag affects our ability to accurately predict loss frequency (loss frequencies are more predictable for lines with short reporting lags) as well as the amount of reserves needed for incurred but not reported losses (less IBNR is required for lines with short reporting lags). As a result, loss reserves for lines with short reporting lags are likely to have less variation from initial loss estimates. For lines with short reporting lags, which include commercial automobile, primary workers’ compensation, other liability (claims-made) and property business, the key assumption is the loss emergence pattern used to project ultimate loss estimates from known losses paid or reported to date. For lines of business with long reporting lags, which include other liability (occurrence), products liability, excess workers’ compensation and liability reinsurance, the key assumption is the expected loss ratio since there is often little paid or incurred loss data to consider. Historically, the Company has experienced less variation from its initial loss estimates for lines of businesses with short reporting lags than for lines of business with long reporting lags.

The key assumptions used in calculating the most recent estimate of the loss reserves are reviewed each quarter and adjusted, to the extent necessary, to reflect the latest reported loss data, current trends and other factors observed. If the actual level of loss frequency and severity are higher or lower than expected, the ultimate losses will be different than management’s estimate. The following table reflects the impact of changes (which could be favorable or unfavorable) in frequency and severity, relative to our assumptions, on our loss estimate for claims occurring in 2016:

(In thousands)Frequency (+/-)
Severity (+/-)1%5%10%
1%$76,915$231,511$424,755
5%231,511392,229593,126
10%424,755593,126803,590

Our net reserves for losses and loss expenses of approximately $9.6 billion as of December 31, 2016 relate to multiple accident years. Therefore, the impact of changes in frequency or severity for more than one accident year could be higher or lower than the amounts reflected above. The impact of such changes would likely be manifested gradually over the course of many years, as the magnitude of the changes became evident.

Approximately $1.4 billion, or 14%, of the Company’s net loss reserves as of December 31, 2016 relate to the Reinsurance segment. There is a higher degree of uncertainty and greater variability regarding estimates of assumed loss reserves because those estimates are based, in part, upon information received from ceding companies. If information received from ceding companies is not timely or correct, the Company’s estimate of ultimate losses may not be accurate. Furthermore, due to delayed reporting of claim information by ceding companies, the claim settlement tail for assumed reinsurance is extended. Management considers the impact of delayed reporting in its selection of assumed loss development factors.

Information received from ceding companies is used to set initial expected loss ratios, to establish case reserves and to estimate reserves for incurred but not reported losses on assumed reinsurance business. This information, which is generally provided through reinsurance intermediaries, is gathered through the underwriting process and from periodic claim reports and other correspondence with ceding companies. The Company performs underwriting and claim audits of selected ceding companies to determine the accuracy and completeness of information provided to the Company. The information received from the ceding companies is supplemented by the Company’s own loss development experience with similar lines of business as well as industry loss trends and loss development benchmarks.

Following is a summary of the Company’s reserves for losses and loss expenses by business segment as of December 31, 2016 and 2015:

(In thousands)20162015
Insurance$8,215,798$7,876,193
Reinsurance1,374,4671,368,679
Net reserves for losses and loss expenses9,590,2659,244,872
Ceded reserves for losses and loss expenses1,606,9301,424,278
Gross reserves for losses and loss expenses$11,197,195$10,669,150

Following is a summary of the Company’s net reserves for losses and loss expenses by major line of business as of December 31, 2016 and 2015:

(In thousands)Reported Case ReservesIncurred But Not ReportedTotal
December 31, 2016
Other liability$1,186,425$2,136,189$3,322,614
Workers’ compensation (1)1,596,0791,326,4692,922,548
Professional liability255,971492,985748,956
Commercial automobile344,143252,978597,121
Short-tail lines (2)330,887293,672624,559
Total primary3,713,5054,502,2938,215,798
Reinsurance (1)653,615720,8521,374,467
Total$4,367,120$5,223,145$9,590,265
December 31, 2015
Other liability$1,079,641$1,947,637$3,027,278
Workers’ compensation (1)1,655,7261,263,5082,919,234
Professional liability256,783478,796735,579
Commercial automobile352,208242,071594,279
Short-tail lines (2)317,375282,448599,823
Total primary3,661,7334,214,4607,876,193
Reinsurance (1)631,666737,0131,368,679
Total$4,293,399$4,951,473$9,244,872

(1) Reserves for excess and assumed workers’ compensation business are net of an aggregate net discount of $640 million and $699 million as of December 31, 2016 and 2015, respectively.

(2) Short-tail lines include commercial multi-peril (non-liability), inland marine, accident and health, fidelity and surety, boiler and machinery and other lines.

The Company evaluates reserves for losses and loss expenses on a quarterly basis. Changes in estimates of prior year losses are reported when such changes are made. The changes in prior year loss reserve estimates are generally the result of ongoing analysis of recent loss development trends. Original estimates are increased or decreased as additional information becomes known regarding individual claims and aggregate claim trends.

Certain of the Company's insurance and reinsurance contracts are retrospectively rated, whereby the Company collects more or less premiums based on the level of loss activity. For those contracts, changes in loss and loss expenses for prior years may be fully or partially offset by additional or return premiums.

Net prior year development (i.e, the sum of prior year reserve changes and prior year earned premiums changes) for each of the last three years ended December 31, are as follows:

(In thousands)201620152014
Decrease in prior year loss reserves$29,904$46,713$75,764
Increase in prior year earned premiums29,00016,7309,088
Net favorable prior year development$58,904$63,443$84,852

Favorable prior year development (net of additional and return premiums) was $59 million in 2016.

Insurance - Reserves for the Insurance segment developed favorably by $53 million in 2016. The favorable development was primarily related to workers' compensation business, and was partially offset by unfavorable development for medical professional liability business.

For workers' compensation, the favorable development was related to both primary and excess business and to many accident years, including those prior to 2007. During 2016, reported workers' compensation losses continued to be below our expectations at most of our operating units. Loss frequency and severity trends continued to be better than the assumptions underlying our previous reserve estimates. Loss severity trends also benefited from our continued investment in medical case management services and from our preferred provider networks. The long term trend of declining workers' compensation frequency can be attributed to improved workplace safety.

For medical professional liability business, unfavorable development was primarily related to a class of business that has been discontinued. The adverse development for that business stemmed mainly from accident years 2010 through 2015.

Reinsurance - Reserves for the Reinsurance segment developed favorably by $6 million in 2016. The favorable development was primarily related to direct facultative reinsurance business and to accident years 2008 through 2014.

Favorable prior year development (net of additional and return premiums) was $63 million in 2015.

Insurance - Reserves for the Insurance segment developed favorably by $52 million in 2015. The favorable development was primarily related to workers' compensation, other liability business and commercial property, and was partially offset by unfavorable development for commercial automobile liability business and professional indemnity business.

For workers' compensation, the favorable development was related to both primary and excess business and to many accident years, including those prior to 2006. In 2015, reported workers' compensation losses were below our expectations for many of our operating units. In addition, overall loss frequency and severity trends emerged better than the assumptions underlying our previous reserve estimates. The long term trend of declining workers' compensation claim frequency continued in 2015. The improvement is attributable to better workplace safety and to benign medical severity trends as we continue to invest in medical case management services and higher usage of preferred provider networks.

For other liability business, favorable development was concentrated in accident years 2007 through 2013. The favorable development was primarily related to our excess and surplus lines casualty business that has benefited from a persistent improvement in claim frequency trends over the past several years.

For commercial property business, favorable development was attributable to accident years 2012 through 2014 and was driven by favorable frequency and severity trends on property business written in Lloyd's.

For commercial automobile business, adverse development was primarily related to large losses for long-haul trucking business and to accident years 2011 through 2014. The higher loss cost trends for the commercial automobile industry are attributable, in part, to the increase in miles driven as the economy improved and fuel prices declined over the past several years.

For professional indemnity business in the U.K., adverse development was primarily for accident years 2006 through 2013.

Reinsurance - Reserves for the Reinsurance segment developed favorably by $11 million in 2015. The favorable development was primarily related to direct facultative reinsurance business and to accident years 2005 through 2013. Loss reserves developed favorably for umbrella business and for other liability coverage for contractors.

Favorable prior year development (net of additional and return premiums) was $85 million in 2014.

Insurance - For the Insurance segment, favorable development in 2014 of $69 million was driven principally by other liability business for accident years 2006 through 2010, primarily related to our excess and surplus lines casualty business. Reported losses during these years continued to be below our initial expectations at the time the business was written, largely as a result of persistent improvement in claim frequency trends (i.e., number of reported claims per unit of exposure). As these accident years have matured, the weighting of actuarial methods has shifted from methods based on initial expected losses to methods based on actual reported losses. We believe the favorable claim frequency trends we have seen during this time period are due to changes in the mix of business written and to the general slowdown in the economy. Commercial automobile reported unfavorable development primarily as a result of large losses for long-haul trucking business in 2012 and 2013. The favorable development was also offset by adverse reserve development driven primarily by unexpected large losses from accident years 2009-2012 in the professional indemnity line of business in the United Kingdom.

Reinsurance - For the Reinsurance segment, favorable reserve development in 2014 of $16 million was driven primarily by assumed professional liability excess of loss and umbrella treaty business, as well as direct facultative business. This was partially offset by adverse development on brokerage facultative business caused by completed operations losses associated with construction projects in accident years prior to 2009.

Reserve Discount. The Company discounts its liabilities for certain workers’ compensation reserves. The amount of workers’ compensation reserves that were discounted was $1,907 million and $2,308 million at December 31, 2016 and 2015, respectively. The aggregate net discount for those reserves, after reflecting the effects of ceded reinsurance, was $640 million and $699 million at December 31, 2016 and 2015, respectively. At December 31, 2016, discount rates by year ranged from 2.0% to 6.5%, with a weighted average discount rate of 3.9%.

Substantially all of discounted workers’ compensation reserves (97% of total discounted reserves at December 31, 2016) are excess workers’ compensation reserves. In order to properly match loss expenses with income earned on investment securities supporting the liabilities, reserves for excess workers’ compensation business are discounted using risk-free discount rates determined by reference to the U.S. Treasury yield curve. These rates are determined annually based on the weighted average rate for the period. Once established, no adjustments are made to the discount rate for that period, and any increases or decreases in loss reserves in subsequent years are discounted at the same rate, without regard to when any such adjustments are recognized. The expected loss and loss expense payout patterns subject to discounting are derived from the Company’s loss payout experience.

The Company also discounts reserves for certain other long-duration workers’ compensation reserves (representing approximately 3% of total discounted reserves at December 31, 2016), including reserves for quota share reinsurance and reserves related to losses regarding occupational lung disease. These reserves are discounted at statutory rates permitted by the Department of Insurance of the State of Delaware.

Assumed Reinsurance Premiums. The Company estimates the amount of assumed reinsurance premiums that it will receive under treaty reinsurance agreements at the inception of the contracts. These premium estimates are revised as the actual amount of assumed premiums is reported to the Company by the ceding companies. As estimates of assumed premiums are made or revised, the related amount of earned premiums, commissions and incurred losses associated with those premiums are recorded. Estimated assumed premiums receivable were approximately $68 million and $62 million at December 31, 2016 and 2015, respectively. The assumed premium estimates are based upon terms set forth in reinsurance agreements, information received from ceding companies during the underwriting and negotiation of agreements, reports received from ceding companies and discussions and correspondence with reinsurance intermediaries. The Company also considers its own view of market conditions, economic trends and experience with similar lines of business. These premium estimates represent management’s best estimate of the ultimate amount of premiums to be received under its assumed reinsurance agreements.

Other-Than-Temporary Impairments (OTTI) of Investments. The cost of securities is adjusted where appropriate to include a provision for decline in value which is considered to be other-than-temporary. An other-than-temporary decline is considered to occur in investments where there has been a sustained reduction in fair value and where the Company does not expect the fair value to recover prior to the time of sale or maturity. Since equity securities do not have a contractual cash flow or maturity, the Company considers whether the price of an equity security is expected to recover within a reasonable period of time.

The Company classifies its fixed maturity securities and preferred stocks by credit rating, primarily based on ratings assigned by credit rating agencies. For purposes of classifying securities with different ratings, the Company uses the lower rating if two ratings were assigned and the middle rating if three ratings were assigned, unless the Company’s own analysis indicates that the lower rating is more appropriate. Securities that are not rated by a rating agency are evaluated and classified by the Company on a case-by-case basis.

Fixed Maturity Securities – For securities that we intend to sell or, more likely than not, would be required to sell, a decline in value below amortized cost is considered to be OTTI. The amount of OTTI is equal to the difference between amortized cost and fair value at the balance sheet date. For securities that we do not intend to sell or expect to be required to sell, a decline in value below amortized cost is considered to be an OTTI if we do not expect to recover the entire amortized cost basis of a security (i.e., the present value of cash flows expected to be collected is less than the amortized cost basis of the security).

The portion of the decline in value considered to be a credit loss (i.e., the difference between the present value of cash flows expected to be collected and the amortized cost basis of the security) is recognized in earnings. The portion of the decline in value not considered to be a credit loss (i.e., the difference in the present value of cash flows expected to be collected and the fair value of the security) is recognized in other comprehensive income.

Impairment assessments for structured securities, including mortgage-backed securities and asset-backed securities, collateralized debt obligations and corporate debt, are generally evaluated based on the performance of the underlying collateral under various economic and default scenarios that may involve subjective judgments and estimates by management. Modeling these securities involves various factors, such as projected default rates, the nature and realizable value of the collateral, if any, the ability of the issuer to make scheduled payments, historical performance and other relevant economic and performance factors. If an OTTI determination is made, a discounted cash flow analysis is used to ascertain the amount of the credit impairment.

The following table provides a summary of fixed maturity securities in an unrealized loss position as of December 31, 2016:

($ in thousands)Number of SecuritiesAggregate Fair ValueUnrealized Loss
Unrealized loss less than 20% of amortized cost739$5,123,665$90,505
Unrealized loss of 20% or greater of amortized cost:
Less than twelve months25,3243,776
Twelve months and longer3774302
Total744$5,129,763$94,583

A summary of the Company’s non-investment grade fixed maturity securities that were in an unrealized loss position at December 31, 2016 is presented in the table below.

($ in thousands)Number of SecuritiesAggregate Fair ValueUnrealized Loss
State and municipal1$5,136$3,725
Corporate1078,4621,370
Mortgage-backed securities1122,9871,106
Asset-backed securities41,256362
Foreign government15112,985341
Total41$220,826$6,904

The Company has evaluated its fixed maturity securities in an unrealized loss position and believes the unrealized loss is due primarily to temporary market and sector-related factors rather than to issuer-specific factors. None of these securities are delinquent or in default under financial covenants. Based on its assessment of these issuers, the Company expects them to continue to meet their contractual payment obligations as they become due and does not consider any of these securities to be OTTI. For the year ended December 31, 2016, there were no OTTI for fixed maturity securities recognized in earnings. OTTI for fixed maturity securities for the year ended December 31, 2015 were $9.0 million.

Preferred Stocks – At December 31, 2016, there was one preferred stock in an unrealized loss position, with an aggregate fair value of $22.0 million and a gross unrealized loss of $3.6 million. The preferred stock is rated investment grade. Management believes the unrealized loss is due primarily to market and sector related factors and does not consider it to be OTTI. For the year ended December 31, 2016, there were no OTTI for preferred stocks. OTTI for preferred stocks for the year ended December 31, 2015 were $13.4 million.

Common Stocks – At December 31, 2016, there were two common stocks in an unrealized loss position with an aggregate fair value of $9.1 million and a gross unrealized loss of $1.1 million. Based on management's view of these securities, the Company does not consider the common stocks to be OTTI. For the year ended December 31, 2016, OTTI for common stocks were $18.1 million. OTTI for common stocks for the year ended December 31, 2015 were $10.9 million.

Loans Receivable – The Company monitors the performance of its loans receivable, including current market conditions for each loan and the ability to collect principal and interest. For loans where the Company determines it is probable that the contractual terms will not be met, an analysis is performed and a valuation reserve is established, if necessary, with a charge to earnings. Loans receivable are reported net of a valuation reserve of $3 million and $2 million at December 31, 2016 and 2015, respectively.

The Company monitors the performance of its loans receivable and assesses the ability of each borrower to pay principal and interest based upon loan structure, underlying property values, cash flow and related financial and operating performance of the property and market conditions. Loans receivable with a potential for default are further assessed using discounted cash flow analysis and comparable cost and sales methodologies, if appropriate.

Fair Value Measurements. The Company’s fixed maturity and equity securities available for sale and its trading account securities are carried at fair value. Fair value is defined as "the price that would be received to sell an asset or paid to transfer a liability in an orderly transaction between market participants at the measurement date". The Company utilizes a fair value hierarchy that prioritizes the inputs to valuation techniques used to measure fair value into three broad levels. Level 1 inputs are quoted prices (unadjusted) in active markets for identical assets or liabilities that the reporting entity has the ability to access at the measurement date. Level 2 inputs are inputs other than quoted prices included within Level 1 that are observable for similar assets in active markets. Level 3 inputs are unobservable inputs for the asset or liability. Unobservable inputs may only be used to measure fair value to the extent that observable inputs are not available. The fair value of the vast majority of the Company’s portfolio is based on observable data (other than quoted prices) and, accordingly, is classified as Level 2.

In classifying particular financial securities in the fair value hierarchy, the Company uses its judgment to determine whether the market for a security is active and whether significant pricing inputs are observable. The Company determines the existence of an active market by assessing whether transactions occur with sufficient frequency and volume to provide reliable pricing information. The Company determines whether inputs are observable based on the use of such information by pricing services and external investment managers, the uninterrupted availability of such inputs, the need to make significant adjustments to such inputs and the volatility of such inputs over time. If the market for a security is determined to be inactive or if significant inputs used to price a security are determined to be unobservable, the security is categorized in Level 3 of the fair value hierarchy.

Because many fixed maturity securities do not trade on a daily basis, the Company utilizes pricing models and processes which may include benchmark curves, benchmarking of like securities, sector groupings and matrix pricing. Market inputs used to evaluate securities include benchmark yields, reported trades, broker/dealer quotes, issuer spreads, two-sided markets, benchmark securities, bids, offers and reference data. Quoted prices are often unavailable for recently issued securities that are infrequently traded or securities that are only traded in private transactions. For publicly traded securities for which quoted prices are unavailable, the Company determines fair value based on independent broker quotations and other observable market data. For securities traded only in private negotiations, the Company determines fair value based primarily on the cost of such securities, which is adjusted to reflect prices of recent placements of securities of the same issuer, financial data, projections and business developments of the issuer and other relevant information.

The following is a summary of pricing sources for the Company's fixed maturity securities available for sale as of December 31, 2016:

(In thousands)Carrying ValuePercent of Total
Pricing source:
Independent pricing services$12,944,96098.1%
Syndicate manager48,4430.4
Directly by the Company based on:
Observable data108,5561.5
Cash flow model183—
Total$13,102,142100.0%

Independent pricing services - Substantially all of the Company’s fixed maturity securities available for sale were priced by independent pricing services (generally one U.S. pricing service plus additional pricing services with respect to a limited number of foreign securities held by the Company). The prices provided by the independent pricing services are generally based on observable market data in active markets (e.g., broker quotes and prices observed for comparable securities). The determination of whether markets are active or inactive is based upon the volume and level of activity for a particular asset class. The Company reviews the prices provided by pricing services for reasonableness based upon current trading levels for similar securities. If the prices appear unusual to the Company, they are re-examined and the value is either confirmed or revised. In addition, the Company periodically performs independent price tests of a sample of securities to ensure proper valuation and to verify our understanding of how securities are priced. As of December 31, 2016, the Company did not make any adjustments to the prices provided by the pricing services. Based upon the Company’s review of the methodologies used by the independent pricing services, these securities were classified as Level 2.

Syndicate manager – The Company has a 15% participation in a Lloyd’s syndicate, and the Company’s share of the securities owned by the syndicate is priced by the syndicate’s manager. The majority of the securities are liquid, short duration fixed maturity securities. The Company reviews the syndicate manager’s pricing methodology and audited financial statements and holds discussions with the syndicate manager as necessary to confirm its understanding and agreement with security prices. Based upon the Company’s review of the methodologies used by the syndicate manager, these securities were classified as Level 2.

Observable data – If independent pricing is not available, the Company prices the securities directly. Prices are based on observable market data where available, including current trading levels for similar securities and non-binding quotations from brokers. The Company generally requests two or more quotes. If more than one quote is received, the Company sets a price within the range of quotes received based on its assessment of the credibility of the quote and its own evaluation of the security. The Company generally does not adjust quotes obtained from brokers. Since these securities were priced based on observable data, they were classified as Level 2.

Cash flow model – If the above methodologies are not available, the Company prices securities using a discounted cash flow model based upon assumptions as to prevailing credit spreads, interest rates and interest rate volatility, time to maturity and subordination levels. Discount rates are adjusted to reflect illiquidity where appropriate. These securities were classified as Level 3.

Results of Operations for the Years Ended December 31, 2016 and 2015

Business Segment Results

Following is a summary of gross and net premiums written, net premiums earned, loss ratios (losses and loss expenses incurred expressed as a percentage of net premiums earned), expense ratios (underwriting expenses expressed as a percentage of net premiums earned) and GAAP combined ratios (sum of loss ratio and expense ratio) for each of our business segments for the years ended December 31, 2016 and 2015. The GAAP combined ratio represents a measure of underwriting profitability, excluding investment income. A GAAP combined ratio in excess of 100 indicates an underwriting loss; a number below 100 indicates an underwriting profit.

(In thousands)20162015
Insurance
Gross premiums written$6,835,062$6,607,492
Net premiums written5,775,9135,591,397
Net premiums earned5,652,9035,431,500
Loss ratio61.0%60.8%
Expense ratio32.632.6
GAAP combined ratio93.693.4
Reinsurance
Gross premiums written$708,639$642,501
Net premiums written648,000598,118
Net premiums earned640,445609,109
Loss ratio61.8%58.4%
Expense ratio38.838.2
GAAP combined ratio100.696.6
Consolidated
Gross premiums written$7,543,701$7,249,993
Net premiums written6,423,9136,189,515
Net premiums earned6,293,3486,040,609
Loss ratio61.1%60.5%
Expense ratio33.233.2
GAAP combined ratio94.393.7

Net Income to Common Stockholders. The following table presents the Company’s net income to common stockholders and net income per diluted share for the years ended December 31, 2016 and 2015.

(In thousands, except per share data)20162015
Net income to common stockholders$601,916$503,694
Weighted average diluted shares128,553130,189
Net income per diluted share$4.68$3.87

The Company reported net income of $602 million in 2016 compared to $504 million in 2015. The 20% increase in net income was primarily due to increases in after-tax net investment gains of $114 million, after-tax net investment income of $34 million and after-tax foreign currency gains of $8 million, partially offset by a decrease in after-tax underwriting income of $13 million, an increase in after-tax interest expense of $7 million, a decrease in after-tax income from non-insurance businesses of $6 million, a decrease in after-tax service fee income of $8 million and an an increase in after-tax other expenses of $24 million. The number of weighted average diluted shares decreased as a result of the Company’s repurchases of its common stock in 2016 and 2015.

Premiums. Gross premiums written were $7,544 million in 2016, an increase of 4% from $7,250 million in 2015. The growth was due to a combination of increased exposures and higher rates. Approximately 77% of policies expiring in 2016 were renewed, the same renewal retention rate as for policies expiring in 2015.

Average renewal premium rates (adjusted for change in exposures) increased 3.4% in 2014, 1.2% in 2015 and 0.3% in 2016. However, overall loss costs are also increasing, and current market price levels for certain lines of business remain below the prices required for the Company to achieve its long-term return objectives.

A summary of gross premiums written in 2016 compared with 2015 by line of business within each business segment follows:

•Insurance gross premiums increased 3% to $6,835 million in 2016 from $6,607 million in 2015. Gross premiums increased $194 million (10%) for other liability, $61 million (10%) for professional liability and $32 million (2%) for workers' compensation, partially offset by decreases of $30 million (4%) for commercial auto and $29 million (2%) for short-tail lines.
•Reinsurance gross premiums increased 10% to $709 million in 2016 from $643 million in 2015. Gross premiums written decreased $6 million (1%) for casualty lines and increased $72 million (34%) for property lines.

Net premiums written were $6,424 million in 2016, an increase of 4% from $6,190 million in 2015. Ceded reinsurance premiums as a percentage of gross written premiums were 15% in both 2016 and 2015.

Premiums earned increased 4% to $6,293 million in 2016 from $6,041 million in 2015. Insurance premiums (including the impact of rate changes) are generally earned evenly over the policy term, and accordingly recent rate increases will be earned over the upcoming quarters. Premiums earned in 2016 are related to business written during both 2016 and 2015. Audit premiums were $156 million in 2016 compared with $153 million in 2015.

Net Investment Income. Following is a summary of net investment income for the years ended December 31, 2016 and 2015:

AmountAverage Annualized Yield
(In thousands)2016201520162015
Fixed maturity securities, including cash and cash equivalents and loans receivable$444,247$428,3253.2%3.2%
Investment funds99,30162,2288.15.2
Arbitrage trading account18,69316,8914.83.3
Real estate7,05411,2940.71.4
Equity securities available for sale4,0284,6242.12.7
Gross investment income573,323523,3623.43.3
Investment expenses(9,160)(10,717)——
Total$564,163$512,6453.4%3.2%

Net investment income increased 10% to $564 million in 2016 from $513 million in 2015 primarily due to an increase in income from investment funds of $37 million and fixed maturity securities of $16 million. Investment funds are reported on a one quarter lag. The average annualized yield for fixed maturity securities was 3.2% in both 2016 and 2015; accordingly the increase in fixed maturity securities income was mainly a result of a larger investment base. The effective duration of the fixed maturity portfolio was 3.1 years at December 31, 2016, down from 3.3 years at December 31, 2015. Average invested assets, at cost (including cash and cash equivalents), were $16.7 billion in 2016 and $16.0 billion in 2015.

Insurance Service Fees. The Company earns fees from an insurance distribution business and as a servicing carrier of workers' compensation assigned risk plans for certain states. Service fees were $139 million in 2016 and 2015.

Net Realized Gains on Investment Sales. The Company buys and sells securities on a regular basis in order to maximize its total return on investments. Decisions to sell securities are based on management’s view of the underlying fundamentals of specific securities as well as management’s expectations regarding interest rates, credit spreads, currency values and general economic conditions. Net realized gains on investment sales were $285 million in 2016 compared with $126 million in 2015. In 2016, realized gains were primarily related to the sale of Aero Precision Industries and the sale of some shares of a publicly traded common stock. In 2015, realized gains were primarily related to sale of some shares of a publicly traded common stock held by one of the Company's investment funds.

Other-Than-Temporary Impairments. The cost of securities is adjusted where appropriate to include a provision for a decline in value that is considered to be other-than-temporary. Other-than-temporary impairments of $18 million in 2016 were primarily related to common stock. In 2015, other-than-temporary impairments of $33 million were primarily related to equity securities.

Revenues from Non-Insurance Businesses. Revenues from non-insurance businesses were derived from a business engaged in the distribution of promotional merchandise and aviation-related businesses that provide services to aviation markets, including (i) the distribution, manufacturing, repair and overhaul of aircraft parts and components, (ii) the sale of new and used aircraft, and (iii) avionics, fuel, maintenance, storage and charter services. Revenues from non-insurance businesses

decreased to $390 million in 2016 from $421 million in 2015, primarily due to the sale of Aero Precision Industries in August 2016.

Losses and Loss Expenses. Losses and loss expenses increased to $3,846 million in 2016 from $3,656 million in 2015. The consolidated loss ratio was 61.1% in 2016 and 60.5% in 2015. Catastrophe losses, net of reinsurance recoveries and reinstatement premiums, were $105 million in 2016 compared with $58 million in 2015, an increase of 0.7 loss ratio points. Favorable prior year reserve development (net of premium offsets) was $59 million in 2016 compared with $63 million in 2015, a difference of 0.2 loss ratio points (see "- Critical Accounting Estimates - Reserves for Losses and Loss Expenses"). The loss ratio excluding catastrophe losses and prior year reserve development decreased 0.3 points to 60.3% in 2016 from 60.6% in 2015.

A summary of loss ratios in 2016 compared with 2015 by business segment follows:

•Insurance - The loss ratio of 61.0% in 2016 was 0.2 points higher than the loss ratio of 60.8% in 2015. Catastrophe losses were $89 million in 2016 compared with $55 million in 2015, an increase of 0.6 loss ratio points. Favorable prior year reserve development was $53 million in 2016 compared with $52 million in 2015, reflecting no difference of loss ratio points. The loss ratio excluding catastrophe losses and prior year reserve development decreased 0.4 points to 60.4% in 2016 from 60.8% in 2015.
•Reinsurance - The loss ratio of 61.8% in 2016 was 3.4 points higher than the loss ratio of 58.4% in 2015. Catastrophe losses were $16 million in 2016 compared with $3 million in 2015, an increase of 2.0 loss ratio points. Favorable prior year reserve development was $6 million in 2016 compared with $11 million in 2015, a difference of 0.9 loss ratio points. The loss ratio excluding catastrophe losses and prior year reserve development increased 0.5 points to 60.2% in 2016 from 59.7% in 2015.

Other Operating Costs and Expenses. Following is a summary of other operating costs and expenses:

(In thousands)20162015
Policy acquisition and operating insurance expenses$2,089,203$2,005,498
Service expenses138,908127,365
Net foreign currency (gains) losses(11,904)400
Other costs and expenses179,412156,487
Total$2,395,619$2,289,750

Policy acquisition and operating insurance expenses are comprised of commissions paid to agents and brokers, premium taxes and other assessments and internal underwriting costs. Policy acquisition and operating insurance expenses increased 4%, the same as the increase in net premiums earned of 4%. The expense ratio (policy acquisition and operating insurance expenses expressed as a percentage of premiums earned) was 33.2% in both 2016 and 2015.

Service expenses, which represent the costs associated with the fee-based businesses, increased 9% to $139 million.

Net foreign currency (gains) losses result from transactions denominated in a currency other than an operating unit’s functional currency. Net foreign currency gains were $12 million in 2016 compared to losses of $400 thousand in 2015.

Other costs and expenses represent general and administrative expenses of the parent company and other expenses not allocated to business segments, including the cost of certain long-term incentive plans. Other costs and expenses increased to $179 million in 2016 from $156 million in 2015 due partially to the formation of additional operating units that had not yet commenced operations.

Expenses from Non-Insurance Businesses. Expenses from non-insurance businesses represent costs associated with a business engaged in the distribution of promotional merchandise and aviation-related businesses that include (i) cost of goods sold related to aircraft and products sold and services provided, and (ii) general and administrative expenses. Expenses from non-insurance businesses were $375 million in 2016 compared to $397 million in 2015, with the decrease primarily related to the sale of Aero Precision Industries in August 2016.

Interest Expense. Interest expense was $141 million in 2016 compared with $131 million in 2015. During 2016, the Company repaid $87 million of debt on various issuances, mainly in connection with the sale of Aero Precision Industries. The Company repaid $200 million of 5.6% senior notes at maturity on May 15, 2015. In February 2016, the Company issued $110 million of 5.9% subordinated debentures maturing in 2056, and in May 2016, the Company issued $290 million of 5.75% subordinated debentures maturing in 2056.

Income Taxes. The effective income tax rate was 33% in 2016 compared to 31% in 2015. The higher tax rate in 2016 was due, in part, to higher capital gains and state taxes. The effective income tax rate differs from the federal income tax rate of 35% primarily because of tax-exempt investment income.

Results of Operations for the Years Ended December 31, 2015 and 2014

Business Segment Results

Following is a summary of gross and net premiums written, net premiums earned, loss ratios (losses and loss expenses incurred expressed as a percentage of net premiums earned), expense ratios (underwriting expenses expressed as a percentage of net premiums earned) and GAAP combined ratios (sum of loss ratio and expense ratio) for each of our business segments for the years ended December 31, 2015 and 2014. The GAAP combined ratio represents a measure of underwriting profitability, excluding investment income. A GAAP combined ratio in excess of 100 indicates an underwriting loss; a number below 100 indicates an underwriting profit.

(In thousands)20152014
Insurance
Gross premiums written$6,607,492$6,367,950
Net premiums written5,591,3975,345,663
Net premiums earned5,431,5005,074,308
Loss ratio60.8%60.6%
Expense ratio32.632.9
GAAP combined ratio93.493.5
Reinsurance
Gross premiums written$642,501$694,888
Net premiums written598,118651,284
Net premiums earned609,109670,110
Loss ratio58.4%62.0%
Expense ratio38.234.0
GAAP combined ratio96.696.0
Consolidated
Gross premiums written$7,249,993$7,062,838
Net premiums written6,189,5155,996,947
Net premiums earned6,040,6095,744,418
Loss ratio60.5%60.8%
Expense ratio33.233.0
GAAP combined ratio93.793.8

Net Income to Common Stockholders. The following table presents the Company’s net income to common stockholders and net income per diluted share for the years ended December 31, 2015 and 2014.

(In thousands, except per share data)20152014
Net income to common stockholders$503,694$648,884
Weighted average diluted shares130,189133,652
Net income per diluted share$3.87$4.86

The Company reported net income of $504 million in 2015 compared to $649 million in 2014. The 22% decrease in net income was primarily due to decreases in after-tax net investment gains of $106 million and after-tax net investment income of $60 million partially offset by an increase in after-tax net underwriting income of $14 million. The number of weighted average diluted shares decreased as a result of the Company’s repurchases of its common stock in 2015 and 2014.

Premiums. Gross premiums written were $7,250 million in 2015, an increase of 3% from $7,063 million in 2014. The growth was due to a combination of rate increases and increased exposures. Approximately 77% of policies expiring in 2015 were renewed, compared with a 79% renewal retention rate for policies expiring in 2014.

Average renewal premium rates (adjusted for change in exposures) increased 6.5% in 2013, 3.4% in 2014 and 1.2% in 2015. However, overall loss costs are also increasing, and current market price levels for certain lines of business remain below the prices required for the Company to achieve its long-term return objectives.

A summary of gross premiums written in 2015 compared with 2014 by line of business within each business segment follows:

•Insurance - gross premiums increased 4% to $6,607 million in 2015 from $6,368 million in 2014. Gross premiums increased $142 million (9%) for workers' compensation, $112 million (6%) for other liability, $32 million (5%) for

professional liability and $5 million (1%) for commercial auto, partially offset by a decrease of $52 million (3%) for short-tail lines.

•Reinsurance - gross premiums decreased 8% to $643 million in 2015 from $695 million in 2014. Gross premiums written decreased $36 million (8%) for casualty lines and $16 million (7%) for property lines.

Net premiums written were $6,190 million in 2015, an increase of 3% from $5,997 million in 2014. Ceded reinsurance premiums as a percentage of gross written premiums were 15% in 2015 and 2014.

Premiums earned increased 5% to $6,041 million in 2015 from $5,744 million in 2014. Insurance premiums (including the impact of rate changes) are generally earned evenly over the policy term, and rate increases were earned over the following quarters. Premiums earned in 2015 are related to business written during both 2015 and 2014. Audit premiums were $153 million in 2015 compared with $118 million in 2014.

Net Investment Income. Following is a summary of net investment income for the years ended December 31, 2015 and 2014:

AmountAverage Annualized Yield
(In thousands)2015201420152014
Fixed maturity securities, including cash and cash equivalents and loans receivable$428,325$439,4893.2%3.4%
Investment funds62,228131,6495.212.7
Arbitrage trading account16,89122,4383.33.9
Real estate11,29410,2281.41.5
Equity securities available for sale4,6246,7262.73.7
Gross investment income523,362610,5303.33.9
Investment expenses(10,717)(9,645)
Total$512,645$600,8853.2%3.9%

Net investment income decreased 15% to $513 million in 2015 from $601 million in 2014 primarily due to an decrease in income from energy investment funds. Investment funds are reported on a one quarter lag. The average annualized yield for fixed maturity securities declined to 3.2% from 3.4% due to lower long-term reinvestment yields available in the market. The effective duration of the fixed maturity portfolio was 3.3 years in December 31, 2015 compared with 3.2 years at December 31, 2014. Average invested assets, at cost (including cash and cash equivalents), were $16.0 billion in 2015 and $15.6 billion in 2014.

Insurance Service Fees. The Company earns fees from an insurance distribution business and as a servicing carrier of workers' compensation assigned risk plans for certain states. Service fees increased 19% to $139 million in 2015 from $117 million in 2014 primarily as a result of an increase in fees from assigned risk plans.

Net Realized Gains on Investment Sales. The Company buys and sells securities on a regular basis in order to maximize its total return on investments. Decisions to sell securities are based on management’s view of the underlying fundamentals of specific securities as well as management’s expectations regarding interest rates, credit spreads, currency values and general economic conditions. Net realized gains on investment sales were $126 million in 2015 compared with $255 million in 2014. In 2015, realized gains were related primarily to the sale of some shares of a publicly traded common stock held by one the Company's investment funds. In 2014, realized gains included an $86 million gain from the sale of a commercial office building in London, England and a $39 million gain resulting from the initial public offering of the above public company.

Other-Than-Temporary Impairments. The cost of securities is adjusted where appropriate to include a provision for a decline in value that is considered to be other-than-temporary. Other-than-temporary impairments of $33 million in 2015 were primarily related to equity securities. There were no other-than-temporary impairments in 2014.

Revenues from Non-Insurance Businesses. Revenues from non-insurance businesses were derived from aviation-related businesses that provide services to aviation markets, including (i) the distribution, manufacturing, repair and overhaul of aircraft parts and components, (ii) the sale of new and used aircraft, and (iii) avionics, fuel, maintenance, storage and charter services. Revenues from non-insurance businesses increased to $421 million in 2015 from $410 million in 2014.

Losses and Loss Expenses. Losses and loss expenses increased to $3,656 million in 2015 from $3,491 million in 2014. The consolidated loss ratio was 60.5% in 2015 and 60.8% in 2014. Catastrophe losses, net of reinsurance recoveries and

reinstatement premiums, were $58 million in 2015 compared with $87 million in 2014, a decrease of 0.4 loss ratio points. Favorable prior year reserve development (net of premium offsets) was $63 million in 2015 compared with $85 million in 2014, a difference of 0.3 loss ratio points (see "- Critical Accounting Estimates - Reserves for Losses and Loss Expenses"). The loss ratio excluding catastrophe losses and prior year reserve development decreased 0.2 points to 60.6% in 2015 from 60.8% in 2014.

A summary of loss ratios in 2015 compared with 2014 by business segment follows:

•Insurance - The loss ratio of 60.8% in 2015 was 0.2 points higher than the loss ratio of 60.6% in 2014. Catastrophe losses were $55 million in 2015 compared with $85 million in 2014, a decrease of 0.7 loss ratio points. Favorable prior year reserve development was $52 million in 2015 compared with $69 million in 2014, a difference of 0.4 loss ratio points. The loss ratio excluding catastrophe losses and prior year reserve development increased 0.5 points to 60.8% in 2015 from 60.3% in 2014.
•Reinsurance - The loss ratio of 58.4% in 2015 was 3.6 points lower than the loss ratio of 62.0% in 2014. Catastrophe losses were $3 million in 2015 compared with $2 million in 2014, an increase of 0.2 loss ratio points. Favorable prior year reserve development was $11 million in 2015 compared with $16 million in 2014, a difference of 0.6 loss ratio points. The loss ratio excluding catastrophe losses and prior year reserve development decreased 4.4 points to 59.7% in 2015 from 64.1% in 2014.
•Operating Costs and Expenses. Following is a summary of other operating costs and expenses:
(In thousands)20152014
Policy acquisition and operating insurance expenses$2,005,498$1,896,530
Service expenses127,365102,726
Net foreign currency losses (gains)400(27)
Other costs and expenses156,487158,227
Total$2,289,750$2,157,456

Policy acquisition and operating insurance expenses are comprised of commissions paid to agents and brokers, premium taxes and other assessments and internal underwriting costs. Policy acquisition and operating insurance expenses increased 6%, compared with an increase in net premiums earned of 5%. The expense ratio (policy acquisition and operating insurance expenses expressed as a percentage of premiums earned) increased to 33.2% in 2015 from 33.0% in 2014.

Service expenses, which represent the costs associated with the fee-based businesses, increased 24% to $127 million as a result of the acquisition of a specialty property and casualty insurance distribution company in 2014.

Net foreign currency losses (gains) result from transactions denominated in a currency other than an operating unit's functional currency.

Other costs and expenses represent general and administrative expenses of the parent company and other expenses not allocated to business segments, including the cost of certain long-term incentive plans. Other costs and expenses decreased to $156 million in 2015 from $158 million in 2014.

Expenses from Non-Insurance Businesses. Expenses from non-insurance businesses represent costs associated with aviation-related businesses that include (i) cost of goods sold related to aircraft and products sold and services provided, and (ii) general and administrative expenses. Expenses from non-insurance businesses were $397 million in 2015 compared to $401 million in 2014.

Interest Expense. Interest expense was $131 million in 2015 compared with $128 million in 2014. In August 2014, the Company issued $350 million of 4.75% senior notes due 2044. A portion of the proceeds was used to repay $200 million of 5.60% senior notes at maturity on May 15, 2015.

Income Taxes. The effective income tax rate was 31% in 2015 compared to 32% in 2014. The lower tax rate in 2015 was due, in part, to the utilization of foreign tax credits. The effective income tax rate differs from the federal income tax rate of 35% primarily because of tax-exempt investment income.

Investments

As part of its investment strategy, the Company establishes a level of cash and highly liquid short-term and intermediate-term securities that, combined with expected cash flow, it believes is adequate to meet its payment obligations. Due to the historically low fixed maturity investment returns, the Company invests in equity securities, merger arbitrage securities, investment funds, private equity, loans and real estate related assets. The Company's investments in investment funds and its other alternative investments have experienced, and the Company expects to continue to experience, greater fluctuations in investment income.

The Company also attempts to maintain an appropriate relationship between the effective duration of the investment portfolio and the approximate duration of its liabilities (i.e., policy claims and debt obligations). The effective duration of the investment portfolio was 3.1 years and 3.3 years at December 31, 2016 and 2015, respectively. The Company’s investment portfolio and investment-related assets as of December 31, 2016 were as follows:

($ in thousands)Carrying ValuePercent of Total
Fixed maturity securities:
U.S. government and government agencies$513,8022.9%
State and municipal:
Special revenue2,847,34316.2
State general obligation570,6993.3
Corporate backed410,6532.4
Local general obligation387,1292.2
Pre-refunded (1)376,2612.2
Total state and municipal4,592,08526.3
Mortgage-backed securities:
Agency826,7964.7
Residential-Prime191,4921.1
Commercial152,8630.9
Residential-Alt A34,4380.2
Total mortgage-backed securities1,205,5896.9
Asset-backed securities1,907,86010.9
Corporate:
Industrial2,379,40013.6
Financial1,397,2748.0
Utilities237,5441.4
Other54,3090.3
Total corporate4,068,52723.2
Foreign government902,8055.2
Total fixed maturity securities13,190,66875.6
Equity securities available for sale:
Common stocks445,8582.6
Preferred stocks223,3421.3
Total equity securities available for sale669,2003.8
Investment funds1,198,1466.9
Real estate1,184,9816.8
Cash and cash equivalents795,2854.6
Arbitrage trading account299,9991.7
Loans receivable106,7980.6
Total investments$17,445,077100.0%

(1)Pre-refunded securities are securities for which an escrow account has been established to fund the remaining payments of principal and interest through maturity. Such escrow accounts are funded almost exclusively with U.S. Treasury and U.S. government agency securities.

Fixed Maturity Securities. The Company’s investment policy with respect to fixed maturity securities is generally to purchase instruments with the expectation of holding them to their maturity. However, management of the available for sale portfolio is considered necessary to maintain an approximate matching of assets and liabilities as well as to adjust the portfolio as a result of changes in financial market conditions and tax considerations.

The Company’s philosophy related to holding or selling fixed maturity securities is based on its objective of maximizing total return. The key factors that management considers in its investment decisions as to whether to hold or sell fixed maturity securities are its view of the underlying fundamentals of specific securities as well as its expectations regarding interest rates, credit spreads and currency values. In a period in which management expects interest rates to rise, the Company may sell longer duration securities in order to mitigate the impact of an interest rate rise on the fair value of the portfolio. Similarly, in a period in which management expects credit spreads to widen, the Company may sell lower quality securities, and in a period in which management expects certain foreign currencies to decline in value, the Company may sell securities denominated in those foreign currencies. The sale of fixed maturity securities in order to achieve the objective of maximizing total return may result in realized gains; however, there is no reason to expect these gains to continue in future periods.

At December 31, 2016, investments in foreign government fixed maturity securities were as follows:

(In thousands)Carrying Value
Argentina$239,064
Australia227,075
Canada162,584
United Kingdom105,906
Brazil48,830
Germany41,419
Supranational (1)35,172
Norway25,187
Uruguay6,057
Singapore6,003
Colombia5,508
Total$902,805

(1) Supranational represents investments in the North American Development Bank, European Investment Bank and International Bank for Reconstruction & Development.

Equity Securities Available for Sale. Equity securities available for sale primarily represent investments in mid-sized capitalization common stock and high-dividend yielding common and preferred stocks issued by large market capitalization companies. At December 31, 2016, common stocks included HealthEquity, Inc. shares, which had previously been reported in investment funds.

Investment Funds. At December 31, 2016, the carrying value of investment funds was $1,198 million, including investments in real estate funds of $642 million, energy funds of $91 million, hedged equity funds of $74 million and other funds of $391 million. Investment funds are primarily reported on a one-quarter lag.

Real Estate. Real estate is directly owned property held for investment. At December 31, 2016, real estate properties in operation included a long-term ground lease in Washington D.C., a hotel in Memphis, Tennessee, an office complex in New York City and office buildings in West Palm Beach and Palm Beach, Florida. In addition, there are two properties under development: an office building in London and a mixed-use project in Washington D.C. The Company expects to fund further development costs for these projects with a combination of its own funds and external financing.

Arbitrage Trading Account. The arbitrage trading account is comprised of direct investments in arbitrage securities. Merger arbitrage is the business of investing in the securities of publicly held companies that are the targets in announced tender offers and mergers.

Loans Receivable. Loans receivable, which are carried at amortized cost, had an amortized cost of $107 million and an aggregate fair value of $108 million at December 31, 2016. The amortized cost of loans receivable is net of a valuation allowance of $3 million as of December 31, 2016. Loans receivable include real estate loans of $92 million that are secured by commercial real estate located primarily in North Carolina and New York. Real estate loans receivable generally earn interest at floating LIBOR-based interest rates and have maturities (inclusive of extension options) through August 2025. Loans receivable include commercial loans of $14 million that are secured by business assets and have fixed interest rates and varying maturities not exceeding 10 years.

Liquidity and Capital Resources

Cash Flow. Cash flow provided from operating activities decreased to $848 million in 2016 from $881 million in 2015. The decrease in cash flow was due primarily to higher taxes paid and losses paid. Paid losses as a percentage of earned premiums were 55% in 2016 and 54% in 2015.

As a holding company, the Company derives cash from its subsidiaries in the form of dividends, tax payments and management fees. Maximum amounts of dividends that our insurance companies can pay without regulatory approval are prescribed by statute. During 2017, the maximum amount of dividends which can be paid without regulatory approval is approximately $580 million. The ability of the holding company to service its debt obligations is limited by the ability of its insurance subsidiaries to pay dividends. In the event dividends, tax payments and management fees available to the holding company were inadequate to service its debt obligations, the Company would need to raise capital, sell assets or restructure its debt obligations.

The Company's insurance subsidiaries' principal sources of cash are premiums, investment income, service fees and proceeds from sales and maturities of portfolio investments. The principal uses of cash are payments for claims, taxes, operating expenses and dividends. The Company expects its insurance subsidiaries to fund the payment of losses with cash received from premiums, investment income and fees. The Company generally has targeted an effective duration for its investment portfolio that is within one year of the average duration of its liabilities so that portions of its investment portfolio mature throughout the claim cycle and are available for the payment of claims if necessary. In the event operating cash flow and proceeds from maturities and prepayments of fixed income securities are not sufficient to fund claim payments and other cash requirements, the remainder of the Company's cash and investments is available to pay claims and other obligations as they become due. The Company's investment portfolio is highly liquid, with approximately 80% invested in cash, cash equivalents and marketable fixed maturity securities as of December 31, 2016. If the sale of fixed maturity securities were to become necessary, a realized gain or loss equal to the difference between the cost and sales price of securities sold would be recognized.

Debt. At December 31, 2016, the Company had senior notes, subordinated debentures and other debt outstanding with a carrying value of $2,488 million and a face amount of $2,523 million. The maturities of the outstanding debt are $4 million in 2017, $443 million in 2019, $300 million in 2020, $427 million in 2022, $250 million in 2037, $350 million in 2044, $350 million in 2053 and $400 million in 2056.

In February 2016, the Company issued $110 million aggregate principal amount of its 5.9% subordinated debentures due 2056, and in May 2016, the Company issued $290 million aggregate principal amount of its 5.75% subordinated debentures due 2056. During 2016, the Company repaid $87 million of debt on various issuances, mainly in connection with the sale of Aero Precision Industries. In May 2015, the Company repaid $200 million of 5.60% senior notes at maturity and $71 million of mortgage loans.

Equity. The Company repurchased 2,395,892, 4,502,025 and 5,816,468 shares of its common stock in 2016, 2015 and 2014, respectively. The aggregate cost of the repurchases was $132 million in 2016, $224 million in 2015 and $239 million in 2014. At December 31, 2016, total common stockholders’ equity was $5.05 billion, common shares outstanding were 121,193,599 and stockholders’ equity per outstanding share was $41.65.

Total Capital. Total capitalization (equity, senior notes and other debt and subordinated debentures) was $7.5 billion at December 31, 2016. The percentage of the Company’s capital attributable to senior notes, subordinated debentures and other debt was 33% at December 31, 2016 and 32% at December 31, 2015.

Federal and Foreign Income Taxes

The Company files a consolidated income tax return in the U.S. and foreign tax returns in each of the countries in which it has overseas operations. At December 31, 2016, the Company had a gross deferred tax asset (net of valuation allowance) of $472 million (which primarily relates to loss and loss expense reserves and unearned premium reserves) and a gross deferred tax liability of $606 million (which primarily relates to deferred policy acquisition costs and unrealized investment gains). The realization of the deferred tax asset is dependent upon the Company's ability to generate sufficient taxable income in future periods. Based on historical results and the prospects for future operations, management anticipates that it is more likely than not that future taxable income will be sufficient for the realization of this asset.

The Company has not provided U.S. deferred income taxes on the undistributed earnings of approximately $55 million of its non-U.S. subsidiaries since these earnings are intended to be permanently reinvested in the non-U.S. subsidiaries. However, in the future, if such earnings were distributed to the Company, taxes of approximately $6.1 million, assuming all tax credits are realized, would be payable on such undistributed earnings and would be reflected in the tax provision for the year in which these earnings are no longer intended to be permanently reinvested in the foreign subsidiary.

Reinsurance

The Company follows customary industry practice of reinsuring a portion of its exposures in exchange for paying reinsurers a part of the premiums received on the policies it writes. Reinsurance is purchased by the Company principally to reduce its net liability on individual risks and to protect it against catastrophic losses. Although reinsurance does not legally discharge an insurer from its primary liability for the full amount of the policies, it does make the assuming reinsurer liable to the insurer to the extent of the reinsurance coverage. The Company monitors the financial condition of its reinsurers and attempts to place its coverages only with substantial and financially sound carriers. Reinsurance coverage and retentions vary depending on the line of business, location of the risk and nature of loss. The Company’s reinsurance purchases include the following:

•Property reinsurance treaties - The Company purchases property reinsurance to reduce its exposure to large individual property losses and catastrophe events. Following is a summary of significant property reinsurance treaties in effect as of January 1, 2017: The Company’s property per risk reinsurance generally covers losses between $2.5 million and $50 million. The Company’s catastrophe excess of loss reinsurance program provides protection for net losses between $30 million and $355 million for the majority of business written by its U.S. Insurance segment operating units, excluding offshore energy. The Company has separate catastrophe excess of loss reinsurance for business written through its Lloyd’s Syndicate that provides protection for losses between $8.5 million and $55 million for events in North America. For North American losses greater than $55 million, the business written through the Company's Lloyd's Syndicate is protected within the U.S. program up to $355 million. The Company’s catastrophe reinsurance agreements are subject to certain limits, exclusions and reinstatement premiums.
•Casualty reinsurance treaties - The Company purchases casualty reinsurance to reduce its exposure to large individual casualty losses, workers’ compensation catastrophe losses and casualty losses involving multiple claimants or insureds for the majority of business written by its U.S. companies. A significant casualty treaty in effect as of January 1, 2017 provides protection for losses between $5 million and $75 million from single events with claims involving two or more claimants or insureds. The treaty also covers casualty contingency losses in excess of $5 million and up to $75 million. For losses involving two or more claimants for primary workers’ compensation business, coverage is generally in place for losses between $5 million and $200 million. For excess workers’ compensation business, such coverage is generally in place for losses between $25 million and $265 million.
•Facultative reinsurance - The Company also purchases facultative reinsurance on certain individual policies or risks that are in excess of treaty reinsurance capacity.
•Other reinsurance - Depending on the operating unit, the Company purchases specific additional reinsurance to supplement the above programs.

The Company places most of its significant casualty treaties on a “risk attaching” basis. Under risk attaching treaties, all claims from policies incepting during the period of the reinsurance contract are covered even if they occur after the expiration date of the reinsurance contract. If the Company is unable to renew or replace its existing reinsurance coverage, protection for unexpired policies would remain in place until their expiration. In such case, the Company could revise its underwriting strategy for new business to reflect the absence of reinsurance protection. Property catastrophe and workers’ compensation catastrophe reinsurance is generally placed on a “losses occurring basis,” whereby only claims occurring during the period are covered. If the Company is unable to renew or replace this reinsurance coverage, unexpired policies would not be protected, though we frequently have the option to purchase run-off coverage in our treaties.

Following is a summary of earned premiums and loss and loss expenses ceded to reinsurers for each of the three years ended December 31, 2016:

Year Ended December 31,
(In thousands)201620152014
Earned premiums$1,099,462$1,050,840$1,030,666
Losses and loss expenses707,336501,999475,802

Ceded earned premiums increased 4.6% in 2016 to $1,099 million, in-line with the increase in direct and assumed earned premiums of 4.2%. The ceded losses and loss expenses ratio increased 16 points to 64% in 2016 from 48% in 2015.

The following table presents the credit quality of amounts due from reinsurers as of December 31, 2016. Amounts due

from reinsurers are net of reserves for uncollectible reinsurance of $1 million in the aggregate.

(In thousands)
ReinsurerRating(1)Amount
Amounts due in excess of $20 million:
Alleghany GroupA+$150,604
Munich ReAA-130,623
Swiss ReAA-120,906
Lloyd’s of LondonA+118,607
Partner ReA+74,948
Axis CapitalA+72,600
Everest ReA+53,482
Hannover Re GroupAA-52,472
Berkshire HathawayAA+49,340
Chubb LimitedAA35,304
Korean ReA28,654
ValidusA22,871
Arch Capital GroupA+21,359
Other reinsurers:
Rated A- or better157,553
Secured (2)69,882
All Others18,725
Subtotal1,177,930
Residual markets pools (3)566,050
Total$1,743,980

(1) S&P rating, or if not rated by S&P, A.M. Best rating.

(2) Secured by letters of credit or other forms of collateral.

(3) Many states require licensed insurers that provide workers' compensation insurance to participate in programs that provide workers' compensation to employers that cannot procure coverage from an insurer on a voluntary basis. Insurers can fulfill this residual market obligation by participating in pools where results are shared by the participating companies. The Company acts as a servicing carrier for workers' compensation pools in certain states. As a servicing carrier, the Company writes residual market business directly and then cedes 100% of this business to the respective pool. As a servicing carrier, the Company receives fee income for its services. The Company does not retain underwriting risk, and credit risk is limited as ceded balances are jointly shared by all the pool members.

Contractual Obligations

Following is a summary of the Company's contractual obligations as of December 31, 2016:

(In thousands)
Estimated Payments By Periods20172018201920202021Thereafter
Gross reserves for losses$2,907,411$2,000,891$1,482,866$1,083,642$814,559$3,579,611
Operating lease obligations45,30540,63435,80533,57529,374100,704
Purchase obligations88,94139,87737,76937,78335,786899
Subordinated debentures—————750,000
Debt maturities3,615—442,590300,000—1,026,503
Interest payments144,965144,892135,005109,31397,9462,027,294
Other long-term liabilities4,5574,1983,8283,5243,16527,149
Total$3,194,794$2,230,492$2,137,863$1,567,837$980,830$7,512,160

The estimated payments for reserves for losses and loss expenses in the above table represent the projected (undiscounted) payments for gross loss and loss expense reserves related to losses incurred as of December 31, 2016. The estimated payments in the above table do not consider payments for losses to be incurred in future periods. These amounts include reserves for reported losses and reserves for incurred but not reported losses. Estimated amounts recoverable from reinsurers are not reflected. The estimated payments by year are based on historical loss payment patterns.The actual payments may differ from the estimated amounts due to changes in ultimate loss reserves and in the timing of the settlement of those reserves. In addition, at December 31, 2016, the Company had commitments to invest up to $373.2 million and $495.7 million in certain investment funds and real estate construction projects, respectively. These amounts are not included in the above table.

The Company utilizes letters of credit to back certain reinsurance payments and obligations. Outstanding letters of credit were $18 million as of December 31, 2016. The Company has made certain guarantees to state regulators that the statutory capital of certain subsidiaries will be maintained above certain minimum levels.

Off-Balance Sheet Arrangements

An off-balance sheet arrangement is any transaction, agreement or other contractual arrangement involving an unconsolidated entity under which a company has (1) made guarantees, (2) a retained or contingent interest in transferred assets, (3) an obligation under derivative instruments classified as equity or (4) any obligation arising out of a material variable interest in an unconsolidated entity that provides financing, liquidity, market risk or credit risk support to the Company, or that engages in leasing, hedging or research and development arrangements with the Company. The Company has no arrangements of these types that management believes may have a material current or future effect on our financial condition, liquidity or results of operations.

Previous: Item 6. SELECTED FINANCIAL DATA · Next: Item 7A. QUANTITATIVE AND QUALITATIVE DISCLOSURES ABOUT MARKET RISK