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Item 1A. RISK FACTORS.

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Item 1A. RISK FACTORS.

In addition to the other information set forth in this report and the risk factor noted below, you should carefully consider the factors discussed in Part I, Item IA., "Risk Factors" in our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2020. The risks described in our Annual Report and herein are not the only risks facing us. Additional risks and uncertainties not currently known to us or that we currently deem to be immaterial may also materially adversely affect our business, financial condition, cash flows and/or future results.

Our operations at Yanacocha and the development of our Conga project in Peru are subject to political and social unrest risks.

Minera Yanacocha S.R.L. (“Yanacocha”), in which we own a 51.35% interest, and whose properties include the mining operations at Yanacocha and the Conga project in Peru, has been the target of local political and community protests, some of which blocked the road between the Yanacocha mine and Conga project complexes in the City of Cajamarca in Peru and resulted in vandalism and equipment damage. While recently roadblocks and protests have diminished and focused on local political activism and labor disputes, we cannot predict whether similar or more significant incidents will occur in the future. The recurrence of significant political or community opposition or protests could continue to adversely affect the Conga Project’s development, other new projects in the area and the continued operation of Yanacocha.

Construction activities on our Conga project were suspended in 2011, at the request of Peru’s central government following protests in Cajamarca by anti-mining activists led by the regional president. At the request of the Peruvian central government, the environmental impact assessment prepared in connection with the project was reviewed by independent experts in an effort to resolve allegations around the environmental viability of Conga. This review concluded that the environmental impact assessment complied with international standards and provided recommendations to improve water management. Due to the uncertainty surrounding the project’s development timeline, we have allocated our exploration and development capital to other projects in our portfolio. As a result, the Conga project is currently in care and maintenance and we will continue to evaluate long-term options to progress development of the Conga project. Should the Company be unable to develop the Conga project or conclude that future development is not in the best interest of the business, a future impairment charge may result.

The prior Central Government of Peru supported responsible mining as a vehicle for the growth and future development of Peru in 2020. However, following the most recent presidential election, we are unable to predict whether the Central government will continue to take similar positions in the future. In a close and contested election, Pedro Castillo was declared the president-elect of Peru in July 2021, which resulted in a period of protests, unrest and uncertainty around the political and social environment in Peru and Cajamarca. Castillo’s election platform had been considered to be less supportive of mining in the past, and raised concerns with respect to foreign investment and mining. However, the new Central Government’s legislative priorities and agenda remain to be established. Most recently, in October 2021, Castillo replaced members of his cabinet amid concerns of political instability, including the appointment of a new Prime Minister and ministers of mining, work, and interior. Additionally, previous regional governments of Cajamarca and other political parties actively opposed certain mining projects in the past, including by protests, community demands and road blockages, which may occur again in the future. We are unable to predict the positions that will be taken by the Central or regional government and neighboring communities in the future and whether such positions or changes in law will affect current operations and new projects at Yanacocha or Conga. Risks related to mining and foreign investment under the new administration include, without limitation, risks to mining concessions, land tenure and permitting, increased taxes and royalties, nationalization of mining assets and increased labor regulations, environmental and other regulatory requirements. Any change in government positions or laws on these issues could adversely affect the assets and operations of Yanacocha or Conga, which could have a material adverse effect on our results of operations and financial position. Additionally, the inability to develop Conga or operate at Yanacocha could have an adverse impact on our growth and production in the region.

In addition, in early 2015 and again in June 2017, the Peruvian government agency responsible for certain environmental regulations, the Ministry of the Environment (“MINAM”), issued proposed modifications to water quality criteria for designated beneficial uses which apply to mining companies, including Yanacocha. These criteria modified the in-stream water quality criteria pursuant to which Yanacocha has been designing water treatment processes and infrastructure. In December 2015, MINAM issued the final regulation that modified the water quality standards. These Peruvian regulations allow time to formulate a compliance plan and make any necessary changes to achieve compliance. In February 2017, Yanacocha submitted a modification to its previously approved compliance achievement plan to the Mining Ministry (“MINEM”). The Company did not receive a response or comments to this submission until April 2021 and is now in the process of updating its compliance achievement plan to address these comments. During this interim period, Yanacocha separately submitted an Environmental Impact Assessment (EIA) modification considering the ongoing operations and the projects to be developed and obtained authorization from MINEM for such projects. This authorization included a

deadline for compliance with the modified water quality criteria by January 2024. Consequently, part of the Company response to MINEM will include a request for an extension of time for coming into full compliance with the new regulations. In the event that MINEM does not grant Yanacocha an extension of the previously authorized timeline for, and agree to, the updated compliance achievement plan, fines and penalties relating to non-compliance may result beyond January 2024. The Company currently operates five water treatment plants at Yanacocha that have been and currently meet all currently applicable water discharge requirements. The Company is currently conducting detailed studies to better estimate water management and other closure activities that will ensure water quality and quantity discharge requirements, including the modifications promulgated by MINAM, as referenced above, will be met. This also includes performing a comprehensive update to the Yanacocha reclamation plan to address changes in closure activities and estimated closure costs while preserving optionality for potential future projects at Yanacocha.

These ongoing studies, which will extend beyond the current year, were progressed in the third quarter of 2021 as the study team continued to evaluate and revise assumptions and estimated costs of potential changes to the reclamation plan. The potential changes are currently undergoing review and remain subject to revision, therefore, the Company is unable to reasonably estimate a change to the reclamation obligation as of September 30, 2021. However, based on the work progressed in the third quarter and the resulting preliminary findings, the Company currently expects to make revisions to the reclamation plan that, should these findings be confirmed, would result in material increases to the cost of water treatment plant construction, water treatment operating costs and other costs associated with the closure plan.

In conjunction with the Company’s annual update process for all asset retirement obligations, the Company currently expects to record an adjustment to the Yanacocha reclamation liability in the fourth quarter of 2021 based on the planned progress of the closure studies. As related activities are progressed, it is expected that the preliminary findings, if confirmed, could result in a material increase in the reclamation obligation at Yanacocha of up to approximately $1.6 billion, primarily related to the upfront construction of water treatment plants and the related annual operating costs assumed over the extended closure period, with a corresponding non-cash charge to reclamation expense related to operations no longer in production. Work to refine the associated cost estimates and additional study work remain to be completed. Further, the ongoing Yanacocha closure studies are expected to continue beyond 2021. As a result, future material increases or decreases to the asset retirement obligation could occur as additional analyses are completed and further refinements to water quality and volume modeling are completed. Additionally, revisions to the Yanacocha reclamation plan may change in connection with the Company’s ultimate submission and review of the plan with Peruvian regulators.

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