Item 7. MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS
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Item 7. MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS
OVERVIEW
Wabtec is one of the world’s largest providers of value-added, technology-based products and services for the global rail industry. Our products are found on virtually all U.S. locomotives, freight cars and passenger transit vehicles, as well as in more than 100 countries throughout the world. Our products enhance safety, improve productivity and reduce maintenance costs for customers, and many of our core products and services are essential in the safe and efficient operation of freight rail and passenger transit vehicles. Wabtec is a global company with operations in 30 countries. In 2018, about 67% of the Company’s revenues came from customers outside the U.S.
Management Review and Future Outlook
Wabtec’s long-term financial goals are to generate cash flow from operations in excess of net income, maintain a strong credit profile while minimizing our overall cost of capital, increase margins through strict attention to cost controls and implementation of the Wabtec Excellence Program, and increase revenues through a focused growth strategy, including product innovation and new technologies, global and market expansion, aftermarket products and services, and acquisitions. In addition, Management evaluates the Company’s current operational performance through measures such as quality and on-time delivery.
The Company primarily serves the worldwide freight and transit rail industries. As such, our operating results are largely dependent on the level of activity, financial condition and capital spending plans of railroads and passenger transit agencies around the world, and transportation equipment manufacturers who serve those markets. Many factors influence these industries, including general economic conditions; traffic volumes, as measured by freight carloadings and passenger ridership; government spending on public transportation; and investment in new technologies. In general, trends such as increasing urbanization, a focus on sustainability and environmental awareness, an aging equipment fleet, and growth in global trade are expected to drive continued investment in freight and transit rail.
The Company monitors a variety of factors and statistics to gauge market activity. Freight rail markets around the world are driven primarily by overall economic conditions and activity, while Transit markets are driven primarily by government funding and passenger ridership. Changes in these market drivers can cause fluctuations in demand for Wabtec's products and services.
According to the 2018 bi-annual edition of a market study by UNIFE, the Association of the European Rail Industry, the accessible global market for railway products and services was more than $100 billion and was expected to grow at a compounded annual growth rate of 2.6% through 2023. The three largest geographic markets, which represented about 80% of the total accessible market, were Europe, North America and Asia Pacific. UNIFE projected above-average growth rates in North America, Latin America and Africa/Middle East, with Asia Pacific and Europe growing at about the industry average. UNIFE said trends such as urbanization and increasing mobility, deregulation, investments in new technologies, energy and environmental issues, and increasing government support continue to drive investment. The largest product segments of the market were rolling stock, services and infrastructure, which represent almost 90% of the accessible market. UNIFE projected spending on turnkey management projects and infrastructure to grow at above-average rates. UNIFE estimated that the global installed base of locomotives was about 114,000 units, with about 33% in Asia Pacific, about 26% in North America and about 18% in Russia-CIS (Commonwealth of Independent States). Wabtec estimates that about 2,500 new locomotives were delivered worldwide in 2018, and we expect deliveries of about 2,900 in 2019. UNIFE estimated the global installed base of freight cars was about 5.1 million, with about 33% in North America, about 26% in Asia Pacific and about 24% in Russia-CIS. Wabtec estimates that about 175,000 new freight cars were delivered worldwide in 2018, and we expect deliveries of about 174,000 in 2019. UNIFE estimated the global installed base of passenger transit vehicles to be about 600,000 units, with about 45% in Asia Pacific, about 33% in Europe and about 12% in Russia-CIS. Wabtec estimates that about 30,000 new passenger transit vehicles were ordered worldwide in 2018, and we expect orders of about the same number in 2019.
In Europe, the majority of the rail system serves the passenger transit market, which is expected to continue growing as energy and environmental factors encourage continued investment in public mass transit. According to UNIFE, France, Germany and the United Kingdom were the largest Western European transit markets, representing almost two-thirds of industry spending in the European Union. UNIFE projected the accessible Western European rail market to grow at about 2.3% annually, led by investments in new rolling stock in France and Germany. About 75% of freight traffic in Europe is hauled by truck, while rail accounts for about 20%. The largest freight markets in Europe are Germany, Poland and the United Kingdom. In recent years, the European Commission has adopted a series of measures designed to increase the efficiency of the European rail network by standardizing operating rules and certification requirements. UNIFE believes that adoption of these measures should have a positive effect on ridership and investment in public transportation over time.
In North America, railroads carry about 40% of intercity freight, as measured by ton-miles, which is more than any other mode of transportation. Through direct ownership and operating partnerships, U.S. railroads are part of an integrated network that includes railroads in Canada and Mexico, forming what is regarded as the world’s most-efficient and lowest-cost freight rail service. There are more than 500 railroads operating in North America, with the largest railroads, referred to as “Class I,” accounting for more than 90% of the industry’s revenues. The railroads carry a wide variety of commodities and goods, including coal, metals, minerals, chemicals, grain, and petroleum. These commodities represent about 50% of total rail carloadings, with intermodal carloads accounting for the rest. Railroads operate in a competitive environment, especially with the trucking industry, and are always seeking ways to improve safety, cost and reliability. New technologies offered by Wabtec and others in the industry can provide some of these benefits. Demand for our freight related products and services in North America is driven by a number of factors, including rail traffic, and production of new locomotives and new freight cars. In the U.S., the passenger transit industry is dependent largely on funding from federal, state and local governments, and from fare box revenues. Demand for North American passenger transit products is driven by a number of factors, including government funding, deliveries of new subway cars and buses, and ridership. The U.S. federal government provides money to local transit authorities, primarily to fund the purchase of new equipment and infrastructure for their transit systems.
Growth in the Asia Pacific market has been driven mainly by the continued urbanization of China and India, and by investments in freight rail rolling stock and infrastructure in Australia to serve its mining and natural resources markets. India is making significant investments in rolling stock and infrastructure to modernize its rail system; for example, the country has awarded a 1,000-unit locomotive order to GE Transportation.
Other key geographic markets include Russia-CIS and Africa-Middle East. With about 1.2 million freight cars and about 20,000 locomotives, Russia-CIS is among the largest freight rail markets in the world, and it’s expected to invest in both freight and transit rolling stock. PRASA, the Passenger Rail Agency of South Africa, is expected to continue to invest in new transit cars and new locomotives. According to UNIFE, emerging markets were expected to grow at above-average rates as global trade led to increased freight volumes and urbanization led to increased demand for efficient mass-transportation systems. As this growth occurs, Wabtec expects to have additional opportunities to provide products and services in these markets.
In its study, UNIFE also said it expected increased investment in digital tools for data and asset management, and in rail control technologies, both of which would improve efficiency in the global rail industry. UNIFE said data-driven asset management tools have the potential to reduce equipment maintenance costs and improve asset utilization, while rail control technologies have been focused on increasing track capacity, improving operational efficiency and ensuring safer railway traffic. Wabtec offers products and services to help customers make ongoing investments in these initiatives.
In 2019 and beyond, general global economic and market conditions will have an impact on our sales and operations. To the extent that these factors cause instability of capital markets, shortages of raw materials or component parts, longer sales cycles, deferral or delay of customer orders or an inability to market our products effectively, our business and results of operations could be materially adversely affected. In addition, we face risks associated with our four-point growth strategy including the level of investment that customers are willing to make in new technologies developed by the industry and the Company, and risks inherent in global expansion. When necessary, we will modify our financial and operating strategies to reflect changes in market conditions and risks.
MERGER OF WABTEC WITH GE TRANSPORTATION
Wabtec, GE, SpinCo, which was a newly formed wholly owned subsidiary of GE, and Merger Sub, which was a newly formed wholly owned subsidiary of the Company, entered into the Original Merger Agreement on May 20, 2018, and GE, SpinCo, Wabtec and Wabtec US Rail Holdings, Inc. ("Direct Sale Purchaser") entered into the Original Separation Agreement on May 20, 2018, which together provided for the combination of Wabtec and GE Transportation. The Original Merger Agreement and Original Separation Agreement were subsequently amended on January 25, 2019 and the merger was completed on February 25, 2019.
In connection with the Direct Sale, certain assets of GE Transportation, including the equity interests of certain pre-Transaction subsidiaries of GE that compose part of GE Transportation, were sold to Direct Sale Purchaser for a cash payment of $2.875 billion, and Direct Sale Purchaser assumed certain liabilities of GE Transportation in connection with this purchase. Thereafter, GE transferred the SpinCo Business to SpinCo and its subsidiaries (to the extent not already held by SpinCo and its subsidiaries), and SpinCo issued to GE shares of SpinCo Class A preferred stock, SpinCo Class B preferred stock, SpinCo Class C preferred stock and additional shares of SpinCo common stock in the SpinCo Transfer. Following this issuance of additional SpinCo common stock to GE, and immediately prior to the Distribution, GE owned 8,700,000,000 shares of SpinCo common stock, 15,000 shares of SpinCo Class A preferred stock, 10,000 shares of SpinCo Class B preferred stock and one share of SpinCo Class C preferred stock, which constituted all of the outstanding stock of SpinCo.
Following the Direct Sale, GE distributed the Distribution Shares of SpinCo in a spin-off transaction. Immediately after the Distribution, Merger Sub merged with and into SpinCo, whereby the separate corporate existence of Merger Sub ceased and SpinCo continued as the surviving company and a wholly owned subsidiary of Wabtec (except with respect to shares of SpinCo Class A preferred stock held by GE). In the Merger, subject to adjustment in accordance with the Merger Agreement, each share of SpinCo common stock converted into the right to receive a number of shares of Wabtec common stock based on the common stock exchange ratio set forth in the Merger Agreement and the share of SpinCo Class C preferred stock was converted into the right to receive (a) 10,000 shares of Wabtec convertible preferred stock and (b) a number of shares of Wabtec common stock equal to 9.9% of the fully-diluted pro forma Wabtec shares. Immediately prior to the Merger, Wabtec paid $10.0 million in cash to GE in exchange for all of the shares of SpinCo Class B preferred stock.
Upon consummation of the Merger and calculated based on Wabtec’s outstanding common stock on a fully-diluted, as-converted and as-exercised basis, as of December 31, 2018, approximately 49.2% of the outstanding shares of Wabtec common stock would be held collectively by GE and Spin-Off record date holders of GE common stock (with 9.9% to be held by GE directly in shares of Wabtec common stock and 15% underlying the shares of Wabtec convertible preferred stock to be held by GE) and approximately 50.8% of the outstanding shares of Wabtec common stock would be held by pre-Merger Wabtec stockholders. Following the effective time of the Merger, GE will also own 15,000 shares of SpinCo Class A preferred stock, and Wabtec will hold 10,000 shares of SpinCo Class B preferred stock. The shares of Wabtec common stock and Wabtec convertible preferred stock held by GE will be subject to GE’s obligations under the Shareholders Agreement, including, among other things, and in each case subject to certain exceptions, (i) restrictions on the ability to sell, transfer or otherwise divest such shares for a period of 30 days and (ii) an obligation to sell, transfer or otherwise divest (A) by no later than 120 days following the closing date of the Merger, GE’s (and its affiliates’) ownership of Wabtec common stock and/or Wabtec convertible preferred stock so that GE (together with its affiliates) beneficially owns not less than 14.9% and not more than 19.9% of the number of shares of Wabtec common stock that were outstanding immediately after the closing of the Merger, (B) by no later than one year following the closing date of the Merger, GE’s (and its affiliates’) ownership of Wabtec common stock and/or Wabtec convertible preferred stock so that GE (together with its affiliates) beneficially owns not more than 18.5% of the number of shares of Wabtec common stock that were outstanding immediately after the closing of the Merger, in each case of clauses (A) and (B) treating the Wabtec convertible preferred stock as the Wabtec common stock into which it is convertible both for purposes of determining the number of shares of Wabtec common stock owned and for purposes of determining the number of shares of Wabtec common stock outstanding and (C) by no later than the third anniversary of the closing date of the Merger, all of the subject shares that GE (together with its affiliates) beneficially owns, and (iii) an obligation to vote all of such shares of Wabtec common stock in the proportion required under the Shareholders Agreement.
The estimated total value of the consideration to be paid by Wabtec in the Transactions was subject to the market price of shares of Wabtec common stock at the date of closing. Using Wabtec’s closing stock price on the NYSE as of February 22, 2019, the total value of the consideration for the Transactions was approximately $10.2 billion, including the Direct Sale Purchase Price, contingent consideration, assumed debt and net of cash acquired.
On September 14, 2018, Wabtec completed a public offering and sale of (i) $500 million aggregate principal amount of floating rate senior notes, (ii) $750 million aggregate principal amount of 2024 Senior Notes and (iii) $1.25 billion aggregate principal amount of 2028 Senior Notes. The Company used the net proceeds from the offering and sale of these notes combined with the proceeds from a $400 million delayed draw term loan that was entered into on June 8, 2018 to finance the $2.875 billion Direct Sale. Wabtec used a portion of the proceeds from the September 14, 2018 notes to pay debt associated with its revolving credit facility. The remaining proceeds are classified as Restricted Cash on the consolidated balance sheet, as the Company used these cash amounts to finance the Direct Sale. Refer to Footnote 10 for further information regarding debt.
After the Merger, SpinCo, which is Wabtec’s wholly owned subsidiary (except with respect to shares of SpinCo Class A preferred stock held by GE), holds the SpinCo Business and Direct Sale Purchaser, which also is Wabtec’s wholly owned subsidiary, holds the assets purchased and the liabilities assumed in connection with the Direct Sale. Together, SpinCo and Direct Sale Purchaser own and operate the post-Transaction GE Transportation. All shares of the Company’s common stock, including those issued in the Merger, are listed on the NYSE under the Company’s current trading symbol “WAB.”
On the date of the Distribution, GE or its subsidiaries and SpinCo or the SpinCo Transferred Subsidiaries entered into additional agreements relating to, among other things, intellectual property, employee matters, tax matters, research and development and transition services.
ACQUISITION OF FAIVELEY TRANSPORT S.A.
On November 30, 2016, the Company acquired majority ownership of Faiveley Transport under the terms of the Share Purchase Agreement. Faiveley Transport is a leading global provider of value-added, integrated systems and services for the railway industry with annual sales of about $1.2 billion and more than 5,700 employees in 24 countries. Faiveley Transport supplies railway manufacturers, operators and maintenance providers with a range of value-added, technology-based systems and services in Energy & Comfort (air conditioning, power collectors and converters, and passenger information), Access & Mobility (passenger access systems and platform doors), and Brakes and Safety (braking systems and couplers). The transaction was structured as a step acquisition as follows:
| • | On November 30, 2016, the Company acquired majority ownership of Faiveley Transport, after completing the purchase of the Faiveley family’s ownership interest under the terms of the Share Purchase Agreement, which directed the Company to pay €100 per share of Faiveley Transport, payable between 25% and 45% in cash at the election of those shareholders and the remainder payable in Wabtec stock. The Faiveley family’s ownership interest acquired by the Company represented approximately 51% of outstanding share capital and approximately 49% of the outstanding voting shares of Faiveley Transport. Upon completion of the share purchase under the Share Purchase Agreement, Wabtec commenced a tender offer for the remaining publicly traded Faiveley Transport shares. The public shareholders had the option to elect to receive €100 per share in cash or 1.1538 shares of Wabtec common stock per share of Faiveley Transport. The common stock portion of the consideration was subject to a cap on issuance of Wabtec common shares that was equivalent to the rates of cash and stock elected by the 51% owners. |
| • | On February 3, 2017, the initial cash tender offer was closed, which resulted in the Company acquiring approximately 27% of additional outstanding share capital and voting rights of Faiveley Transport for approximately $411.8 million in cash and $25.2 million in Wabtec stock. After the initial cash tender offer, the Company owned approximately 78% of outstanding share capital and 76% of voting rights. |
| • | On March 6, 2017, the final cash tender offer was closed, which resulted in the Company acquiring approximately 21% of additional outstanding share capital and 22% of additional outstanding voting rights of Faiveley Transport for approximately $303.2 million in cash and $0.3 million in Wabtec stock. After the final cash tender offer, the Company owned approximately 99% of the share capital and 98% of the voting rights of Faiveley Transport. |
| • | On March 21, 2017, a mandatory squeeze-out procedure was finalized, which resulted in the Company acquiring the Faiveley Transport shares not tendered in the offers for approximately $17.5 million in cash. This resulted in the Company owning 100% of the share capital and voting rights of Faiveley Transport. |
As of November 30, 2016, the date the Company acquired 51% of the share capital and 49% of the voting interest in Faiveley Transport, Faiveley Transport was consolidated under the variable interest entity model as the Company concluded that it was the primary beneficiary of Faiveley Transport as it then possessed the power to direct the activities of Faiveley Transport that most significantly impact its economic performance and it then possessed the obligation and right to absorb losses and benefits from Faiveley Transport.
The purchase price paid for 100% ownership of Faiveley Transport was $1,507 million. The $744.7 million included as deposits in escrow on the consolidated balance sheet at December 31, 2016 was cash designated for use as consideration for the tender offers.
RESULTS OF OPERATIONS
The following table shows our Consolidated Statements of Operations for the years indicated.
| For the year ended December 31, | ||||||||||||
| In thousands | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | |||||||||
| Net sales | $ | 4,363,547 | $ | 3,881,756 | $ | 2,931,188 | ||||||
| Cost of sales | (3,129,662 | ) | (2,816,443 | ) | (2,006,949 | ) | ||||||
| Gross profit | 1,233,885 | 1,065,313 | 924,239 | |||||||||
| Selling, general and administrative expenses | (633,244 | ) | (512,552 | ) | (373,559 | ) | ||||||
| Engineering expenses | (87,450 | ) | (95,166 | ) | (71,375 | ) | ||||||
| Amortization expense | (39,754 | ) | (36,516 | ) | (22,698 | ) | ||||||
| Total operating expenses | (760,448 | ) | (644,234 | ) | (467,632 | ) | ||||||
| Income from operations | 473,437 | 421,079 | 456,607 | |||||||||
| Interest expense, net | (112,235 | ) | (77,884 | ) | (50,298 | ) | ||||||
| Other income, net | 6,380 | 8,868 | 6,528 | |||||||||
| Income from operations before income taxes | 367,582 | 352,063 | 412,837 | |||||||||
| Income tax expense | (75,879 | ) | (89,773 | ) | (99,433 | ) | ||||||
| Net income | 291,703 | 262,290 | 313,404 | |||||||||
| Net loss (income) attributable to noncontrolling interest | 3,241 | (29 | ) | (8,517 | ) | |||||||
| Net income attributable to Wabtec shareholders | $ | 294,944 | $ | 262,261 | $ | 304,887 |
2018 COMPARED TO 2017
The following table summarizes the results of operations for the period:
| For the year ended December 31, | |||||||||||
| Percent | |||||||||||
| In thousands | 2018 | 2017 | Change | ||||||||
| Freight Segment | $ | 1,564,297 | $ | 1,396,588 | 12.0 | % | |||||
| Transit Segment | 2,799,250 | 2,485,168 | 12.6 | % | |||||||
| Net sales | 4,363,547 | 3,881,756 | 12.4 | % | |||||||
| Income from operations | 473,437 | 421,079 | 12.4 | % | |||||||
| Net income attributable to Wabtec shareholders | $ | 300,344 | $ | 262,261 | 14.5 | % |
The following table shows the major components of the change in sales in 2018 from 2017:
| Freight | Transit | |||||||||||
| In thousands | Segment | Segment | Total | |||||||||
| 2017 Net Sales | $ | 1,396,588 | $ | 2,485,168 | $ | 3,881,756 | ||||||
| Acquisitions | 50,876 | 83,829 | 134,705 | |||||||||
| Change in Sales by Product Line: | ||||||||||||
| Specialty Products & Electronics | 85,098 | 73,797 | 158,895 | |||||||||
| Brake Products | 21,561 | 104,642 | 126,203 | |||||||||
| Remanufacturing, Overhaul & Build | (21,862 | ) | 15,356 | (6,506 | ) | |||||||
| Transit Products | — | (30,037 | ) | (30,037 | ) | |||||||
| Other | 33,174 | 3,044 | 36,218 | |||||||||
| Foreign exchange | (1,138 | ) | 63,451 | 62,313 | ||||||||
| 2018 Net Sales | $ | 1,564,297 | $ | 2,799,250 | $ | 4,363,547 |
Net sales increased by $481.8 million to $4,363.5 million in 2018 from $3,881.8 million in 2017. The increase is primarily due to an organic increase of $158.9 million for Specialty Products and Electronics from higher demand for freight and transit original equipment rail products and train control and signaling products and services and a $126.2 million increase for Brake Products due to increased demand for original equipment brakes from freight and transit customers. Additionally, sales from acquisitions increased sales by $134.7 million, and favorable foreign exchange increased sales $62.3 million.
Freight Segment sales increased by $167.7 million, or 12.0%, mostly from an organic increase of $85.1 million for Specialty Products and Electronics due to higher demand for freight original equipment rail products and train control and signaling products and services. Additionally, Other Products sales increased $33.2 million from increased spare parts demand resulting from an increase in rail traffic. Acquisitions increased sales by $50.9 million.
Transit Segment sales increased by $314.1 million, or 12.6%, primarily due to a $104.6 million increase for Brake Products from higher demand for original equipment brakes, $83.8 million from sales related to acquisitions, and $73.8 million for Specialty Products and Electronics from higher demand for train control and signaling products and services. Favorable foreign exchange increased sales by $63.5 million.
Cost of Sales and Gross Profit The following table shows the major components of cost of sales for the periods indicated:
| For the year ended December 31, 2018 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| In thousands | Freight | Percentage of Sales | Transit | Percentage of Sales | Total | Percentage of Sales | ||||||||||||||
| Material | $ | 544,580 | 34.8 | % | $ | 1,154,663 | 41.2 | % | $ | 1,699,243 | 38.9 | % | ||||||||
| Labor | 227,006 | 14.5 | % | 484,581 | 17.3 | % | 711,587 | 16.3 | % | |||||||||||
| Overhead | 271,351 | 17.3 | % | 382,539 | 13.7 | % | 653,890 | 15.0 | % | |||||||||||
| Other/Warranty | 9,980 | 0.6 | % | 54,962 | 2.0 | % | 64,942 | 1.5 | % | |||||||||||
| Total cost of sales | $ | 1,052,917 | 67.2 | % | $ | 2,076,745 | 74.2 | % | $ | 3,129,662 | 71.7 | % | ||||||||
| For the year ended December 31, 2017 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| In thousands | Freight | Percentage of Sales | Transit | Percentage of Sales | Total | Percentage of Sales | ||||||||||||||
| Material | $ | 526,727 | 37.7 | % | $ | 1,123,571 | 45.2 | % | $ | 1,650,298 | 42.5 | % | ||||||||
| Labor | 186,863 | 13.4 | % | 339,110 | 13.6 | % | 525,973 | 13.5 | % | |||||||||||
| Overhead | 233,786 | 16.7 | % | 341,389 | 13.7 | % | 575,175 | 14.8 | % | |||||||||||
| Other/Warranty | 7,148 | 0.5 | % | 57,849 | 2.3 | % | 64,997 | 1.7 | % | |||||||||||
| Total cost of sales | $ | 954,524 | 68.3 | % | $ | 1,861,919 | 74.8 | % | $ | 2,816,443 | 72.5 | % |
Cost of sales increased by $313.2 million to $3,129.7 million in 2018 compared to $2,816.4 million in 2017. In 2018, cost of sales as a percentage of sales was 71.7% compared to 72.5% in 2017. Cost of sales in 2018 includes $17.6 million of restructuring costs primarily in the Transit Segment. Cost of sales in 2017 includes $44.5 million of project adjustments on certain projects and $11.8 million of restructuring and integration costs related to recent acquisitions, all of which were primarily in the Transit Segment. Excluding the restructuring costs and contract adjustments in both years, cost of sales increased 0.2% as a percentage of sales.
Freight Segment cost of sales decreased 1.1% as a percentage of sales to 67.2% in 2018 compared to 68.3% in 2017. The decrease is primarily related to a favorable product mix which saw an increase in sales for train control and signaling products and services and freight car products due to an increase in freight cars built which have a higher margin. The train control and signaling products and services have lower material content and higher labor content which contributed to the decrease in material costs as a percentage of revenue and a subsequent increase in the labor percentage. Additionally, there were $11.4 million of project adjustments and restructuring costs in 2017, which did not recur in 2018.
Transit Segment cost of sales decreased 0.6% as a percentage of sales to 74.2% in 2018 compared to 74.8% in 2017. Cost of sales in 2018 includes $15.9 million of restructuring costs primarily related to the downsizing of operations in the U.K. and consolidation of certain operations in the U.S. and China. Cost of sales in 2017 includes $37.6 million of project adjustments on certain contracts primarily related to material and warranty cost and $7.3 million of restructuring and integration costs related to recent acquisitions. Excluding the restructuring costs and contract adjustments in both years, Transit Segment cost of sales increased 0.5% as a percentage of sales. This increase is a result of additional costs on projects primarily in the U.K.
Included in cost of sales is warranty expense. The provision for warranty expense is generally established for specific losses, along with historical estimates of customer claims as a percentage of sales, which can cause variability in warranty expense between quarters. Warranty expense was $58.0 million in 2018 compared to $50.4 million in 2017. The increase in warranty expense is primarily related to the increase in sales.
Operating expenses The following table shows our operating expenses:
| For the year ended December 31, | ||||||||||||||
| Percentage of | Percentage of | |||||||||||||
| In thousands | 2018 | Sales | 2017 | Sales | ||||||||||
| Selling, general and administrative expenses | $ | 633,244 | 14.5 | % | $ | 512,552 | 13.2 | % | ||||||
| Engineering expenses | 87,450 | 2.0 | % | 95,166 | 2.5 | % | ||||||||
| Amortization expense | 39,754 | 0.9 | % | 36,516 | 0.9 | % | ||||||||
| Total operating expenses | $ | 760,448 | 17.4 | % | $ | 644,234 | 16.6 | % |
Total operating expenses as a percentage of sales increased 0.8% to 17.4% in 2018 compared to 16.6% in 2017. Selling, general, and administrative expenses increased $120.7 million, or 23.5%, primarily due to $21.3 million of costs related to the GE Transportation transaction, $20.3 million of restructuring costs related to the exit of certain operations and headcount reductions across the company, $7.2 million of costs related to a goods and service tax law change in India, $14.8 million of increased employee benefit costs and $18.0 million in incremental expense from acquisitions. Changes in foreign currency rates increased selling, general, and administrative expenses by $14.1 million and organic sales volume increases contributed to the remainder of the change. In 2017, selling, general, and administrative expenses included $29.7 million of Faiveley Transport transaction and restructuring costs. Engineering expense decreased by $7.7 million, or 13.8%, primarily due to timing of research and development expenses. Amortization expense increased $3.1 million due to amortization of intangibles associated with acquisitions.
The following table shows our segment operating expenses:
| For the year ended December 31, | |||||||||||
| Percent | |||||||||||
| In thousands | 2018 | 2017 | Change | ||||||||
| Freight Segment | $ | 206,549 | $ | 177,787 | 16.2 | % | |||||
| Transit Segment | 494,565 | 435,031 | 13.7 | % | |||||||
| Corporate | 59,334 | 31,416 | 88.9 | % | |||||||
| Total operating expenses | $ | 760,448 | $ | 644,234 | 18.0 | % |
Freight Segment operating expenses increased $28.8 million, or 16.2%, in 2018 and increased 50 basis points to 13.2% of sales. The increase is primarily attributable to increased sales and marketing expenses of $4.0 million attributable to the increased sales volumes, increased employee benefit costs of $5.4 million, and $11.1 million of incremental operating expenses from prior year acquisitions.
Transit Segment operating expenses increased $59.5 million, or 13.7%, in 2018 and increased 20 basis points to 17.7% of sales. Operating expense included $18.3 million and $20.0 million of restructuring and integration charges in 2018 and 2017, respectively. The 2018 restructuring charges related to the exit of certain operations and headcount reductions and the 2017 restructuring charges related to Faiveley Transportation integration costs. Additionally, in 2018, operating expenses includes $7.2 million of costs related to a goods and service tax law change in India. Excluding the restructuring and integration costs in both years and the impact of the goods and service tax law change in 2018, Transit operating expenses increased $54.1 million. This increase is primarily due to increased sales volumes, increase employee benefits costs of $9.5 million, and $11.0 million of incremental operating expenses from acquisitions. In addition, changes in foreign currency rates increased operating expenses by $15.8 million.
Corporate non-allocated operating expenses increased $27.9 million in 2018 due primarily to costs related to the GE Transportation transaction of $21.3 million and increased litigation costs of $6.7 million. The prior year operating costs included $5.7 million related to the Faiveley integration.
Interest expense, net Overall interest expense, net, increased $34.4 million in 2018 because of interest expense associated with the proposed GE Transportation transaction of $29.3 million. In addition, net interest expense in the prior year included a $2.2 million benefit related to the prepayment of debt assumed in the Faiveley Transport acquisition.
Other expense, net Other expense, net, decreased $2.5 million to $6.4 million for 2018, compared to 2017.
Income taxes The effective income tax rate was 20.6% and 25.5% in 2018 and 2017, respectively. On December 22, 2017, the U.S. government enacted comprehensive tax legislation commonly referred to as the Tax Act. The U.S. tax reform bill lowered the Federal statutory tax rate from 35% to 21% beginning January 1, 2018. The decrease in the effective tax for the
twelve months ended December 31, 2018 is the result of a higher earnings mix in lower tax jurisdictions as well as a benefit from the completion of the accounting for the income tax effects of the Tax Act and the adjustment to the provisional amounts previously recorded in accordance with SEC Staff Accounting Bulletin No. 118 which was partially offset by the reversal of non-recurring tax benefits recorded in the twelve months ended December 31, 2018.
2017 COMPARED TO 2016
The following table summarizes the results of operations for the period:
| For the year ended December 31, | |||||||||||
| Percent | |||||||||||
| In thousands | 2017 | 2016 | Change | ||||||||
| Freight Segment | $ | 1,396,588 | $ | 1,543,098 | (9.5 | )% | |||||
| Transit Segment | 2,485,168 | 1,388,090 | 79.0 | % | |||||||
| Net sales | 3,881,756 | 2,931,188 | 32.4 | % | |||||||
| Income from operations | 421,079 | 456,607 | (7.8 | )% | |||||||
| Net income attributable to Wabtec shareholders | $ | 262,261 | 304,887 | (14.0 | )% |
The following table shows the major components of the change in sales in 2017 from 2016:
| Freight | Transit | |||||||||||
| In thousands | Segment | Segment | Total | |||||||||
| 2016 Net Sales | $ | 1,543,098 | $ | 1,388,090 | $ | 2,931,188 | ||||||
| Acquisition | 148,122 | 1,035,061 | 1,183,183 | |||||||||
| Change in Sales by Product Line: | ||||||||||||
| Specialty Products & Electronics | (164,532 | ) | 8,502 | (156,030 | ) | |||||||
| Remanufacturing, Overhaul & Build | (79,129 | ) | 10,548 | (68,581 | ) | |||||||
| Brake Products | (51,595 | ) | 2,473 | (49,122 | ) | |||||||
| Transit Products | — | 45,462 | 45,462 | |||||||||
| Other | (480 | ) | 1,397 | 917 | ||||||||
| Foreign exchange | 1,104 | (6,365 | ) | (5,261 | ) | |||||||
| 2017 Net Sales | $ | 1,396,588 | $ | 2,485,168 | $ | 3,881,756 |
Net sales increased by $950.6 million to $3,881.8 million in 2017 from $2,931.2 million in 2016. The increase is due to sales from acquisitions of $1,183.2 million with the majority related to the Faiveley Transport acquisition. This increase was partially offset by a $156.0 million decrease for Specialty Products and Electronics due to lower demand for freight original equipment rail products and train control and signaling products and services, a $68.6 million decrease for Remanufacturing, Overhaul and Build primarily due to the absence of a large locomotive rebuild contract that completed in 2016, and a $49.1 million decrease for Brake products due to lower demand for original equipment brakes from freight and transit customers. Unfavorable foreign exchange decreased sales $5.3 million.
Freight Segment sales decreased by $146.5 million, or 9.5%, primarily due to a $164.5 million decrease for Specialty Products and Electronics sales from lower demand for freight original equipment rail products and train control and signaling products attributable to lower freight car and locomotive builds, a decrease of $79.1 million for Remanufacturing, Overhaul and Build sales due to a large locomotive rebuild contract that was completed in 2016, and a $51.6 million decrease in Brake Products sales from lower demand for original equipment brakes and aftermarket services. Acquisitions increased sales by $148.1 million and favorable foreign exchange increased sales by $1.1 million.
Transit Segment sales increased by $1,097.1 million, or 79.0%, primarily due to an increase in sales from acquisitions of $1,035.1 million with the majority related to the Faiveley Transport acquisition. Additionally, Transit Products sales increased $45.5 million from increased demand in original train doors, air conditioning systems, and other transit electronics, Overhaul & Build sales increased $10.5 million due to an increase in transit overhaul demand, and Specialty Products & Electronics sales increased $8.5 million due to increased demand for transit train control and signaling products and services. Unfavorable foreign exchange decreased sales by $6.4 million.
Cost of Sales and Gross Profit The following table shows the major components of cost of sales for the periods indicated:
| For the year ended December 31, 2017 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| In thousands | Freight | Percentage of Sales | Transit | Percentage of Sales | Total | Percentage of Sales | ||||||||||||||
| Material | $ | 526,727 | 37.7 | % | $ | 1,123,571 | 45.2 | % | $ | 1,650,298 | 42.5 | % | ||||||||
| Labor | 186,863 | 13.4 | % | 339,110 | 13.6 | % | 525,973 | 13.5 | % | |||||||||||
| Overhead | 233,786 | 16.7 | % | 341,389 | 13.7 | % | 575,175 | 14.8 | % | |||||||||||
| Other/Warranty | 7,148 | 0.5 | % | 57,849 | 2.3 | % | 64,997 | 1.7 | % | |||||||||||
| Total cost of sales | $ | 954,524 | 68.3 | % | $ | 1,861,919 | 74.8 | % | $ | 2,816,443 | 72.5 | % | ||||||||
| For the year ended December 31, 2016 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| In thousands | Freight | Percentage of Sales | Transit | Percentage of Sales | Total | Percentage of Sales | ||||||||||||||
| Material | $ | 590,876 | 38.3 | % | $ | 587,516 | 42.3 | % | $ | 1,178,392 | 40.2 | % | ||||||||
| Labor | 176,518 | 11.4 | % | 170,481 | 12.3 | % | 346,999 | 11.8 | % | |||||||||||
| Overhead | 242,956 | 15.7 | % | 213,821 | 15.4 | % | 456,777 | 15.6 | % | |||||||||||
| Other/Warranty | 5,575 | 0.4 | % | 19,206 | 1.4 | % | 24,781 | 0.8 | % | |||||||||||
| Total cost of sales | $ | 1,015,925 | 65.8 | % | $ | 991,024 | 71.4 | % | $ | 2,006,949 | 68.4 | % |
Cost of sales increased by $809.5 million to $2,816.4 million in 2017 compared to $2,006.9 million in the same period of 2016. For the twelve months ended 2017, cost of sales as a percentage of sales was 72.5% compared to 68.4% in the same period of 2016. The increase as a percentage of sales is due to product mix largely attributable to higher transit segment sales due to acquisitions, along with an unfavorable product mix within the freight segment. Also contributing to the increase were higher project adjustments of $44.5 million recorded on certain existing contracts and $11.8 million of restructuring and integration costs related to recent acquisitions.
Freight Segment cost of sales increased 2.5% as a percentage of sales to 68.3% in 2017 compared to 65.8% for the same period of 2016. The increase is primarily related to lower demand for freight original equipment rail products and train control and signaling products and services which typically offer a higher margin, higher project adjustments of $6.9 million on certain existing contracts related to labor, material and warranty costs, and $4.5 million of restructuring and integration costs related to recent acquisitions.
Transit Segment cost of sales increased 3.4% as a percentage of sales to 74.8% in 2017 compared to 71.4% for the same period in 2016. The increase is primarily related to product mix largely attributable to the acquisition of Faiveley Transport, which has lower overall margins and higher project adjustments of $37.6 million on certain existing contracts primarily related to material and warranty costs and $7.3 million of restructuring and integration costs related to recent acquisitions.
Included in cost of sales is warranty expense. The provision for warranty expense is generally established for specific losses, along with historical estimates of customer claims as a percentage of sales, which can cause variability in warranty expense between quarters. Warranty expense was $50.4 million in 2017 compared to $28.9 million in 2016. The increase in warranty expense is primarily related to the increase in sales and the contract adjustments noted above.
Operating expenses The following table shows our operating expenses:
| For the year ended December 31, | ||||||||||||||
| Percentage of | Percentage of | |||||||||||||
| In thousands | 2017 | Sales | 2016 | Sales | ||||||||||
| Selling, general and administrative expenses | $ | 512,552 | 13.2 | % | $ | 373,559 | 12.7 | % | ||||||
| Engineering expenses | 95,166 | 2.5 | % | 71,375 | 2.4 | % | ||||||||
| Amortization expense | 36,516 | 0.9 | % | 22,698 | 0.8 | % | ||||||||
| Total operating expenses | $ | 644,234 | 16.6 | % | $ | 467,632 | 15.9 | % |
Total operating expenses were 16.6% and 15.9% of sales for 2017 and 2016, respectively. Selling, general, and administrative expenses increased $139.0 million, or 37.2%, primarily due to $174.7 million in incremental expense from acquisitions partially offset by lower costs due to cost saving initiatives and lower organic sales volumes. Engineering expense increased $23.8 million or 33.3% primarily due to additional expenses from acquisitions and remained a relatively consistent as a percentage of sales. Amortization expense increased $13.8 million due to amortization of intangibles associated with new acquisitions.
The following table shows our segment operating expenses:
| For the year ended December 31, | |||||||||||
| Percent | |||||||||||
| In thousands | 2017 | 2016 | Change | ||||||||
| Freight Segment | $ | 177,787 | $ | 183,595 | (3.2 | )% | |||||
| Transit Segment | 435,031 | 226,497 | 92.1 | % | |||||||
| Corporate | 31,416 | 57,540 | (45.4 | )% | |||||||
| Total operating expenses | $ | 644,234 | $ | 467,632 | 37.8 | % |
Freight Segment operating expenses decreased $5.8 million, or 3.2%, in 2017 and increased 80 basis points to 12.7% of sales. The decrease is primarily attributable to reduced sales volumes and realized benefits associated with the cost saving initiatives undertaken in 2017 partially offset by $19.7 million of incremental operating expenses from acquisitions and $3.2 million related to integration and restructuring costs.
Transit Segment operating expenses increased $208.5 million, or 92.1%, in 2017 and increased 120 basis points to 17.5% of sales. The increase is primarily related to $191 million of incremental operating expenses related to acquisitions and $20 million related to integration and restructuring costs related to recent acquisitions.
Corporate non-allocated operating expenses decreased $26.1 million in 2017 primarily due to a decrease in Faiveley Transport transaction and integration costs as well as benefits from cost savings initiatives undertaken in 2017 and 2016.
Interest expense, net Overall interest expense, net, increased $27.6 million in 2017 due to a higher overall debt balance in 2017 compared to 2016, primarily related to the Faiveley Transport acquisition and higher interest rates.
Other (expense) income, net Other income, net, increased $2.3 million to $8.9 million for 2017, compared to 2016 primarily due to an increase in equity income earned on unconsolidated subsidiaries.
Income taxes The effective income tax rate was 25.5% and 24.1% in 2017 and 2016, respectively. On December 22, 2017, the U.S. government enacted comprehensive tax legislation commonly referred to as the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (the "U.S. tax reform bill"). On December 23, 2017, the French government enacted the Finance Act for 2018 and it was published in the Official Bulletin on December 31, 2017. As a result, tax expense increased by $55.0 million related to the U.S. tax reform bill, see Note 12 of "Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements" included in Part IV, Item 8 of this report for further explanation. This was offset by decreases of $50.7 million primarily due to the revaluation of the net U.S. and French deferred tax liabilities as a result of the tax law enactments and the result of a lower earnings mix in higher tax rate jurisdictions. The net favorable deferred tax benefits related to the adjustment of deferred tax liabilities which had originally been established in prior periods.
Liquidity and Capital Resources
Liquidity is provided by operating cash flow and borrowings under the Company’s unsecured credit facility with a consortium of commercial banks. The following is a summary of selected cash flow information and other relevant data:
| For the year ended December 31, | ||||||||||||
| In thousands | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | |||||||||
| Cash provided by (used for): | ||||||||||||
| Operating activities | $ | 314,671 | $ | 188,811 | $ | 450,530 | ||||||
| Investing activities | (147,287 | ) | (1,033,474 | ) | (232,966 | ) | ||||||
| Financing activities: | ||||||||||||
| Proceeds from debt | 3,480,702 | 1,216,740 | 1,875,000 | |||||||||
| Payments of debt | (1,453,954 | ) | (1,269,537 | ) | (1,102,748 | ) | ||||||
| Stock repurchases | — | — | (212,176 | ) | ||||||||
| Cash dividends | (46,277 | ) | (42,218 | ) | (32,430 | ) |
Operating activities. Cash provided by operations in 2018 was $314.7 million compared with $188.8 million in 2017. In comparison to 2017, cash provided by operations increased due to favorable working capital performance and higher net income of $29.4 million. The major components of the increase in cash provided by operations were as follows: a favorable change in accounts payable of $140.5 million due to the timing of payments to suppliers, a favorable change in taxes of $22.4 million due to the revaluation of deferred taxes caused by the Tax Cut and Jobs Act (the "Tax Act") and the timing of income tax payments, and a favorable change in accrued liabilities and customer deposits of $50.6 million due to an increase in customer advances during 2018. These favorable changes in working capital were offset by an unfavorable change in inventory of $99.9 million due to efforts to ramp up production in anticipation of stronger product demand in 2019.
Cash provided by operations in 2017 was $188.8 million compared with $450.5 million in 2016. In comparison to 2016, cash provided by operations decreased due to unfavorable working capital performance and lower net income of $51.1 million. The major components of working capital were as follows: an unfavorable change of $88.4 million in accounts receivable primarily due to higher sales, an unfavorable change in accounts payable of $72.8 million due to the timing of payments to suppliers, an unfavorable change of $25.4 million in other assets and liabilities primarily due to an unfavorable change in accrued liabilities due to payments related to contract liabilities, accrued expenses, and acquisition costs in 2017, and an unfavorable change in inventory of $54.3 million due to efforts to ramp up production in anticipation of stronger product demand in 2018.
Investing activities. In 2018, 2017 and 2016, cash used in investing activities was $147.3 million, $1,033.5 million and $233.0 million, respectively. The major components of the cash outflow in 2018 were planned additions to property, plant, and equipment of $93.3 million for continued investments in our facilities and manufacturing processes and $51.2 million in net cash paid for acquisitions. These outflows were partially offset by $11.3 million in proceeds from disposal of property, plant, and equipment. This compares to $89.5 million for property, plant, and equipment and $945.3 million in net cash paid for acquisitions in 2017, primarily related to the acquisition of Faiveley Transport. In 2016, $50.2 million of cash was used to purchase property, plant, and equipment and net cash paid for acquisitions was $183.1 million.
Financing activities. In 2018, cash provided by financing activities was $1,978.1 million, which included $2,500.0 million in proceeds from new borrowings, $980.7 million in proceeds from the revolving credit facility, $1,453.9 million in repayments of debt, and $46.3 million of dividend payments. In 2017, cash used for financing activities was $97.4 million, which included $1,216.7 million in proceeds from the revolving credit facility debt, $1,269.5 million of repayments of debt on the revolving credit facility, and dividend payments of $42.2 million. In 2016, cash provided by financing activities was $523.0 million, which included $1,125.0 million in proceeds from the revolving credit facility debt, $770.0 million of repayments of debt on the revolving credit facility, $332.7 million in repayments of other debt, which was primarily driven by repayments of debt acquired from the purchase of Faiveley Transport, $750.0 million of new borrowings on the 2026 Senior Notes, $32.4 million of dividend payments and $212.2 million of Wabtec stock repurchases.
The following table shows outstanding indebtedness at December 31, 2018 and 2017:
| December 31, | ||||||||
| In thousands | 2018 | 2017 | ||||||
| Floating Senior Notes, due 2021, net of unamortized debt issuance costs of $3,204 | $ | 496,796 | $ | — | ||||
| 4.150% Senior Notes, due 2024, net of unamortized debt issuance costs of $7,043 | 742,957 | — | ||||||
| 4.70% Senior Notes, due 2028, net of unamortized debt issuance costs of $10,343 | 1,239,657 | — | ||||||
| 3.45% Senior Notes, due 2026, net of unamortized debt issuance costs of $1,718 and $2,345 | 748,282 | 747,655 | ||||||
| 4.375% Senior Notes, due 2023, net of unamortized discount and debt issuance costs of $1,177 and $1,433 | 248,823 | 248,567 | ||||||
| Revolving Credit Facility, net of unamortized debt issuance costs of $3,138 and $2,451 | 338,112 | 853,124 | ||||||
| Other Borrowings | 42,246 | 21,182 | ||||||
| Total | 3,856,873 | 1,870,528 | ||||||
| Less - current portion | 64,099 | 47,225 | ||||||
| Long-term portion | $ | 3,792,774 | $ | 1,823,303 |
On September 14, 2018 the Company issued $2.5 billion of senior notes with three different maturities.
| • | Floating Rate Senior Notes due 2021 - The Company issued $500.0 million of Floating Rate Senior Notes due 2021 (the "Floating Rate Notes"). The Floating Rate Notes, which are non-callable for one year, were issued at 100% of face value. Interest on the Floating Rate Notes accrues at a floating rate per annum equal to three-month Libor plus 105 basis points. The interest rate for the Floating Rate Notes for the initial interest period was the three-month Libor plus 105 basis points determined on September 12, 2018 and is payable quarterly on December 15, March 15, June 15, and September 15 of each year. The Company incurred $3.5 million of deferred financing costs related to the issuance of the Floating Rate Notes. |
| • | 4.150% Senior Notes due 2024 - The Company issued $750.0 million of 4.150% Senior Notes due 2024 (the "2024 Notes"). The 2024 Notes were issued at 99.805% of face value. Interest on the 2024 Notes accrues at a rate of 4.150% per annum and is payable semi-annually on March 15 and September 15 of each year. The Company incurred $7.4 million of deferred financing costs related to the issuance of the 2024 Notes. |
| • | 4.70% Senior Notes Due 2028 - The Company issued $1,250.0 million of 4.70% Senior Notes due 2028 (the "2028 Notes" and together with the Floating Rate Notes and 2024 Notes, the "Senior Notes"). The 2028 Notes were issued at 99.889% of face value. Interest on the 2028 Notes accrues at a rate of 4.700% per annum and is payable semi-annually on March 15 and September 15 of each year. The Company incurred $10.6 million of deferred financing costs related to the issuance of the 2028 Notes. |
The net proceeds from the issuance and sale of the Senior Notes was used to finance the cash portion of the GE Transportation acquisition. The principal balances are due in full at maturity. The Senior Notes are senior unsecured obligations of the Company and rank pari passu with all existing and future senior debt and senior to all existing and future subordinated indebtedness of the Company. The indenture under which the Senior Notes were issued contains covenants and restrictions which limit among other things, the following: the incurrence of indebtedness, payment of dividends and certain distributions, sales of assets, change in control, mergers and consolidations and the incurrence of liens.
On February 12, 2019, the rating assigned by Moody's was decreased to Ba1. Accordingly, pursuant to the respective terms of the Senior Notes issued on September 14, 2018, the interest rate will be increased by 0.25%. The interest rate increase will take effect from the next interest period following February 12, 2019.
The Company is in compliance with the restrictions and covenants in the indenture under which the Senior Notes were issued and expects that these restrictions and covenants will not be any type of limiting factor in executing our operating activities.
3.45% Senior Notes Due November 2026
In October 2016, the Company issued $750.0 million of Senior Notes due in 2026 (the “2016 Notes”). The 2016 Notes were issued at 99.965% of face value. Interest on the 2016 Notes accrues at a rate of 3.45% per annum and is payable semi-annually on May 15 and November 15 of each year. The proceeds were used to finance the cash portion of the Faiveley
Transport acquisition, refinance Faiveley Transport’s indebtedness, and for general corporate purposes. The principal balance is due in full at maturity. The Company incurred $2.7 million of deferred financing costs related to the issuance of the 2016 Notes.
The 2016 Notes are senior unsecured obligations of the Company and rank pari passu with all existing and future senior debt and senior to all existing and future subordinated indebtedness of the Company. The indenture under which the 2016 Notes were issued contains covenants and restrictions which limit among other things, the following: the incurrence of indebtedness, payment of dividends and certain distributions, sale of assets, change in control, mergers and consolidations and the incurrence of liens.
The Company is in compliance with the restrictions and covenants in the indenture under which the 2016 Notes were issued and expects that these restrictions and covenants will not be any type of limiting factor in executing our operating activities.
4.375% Senior Notes Due August 2023
In August 2013, the Company issued $250.0 million of Senior Notes due in 2023 (the “2013 Notes”). The 2013 Notes were issued at 99.879% of face value. Interest on the 2013 Notes accrues at a rate of 4.375% per annum and is payable semi-annually on February 15 and August 15 of each year. The proceeds were used to repay debt outstanding under the Company’s existing credit agreement, and for general corporate purposes. The principal balance is due in full at maturity. The Company incurred $2.6 million of deferred financing costs related to the issuance of the 2013 Notes.
The 2013 Notes are senior unsecured obligations of the Company and rank pari passu with all existing and future senior debt and senior to all existing and future subordinated indebtedness of the Company. The indenture under which the 2013 Notes were issued contains covenants and restrictions which limit among other things, the following: the incurrence of indebtedness, payment of dividends and certain distributions, sale of assets, change in control, mergers and consolidations and the incurrence of liens.
The Company is in compliance with the restrictions and covenants in the indenture under which the 2013 Notes were issued and expects that these restrictions and covenants will not be any type of limiting factor in executing our operating activities.
2018 Refinancing Credit Agreement
On June 8, 2018, the Company entered into a credit agreement (the “2018 Refinancing Credit Agreement”), which replaced the Company’s then-existing “2016 Refinancing Credit Agreement.” As part of the 2018 Refinancing Credit Agreement, the Company entered into (i) a $1.2 billion revolving credit facility (the “Revolving Credit Facility”), which replaced the Company’s revolving credit facility under the 2016 Refinancing Credit Agreement, and includes a letter of credit sub-facility of up to $450.0 million and a swing line sub-facility of $75.0 million, (ii) a $350.0 million term loan (the “Refinancing Term Loan”), which refinanced the term loan under the 2016 Refinancing Credit Agreement, and (iii) a new $400.0 million delayed draw term loan (the “Delayed Draw Term Loan”). The 2018 Refinancing Credit Agreement also provided for a bridge loan facility (the “Bridge Loan Facility”) in an amount not to exceed $2.5 billion, such facility to become effective at the Company’s request. Commitments in respect of the Bridge Loan Facility were terminated upon the issuance and sale of the Senior Notes on September 14, 2018. In addition, the 2018 Refinancing Credit Agreement contains an uncommitted accordion feature allowing the Company to request, in an aggregate amount not to exceed $600.0 million, increases to the borrowing commitments under the Revolving Credit Facility or a new incremental term loan commitment. At December 31, 2018, the Company had available bank borrowing capacity, net of $29.2 million of letters of credit, of approximately $1,170.8 million subject to certain financial covenant restrictions.
The Revolving Credit Facility matures on June 8, 2023 and is unsecured. The Refinancing Term Loan matures on June 8, 2021 and is unsecured. The Delayed Draw Term Loan matures on the third anniversary of the date on which it is borrowed and is unsecured. The applicable interest rate for borrowings under the 2018 Refinancing Credit Agreement includes interest rate spreads based on the lower of the pricing corresponding to (i) the Company’s ratio of total debt (less unrestricted cash up to $300.0 million) to EBITDA (“Leverage Ratio”) or (ii) the Company’s public rating, in each case that range between 1.000% and 1.875% for LIBOR/CDOR-based borrowings and 0.0% and 0.875% for Alternate Base Rate based borrowings. The obligations of the Company under the 2018 Refinancing Credit Agreement have been guaranteed by certain of the Company’s subsidiaries.
The 2018 Refinancing Credit Agreement contains customary representations and warranties by the Company and its subsidiaries, including customary use of materiality, material adverse effect, and knowledge qualifiers. The Company and its subsidiaries are also subject to (i) customary affirmative covenants that impose certain reporting obligations on the Company and its subsidiaries and (ii) customary negative covenants, including limitations on: indebtedness; liens; restricted payments;
fundamental changes; business activities; transactions with affiliates; restrictive agreements; changes in fiscal year; and use of proceeds. In addition, the Company is required to maintain (i) an Interest Coverage ratio at least 3.00 to 1.00 over each period of four consecutive fiscal quarters ending on the last day of a fiscal quarter and (ii) a Leverage Ratio, calculated as of the last day of a fiscal quarter for a period of four consecutive fiscal quarters, of 3.25 to 1.00 or less; provided that, in the event the Company completes the Direct Sale and the Merger or any other material acquisition in which the cash consideration paid exceeds $500.0 million, the maximum Leverage Ratio permitted will be 3.75 to 1.00 at the end of the fiscal quarter in which such acquisition is consummated and each of the three fiscal quarters immediately following such fiscal quarter and 3.50 to 1.00 at the end of each of the fourth and fifth full fiscal quarters after the consummation of such acquisition. The Company is in compliance with the restrictions and covenants of the 2018 Refinancing Credit Agreement and does not expect that these measurements will limit the Company in executing its operating activities.
At December 31, 2018, the weighted average interest rate on the Company’s variable rate debt was 3.68%. On June 5, 2014, the Company entered into a forward starting interest rate swap agreement with a notional value of $150.0 million. The effective date of the interest rate swap agreement was November 7, 2016, and the termination date was December 19, 2018.
2016 Refinancing Credit Agreement
On June 22, 2016, the Company amended its existing revolving credit facility with a consortium of commercial banks. This “2016 Refinancing Credit Agreement” provided the Company with a $1.2 billion, 5 year revolving credit facility and a $400.0 million delayed draw term loan (the “Term Loan”). The Company incurred approximately $3.3 million of deferred financing cost related to the 2016 Refinancing Credit Agreement. The 2016 Refinancing Credit Agreement borrowings bore variable interest rates indexed as described below.
Under the 2016 Refinancing Credit Agreement, the Company could elect a Base Rate of interest for U.S. Dollar denominated loans or, for certain currencies, an interest rate based on the London Interbank Offered Rate (“LIBOR”) of interest, or other rates appropriate for such currencies (in any case, “the Alternate Rate”). The Base Rate adjusted on a daily basis and was the greater of the Federal Funds Effective Rate plus 0.50% per annum, the PNC, N.A. prime rate or the Daily LIBOR Rate plus 100 basis points, plus a margin that ranged from 0 to 75 basis points. The Alternate Rate was based on the quoted rates specific to the applicable currency, plus a margin that ranged from 75 to 175 basis points. Both the Base Rate and Alternate Rate margins were dependent on the Company’s consolidated total indebtedness to EBITDA ratios. The initial Base Rate margin was 0 basis points and the Alternate Rate margin was 175 basis points.
Contractual Obligations and Off-Balance Sheet Arrangements
The Company is obligated to make future payments under various contracts such as debt agreements, lease agreements and has certain contingent commitments such as debt guarantees. The Company has grouped these contractual obligations and off-balance sheet arrangements into operating activities, financing activities, and investing activities in the same manner as they are classified in the Statement of Consolidated Cash Flows to provide a better understanding of the nature of the obligations and arrangements and to provide a basis for comparison to historical information. The table below provides a summary of contractual obligations and off-balance sheet arrangements as of December 31, 2018:
| Less than | 1 - 3 | 3 - 5 | More than | |||||||||||||||||
| In thousands | Total | 1 year | years | years | 5 years | |||||||||||||||
| Operating activities: | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Purchase obligations (1) | $ | 149,624 | $ | 38,777 | $ | 46,276 | $ | 23,176 | $ | 41,395 | ||||||||||
| Operating leases (2) | 190,410 | 36,429 | 55,417 | 35,503 | 63,061 | |||||||||||||||
| Pension benefit payments (3) | 167,825 | 14,789 | 30,848 | 33,108 | 89,080 | |||||||||||||||
| Postretirement benefit payments (4) | 10,065 | 1,158 | 2,221 | 2,113 | 4,573 | |||||||||||||||
| Financing activities: | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Interest payments (5) | 1,068,729 | 158,450 | 302,129 | 250,191 | 357,959 | |||||||||||||||
| Long-term debt (6) | 3,856,873 | 64,099 | 801,367 | 248,927 | 2,742,480 | |||||||||||||||
| Dividends to shareholders (7) | 46,375 | 46,375 | — | — | — | |||||||||||||||
| Other: | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Standby letters of credit (8) | 354,176 | 14,566 | 121,443 | 112,879 | 105,288 | |||||||||||||||
| Total | $ | 5,844,077 | $ | 374,643 | $ | 1,359,701 | $ | 705,897 | $ | 3,403,836 |
| (1) | Purchase obligations represent non-cancelable contractual obligations at December 31, 2018. In addition, the Company had $441.9 million of open purchase orders for which the related goods or services had not been received. Although open purchase orders are considered enforceable and legally binding, their terms generally allow us the option to cancel, reschedule and adjust our requirements based on our business needs prior to the delivery of goods or performance of services. |
| (2) | Future minimum payments for operating leases are disclosed by year in Note 16 of the “Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements” included in Part IV, Item 15 of this report. |
| (3) | Annual payments to participants are expected to continue into the foreseeable future at the amounts or ranges noted. Pension benefit payments are based on actuarial estimates using current assumptions for discount rates, expected return on long-term assets and rate of compensation increases. The Company expects to contribute about $6.4 million to pension plan investments in 2019. See further disclosure in Note 11 of the “Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements” included in Part IV, Item 15 of this report. |
| (4) | Annual payments to participants are expected to continue into the foreseeable future at the amounts or ranges noted. Postretirement payments are based on actuarial estimates using current assumptions for discount rates and health care costs. See further disclosure in Note 11 of the “Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements” included in Part IV, Item 15 of this report. |
| (5) | Interest payments are payable March, June, September and December of each year at a rate based on contractual terms of Floating Senior Notes due 2021. Interest payments are payable May and September of each year at 4.15% of $750 million Senior Notes due 2024. Interest payments are payable March and September of each year at 4.7% of $1,250 million Senior Note due 2028. Interest payments are payable May and November of each year at 3.45% of $750 million Senior Notes due in 2026. Interest payments are payable February and August of each year at 4.375% of $250 million Senior Notes due in 2023. Interest payments for the Revolving Credit Facility and Other Borrowings are based on contractual terms and the Company’s current interest rates. |
| (6) | Scheduled principal repayments of outstanding loan balances are disclosed in Note 10 of the “Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements” included in Part IV, Item 15 of this report. |
| (7) | Shareholder dividends are subject to approval by the Company’s Board of Directors, currently at an annual rate of approximately $46.4 million. |
| (8) | The $354.2 million of standby letters of credit is comprised of outstanding letters of credit for performance and bid bond purposes, which expire in various dates through 2025. Amounts include interest payments based on contractual terms and the Company’s current interest rate. |
The above table does not reflect uncertain tax positions of $9.5 million, the timing of which are uncertain. Refer to Note 12 of the “Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements” for additional information on uncertain tax positions.
Obligations for operating activities. The Company has entered into $149.6 million of material long-term non-cancelable materials and supply purchase obligations. Operating leases represent multi-year obligations for rental of facilities and equipment. Estimated pension funding and post-retirement benefit payments are based on actuarial estimates using current assumptions for discount rates, expected return on long-term assets, rate of compensation increases and health care cost trend rates. Benefits paid for pension obligations were $16.9 million and $16.0 million in 2018 and 2017, respectively. Benefits paid for post-retirement plans were $1.0 million and $1.2 million in 2018 and in 2017, respectively.
Obligations for financing activities. Cash requirements for financing activities consist primarily of long-term debt repayments, interest payments and dividend payments to shareholders. The Company has historically paid quarterly dividends to shareholders, subject to quarterly approval by our Board of Directors, currently at a rate of approximately $46.4 million annually.
The Company arranges for performance bonds to be issued by third party insurance companies to support certain long term customer contracts. At December 31, 2018, the initial value of performance bonds issued on the Company’s behalf is about $507 million.
Forward Looking Statements
We believe that all statements other than statements of historical facts included in this report, including certain statements under “Business” and “Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations,” may constitute forward-looking statements. We have based these forward-looking statements on our current expectations and projections about future events. Although we believe that our assumptions made in connection with the forward-looking statements are reasonable, we cannot assure that our assumptions and expectations are correct.
These forward-looking statements are subject to various risks, uncertainties and assumptions about us, including, among other things:
Economic and industry conditions
| • | prolonged unfavorable economic and industry conditions in the markets served by us, including North America, South America, Europe, Australia, Asia and South Africa; |
| • | decline in demand for freight cars, locomotives, passenger transit cars, buses and related products and services; |
| • | reliance on major original equipment manufacturer customers; |
| • | original equipment manufacturers’ program delays; |
| • | demand for services in the freight and passenger rail industry; |
| • | demand for our products and services; |
| • | orders either being delayed, canceled, not returning to historical levels, or reduced or any combination of the foregoing; |
| • | consolidations in the rail industry; |
| • | continued outsourcing by our customers; |
| • | industry demand for faster and more efficient braking equipment; |
| • | fluctuations in interest rates and foreign currency exchange rates; or |
| • | availability of credit; |
Operating factors
| • | supply disruptions; |
| • | technical difficulties; |
| • | changes in operating conditions and costs; |
| • | increases in raw material costs; |
| • | successful introduction of new products; |
| • | performance under material long-term contracts; |
| • | labor relations; |
| • | the outcome of our existing or any future legal proceedings, including litigation involving our principal customers and any litigation with respect to environmental matters, asbestos-related matters, pension liabilities, warranties, product liabilities or intellectual property claims; |
| • | completion and integration of acquisitions, including the acquisition of Faiveley Transport and GE Transportation; or |
| • | the development and use of new technology; |
Competitive factors
| • | the actions of competitors; or |
| • | the outcome of negotiations with partners, suppliers, customers or others; |
Political/governmental factors
| • | political stability in relevant areas of the world; |
| • | future regulation/deregulation of our customers and/or the rail industry; |
| • | levels of governmental funding on transit projects, including for some of our customers; |
| • | political developments and laws and regulations, including those related to Positive Train Control; or |
| • | federal and state income tax legislation; and |
| • | the outcome of negotiations with governments. |
Statements in this 10-K apply only as of the date on which such statements are made, and we undertake no obligation to update any statement to reflect events or circumstances after the date on which the statement is made or to reflect the occurrence of unanticipated events.
Critical Accounting Estimates
The preparation of the financial statements in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles requires Management to make judgments, estimates and assumptions regarding uncertainties that affect the reported amounts of assets and liabilities, disclosure of contingent assets and liabilities and the reported amounts of revenues and expenses. Areas of uncertainty that require judgments, estimates and assumptions include the accounting for allowance for doubtful accounts, inventories, the testing of goodwill and other intangibles for impairment, warranty reserves, pensions and other postretirement benefits, stock based compensation and tax matters. Management uses historical experience and all available information to make these judgments and estimates, and actual results will inevitably differ from those estimates and assumptions that are used to prepare the Company’s financial statements at any given time. Despite these inherent limitations, Management believes that Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations (MD&A) and the financial statements and related footnotes provide a meaningful and fair perspective of the Company. A discussion of the judgments and uncertainties associated with accounting for derivatives and environmental matters can be found in Notes 2 and 19, respectively, in the “Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements” included in Part IV, Item 15 of this report.
A summary of the Company’s significant accounting policies is included in Note 2 in the “Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements” included in Part IV, Item 15 of this report and is incorporated by reference herein. Management believes that the application of these policies on a consistent basis enables the Company to provide the users of the financial statements with useful and reliable information about the Company’s operating results and financial condition.
Accounts Receivable and Allowance for Doubtful Accounts:
Description The Company provides an allowance for doubtful accounts to cover anticipated losses on uncollectible accounts receivable.
Judgments and Uncertainties The allowance for doubtful accounts receivable reflects our best estimate of probable losses inherent in our receivable portfolio determined on the basis of historical experience, specific allowances for known troubled accounts and other currently available evidence.
Effect if Actual Results Differ From Assumptions If our estimates regarding the collectability of troubled accounts, and/or our actual losses within our receivable portfolio exceed our historical experience, we may be exposed to the expense of increasing our allowance for doubtful accounts.
Inventories:
Description Inventories are stated at the lower of cost or market and are reviewed to ensure that an adequate provision is recognized for excess, slow moving and obsolete inventories.
Judgments and Uncertainties Cost is determined under the first-in, first-out (FIFO) method. Inventory costs include material, labor and overhead. The Company compares inventory components to prior year sales history and current backlog and anticipated future requirements. To the extent that inventory parts exceed estimated usage and demand, a reserve is recognized to reduce the carrying value of inventory. Also, specific reserves are established for known inventory obsolescence.
Effect if Actual Results Differ From Assumptions If the market value of our products were to decrease due to changing market conditions, the Company could be at risk of incurring write-downs to adjust inventory value to a market value lower than stated cost. If our estimates regarding sales and backlog requirements are inaccurate, we may be exposed to the expense of increasing our reserves for slow moving and obsolete inventory.
Goodwill and Indefinite-Lived Intangibles:
Description Goodwill and indefinite-lived intangibles are required to be tested for impairment at least annually. The Company performs its annual impairment test during the fourth quarter and more frequently when indicators of impairment are present. The Company reviews goodwill for impairment at the reporting unit level. The evaluation of impairment involves comparing the current fair value of the business to the recorded value (including goodwill).
Judgments and Uncertainties A number of significant assumptions and estimates are involved in the application of the impairment test, including the identification of macroeconomic conditions, industry and market considerations, cost factors, overall financial performance, Wabtec specific events and share price trends and making the assessment on whether each relevant factor will impact the impairment test positively or negatively and the magnitude of any such amount.
Effect if Actual Results Differ From Assumptions Management considers historical experience and all available information at the time the fair values of its reporting units are estimated. However, actual amounts realized may differ from those used to evaluate the impairment of goodwill. If actual results are not consistent with our assumptions and judgments used in estimating future cash flows and asset fair values, we may be exposed to impairment losses that could be material to our results of operations. For example, based on the quantitative analysis performed as of October 1, 2018, a decline in the terminal growth rate by 50 basis points would decrease fair market value by $398 million, or an increase in the weighted-average cost of capital by 100 basis points would result in a decrease in fair market value by $1,156 million. Even with such changes the fair value of the reporting units would be greater than their net book values, necessitating no Step 2 calculations. See Note 2 in the “Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements” included in Part IV, Item 15 of this report for additional discussion regarding impairment testing.
Warranty Reserves:
Description The Company provides warranty reserves to cover expected costs from repairing or replacing products with durability, quality or workmanship issues occurring during established warranty periods.
Judgments and Uncertainties In general, reserves are provided for as a percentage of sales, based on historical experience. In addition, specific reserves are established for known warranty issues and their estimable losses.
Effect if Actual Results Differ From Assumptions If actual results are not consistent with the assumptions and judgments used to calculate our warranty liability, the Company may be at risk of realizing material gains or losses.
Accounting for Pensions and Postretirement Benefits:
Description The Company provides pension and postretirement benefits for its employees. These amounts are determined using actuarial methodologies and incorporate significant assumptions, including the rate used to discount the future estimated liability, the long-term rate of return on plan assets and several assumptions relating to the employee workforce (salary increases, medical costs, retirement age and mortality).
Judgments and Uncertainties Significant judgments and estimates are used in determining the liabilities and expenses for pensions and other postretirement benefits. The rate used to discount future estimated liabilities is determined considering the rates available at year-end on debt instruments that could be used to settle the obligations of the plan. The long-term rate of return is estimated by considering historical returns and expected returns on current and projected asset allocations and is generally applied to a five-year average market value of assets. The differences between actual and expected asset returns are recognized in expense using the normal amortization of gains and losses per ASC 715.
Effect if Actual Results Differ From Assumptions If assumptions used in determining the pension and other postretirement benefits change significantly, these costs can fluctuate materially from period to period. The key assumptions in determining the pension and other postretirement expense and obligation include the discount rate, expected return on assets and health care cost trend rate. For example, a 1% decrease or increase in the discount rate used in determining the pension and postretirement expense would increase expense $1.1 million or decrease expense $1.9 million, respectively. A 1% decrease or increase in the discount rate used in determining the pension and postretirement obligation would increase the obligation $43.8 million or decrease the obligation $54.8 million, respectively. A 1% decrease or increase in the expected return on assets used in determining the pension expense would increase or decrease expense $2.8 million. If the actual asset values at December 31, 2018 had been 1% lower, the amortization of losses in the following year would decrease $0.2 million.
Stock-based Compensation:
Description The Company has issued incentive stock units to eligible employees that vest upon attainment of certain cumulative three-year performance goals. The program is structured as a rolling three-year plan; each year starts a new three-
year performance cycle with the most recently completed cycle being 2016-2018. No incentive stock units will vest for performance below the three-year cumulative threshold. The Company utilizes an economic profit measure for this performance goal. Economic profit is a measure of the extent to which the Company produces financial results in excess of its cost of capital. Based on the Company’s achievement of the threshold and three-year cumulative performance, the stock units vested can range from 0% to 200% of the shares granted.
Judgments and Uncertainties Significant judgments and estimates are used in determining the estimated three-year performance, which is then used to estimate the total shares expected to vest over the three year vesting cycle and corresponding expense based on the grant date fair value of the award. When determining the estimated three-year performance, the Company utilizes a combination of historical actual results, budgeted results and forecasts. In the initial grant year of a performance cycle, the Company estimates the three-year performance at 100%. As actual performance results for a cycle begin to accumulate and the Company completes its budgeting and forecasting cycles the performance estimates are updated. These judgments and estimates are reviewed and updated on a quarterly basis.
Effect if Actual Results Differ From Assumptions If assumptions used in determining the estimated three-year performance change significantly, stock-based compensation expense related to the unvested incentive stock awards can fluctuate materially from period to period. For example, a 10% decrease or increase in the estimated vesting percentage for incentive stock awards would decrease or increase stock-based compensation expense by approximately $1.5 million and $1.5 million, respectively.
Income Taxes:
Description Wabtec records an estimated liability or benefit for income and other taxes based on what it determines will likely be paid in various tax jurisdictions in which it operates in accordance with ASC 740-10 Accounting for Income Taxes and Accounting for Uncertainty in Income Taxes.
Judgments and Uncertainties The estimate of our tax obligations are uncertain because Management must use judgment to estimate the exposures associated with our various filing positions, as well as realization of our deferred tax assets. ASC 740-10 establishes a recognition and measurement threshold to determine the amount of tax benefit that should be recognized related to uncertain tax positions.
Effect if Actual Results Differ From Assumptions Management uses its best judgment in the determination of these amounts. However, the liabilities ultimately realized and paid are dependent on various matters including the resolution of the tax audits in the various affected tax jurisdictions and may differ from the amounts recorded. An adjustment to the estimated liability would be recorded through income in the period in which it becomes probable that the amount of the actual liability differs from the recorded amount. A deferred tax valuation allowance is provided when it is more likely than not that some portion or all of the deferred tax assets will not be realized.
Revenue Recognition:
Description Revenue is recognized in accordance with ASC 606 “Revenue from Contracts with Customers.” The Company recognizes revenues on long-term customer agreements involving the design and production of highly engineered products that require revenue to be recognized over time because these products have no alternative use with significant economic loss and the agreements contain an enforceable right to payment including a reasonable profit margin from the customer in the event of contract termination. Generally, the Company uses an input method for determining the amount of revenue, cost and gross margin to recognize over time for these customer agreements. The input methods used for these agreements include costs of material and labor, both of which give an accurate representation of the progress made toward complete satisfaction of a particular performance obligation.
Judgments and Uncertainties Accounting for long-term customer agreements involves a judgmental process of estimating the total sales and costs for each contract, which results in the development of estimated profit margin percentages. Contract estimates related to long-term projects are based on various assumptions to project the outcome of future events that could span several years. These assumptions include cost of materials; labor availability and productivity; complexity of the work to be performed; and the performance of suppliers, customers and subcontracts that may be associated with the contract. Factors that influence these estimates include inflationary trends, technical and schedule risk, internal and subcontractor performance trends, business volume assumptions, asset utilization, and anticipated labor agreements. Generally, pricing is defined in our contracts but may contain include an estimate of variable consideration when required by the terms of the individual customer contract. Types of variable consideration that the Company typically has include volume discounts, prompt payment discounts, liquidating damages, and performance bonuses.
Effect if Actual Results Differ From Assumptions Should market conditions and customer demands dictate changes to our standard shipping terms, the Company may be impacted by longer than typical revenue recognition cycles. The development of
expected contract costs and contract profit margin percentages involves procedures and personnel in all areas that provide financial or production information on the status of contracts. Due to the significance of judgment in the estimation process, it is likely that materially different revenue amounts could be recorded if we used different assumptions or if the underlying circumstances were to change. Changes in underlying assumptions/estimates, supplier performance, or circumstances may adversely or positively affect financial performance in future periods. If the combined profit margin for all contracts recognized on the percentage of completion method during 2018 had been estimated to be higher or lower by 1%, it would have increased or decreased revenue and gross profit for the year by approximately $30.0 million. A few of our contracts are expected to be completed in a loss position. Provisions are made currently for estimated losses on uncompleted contracts.
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